Derby County FC vs Birmingham City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Championship · 2025-26

Derby County FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Birmingham City FC

Sat 21 Mar 2026 · 12:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Birmingham City FC — Championship .

Derby County FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Birmingham City FC 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Gavin Ward

3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 3.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Coventry City FC	46	95
2	Ipswich Town FC	46	84
3	Hull City AFC	46	73
4	Oxford United FC	46	47
5	Leicester City FC	46	46
6	Blackburn Rovers FC	1	1
7	Wolverhampton Wanderers FC	1	1
8	Queens Park Rangers FC	0	0
9	Millwall FC	0	0
10	Middlesbrough FC	0	0
11	Swansea City AFC	0	0
12	Charlton Athletic FC	0	0
13	West Bromwich Albion FC	0	0
14	Bolton Wanderers FC	0	0
15	Birmingham City FC	0	0
16	Sheffield United FC	0	0
17	Southampton FC	0	0
18	Wrexham AFC	0	0
19	Watford FC	0	0
20	Burnley FC	0	0
21	Cardiff City FC	0	0
22	West Ham United FC	0	0
23	Derby County FC	0	0
24	Norwich City FC	0	0
25	Preston North End FC	0	0
26	Stoke City FC	0	0
27	Lincoln City FC	0	0
28	Portsmouth FC	0	0
29	Bristol City FC	0	0
30	Sheffield Wednesday FC	46	0

Head-to-Head

Derby County FC 10 games · Avg 3.3 goals Birmingham City FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-21 Derby County FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC 2025-12-26 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Derby County FC 2022-01-30 Derby County FC 2–2 Birmingham City FC 2021-09-10 Birmingham City FC 2–0 Derby County FC 2021-04-24 Derby County FC 1–2 Birmingham City FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Mar	Birmingham City FC	H	1–0	W
16 Mar	Portsmouth FC	A	1–0	W
10 Mar	Millwall FC	A	0–1	L
07 Mar	Sheffield Wednesday FC	H	2–1	W
28 Feb	Blackburn Rovers FC	H	3–1	W
24 Feb	Hull City AFC	A	2–4	L

Birmingham City FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
21 Mar	Derby County FC	A	0–1	L
14 Mar	Sheffield United FC	H	1–1	D
11 Mar	Queens Park Rangers FC	H	1–0	W
07 Mar	Charlton Athletic FC	A	0–1	L
02 Mar	Middlesbrough FC	H	1–3	L
25 Feb	Millwall FC	A	0–3	L

Season Stats

Derby County FC		Birmingham City FC
#23	Position	#15
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

70% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)

70% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season

100% Clean Sheets
Birmingham City FC this season

Derby County FC are 23rd (0 pts). Birmingham City FC are 15th (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC

0-15

–/–

16-30

1/–

31-45

–/–

46-60

–/–

61-75

–/1

76+

–/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. Derby County FC get us underway at .
It finishes all square. Derby County FC and Birmingham City FC share the spoils 1-0.

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Birmingham City FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Lukas Jutkiewicz	4
Colin Kazim-Richards	3
Ivan Sunjic	2
Graeme Shinnie	2
Krystian Bielik	2
Martyn Waghorn	2
Scott Hogan	2
Chris Martin	1

Head to Head

Derby County FC Form

2026-03-21 Derby County FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC W 2026-03-16 Portsmouth FC 0–1 Derby County FC W 2026-03-10 Millwall FC 1–0 Derby County FC L 2026-03-07 Derby County FC 2–1 Sheffield Wednesday FC W 2026-02-28 Derby County FC 3–1 Blackburn Rovers FC W 2026-02-24 Hull City AFC 4–2 Derby County FC L

Birmingham City FC Form

2026-03-21 Derby County FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC L 2026-03-14 Birmingham City FC 1–1 Sheffield United FC D 2026-03-11 Birmingham City FC 1–0 Queens Park Rangers FC W 2026-03-07 Charlton Athletic FC 1–0 Birmingham City FC L 2026-03-02 Birmingham City FC 1–3 Middlesbrough FC L 2026-02-25 Millwall FC 3–0 Birmingham City FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.72 Derby County FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.37 Birmingham City FC xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 89% + Derby County FC or Draw 83%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Derby County FC44% Draw40% Birmingham City FC16%

Actual: Derby County FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes18% 0% No82%

Avg goals/match: 1.09

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	63%	37%
± 1.5	30%	70%
± 2.5	11%	89%
± 3.5	3%	97%
± 4.5	1%	99%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw

83%

Draw or Birmingham City FC

56%

Derby County FC or Birmingham City FC

60%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Derby County FC21% Draw71% Birmingham City FC8%

Actual: Derby County FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

36.5%

1 – 0

Actual

0 – 1

10.5%

1 – 1

10.1%

2 – 0

2 – 1

3.6%

0 – 2

1.9%

3 – 0

1.9%

1 – 2

1.7%

3 – 1

0.9%

2 – 2

0.8%

4 – 0

0.3%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap	Derby County FC covers	Push	Birmingham City FC covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	9%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	26%	62%
-0.5	38%	—	62%
+0.5	85%	—	15%
+1	85%	12%	2%
+1.5	98%	—	2%
+2	98%	2%	0%
+2.5	100%	—	0%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet

69% ✓

Birmingham City FC keeps clean sheet

49% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.