Wednesday , 30 September 2026

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 17:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 47,800 HT 45' · FT 45'
Xavi Simons 18' 1–0
Lois Openda 48' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
  • Assistant 1 Jonas Weickenmeier
  • Assistant 2 Christof Gunsch
3 games this season 🟨 5.3/game ⚽ 28.0 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 2–0 W
08 Mar SC Freiburg A 0–0 D
01 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
26 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
23 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–2 D
14 Feb FC Augsburg A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar RB Leipzig A 0–2 L
12 Mar Lille OSC A 2–1 W
08 Mar FC Augsburg H 0–1 L
04 Mar Lille OSC H 1–1 D
01 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–0 W
22 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 6–0 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig Borussia Dortmund
#9 Position #1
6 Points 12
4 Played 4
2 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 4 / 0 / 0
9 Scored 9
5 Conceded 2
+4 GD +7
1.50 PPG 3.00
50% Win % 100%

Key Stats

72% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G
Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 2 G 2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha 2 G
Fabio Silva 2 G
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Red Bull Arena!
  • 5' RB Leipzig is showing some good football. However, RB Leipzig are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 10' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Emre Can.
  • 15' Borussia Dortmund have won 806 goals from 524 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 18' Xavi Simons makes no mistake. The score reads 1-0 and RB Leipzig are in front.
  • 23' Over 23 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 28' Borussia Dortmund come into this ranked 10 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 33' Borussia Dortmund make a change. Marcel Sabitzer trudges off to be replaced by Ramy Bensebaini on 33 minutes.
  • 38' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 43' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 45' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Julian Ryerson.
  • 48' A goal from the Belgium international Lois Openda! He fires home on 48 to make it 2-0!
  • 53' The energy levels are beginning to show. Marco Rose might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 58' Borussia Dortmund is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 61' Kevin Kampl is ready to make an impact after coming on for Christoph Baumgartner at the 61 minute mark.
  • 63' A moment of madness from David Raum on 63 minutes earns him a card. RB Leipzig will be frustrated.
  • 66' Fresh legs for RB Leipzig! Lukas Klostermann comes on to replace Lois Openda.
  • 71' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 72' A change in the Borussia Dortmund ranks — Karim Adeyemi exits the field as Jamie Bynoe-Gittens enters on 72.
  • 77' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 81' RB Leipzig make a change. Nicolas Seiwald trudges off to be replaced by Amadou Haidara on 81 minutes.
  • 83' Controversy at the stadium! Carney Chukwuemeka argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 86' It’s gonna be a card for Amadou Haidara.
  • Borussia Dortmund will have plenty to reflect on. RB Leipzig were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.26 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig or Borussia Dortmund 72% + Under 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig42% Draw28% Borussia Dortmund30%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.5
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 71%
29%
± 2.5 45%
55%
± 3.5 24%
76%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
69%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
58%
RB Leipzig or Borussia Dortmund
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig26% Draw49% Borussia Dortmund25%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.8%
0 – 0
10.4%
1 – 0
9.3%
0 – 1
9.1%
2 – 1
7.8%
1 – 2
7.7%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 2
6.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
3 – 1
3.3%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
2.6%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 20% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 19% 15%
+1.5 85% — 15%
+2 85% 10% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
30% ✗
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.