Tuesday , 13 October 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07, Bundesliga 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2026-27
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
Fabio Silva 5' 1–0
Felix Kalu Nmecha 80' 2–0
Felix Kalu Nmecha 89' 3–0

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs SC Paderborn 07 — Bundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Harm Osmers
  • Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
  • Assistant 2 Florian Heft
6 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 11.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep SC Paderborn 07 H 3–0 W
08 Sep Villarreal CF H 3–2 W
05 Sep TSG 1899 Hoffenheim A 3–2 W
01 Sep HEBC Hamburg A 5–0 W
29 Aug Hamburger SV H 2–0 W
16 May SV Werder Bremen A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep Borussia Dortmund A 0–3 L
05 Sep SC Freiburg H 0–1 L
29 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–0 D
23 Aug 1. FC Phönix Lübeck A 4–2 W
17 May SV Darmstadt 98 A 2–0 W
08 May Karlsruher SC H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund SC Paderborn 07
#2 Position #15
13 Points 4
5 Played 5
4 / 1 / 0 W / D / L 1 / 1 / 3
11 Scored 3
4 Conceded 7
+7 GD -4
2.60 PPG 0.80
80% Win % 20%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
100% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
60% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
20% Clean Sheets
SC Paderborn 07 this season

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (13 pts). SC Paderborn 07 are 15th (4 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
4/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SC Paderborn 07
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/–
46-60
–/1
61-75
1/–
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 2 G 2 A
Fabio Silva 2 G 1 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha 2 G
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.36 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.73 SC Paderborn 07 xG
I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund to win 70% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund70% Draw19% SC Paderborn 0711%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes47% 0% No53%
Avg goals/match: 3.09
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
89%
Draw or SC Paderborn 07
30%
Borussia Dortmund or SC Paderborn 07
81%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund52% Draw39% SC Paderborn 079%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 0
12.5%
1 – 0
10.4%
3 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9%
1 – 1
8.5%
3 – 1
7%
0 – 0
6%
4 – 0
5.6%
4 – 1
4.2%
2 – 2
3.3%
1 – 2
2.8%
0 – 1
2.8%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push SC Paderborn 07 covers
-2.5 28% — 72%
-2 28% 21% 50%
-1.5 50% — 50%
-1 50% 22% 28%
-0.5 72% — 28%
+0.5 91% — 9%
+1 91% 7% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
48% ✗
SC Paderborn 07 keeps clean sheet
10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.