Sunday , 16 August 2026

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 17:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 47,800 HT 45' · FT 45'
Xavi Simons 18' 1–0
Lois Openda 48' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
  • Assistant 1 Jonas Weickenmeier
  • Assistant 2 Christof Gunsch

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 2–0 W
08 Mar SC Freiburg A 0–0 D
01 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
26 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
23 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–2 D
14 Feb FC Augsburg A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar RB Leipzig A 0–2 L
12 Mar Lille OSC A 2–1 W
08 Mar FC Augsburg H 0–1 L
04 Mar Lille OSC H 1–1 D
01 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–0 W
22 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 6–0 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig Borussia Dortmund
#9 Position #8
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

72% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and RB Leipzig launch into their encounter with Borussia Dortmund.
  • 5' RB Leipzig are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Borussia Dortmund backline.
  • 10' The referee calls foul for Emre Can. He receives a card.
  • 15' A quiet spell here at Red Bull Arena. RB Leipzig seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 18' A stunning finish from Xavi Simons — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 23' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 28' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 33' The whistle greets Marcel Sabitzer as he departs to be replaced by Ramy Bensebaini.
  • 38' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 43' The home supporters are growing impatient. RB Leipzig must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 45' Julian Ryerson picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 48' What a strike from Lois Openda! The score is 2-0.
  • 53' It’s high time Niko Kovać made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 58' RB Leipzig is showing some good football. However, RB Leipzig are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 61' Christoph Baumgartner makes way for Kevin Kampl at the 61 minute mark. A tactical switch from RB Leipzig.
  • 63' Controversy at the stadium! David Raum argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 66' A tactical swap from RB LeipzigLukas Klostermann on, Lois Openda off on 66 minutes.
  • 71' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His RB Leipzig side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 72' Jamie Bynoe-Gittens is replacing Karim Adeyemi for the Borussia Dortmund side.
  • 77' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Marco Rose will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 81' A change in the RB Leipzig ranks — Nicolas Seiwald exits the field as Amadou Haidara enters on 81.
  • 83' The referee shows Borussia Dortmund player a card on 83.
  • 86' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Amadou Haidara.
  • Full Time. RB Leipzig beats Borussia Dortmund

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.91 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.53 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 82% + Under — clean sheet likely 74%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig46% Draw35% Borussia Dortmund19%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes26% 0% No74%
Avg goals/match: 1.44
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 74%
26%
± 1.5 43%
57%
± 2.5 18%
82%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
81%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
54%
RB Leipzig or Borussia Dortmund
65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig25% Draw63% Borussia Dortmund12%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
26.3%
1 – 0
20.1%
1 – 1
12.4%
0 – 1
10.8%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
5.4%
1 – 2
3%
0 – 2
2.9%
3 – 0
2.8%
3 – 1
1.7%
2 – 2
1.6%
4 – 0
0.7%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 11% 85%
-1.5 15% 85%
-1 15% 26% 59%
-0.5 41% 59%
+0.5 82% 18%
+1 82% 14% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
59%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
41%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.