RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.
- RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
- Borussia Dortmund 34 games · 73 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
- Assistant 1 Jonas Weickenmeier
- Assistant 2 Christof Gunsch
20 games this season
🟨 1.0/game
⚽ 5.6 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | Borussia Dortmund | H | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | SC Freiburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Mar | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Feb | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Feb | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Feb | FC Augsburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | RB Leipzig | A | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Mar | Lille OSC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Mar | FC Augsburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Mar | Lille OSC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 6–0 | W |
Season Stats
| RB Leipzig | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| #3 | Position | #2 |
| 65 | Points | 73 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 20 / 5 / 9 | W / D / L | 22 / 7 / 5 |
| 66 | Scored | 70 |
| 47 | Conceded | 34 |
| +19 | GD | +36 |
| 1.91 | PPG | 2.15 |
| 59% | Win % | 65% |
Key Stats
72%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
72%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
44%
Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
Borussia Dortmund this season
RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
–/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/–
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Red Bull Arena as RB Leipzig face off against Borussia Dortmund in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' Xavi Simons has been relatively quiet despite scoring 45 goals in his last 520 appearances.
- 10' The referee shows Borussia Dortmund player a card on 10.
- 15' RB Leipzig currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 18' Xavi Simons is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 23' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 28' RB Leipzig are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Borussia Dortmund backline.
- 33' A change in the Borussia Dortmund ranks — Marcel Sabitzer exits the field as Ramy Bensebaini enters on 33.
- 38' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Borussia Dortmund winning 0% of all matches.
- 43' RB Leipzig started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 43.
- 45' It’s gonna be a card for Julian Ryerson.
- 48' What composure from Lois Openda! The Belgium international strokes it home. 2-0.
- 53' With 0 assists to his name this season, Pascal Gross is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Borussia Dortmund.
- 58' Algeria international Ramy Bensebaini has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
- 61' The crowd applauds Christoph Baumgartner as he leaves the pitch. Kevin Kampl steps in for RB Leipzig.
- 63' David Raum picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 66' Time for substitution for RB Leipzig. Lois Openda is replaced by Lukas Klostermann.
- 71' Supporters expect more eagerness from Willi Orban, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
- 72' The Borussia Dortmund manager makes a substitution. Karim Adeyemi departs to be replaced by Jamie Bynoe-Gittens.
- 77' Borussia Dortmund have won 798 goals from 521 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 81' Amadou Haidara is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nicolas Seiwald at the 81 minute mark.
- 83' Controversy at the stadium! Carney Chukwuemeka argues furiously but the card stands.
- 86' RB Leipzig player sees a card in front of him.
- The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from RB Leipzig to claim maximum points.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
11
Lois Openda ↓ Lukas Klostermann 66'
- 3
- 17
- 14
- 1
- 4
-
22
David Raum ↓ Castello Lukeba 81'
-
10
Xavi Simons ↓ Tidiam Gomis 81'
- 13
- 5
- 30
Bench
-
16
Lukas Klostermann ↑ 66'
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↑ 61'
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↑ 81'
- 24
- 26
-
23
Castello Lukeba ↑ 81'
- 18
-
27
Tidiam Gomis ↑ 81'
- 21
Coach
Marco Rose
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 13
- 10
- 3
- 1
- 20
- 9
- 26
- 23
- 4
- 14
- 27
Bench
-
5
Ramy Bensebaini ↑ 33'
- 25
- 33
- 6
- 7
- 2
-
17
Carney Chukwuemeka ↑ 72'
-
43
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens ↑ 72'
- 16
Coach
Niko Kovać
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jadon Sancho | 7 |
| Erling Haaland | 7 |
| Marco Reus | 4 |
| Dani Olmo | 3 |
| Timo Werner | 3 |
| Amadou Haidara | 2 |
| Christoph Baumgartner | 2 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 2 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
Borussia Dortmund Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.61
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37
Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 56%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 56% |
|
44% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
72%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
54%
RB Leipzig or Borussia Dortmund
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
7.4%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 0
6.9%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
3.4%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | Borussia Dortmund covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 9% | — | 91% |
| -2 | 9% | 13% | 78% |
| -1.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -1 | 22% | 20% | 58% |
| -0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 17% | 15% |
| +1.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +2 | 85% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
26%
✗
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

