1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga .
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
- Borussia Dortmund 4 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Reichel
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern Munchen | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Koln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | Borussia Dortmund | H | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | FC Augsburg | A | 4–1 | W |
| 13 Sep | RB Leipzig | H | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Aug | 1. FC Koln | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Aug | SG Dynamo Dresden | A | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Sep | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| 16 Sep | Juventus FC | A | 4–4 | D |
| 13 Sep | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Aug | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 3–0 | W |
| 23 Aug | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 3–3 | D |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #1 |
| 7 | Points | 12 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 2 / 1 / 1 | W / D / L | 4 / 0 / 0 |
| 10 | Scored | 9 |
| 6 | Conceded | 2 |
| +4 | GD | +7 |
| 1.75 | PPG | 3.00 |
| 50% | Win % | 100% |
Key Stats
63%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
H2H (16 games)
69%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
75%
Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
Borussia Dortmund this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 4 G | |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 3 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Borussia Dortmund
| Sehrou Guirassy | 2 G | 2 A |
| Felix Kalu Nmecha | 2 G | |
| Fabio Silva | 2 G | |
| Ioannis Konstantelias | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Borussia Dortmund kicks off things out of here…
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-2.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Marco Reus | 4 |
| Jonathan Burkardt | 3 |
| Erling Haaland | 3 |
| Robin Quaison | 3 |
| Jae-sung Lee | 3 |
| Jadon Sancho | 3 |
| Maximilian Beier | 2 |
| Julian Brandt | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Borussia Dortmund Form
2025-09-27
1. FSV Mainz 05
0–2
Borussia Dortmund
W
2025-09-21
Borussia Dortmund
1–0
VfL Wolfsburg
W
2025-09-16
Juventus FC
4–4
Borussia Dortmund
D
2025-09-13
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
0–2
Borussia Dortmund
W
2025-08-31
Borussia Dortmund
3–0
1. FC Union Berlin
W
2025-08-23
FC St. Pauli 1910
3–3
Borussia Dortmund
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.94
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79
Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Borussia Dortmund win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 76% |
|
24% |
| ± 2.5 | 51% |
|
49% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 15% |
|
85% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
49%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
77%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
0 – 1
10.8%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 3
6%
1 – 3
5.7%
1 – 0
5.2%
2 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
2.8%
2 – 3
2.8%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | Borussia Dortmund covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 12% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| +0.5 | 44% | — | 56% |
| +1 | 44% | 24% | 32% |
| +1.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +2 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
18%
✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

