RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga .
- RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
- Hamburger SV 34 games · 38 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Welz
23 games this season 🟨 1.4/game ⚽ 6.2 goals/game 🟥 1 totalStandings
# Team P Pts 1 FC Bayern Munchen 34 89 2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73 3 RB Leipzig 34 65 4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62 5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61 6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59 7 SC Freiburg 34 47 8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44 9 FC Augsburg 34 43 10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40 11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39 12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38 13 Hamburger SV 34 38 14 1. FC Koln 34 32 15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32 16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29 17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26 18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 18 Oct Hamburger SV H 2–1 W 04 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D 27 Sep VfL Wolfsburg A 1–0 W 20 Sep 1. FC Koln H 3–1 W 13 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W 30 Aug 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–0 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 18 Oct RB Leipzig A 1–2 L 05 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–0 W 28 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–0 D 20 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W 13 Sep FC Bayern Munchen A 0–5 L 29 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–2 L Season Stats
RB Leipzig Hamburger SV #3 Position #13 65 Points 38 34 Played 34 20 / 5 / 9 W / D / L 9 / 11 / 14 66 Scored 40 47 Conceded 54 +19 GD -14 1.91 PPG 1.12 59% Win % 26% Key Stats
50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season18% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this seasonRB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). Hamburger SV are 13th (38 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig0-151/–16-303/331-452/246-602/161-752/176+3/5■ Scored ■ ConcededHamburger SV0-151/–16-30–/431-452/346-603/361-753/–76+–/4■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV has kicked off!
- Another three points for RB Leipzig.
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Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
Hamburger SV Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Yussuf Poulsen 4 Benjamin Henrichs 2 Vasilije Janjicic 1 Bakery Jatta 1 Emil Forsberg 1 Mohamed Simakan 1 Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
Hamburger SV Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy3 / 42.28 RB Leipzig xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo0.8 Hamburger SV xGI would bet for: RB Leipzig to win 68% + Over 2.5 goals 58%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig winBoth Teams to Score
✗ WrongAvg goals/match: 3.08Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 94% 6% ± 1.5 81% 19% ± 2.5 58% 42% ± 3.5 37% 63% ± 4.5 20% 80% Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw 88%Draw or Hamburger SV 32%RB Leipzig or Hamburger SV 80%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 122 – 0 11.9%1 – 0 10.1%2 – 1 Actual1 – 1 9.1%3 – 0 8.8%3 – 1 7%0 – 0 6.2%4 – 0 5%4 – 1 4.1%2 – 2 3.7%1 – 2 3.2%0 – 1 3.1%Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Hamburger SV covers -2.5 26% — 74% -2 26% 21% 53% -1.5 47% — 53% -1 47% 23% 31% -0.5 69% — 31% +0.5 89% — 11% +1 89% 7% 3% +1.5 97% — 3% +2 97% 3% 1% +2.5 99% — 1% Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet 46% ✓Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet 11% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.