RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.
- RB Leipzig 9 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
- Borussia Dortmund 9 games · 21 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
- Assistant 1 Jonas Weickenmeier
- Assistant 2 Christof Gunsch
5 games this season
🟨 5.6/game
⚽ 26.4 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 9 | 21 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 9 | 21 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 9 | 19 |
| 4 | RB Leipzig | 9 | 18 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 9 | 16 |
| 6 | SV Werder Bremen | 9 | 15 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 9 | 13 |
| 8 | VfB Stuttgart | 9 | 12 |
| 9 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 9 | 12 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 9 | 12 |
| 11 | Hamburger SV | 9 | 12 |
| 12 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 9 | 10 |
| 13 | SC Paderborn 07 | 9 | 10 |
| 14 | FC Augsburg | 9 | 9 |
| 15 | 1. FC Köln | 9 | 9 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 9 | 7 |
| 17 | FC Schalke 04 | 9 | 6 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | Borussia Dortmund | H | 2–0 | W |
| 08 Mar | SC Freiburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| 01 Mar | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Feb | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 1–0 | W |
| 23 Feb | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 2–2 | D |
| 14 Feb | FC Augsburg | A | 0–0 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar | RB Leipzig | A | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Mar | Lille OSC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Mar | FC Augsburg | H | 0–1 | L |
| 04 Mar | Lille OSC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Mar | FC St. Pauli 1910 | A | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Feb | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 6–0 | W |
Season Stats
| RB Leipzig | Borussia Dortmund | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #2 |
| 18 | Points | 21 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 6 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 6 / 3 / 0 |
| 27 | Scored | 16 |
| 13 | Conceded | 7 |
| +14 | GD | +9 |
| 2.00 | PPG | 2.33 |
| 67% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
72%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
72%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
56%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
56%
Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
Borussia Dortmund this season
RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (21 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
2/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
6/2
46-60
4/3
61-75
5/2
76+
7/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
4/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
RB Leipzig
| Christopher Nkunku | 5 G | 2 A |
| Romulo Cruz | 5 G | |
| Antonio Nusa | 4 G | 7 A |
| Tidiam Gomis | 3 G | 2 A |
| Ridle Baku | 2 G |
Borussia Dortmund
| Felix Kalu Nmecha | 4 G | |
| Sehrou Guirassy | 3 G | 2 A |
| Fabio Silva | 3 G | 2 A |
| Maximilian Beier | 2 G | 2 A |
| Ioannis Konstantelias | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' What a night it is going to be! RB Leipzig welcome Borussia Dortmund for this crunch clash at Red Bull Arena.
- 5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 10' A moment of madness from Emre Can on 10 minutes earns him a card. Borussia Dortmund will be frustrated.
- 15' RB Leipzig are deployed in a 4-4-2 today, looking to exploit space against Borussia Dortmund's 4-2-3-1 shape.
- 18' Magnificent from Xavi Simons! That is 45 goals in 534 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
- 23' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 28' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His RB Leipzig side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 33' Ramy Bensebaini is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marcel Sabitzer at the 33 minute mark.
- 38' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 43' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Gregor Kobel made 422 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 45' It’s a booking for Borussia Dortmund player. Julian Ryerson gets a card.
- 48' The Belgium forward Lois Openda breaks the deadlock on 48 minutes. 2-0!
- 53' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 58' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 61' Kevin Kampl is replacing Christoph Baumgartner for the RB Leipzig side.
- 63' The referee shows RB Leipzig player a card on 63.
- 66' The whistle greets Lois Openda as he departs to be replaced by Lukas Klostermann.
- 71' It’s high time Marco Rose made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 72' Another substitution for Borussia Dortmund to replace Karim Adeyemi by Jamie Bynoe-Gittens on 72 minute.
- 77' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Niko Kovać will be considering his options from the bench.
- 81' Another change for RB Leipzig made on 81 minute. Nicolas Seiwald leaves to be changed by Amadou Haidara.
- 83' Carney Chukwuemeka catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 83.
- 86' Controversy at the stadium! Amadou Haidara argues furiously but the card stands.
- The final score is 2-0.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
11
Lois Openda ↓ Lukas Klostermann 66'
- 3
- 17
- 14
- 1
- 4
-
22
David Raum ↓ Castello Lukeba 81'
-
10
Xavi Simons ↓ Tidiam Gomis 81'
- 13
- 5
- 30
Bench
-
16
Lukas Klostermann ↑ 66'
-
44
Kevin Kampl ↑ 61'
-
8
Amadou Haidara ↑ 81'
- 24
- 26
-
23
Castello Lukeba ↑ 81'
- 18
-
27
Tidiam Gomis ↑ 81'
- 21
Coach
Marco Rose
Borussia Dortmund Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 13
- 10
- 3
- 1
- 20
- 9
- 26
- 23
- 4
- 14
- 27
Bench
-
5
Ramy Bensebaini ↑ 33'
- 25
- 33
- 6
- 7
- 2
-
17
Carney Chukwuemeka ↑ 72'
-
43
Jamie Bynoe-Gittens ↑ 72'
- 16
Coach
Niko Kovać
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jadon Sancho | 7 |
| Erling Haaland | 7 |
| Marco Reus | 4 |
| Timo Werner | 3 |
| Dani Olmo | 3 |
| Benjamin Sesko | 2 |
| Konrad Laimer | 2 |
| Axel Witsel | 2 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
Borussia Dortmund Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.69
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24
Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for:
Both teams to score 58% + Over 2.5 goals 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.93
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 79% |
|
21% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
| ± 4.5 | 18% |
|
82% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
75%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
50%
RB Leipzig or Borussia Dortmund
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
2 – 1
9.1%
1 – 0
8.2%
2 – 0
Actual
0 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
6.7%
0 – 1
5.8%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 1
5.1%
3 – 0
4.2%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | Borussia Dortmund covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 11% | — | 89% |
| -2 | 11% | 14% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 21% | 53% |
| -0.5 | 47% | — | 53% |
| +0.5 | 73% | — | 27% |
| +1 | 73% | 15% | 12% |
| +1.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +2 | 88% | 8% | 4% |
| +2.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
19%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

