Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 15 Mar 2025 · 17:30 UTC Red Bull Arena 47,800 HT 45' · FT 45'
Xavi Simons 18' 1–0
Lois Openda 48' 2–0

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
  • Assistant 1 Jonas Weickenmeier
  • Assistant 2 Christof Gunsch
20 games this season 🟨 1.0/game 5.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar Borussia Dortmund H 2–0 W
08 Mar SC Freiburg A 0–0 D
01 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
26 Feb VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
23 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–2 D
14 Feb FC Augsburg A 0–0 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
15 Mar RB Leipzig A 0–2 L
12 Mar Lille OSC A 2–1 W
08 Mar FC Augsburg H 0–1 L
04 Mar Lille OSC H 1–1 D
01 Mar FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–0 W
22 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 6–0 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig Borussia Dortmund
#3 Position #2
65 Points 73
34 Played 34
20 / 5 / 9 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 5
66 Scored 70
47 Conceded 34
+19 GD +36
1.91 PPG 2.15
59% Win % 65%

Key Stats

72% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Red Bull Arena as RB Leipzig face off against Borussia Dortmund in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Xavi Simons has been relatively quiet despite scoring 45 goals in his last 520 appearances.
  • 10' The referee shows Borussia Dortmund player a card on 10.
  • 15' RB Leipzig currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 18' Xavi Simons is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 23' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 28' RB Leipzig are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Borussia Dortmund backline.
  • 33' A change in the Borussia Dortmund ranks — Marcel Sabitzer exits the field as Ramy Bensebaini enters on 33.
  • 38' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Borussia Dortmund winning 0% of all matches.
  • 43' RB Leipzig started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 43.
  • 45' It’s gonna be a card for Julian Ryerson.
  • 48' What composure from Lois Openda! The Belgium international strokes it home. 2-0.
  • 53' With 0 assists to his name this season, Pascal Gross is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Borussia Dortmund.
  • 58' Algeria international Ramy Bensebaini has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 2 assists in the Array this season.
  • 61' The crowd applauds Christoph Baumgartner as he leaves the pitch. Kevin Kampl steps in for RB Leipzig.
  • 63' David Raum picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 66' Time for substitution for RB Leipzig. Lois Openda is replaced by Lukas Klostermann.
  • 71' Supporters expect more eagerness from Willi Orban, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
  • 72' The Borussia Dortmund manager makes a substitution. Karim Adeyemi departs to be replaced by Jamie Bynoe-Gittens.
  • 77' Borussia Dortmund have won 798 goals from 521 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 81' Amadou Haidara is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nicolas Seiwald at the 81 minute mark.
  • 83' Controversy at the stadium! Carney Chukwuemeka argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 86' RB Leipzig player sees a card in front of him.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from RB Leipzig to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.61 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.37 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 56%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig46% Draw25% Borussia Dortmund29%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 2.98
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 80%
20%
± 2.5 56%
44%
± 3.5 35%
65%
± 4.5 19%
81%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
72%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
54%
RB Leipzig or Borussia Dortmund
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig31% Draw44% Borussia Dortmund25%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 2
7.4%
1 – 0
7.3%
0 – 0
6.9%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 1
6.1%
2 – 2
5.9%
0 – 2
4.7%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
3.4%
1 – 3
3.4%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 13% 78%
-1.5 22% 78%
-1 22% 20% 58%
-0.5 42% 58%
+0.5 68% 32%
+1 68% 17% 15%
+1.5 85% 15%
+2 85% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% 5%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
26%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
21%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.