Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sun 21 Sep 2025 · 17:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs VfL Wolfsburg — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Siebert
5 games this season 🟨 5.4/game ⚽ 12.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
16 Sep Juventus FC A 4–4 D
13 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
31 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–0 W
23 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–3 D
18 Aug Rot-Weiss Essen A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Sep Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
13 Sep 1. FC Köln H 3–3 D
31 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D
23 Aug 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 3–1 W
16 Aug SV Hemelingen A 9–0 W
17 May Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–0 W

Key Stats

29% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
41% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 2 G 2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha 2 G
Fabio Silva 2 G
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.39 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 VfL Wolfsburg xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund48% Draw27% VfL Wolfsburg25%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.48
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
75%
Draw or VfL Wolfsburg
52%
Borussia Dortmund or VfL Wolfsburg
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund30% Draw49% VfL Wolfsburg21%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
1 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
10.5%
2 – 1
8.5%
0 – 1
8%
2 – 0
7.9%
1 – 2
6.6%
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4%
3 – 0
3.6%
1 – 3
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push VfL Wolfsburg covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 13% 79%
-1.5 21% — 79%
-1 21% 22% 58%
-0.5 42% — 58%
+0.5 72% — 28%
+1 72% 17% 11%
+1.5 89% — 11%
+2 89% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.