Sunday , 16 August 2026

RB Leipzig vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 18 Oct 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct Hamburger SV H 2–1 W
04 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
27 Sep VfL Wolfsburg A 1–0 W
20 Sep 1. FC Köln H 3–1 W
13 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W
30 Aug 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Oct RB Leipzig A 1–2 L
05 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–0 W
28 Sep 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–0 D
20 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W
13 Sep FC Bayern München A 0–5 L
29 Aug FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–2 L

Season Stats

RB Leipzig Hamburger SV
#9 Position #19
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
83% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts). Hamburger SV are 19th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. RB Leipzig is hosting Hamburger SV for another epic battle.
  • 2-1 the final result. Hamburger SV will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.18 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.31 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 81% + Under — clean sheet likely 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig60% Draw30% Hamburger SV10%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes20% 0% No80%
Avg goals/match: 1.49
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 75%
25%
± 1.5 44%
56%
± 2.5 19%
81%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
90%
Draw or Hamburger SV
40%
RB Leipzig or Hamburger SV
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig35% Draw60% Hamburger SV5%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 0
25.4%
0 – 0
24.8%
2 – 0
14.8%
1 – 1
8.9%
3 – 0
5.7%
0 – 1
5.7%
2 – 1
Actual
3 – 1
2.2%
4 – 0
1.7%
1 – 2
1.2%
0 – 2
0.9%
2 – 2
0.9%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 9% 91%
-2 9% 17% 74%
-1.5 26% 74%
-1 26% 31% 43%
-0.5 57% 43%
+0.5 92% 8%
+1 92% 7% 1%
+1.5 99% 1%
+2 99% 1% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
73%
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.