Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 2 Nov 2024 · 17:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 27' Benjamin Sesko
Maximilian Beier 30' 1–1
Sehrou Guirassy 65' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
  • Assistant 1 Mark Borsch
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
3 games this season 🟨 5.7/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov RB Leipzig H 2–1 W
29 Oct VfL Wolfsburg A 0–1 L
26 Oct FC Augsburg A 1–2 L
22 Oct Real Madrid CF A 2–5 L
18 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W
05 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
02 Nov Borussia Dortmund A 1–2 L
29 Oct FC St. Pauli 1910 H 4–2 W
26 Oct SC Freiburg H 3–1 W
23 Oct Liverpool FC H 0–1 L
19 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–0 W
06 Oct 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund RB Leipzig
#1 Position #9
12 Points 6
4 Played 4
4 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 2
9 Scored 9
2 Conceded 5
+7 GD +4
3.00 PPG 1.50
100% Win % 50%

Key Stats

72% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 2 G 2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha 2 G
Fabio Silva 2 G
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G
RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.61 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund47% Draw27% RB Leipzig26%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes54% 0% No46%
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
74%
Draw or RB Leipzig
53%
Borussia Dortmund or RB Leipzig
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund34% Draw46% RB Leipzig20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.7%
1 – 0
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.7%
2 – 0
8.5%
0 – 1
6.3%
1 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.9%
3 – 0
4.5%
0 – 2
3.9%
3 – 2
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 15% 74%
-1.5 26% — 74%
-1 26% 22% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 76% — 24%
+1 76% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.