Tuesday , 21 July 2026

Venezia FC vs ACF Fiorentina, Serie A 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Serie A · 2024-25
Mon 12 May 2025 · 16:30 UTC Stadio Pierluigi Penzo 11,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Fali Cande 60' 1–0
Gaetano Oristanio 68' 2–0
2–1 77' Rolando Mandragora

Overview

Match Preview

Venezia FC vs ACF FiorentinaSerie A at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo.

Match Details

  • Referee Matteo Marchetti (Italy)
  • Assistant 1 Filippo Meli
  • Assistant 2 Stefano Alassio
5 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 2.8 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May ACF Fiorentina H 2–1 W
02 May Torino FC A 1–1 D
27 Apr AC Milan H 0–2 L
20 Apr Empoli FC A 2–2 D
12 Apr AC Monza H 1–0 W
06 Apr US Lecce A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 May Venezia FC A 1–2 L
04 May AS Roma A 0–1 L
27 Apr Empoli FC H 2–1 W
23 Apr Cagliari Calcio A 2–1 W
13 Apr Parma Calcio 1913 H 0–0 D
05 Apr AC Milan A 2–2 D

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo!
  • 5' Venezia FC currently sit 19 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 10' named a 3-5-2 earlier, and opted for a 3-4-2-1 in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
  • 15' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Raffaele Palladino will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 20' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Marin Pongracic suffering a number of foals already.
  • 25' Venezia FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' Rolando Mandragora has been relatively quiet despite scoring 17 goals in his last 456 appearances.
  • 40' It looks like no one’s ball. ACF Fiorentina is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 45' A quiet spell here at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo. ACF Fiorentina seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
  • 50' Mikael Egill Ellertsson has certainly something to prove this evening. He made 0 appearances with only 0 goals this season.
  • 55' Supporters expect more eagerness from Gaetano Oristanio, as he is very good at scoring at Stadio Pierluigi Penzo with 2 goals in the last 2 games.
  • 60' Brilliant from the ! Fali Cande makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 60.
  • 63' Michael Folorunsho gets the nod from ACF Fiorentina. He replaces Cher Ndour and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 68' Gaetano Oristanio is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 73' ACF Fiorentina are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 77' GOAL! Rolando Mandragora scores on 77. Assisted by Yacine Adli
  • 78' Venezia FC ring the changes. Kike Perez has done his job and it is now time for Mirko Maric to step up.
  • 79' The ACF Fiorentina bench stirs into life. Marin Pongracic is withdrawn and Andrea Colpani gets his opportunity.
  • 83' Gianluca Busio was booked on 83.
  • 83' Cheick Conde is replacing Alessio Zerbin for the Venezia FC side.
  • 84' The referee calls foul for Michael Folorunsho. He receives a card.
  • 85' The supporters are chanting for Fabiano Parisi. He replaces Robin Gosens on 85 minute.
  • 88' It’s gonna be a card for Dodo.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Lucas Beltran on 90 minutes earns him a card. ACF Fiorentina will be frustrated.
  • 90' A change in the Venezia FC ranks — Cheick Conde exits the field as Ridgeciano Haps enters on 90.
  • The referee brings this contest to a close. Venezia FC take all three points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.22 Venezia FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.97 ACF Fiorentina xG
I would bet for: Venezia FC or Draw 74% + Under 2.5 goals 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Venezia FC44% Draw29% ACF Fiorentina27%
Actual: Venezia FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes45% 0% No55%
Avg goals/match: 2.19
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 64%
36%
± 2.5 37%
63%
± 3.5 18%
82%
± 4.5 8%
92%

Double Chance

Venezia FC or Draw
74%
Draw or ACF Fiorentina
56%
Venezia FC or ACF Fiorentina
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Venezia FC28% Draw52% ACF Fiorentina20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
14.2%
0 – 0
13.5%
1 – 0
12.4%
0 – 1
9.6%
2 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
6.2%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 2
3.9%
3 – 1
3.2%
3 – 0
3.2%
1 – 3
2.1%

Asian Handicap — Venezia FC

Handicap Venezia FC covers Push ACF Fiorentina covers
-2.5 6% 94%
-2 6% 12% 82%
-1.5 18% 82%
-1 18% 22% 60%
-0.5 40% 60%
+0.5 72% 28%
+1 72% 17% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 8% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Venezia FC keeps clean sheet
38%
ACF Fiorentina keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.