Saturday , 14 November 2026

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 17:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 47,800 HT 45' · FT 45'
Xavi Simons 18' 1–0
Lois Openda 48' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
  • Assistant 1 Jonas Weickenmeier
  • Assistant 2 Christof Gunsch
5 games this season 🟨 5.6/game ⚽ 26.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 2–0 W
08 Mar SC Freiburg A 0–0 D
01 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
26 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
23 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–2 D
14 Feb FC Augsburg A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar RB Leipzig A 0–2 L
12 Mar Lille OSC A 2–1 W
08 Mar FC Augsburg H 0–1 L
04 Mar Lille OSC H 1–1 D
01 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–0 W
22 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 6–0 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig Borussia Dortmund
#4 Position #2
18 Points 21
9 Played 9
6 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 6 / 3 / 0
27 Scored 16
13 Conceded 7
+14 GD +9
2.00 PPG 2.33
67% Win % 67%

Key Stats

72% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
56% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
56% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Christopher Nkunku 5 G 2 A
Romulo Cruz 5 G
Antonio Nusa 4 G 7 A
Tidiam Gomis 3 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Borussia Dortmund
Felix Kalu Nmecha 4 G
Sehrou Guirassy 3 G 2 A
Fabio Silva 3 G 2 A
Maximilian Beier 2 G 2 A
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! RB Leipzig welcome Borussia Dortmund for this crunch clash at Red Bull Arena.
  • 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 10' A moment of madness from Emre Can on 10 minutes earns him a card. Borussia Dortmund will be frustrated.
  • 15' RB Leipzig are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Borussia Dortmund's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 18' Magnificent from Xavi Simons! That is 45 goals in 534 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 23' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 28' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His RB Leipzig side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 33' Ramy Bensebaini is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marcel Sabitzer at the 33 minute mark.
  • 38' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 43' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gregor Kobel made 422 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 45' It’s a booking for Borussia Dortmund player. Julian Ryerson gets a card.
  • 48' The Belgium forward Lois Openda breaks the deadlock on 48 minutes. 2-0!
  • 53' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 58' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
  • 61' Kevin Kampl is replacing Christoph Baumgartner for the RB Leipzig side.
  • 63' The referee shows RB Leipzig player a card on 63.
  • 66' The whistle greets Lois Openda as he departs to be replaced by Lukas Klostermann.
  • 71' It’s high time Marco Rose made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 72' Another substitution for Borussia Dortmund to replace Karim Adeyemi by Jamie Bynoe-Gittens on 72 minute.
  • 77' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Niko Kovać will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 81' Another change for RB Leipzig made on 81 minute. Nicolas Seiwald leaves to be changed by Amadou Haidara.
  • 83' Carney Chukwuemeka catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 83.
  • 86' Controversy at the stadium! Amadou Haidara argues furiously but the card stands.
  • The final score is 2-0.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.69 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig50% Draw25% Borussia Dortmund25%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 79%
21%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 34%
66%
± 4.5 18%
82%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
75%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
50%
RB Leipzig or Borussia Dortmund
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig34% Draw45% Borussia Dortmund21%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
8.2%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 21% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 73% — 27%
+1 73% 15% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
30% ✗
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.