Thursday , 2 July 2026

VfL Wolfsburg vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 27 Sep 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfL Wolfsburg vs RB LeipzigBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Robin Braun
14 games this season 🟨 0.6/game 4.6 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–1 L
21 Sep Borussia Dortmund A 0–1 L
13 Sep 1. FC Koln H 3–3 D
31 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D
23 Aug 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 3–1 W
16 Aug SV Hemelingen A 9–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Sep VfL Wolfsburg A 1–0 W
20 Sep 1. FC Koln H 3–1 W
13 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W
30 Aug 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–0 W
22 Aug FC Bayern München A 0–6 L
16 Aug SV Sandhausen 1916 A 4–2 W

Season Stats

VfL Wolfsburg RB Leipzig
#16 Position #3
29 Points 65
34 Played 34
7 / 8 / 19 W / D / L 20 / 5 / 9
45 Scored 66
69 Conceded 47
-24 GD +19
0.85 PPG 1.91
21% Win % 59%

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (25 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
6% Clean Sheets
VfL Wolfsburg this season
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

VfL Wolfsburg are 16th (29 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfL Wolfsburg
0-15
1/
16-30
1/2
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
2/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

VfL Wolfsburg Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.37 VfL Wolfsburg xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 64% + Over 2.5 goals 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
VfL Wolfsburg27% Draw25% RB Leipzig48%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.37
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

VfL Wolfsburg or Draw
51%
Draw or RB Leipzig
73%
VfL Wolfsburg or RB Leipzig
75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfL Wolfsburg21% Draw41% RB Leipzig38%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.3%
1 – 2
9.1%
0 – 2
6.9%
0 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
6.2%
1 – 3
6%
0 – 0
4.9%
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 3
4.2%
1 – 0
4.1%
2 – 0
3.3%

Asian Handicap — VfL Wolfsburg

Handicap VfL Wolfsburg covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 7% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 14% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 49% 51%
+1 49% 21% 30%
+1.5 70% 30%
+2 70% 16% 15%
+2.5 85% 15%

Clean Sheet

VfL Wolfsburg keeps clean sheet
14%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.