Wednesday , 30 September 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
20 Sep FC Augsburg A 4–1 W
13 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–1 L
31 Aug VfL Wolfsburg A 1–1 D
24 Aug 1. FC Koln H 0–1 L
18 Aug SG Dynamo Dresden A 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–0 W
21 Sep VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
16 Sep Juventus FC A 4–4 D
13 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
31 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–0 W
23 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–3 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 Borussia Dortmund
#6 Position #1
7 Points 12
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 4 / 0 / 0
10 Scored 9
6 Conceded 2
+4 GD +7
1.75 PPG 3.00
50% Win % 100%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G
Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 2 G 2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha 2 G
Fabio Silva 2 G
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. Borussia Dortmund kicks off things out of here…
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 0-2.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.94 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.79 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0523% Draw27% Borussia Dortmund50%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.73
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
49%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
77%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0516% Draw45% Borussia Dortmund39%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.8%
0 – 1
10.8%
0 – 2
Actual
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 3
6%
1 – 3
5.7%
1 – 0
5.2%
2 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.5%
2 – 0
2.8%
2 – 3
2.8%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 12% 82%
-0.5 18% — 82%
+0.5 44% — 56%
+1 44% 24% 32%
+1.5 68% — 32%
+2 68% 17% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
18% ✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.