RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.
- RB Leipzig 6 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- Hamburger SV 6 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Badstubner
- Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
- Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
5 games this season
🟨 2.4/game
⚽ 9.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern Munchen | 6 | 14 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 14 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 6 | 13 |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 6 | 13 |
| 5 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 6 | 10 |
| 6 | SV 07 Elversberg | 6 | 10 |
| 7 | RB Leipzig | 6 | 9 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 6 | 9 |
| 9 | Hamburger SV | 6 | 9 |
| 10 | FC Augsburg | 6 | 8 |
| 11 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 6 | 8 |
| 12 | 1. FC Köln | 6 | 7 |
| 13 | VfB Stuttgart | 6 | 6 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 6 | 6 |
| 15 | FC Schalke 04 | 6 | 5 |
| 16 | SC Paderborn 07 | 6 | 5 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 6 | 5 |
| 18 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 6 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | Hamburger SV | H | 5–0 | W |
| 10 Sep | Como 1907 | A | 1–4 | L |
| 05 Sep | SV Werder Bremen | A | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | Eintracht Trier | A | 6–0 | W |
| 16 May | SC Freiburg | A | 1–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | RB Leipzig | A | 0–5 | L |
| 06 Sep | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 0–5 | L |
| 29 Aug | Borussia Dortmund | A | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | SC Verl | A | 3–0 | W |
| 16 May | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | SC Freiburg | H | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| RB Leipzig | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #9 |
| 9 | Points | 9 |
| 6 | Played | 6 |
| 3 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 3 / 0 / 3 |
| 16 | Scored | 6 |
| 11 | Conceded | 15 |
| +5 | GD | -9 |
| 1.50 | PPG | 1.50 |
| 50% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
86%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
17%
Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
Hamburger SV this season
RB Leipzig are 7th (9 pts). Hamburger SV are 9th (9 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
3/2
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hamburger SV
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
RB Leipzig
| Christopher Nkunku | 4 G | 1 A |
| Antonio Nusa | 3 G | 3 A |
| Tidiam Gomis | 2 G | 2 A |
| Ridle Baku | 2 G | |
| Rocco Reitz | 1 G |
Hamburger SV
| Miro Muheim | 2 G | 1 A |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to Red Bull Arena Leipzig that hosts another battle between RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV.
- 5' RB Leipzig are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Hamburger SV's 3-4-2-1 shape.
- 6' The referee has no hesitation. Nicolas Capaldo is booked for Hamburger SV — card on 6.
- 11' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Hamburger SV needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 16' Hamburger SV come into this ranked 17 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 17' What a strike from Tidiam Gomis! The score is 1-0.
- 22' RB Leipzig is showing some good football. However, RB Leipzig are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 27' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with RB Leipzig winning 100% of all matches.
- 28' Brilliant from the ! Antonio Nusa makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 28.
- 33' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 35' Christopher Nkunku is ready to make an impact after coming on for Assan Ouedraogo at the 35 minute mark.
- 40' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jordan Torunarigha, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena Leipzig with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 45' RB Leipzig started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
- 46' Hamburger SV manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Terem Moffi is hanging Yussuf Poulsen on the field on 46 minute.
- 48' The referee shows RB Leipzig player a card on 48.
- 53' It’s high time Merlin Polzin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 58' Denmark international Yussuf Poulsen has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 63' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 68' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 71' Shafiq Nandja was booked on 71.
- 72' What a moment for Willi Orban! That strike on 72 puts his side firmly in control.
- 72' The Hamburger SV manager makes a substitution. Patson Daka departs to be replaced by Fabio Vieira.
- 73' Warmed Omari is replacing Shafiq Nandja for the Hamburger SV side.
- 74' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Christopher Nkunku makes it 4-0.
- 74' Ridle Baku is replacing Benjamin Henrichs for the RB Leipzig side.
- 77' The Brazil Romulo Cruz breaks the deadlock on 77 minutes. 5-0!
- 78' The Hamburger SV bench stirs into life. Albert Sambi Lokonga is withdrawn and Otto Stange gets his opportunity.
- 83' RB Leipzig are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 88' Hamburger SV fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 89' Hamburger SV make a change. Zakaria El Ouahdi trudges off to be replaced by Bakery Jatta on 89 minutes.
- 5-0 the final result. Hamburger SV will be bitterly disappointed.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
39
Benjamin Henrichs ↓ Ridle Baku 74'
- 4
- 22
- 26
- 21
-
23
Castello Lukeba ↓ Maxime Esteve 73'
-
7
Antonio Nusa ↓ Max Finkgrafe 78'
- 6
- 10
- 8
-
27
Tidiam Gomis ↓ Romulo Cruz 74'
Bench
- 1
-
28
Christopher Nkunku ↑ 35'
-
17
Ridle Baku ↑ 74'
- 13
-
3
Maxime Esteve ↑ 73'
-
40
Romulo Cruz ↑ 74'
-
35
Max Finkgrafe ↑ 78'
- 9
- 30
Coach
Martín Demichelis
Hamburger SV Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 23
-
15
Yussuf Poulsen ↓ Terem Moffi 46'
- 1
-
27
Patson Daka ↓ Fabio Vieira 72'
- 6
- 24
- 11
- 21
- 3
- 7
-
43
Shafiq Nandja ↓ Warmed Omari 73'
Bench
-
18
Bakery Jatta ↑ 89'
-
9
Terem Moffi ↑ 46'
-
20
Fabio Vieira ↑ 72'
- 12
-
17
Warmed Omari ↑ 73'
- 4
- 5
-
19
Otto Stange ↑ 78'
- 37
Coach
Merlin Polzin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yussuf Poulsen | 4 |
| Benjamin Henrichs | 2 |
| Bakery Jatta | 1 |
| Emil Forsberg | 1 |
| Mohamed Simakan | 1 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 1 |
| Willi Orban | 1 |
| Antonio Nusa | 1 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.78
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.73
Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for:
RB Leipzig to win 81% + Over 2.5 goals 80%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 4.51
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 3.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 4.5 | 44% |
|
56% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
93%
Draw or Hamburger SV
19%
RB Leipzig or Hamburger SV
88%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
3 – 0
10.2%
4 – 0
9.4%
2 – 0
8.5%
3 – 1
7.2%
5 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
6.8%
2 – 1
5.9%
5 – 1
5.2%
1 – 0
4.6%
6 – 0
4.5%
1 – 1
3.7%
6 – 1
3.3%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | Hamburger SV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 55% | — | 45% |
| -2 | 55% | 19% | 26% |
| -1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| -1 | 74% | 14% | 12% |
| -0.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
| +0.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +1 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +1.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
| +2 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
49%
✗
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
3%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

