Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
1. FSV Mainz 05
0 – 2
Full Time
Borussia Dortmund
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Reichel
13 games this season 🟨 0.8/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

3
3
10
1. FSV Mainz 05 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals Borussia Dortmund
Last 5 meetings
2025-09-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 Borussia Dortmund 2025-03-30 Borussia Dortmund 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-11-09 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 Borussia Dortmund 2024-05-11 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–0 Borussia Dortmund 2023-12-19 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
20 Sep FC Augsburg A 4–1 W
13 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–1 L
31 Aug VfL Wolfsburg A 1–1 D
24 Aug 1. FC Koln H 0–1 L
18 Aug SG Dynamo Dresden A 1–0 W
Borussia Dortmund
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–0 W
21 Sep VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
16 Sep Juventus FC A 4–4 D
13 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
31 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–0 W
23 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 A 3–3 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 Borussia Dortmund
#10 Position #2
40 Points 73
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 5
44 Scored 70
53 Conceded 34
-9 GD +36
1.18 PPG 2.15
29% Win % 65%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Marco Reus 4
Erling Haaland 3
Robin Quaison 3
Jae-sung Lee 3
Jadon Sancho 3
Jonathan Burkardt 3
Julian Brandt 2
Raphael Guerreiro 2

Head to Head

2025-09-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 Borussia Dortmund 2025-03-30 Borussia Dortmund 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-11-09 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 Borussia Dortmund 2024-05-11 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–0 Borussia Dortmund 2023-12-19 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-09-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 Borussia Dortmund L 2025-09-20 FC Augsburg 1–4 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-09-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 RB Leipzig L 2025-08-31 VfL Wolfsburg 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-08-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 1. FC Koln L 2025-08-18 SG Dynamo Dresden 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W

Borussia Dortmund Form

2025-09-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 Borussia Dortmund W 2025-09-21 Borussia Dortmund 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg W 2025-09-16 Juventus FC 4–4 Borussia Dortmund D 2025-09-13 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–2 Borussia Dortmund W 2025-08-31 Borussia Dortmund 3–0 1. FC Union Berlin W 2025-08-23 FC St. Pauli 1910 3–3 Borussia Dortmund D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.03 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.89 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0523% Draw26% Borussia Dortmund51%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.92
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
49%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
77%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Borussia Dortmund
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0516% Draw43% Borussia Dortmund41%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
1 – 2
9.6%
0 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
9.5%
0 – 0
7.1%
1 – 3
6%
0 – 3
5.9%
2 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 0
4.7%
2 – 3
3.2%
1 – 4
2.9%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 5% 93%
-1.5 7% — 93%
-1 7% 12% 81%
-0.5 19% — 81%
+0.5 44% — 56%
+1 44% 23% 33%
+1.5 67% — 33%
+2 67% 17% 16%
+2.5 84% — 16%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
16% ✓
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
36% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.