Tuesday , 13 October 2026

Southampton FC vs Bristol City FC, Championship 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2026-27
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC Saint Mary's HT 45' · FT 45'
Cyle Larin 38' 1–0
Cyle Larin 61' 2–0
2–1 66' Lorent Tolaj
Kuryu Matsuki 82' 3–1
Finn Azaz 85' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Bristol City FC — Championship at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Samuel Allison
  • Assistant 1 Richard Woodward
  • Assistant 2 Callum Gough (England)
4 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 10.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep Bristol City FC H 4–1 W
08 Sep Swansea City AFC H 3–1 W
05 Sep Lincoln City FC A 1–1 D
01 Sep Birmingham City FC A 1–1 D
29 Aug Millwall FC H 5–1 W
22 Aug Stoke City FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep Southampton FC A 1–4 L
05 Sep Burnley FC A 2–1 W
01 Sep Preston North End FC A 3–1 W
29 Aug Portsmouth FC H 2–1 W
22 Aug Birmingham City FC A 2–2 D
15 Aug Millwall FC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Southampton FC Bristol City FC
#11 Position #10
13 Points 14
9 Played 9
5 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 3
20 Scored 12
10 Conceded 13
+10 GD -1
1.44 PPG 1.56
56% Win % 44%

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
11% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
11% Clean Sheets
Bristol City FC this season

Southampton FC are 11th (13 pts). Bristol City FC are 10th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
5/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
2/1
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bristol City FC
0-15
1/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Southampton FC
Cyle Larin 7 G
Finn Azaz 3 G 5 A
Leo Scienza 2 G 2 A
Bristol City FC
Scott Twine 3 G
Dominic Ballard 3 G
Lorent Tolaj 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Southampton FC to score. At the same time, Bristol City FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' Bristol City FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 10' Kuryu Matsuki has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 1 goals to his name this season.
  • 15' The 30-year-old Rob Dickie has been sensational this season — 1 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 20' Scott Twine is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Bristol City FC so far.
  • 25' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 1 times this season with Southampton FC winning 100% of all matches.
  • 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 35' Cyle Larin has been relatively quiet despite scoring 48 goals in his last 33 appearances.
  • 38' Cyle Larin doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 43' Over 43 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Southampton FC — Cameron Bragg on, Flynn Downes off on 46 minutes.
  • 51' Bristol City FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 54' Bristol City FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 54.
  • 58' The Bristol City FC bench stirs into life. Dominic Ballard is withdrawn and Sam Greenwood gets his opportunity.
  • 61' Cyle Larin with the second goal in the match!
  • 66' GOAL! Lorent Tolaj fires home to make it 2-1!
  • 69' Tom Fellows is replacing Leo Scienza for the Southampton FC side.
  • 74' It looks like no one’s ball. Southampton FC is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
  • 77' Tomi Horvat has so much to prove this time. He replaces George Tanner on 77 minute.
  • 78' Another change for Southampton FC made on 78 minute. Cyle Larin leaves to be changed by Divin Mubama.
  • 82' Brilliant from the ! Kuryu Matsuki makes it 3-1 with a superb finish on 82.
  • 83' Bristol City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Elijah Adebayo is hanging Lorent Tolaj on the field on 83 minute.
  • 85' A goal from the Ireland international Finn Azaz! He fires home on 85 to make it 4-1!
  • 88' A tactical swap from Southampton FC — Welington on, Ryan Manning off on 88 minutes.
  • 89' That looks like a foul for a card for Sam Greenwood.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 4-1 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.6 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33 Bristol City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 74% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC61% Draw20% Bristol City FC19%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes68% 0% No32%
Avg goals/match: 3.93
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 97%
3%
± 1.5 90%
10%
± 2.5 74%
26%
± 3.5 54%
46%
± 4.5 35%
65%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Bristol City FC
39%
Southampton FC or Bristol City FC
80%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC48% Draw36% Bristol City FC16%
Actual: Southampton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.6%
1 – 1
7.6%
3 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
6.8%
3 – 0
5.7%
2 – 2
5.6%
3 – 2
4.9%
1 – 0
4.8%
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 2
4.5%
4 – 0
3.7%
4 – 2
3.2%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Bristol City FC covers
-2.5 25% — 75%
-2 25% 18% 57%
-1.5 43% — 57%
-1 43% 20% 37%
-0.5 63% — 37%
+0.5 82% — 18%
+1 82% 10% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
8% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.