Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

Borussia Dortmund

1 – 1

Full Time

RB Leipzig

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga .

Borussia Dortmund 2 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
RB Leipzig 2 games · 3 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Sascha Stegemann

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Augsburg	2	6
2	SC Freiburg	2	6
3	Borussia Dortmund	2	6
4	SV 07 Elversberg	2	6
5	1. FSV Mainz 05	2	4
6	FC Bayern Munchen	2	4
7	FC Schalke 04	3	4
8	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	2	3
9	RB Leipzig	2	3
10	VfB Stuttgart	2	3
11	SV Werder Bremen	2	3
12	1. FC Koln	2	3
13	SC Paderborn 07	2	1
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	2	1
15	1. FC Union Berlin	3	1
16	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	2	0
17	Borussia Monchengladbach	2	0
18	Hamburger SV	2	0

Head-to-Head

Borussia Dortmund 18 games · Avg 3.6 goals RB Leipzig

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-04 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 RB Leipzig 2025-03-15 RB Leipzig 2–0 Borussia Dortmund 2024-11-02 Borussia Dortmund 2–1 RB Leipzig 2024-04-27 RB Leipzig 4–1 Borussia Dortmund 2023-12-09 Borussia Dortmund 2–3 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

Borussia Dortmund

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	RB Leipzig	H	1–1	D
01 Oct	Athletic Club	H	4–1	W
27 Sep	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	2–0	W
21 Sep	VfL Wolfsburg	H	1–0	W
16 Sep	Juventus FC	A	4–4	D
13 Sep	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	2–0	W

RB Leipzig

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Borussia Dortmund	A	1–1	D
27 Sep	VfL Wolfsburg	A	1–0	W
20 Sep	1. FC Koln	H	3–1	W
13 Sep	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	1–0	W
30 Aug	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	2–0	W
22 Aug	FC Bayern Munchen	A	0–6	L

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund		RB Leipzig
#3	Position	#9
6	Points	3
2	Played	2
2 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	1 / 0 / 1
5	Scored	4
2	Conceded	3
+3	GD	+1
3.00	PPG	1.50
100%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

72% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Borussia Dortmund are 3rd (6 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (3 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund

0-15

1/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/1

46-60

–/1

61-75

2/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

RB Leipzig

0-15

–/1

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/1

76+

1/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund

Sehrou Guirassy	2 G	1 A
Fabio Silva	1 G
Ioannis Konstantelias	1 G

RB Leipzig

Ridle Baku	2 G
Rocco Reitz	1 G
Antonio Nusa	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
1-1 the final result. will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Erling Haaland	7
Jadon Sancho	7
Marco Reus	4
Dani Olmo	3
Timo Werner	3
Amadou Haidara	2
Christoph Baumgartner	2
Christopher Nkunku	2

Head to Head

Borussia Dortmund Form

2025-10-04 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 RB Leipzig D 2025-10-01 Borussia Dortmund 4–1 Athletic Club W 2025-09-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 Borussia Dortmund W 2025-09-21 Borussia Dortmund 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg W 2025-09-16 Juventus FC 4–4 Borussia Dortmund D 2025-09-13 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–2 Borussia Dortmund W

RB Leipzig Form

2025-10-04 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 RB Leipzig D 2025-09-27 VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 RB Leipzig W 2025-09-20 RB Leipzig 3–1 1. FC Koln W 2025-09-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 RB Leipzig W 2025-08-30 RB Leipzig 2–0 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W 2025-08-22 FC Bayern Munchen 6–0 RB Leipzig L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.87 Borussia Dortmund xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.18 RB Leipzig xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 59% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

Borussia Dortmund49% Draw26% RB Leipzig25%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes59% 0% No41%

Avg goals/match: 3.05

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	81%	19%
± 2.5	58%	42%
± 3.5	36%	64%
± 4.5	20%	80%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw

75%

Draw or RB Leipzig

51%

Borussia Dortmund or RB Leipzig

74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Borussia Dortmund38% Draw43% RB Leipzig19%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

Actual

2 – 1

9.4%

2 – 0

8.2%

1 – 0

8.1%

0 – 0

6.4%

1 – 2

5.9%

3 – 1

5.8%

2 – 2

5.5%

3 – 0

0 – 1

4.8%

3 – 2

3.5%

0 – 2

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap	Borussia Dortmund covers	Push	RB Leipzig covers
-2.5	14%	—	86%
-2	14%	16%	70%
-1.5	30%	—	70%
-1	30%	22%	48%
-0.5	52%	—	48%
+0.5	77%	—	23%
+1	77%	14%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.