Friday , 23 October 2026

RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2026-27
Sun 13 Sep 2026 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena Leipzig 47,800 HT 45' · FT 45'
Tidiam Gomis 17' 1–0
Antonio Nusa 28' 2–0
Willi Orban 72' 3–0
Christopher Nkunku 74' 4–0
Romulo Cruz 77' 5–0

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.

Match Details

  • Referee Florian Badstubner
  • Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
  • Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
5 games this season 🟨 2.4/game ⚽ 9.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep Hamburger SV H 5–0 W
10 Sep Como 1907 A 1–4 L
05 Sep SV Werder Bremen A 1–3 L
29 Aug Borussia Monchengladbach H 3–0 W
22 Aug Eintracht Trier A 6–0 W
16 May SC Freiburg A 1–4 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Sep RB Leipzig A 0–5 L
06 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–5 L
29 Aug Borussia Dortmund A 0–2 L
24 Aug SC Verl A 3–0 W
16 May Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
10 May SC Freiburg H 3–2 W

Season Stats

RB Leipzig Hamburger SV
#7 Position #9
9 Points 9
6 Played 6
3 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 3 / 0 / 3
16 Scored 6
11 Conceded 15
+5 GD -9
1.50 PPG 1.50
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

43% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
86% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
17% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season

RB Leipzig are 7th (9 pts). Hamburger SV are 9th (9 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
2/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
3/2
76+
4/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hamburger SV
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
3/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig
Christopher Nkunku 4 G 1 A
Antonio Nusa 3 G 3 A
Tidiam Gomis 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G
Hamburger SV
Miro Muheim 2 G 1 A
Yussuf Poulsen 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Welcome to Red Bull Arena Leipzig that hosts another battle between RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV.
  • 5' RB Leipzig are deployed in a 4-3-3 today, looking to exploit space against Hamburger SV's 3-4-2-1 shape.
  • 6' The referee has no hesitation. Nicolas Capaldo is booked for Hamburger SV — card on 6.
  • 11' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Hamburger SV needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 16' Hamburger SV come into this ranked 17 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 17' What a strike from Tidiam Gomis! The score is 1-0.
  • 22' RB Leipzig is showing some good football. However, RB Leipzig are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 27' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with RB Leipzig winning 100% of all matches.
  • 28' Brilliant from the ! Antonio Nusa makes it 2-0 with a superb finish on 28.
  • 33' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 35' Christopher Nkunku is ready to make an impact after coming on for Assan Ouedraogo at the 35 minute mark.
  • 40' Supporters expect more eagerness from Jordan Torunarigha, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena Leipzig with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 45' RB Leipzig started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 45.
  • 46' Hamburger SV manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Terem Moffi is hanging Yussuf Poulsen on the field on 46 minute.
  • 48' The referee shows RB Leipzig player a card on 48.
  • 53' It’s high time Merlin Polzin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 58' Denmark international Yussuf Poulsen has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 63' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 68' named a 4-3-3 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 71' Shafiq Nandja was booked on 71.
  • 72' What a moment for Willi Orban! That strike on 72 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 72' The Hamburger SV manager makes a substitution. Patson Daka departs to be replaced by Fabio Vieira.
  • 73' Warmed Omari is replacing Shafiq Nandja for the Hamburger SV side.
  • 74' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Christopher Nkunku makes it 4-0.
  • 74' Ridle Baku is replacing Benjamin Henrichs for the RB Leipzig side.
  • 77' The Brazil Romulo Cruz breaks the deadlock on 77 minutes. 5-0!
  • 78' The Hamburger SV bench stirs into life. Albert Sambi Lokonga is withdrawn and Otto Stange gets his opportunity.
  • 83' RB Leipzig are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 88' Hamburger SV fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 89' Hamburger SV make a change. Zakaria El Ouahdi trudges off to be replaced by Bakery Jatta on 89 minutes.
  • 5-0 the final result. Hamburger SV will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.78 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.73 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig to win 81% + Over 2.5 goals 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig81% Draw12% Hamburger SV7%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 4.51
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 80%
20%
± 3.5 63%
37%
± 4.5 44%
56%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
93%
Draw or Hamburger SV
19%
RB Leipzig or Hamburger SV
88%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig70% Draw25% Hamburger SV5%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
3 – 0
10.2%
4 – 0
9.4%
2 – 0
8.5%
3 – 1
7.2%
5 – 0
Actual
4 – 1
6.8%
2 – 1
5.9%
5 – 1
5.2%
1 – 0
4.6%
6 – 0
4.5%
1 – 1
3.7%
6 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 55% — 45%
-2 55% 19% 26%
-1.5 74% — 26%
-1 74% 14% 12%
-0.5 88% — 12%
+0.5 96% — 4%
+1 96% 3% 1%
+1.5 99% — 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% — 0%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
49% ✗
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
3% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.