Southampton FC vs Bristol City FC, Championship 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Southampton FC vs Bristol City FC — Championship at Saint Mary's.
- Southampton FC 9 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
- Bristol City FC 9 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Samuel Allison
- Assistant 1 Richard Woodward
- Assistant 2 Callum Gough (England)
4 games this season
🟨 3.3/game
⚽ 10.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 9 | 20 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough FC | 9 | 18 |
| 3 | West Ham United FC | 9 | 16 |
| 4 | Stoke City FC | 9 | 16 |
| 5 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 8 | 14 |
| 6 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 9 | 14 |
| 7 | Birmingham City FC | 9 | 14 |
| 8 | Millwall FC | 9 | 14 |
| 9 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 9 | 14 |
| 10 | Bristol City FC | 9 | 14 |
| 11 | Southampton FC | 9 | 13 |
| 12 | Charlton Athletic FC | 9 | 13 |
| 13 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 9 | 12 |
| 14 | Sheffield United FC | 9 | 12 |
| 15 | Wrexham AFC | 9 | 11 |
| 16 | Lincoln City FC | 9 | 11 |
| 17 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 9 | 10 |
| 18 | Norwich City FC | 9 | 9 |
| 19 | Portsmouth FC | 8 | 8 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 9 | 8 |
| 21 | Cardiff City FC | 9 | 7 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 9 | 7 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 9 | 6 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 9 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | Bristol City FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 08 Sep | Swansea City AFC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 05 Sep | Lincoln City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Sep | Birmingham City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | Millwall FC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | Stoke City FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | Southampton FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 05 Sep | Burnley FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Sep | Preston North End FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | Portsmouth FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | Birmingham City FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Aug | Millwall FC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Southampton FC | Bristol City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #11 | Position | #10 |
| 13 | Points | 14 |
| 9 | Played | 9 |
| 5 / 2 / 2 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 3 |
| 20 | Scored | 12 |
| 10 | Conceded | 13 |
| +10 | GD | -1 |
| 1.44 | PPG | 1.56 |
| 56% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
80%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
11%
Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
Southampton FC this season
11%
Clean Sheets
Bristol City FC this season
Bristol City FC this season
Southampton FC are 11th (13 pts). Bristol City FC are 10th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Southampton FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
5/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/1
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bristol City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Southampton FC
| Cyle Larin | 7 G | |
| Finn Azaz | 3 G | 5 A |
| Leo Scienza | 2 G | 2 A |
Bristol City FC
| Scott Twine | 3 G | |
| Dominic Ballard | 3 G | |
| Lorent Tolaj | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Southampton FC to score. At the same time, Bristol City FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' Bristol City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 10' Kuryu Matsuki has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
- 15' The 30-year-old Rob Dickie has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 20' Scott Twine is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Bristol City FC so far.
- 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Southampton FC winning 100% of all matches.
- 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 35' Cyle Larin has been relatively quiet despite scoring 48 goals in his last 33 appearances.
- 38' Cyle Larin doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 43' Over 43 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 46' A tactical swap from Southampton FC — Cameron Bragg on, Flynn Downes off on 46 minutes.
- 51' Bristol City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 54' Bristol City FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 54.
- 58' The Bristol City FC bench stirs into life. Dominic Ballard is withdrawn and Sam Greenwood gets his opportunity.
- 61' Cyle Larin with the second goal in the match!
- 66' GOAL! Lorent Tolaj fires home to make it 2-1!
- 69' Tom Fellows is replacing Leo Scienza for the Southampton FC side.
- 74' It looks like no one’s ball. Southampton FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 77' Tomi Horvat has so much to prove this time. He replaces George Tanner on 77 minute.
- 78' Another change for Southampton FC made on 78 minute. Cyle Larin leaves to be changed by Divin Mubama.
- 82' Brilliant from the ! Kuryu Matsuki makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 82.
- 83' Bristol City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Elijah Adebayo is hanging Lorent Tolaj on the field on 83 minute.
- 85' A goal from the Ireland international Finn Azaz! He fires home on 85 to make it 4-1!
- 88' A tactical swap from Southampton FC — Welington on, Ryan Manning off on 88 minutes.
- 89' That looks like a foul for a card for Sam Greenwood.
- Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-1 draw is a fair result on the day.
Lineups
Southampton FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 30
-
4
Flynn Downes ↓ Cameron Bragg 46'
- 15
- 14
-
3
Ryan Manning ↓ Welington 88'
- 13
-
9
Cyle Larin ↓ Divin Mubama 78'
- 1
-
10
Finn Azaz ↓ Lewis Dobbin 88'
- 27
-
7
Leo Scienza ↓ Tom Fellows 69'
Bench
- 5
- 25
-
34
Welington ↑ 88'
-
11
Lewis Dobbin ↑ 88'
-
18
Tom Fellows ↑ 69'
- 23
-
28
Divin Mubama ↑ 78'
- 6
-
26
Cameron Bragg ↑ 46'
Coach
Tonda Eckert
Bristol City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
- 16
- 10
- 12
-
19
George Tanner ↓ Tomi Horvat 77'
- 1
-
9
Lorent Tolaj ↓ Elijah Adebayo 83'
-
23
Dominic Ballard ↓ Sam Greenwood 58'
-
7
Yu Hirakawa ↓ Jed Wallace 58'
-
21
Rio Cardines ↓ Cameron Pring 77'
- 2
Bench
-
3
Cameron Pring ↑ 77'
-
17
Jed Wallace ↑ 58'
- 40
-
45
Elijah Adebayo ↑ 83'
- 4
-
14
Tomi Horvat ↑ 77'
- 38
-
20
Sam Greenwood ↑ 58'
- 27
Coach
Michael Skubala
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Cyle Larin | 3 |
| Sam Bell | 2 |
| Finn Azaz | 1 |
| Kuryu Matsuki | 1 |
| Kyle Walker-Peters | 1 |
| Rob Dickie | 1 |
| Harry Cornick | 1 |
| Adam Armstrong | 1 |
Head to Head
Southampton FC Form
Bristol City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.6
Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33
Bristol City FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Southampton FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.93
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 2.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 3.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 4.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
Double Chance
Southampton FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Bristol City FC
39%
Southampton FC or Bristol City FC
80%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Southampton FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 1
7.6%
3 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
6.8%
3 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 2
4.9%
1 – 0
4.8%
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 0
3.7%
4 – 2
3.2%
Asian Handicap — Southampton FC
| Handicap | Southampton FC covers | Push | Bristol City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -2 | 25% | 18% | 57% |
| -1.5 | 43% | — | 57% |
| -1 | 43% | 20% | 37% |
| -0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 10% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
8%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

