RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena Leipzig.
- RB Leipzig 5 games · 9 pts (2026/27)
- Hamburger SV 5 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Badstubner
- Assistant 1 Markus Schuller
- Assistant 2 Philipp Huwe
4 games this season
🟨 2.8/game
⚽ 10.8 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SC Freiburg | 5 | 13 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 5 | 13 |
| 3 | FC Bayern Munchen | 5 | 11 |
| 4 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | RB Leipzig | 5 | 9 |
| 6 | FC Augsburg | 5 | 8 |
| 7 | SV Werder Bremen | 5 | 8 |
| 8 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | SV 07 Elversberg | 5 | 7 |
| 10 | 1. FC Koln | 5 | 7 |
| 11 | VfB Stuttgart | 5 | 6 |
| 12 | Hamburger SV | 5 | 6 |
| 13 | FC Schalke 04 | 5 | 5 |
| 14 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 5 | 5 |
| 15 | SC Paderborn 07 | 5 | 4 |
| 16 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 5 | 4 |
| 17 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 5 | 3 |
| 18 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 5 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | Hamburger SV | H | 5–0 | W |
| 10 Sep | Como 1907 | A | 1–4 | L |
| 05 Sep | SV Werder Bremen | A | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | Borussia Monchengladbach | H | 3–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | Eintracht Trier | A | 6–0 | W |
| 16 May | SC Freiburg | A | 1–4 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | RB Leipzig | A | 0–5 | L |
| 06 Sep | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 0–5 | L |
| 29 Aug | Borussia Dortmund | A | 0–2 | L |
| 24 Aug | SC Verl | A | 3–0 | W |
| 16 May | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–1 | D |
| 10 May | SC Freiburg | H | 3–2 | W |
Season Stats
| RB Leipzig | Hamburger SV | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #12 |
| 9 | Points | 6 |
| 5 | Played | 5 |
| 3 / 0 / 2 | W / D / L | 2 / 0 / 3 |
| 15 | Scored | 5 |
| 5 | Conceded | 15 |
| +10 | GD | -10 |
| 1.80 | PPG | 1.20 |
| 60% | Win % | 40% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
H2H (7 games)
86%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
60%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
0%
Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season
Hamburger SV this season
RB Leipzig are 5th (9 pts). Hamburger SV are 12th (6 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
RB Leipzig
0-15
2/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/1
61-75
3/1
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hamburger SV
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/3
31-45
1/2
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
RB Leipzig
| Christopher Nkunku | 4 G | 1 A |
| Antonio Nusa | 3 G | 3 A |
| Tidiam Gomis | 2 G | 2 A |
| Ridle Baku | 2 G | |
| Rocco Reitz | 1 G |
Hamburger SV
| Yussuf Poulsen | 2 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. Hamburger SV kicks off things out of here…
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His RB Leipzig side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 6' A meaty challenge results in booking for Nicolas Capaldo on 6.
- 11' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Albert Gronbaek Erlykke suffering a number of foals already.
- 16' Hamburger SV is showing some good football. However, Hamburger SV are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 17' Goal! Tidiam Gomis scores his 5 goal in 399 matches.
- 22' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Terem Moffi made 132 appearances and scored 66 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 27' Neil El Aynaoui is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Hamburger SV so far.
- 28' Antonio Nusa is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 4 goals this season for the .
- 33' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 35' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Assan Ouedraogo is replaced by Christopher Nkunku on 35 minute.
- 40' It’s high time Merlin Polzin made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 45' Supporters expect more eagerness from Assan Ouedraogo, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena Leipzig with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 46' Hamburger SV make a change. Yussuf Poulsen trudges off to be replaced by Terem Moffi on 46 minutes.
- 48' It’s a booking for RB Leipzig player. Castello Lukeba gets a card.
- 53' RB Leipzig has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 58' Both keepers have barely been tested. RB Leipzig and Hamburger SV are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 63' Hamburger SV fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 68' RB Leipzig are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 71' It’s a booking for Hamburger SV player. Shafiq Nandja gets a card.
- 72' Goal! Willi Orban scores his 32 goal in 518 matches.
- 72' Fresh legs for Hamburger SV! Fabio Vieira comes on to replace Patson Daka.
- 73' The supporters are chanting for Warmed Omari. He replaces Shafiq Nandja on 73 minute.
- 74' A goal from the France international Christopher Nkunku! He fires home on 74 to make it 4-0!
- 74' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Benjamin Henrichs by Ridle Baku on 74 minute.
- 77' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Romulo Cruz makes it 5-0.
- 78' Hamburger SV ring the changes. Albert Sambi Lokonga has done his job and it is now time for Otto Stange to step up.
- 83' The home supporters are growing impatient. RB Leipzig must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 88' The 29-year-old Benjamin Henrichs has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 89' It is a substitution in Hamburger SV team. Zakaria El Ouahdi is replaced by Bakery Jatta on 89 minute.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — RB Leipzig 5-0 Hamburger SV.
Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
4-3-3Starting XI
-
39
Benjamin Henrichs ↓ Ridle Baku 74'
- 4
- 22
- 26
- 21
-
23
Castello Lukeba ↓ Maxime Esteve 73'
-
7
Antonio Nusa ↓ Max Finkgrafe 78'
- 6
- 10
- 8
-
27
Tidiam Gomis ↓ Romulo Cruz 74'
Bench
- 1
-
28
Christopher Nkunku ↑ 35'
-
17
Ridle Baku ↑ 74'
- 13
-
3
Maxime Esteve ↑ 73'
-
40
Romulo Cruz ↑ 74'
-
35
Max Finkgrafe ↑ 78'
- 9
- 30
Coach
Martín Demichelis
Hamburger SV Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 23
-
15
Yussuf Poulsen ↓ Terem Moffi 46'
- 1
-
27
Patson Daka ↓ Fabio Vieira 72'
- 6
- 24
- 11
- 21
- 3
- 7
-
43
Shafiq Nandja ↓ Warmed Omari 73'
Bench
-
18
Bakery Jatta ↑ 89'
-
9
Terem Moffi ↑ 46'
-
20
Fabio Vieira ↑ 72'
- 12
-
17
Warmed Omari ↑ 73'
- 4
- 5
-
19
Otto Stange ↑ 78'
- 37
Coach
Merlin Polzin
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Yussuf Poulsen | 4 |
| Benjamin Henrichs | 2 |
| Antonio Nusa | 1 |
| Romulo Cruz | 1 |
| Tidiam Gomis | 1 |
| Vasilije Janjicic | 1 |
| Bakery Jatta | 1 |
| Emil Forsberg | 1 |
Head to Head
RB Leipzig Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
4.41
RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.51
Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for:
RB Leipzig to win 85% + Over 2.5 goals 84%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.92
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 99% |
|
1% |
| ± 1.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 2.5 | 84% |
|
16% |
| ± 3.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 4.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
Double Chance
RB Leipzig or Draw
94%
Draw or Hamburger SV
15%
RB Leipzig or Hamburger SV
91%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
4 – 0
12.2%
3 – 0
11.5%
5 – 0
Actual
2 – 0
8.3%
6 – 0
7.8%
4 – 1
6.1%
3 – 1
5.6%
5 – 1
5.4%
7 – 0
5%
6 – 1
4%
1 – 0
4%
2 – 1
3.9%
Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig
| Handicap | RB Leipzig covers | Push | Hamburger SV covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| -2 | 69% | 16% | 16% |
| -1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| -1 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| -0.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +0.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
| +1 | 99% | 1% | 0% |
| +1.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
| +2 | 100% | — | 0% |
| +2.5 | 100% | — | 0% |
Clean Sheet
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
61%
✓
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
2%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

