Tuesday , 13 October 2026

Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid, La Liga 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Primera Division · 2026-27
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 19:00 UTC Estadio Santiago Bernabeu HT 45' · FT 45'
Kylian Mbappe pen 14' 1–0
Alvaro Carreras 17' 2–0
Jude Bellingham 35' 3–0
3–1 51' Sergio Camello
Kylian Mbappe 90+1' 4–1
Y 76' Pathe Ciss

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Rayo Vallecano de Madrid — La Liga at Estadio Santiago Bernabeu.

Match Details

  • Referee Victor Garcia Verdura
  • Assistant 1 Diego Sanchez Rojo (Spain)
  • Assistant 2 Julian Villasenor Julian (Spain)
3 games this season 🟨 2.7/game ⚽ 1.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep Real Madrid CF A 1–4 L
05 Sep Real Racing Club de Santander H 3–2 W
31 Aug FC Barcelona A 2–5 L
20 Aug Deportivo Alaves H 1–1 D
15 Aug Sevilla FC A 1–2 L
23 May Deportivo Alaves A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
#4 Position #9
18 Points 8
8 Played 7
6 / 0 / 2 W / D / L 2 / 2 / 3
19 Scored 11
8 Conceded 16
+11 GD -5
2.25 PPG 1.14
75% Win % 29%

Key Stats

62% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
54% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
25% Clean Sheets
Real Madrid CF this season
0% Clean Sheets
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid this season

Real Madrid CF are 4th (18 pts). Rayo Vallecano de Madrid are 9th (8 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
0-15
2/–
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
2/1
76+
6/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
0-15
3/2
16-30
2/5
31-45
1/1
46-60
5/2
61-75
–/1
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Real Madrid CF
Kylian Mbappe 7 G 2 A
Jude Bellingham 3 G 2 A
Carlos Espi 2 G
Vinicius Junior 1 G 3 A
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
Sergio Camello 7 G 1 A
Alvaro Garcia 2 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
3.55 Real Madrid CF xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.09 Rayo Vallecano de Madrid xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 82% + Real Madrid CF to win 75%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF75% Draw14% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid11%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 4.64
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 94%
6%
± 2.5 82%
18%
± 3.5 66%
34%
± 4.5 47%
53%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw
90%
Draw or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
25%
Real Madrid CF or Rayo Vallecano de Madrid
86%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Real Madrid CF63% Draw28% Rayo Vallecano de Madrid9%
Actual: Real Madrid CF win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 1
7.8%
3 – 0
7.4%
4 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
6.8%
2 – 0
6.6%
4 – 0
6.4%
5 – 1
4.9%
5 – 0
4.5%
1 – 1
4.5%
3 – 2
4.2%
4 – 2
3.7%
1 – 0
3.6%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap Real Madrid CF covers Push Rayo Vallecano de Madrid covers
-2.5 45% — 55%
-2 45% 19% 36%
-1.5 64% — 36%
-1 64% 16% 19%
-0.5 81% — 19%
+0.5 92% — 8%
+1 92% 5% 3%
+1.5 97% — 3%
+2 97% 2% 1%
+2.5 99% — 1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid keeps clean sheet
4% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.