Southampton FC vs Bristol City FC, Championship 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Southampton FC vs Bristol City FC — Championship at Saint Mary's.
- Southampton FC 11 games · 17 pts (2026/27)
- Bristol City FC 11 games · 14 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Samuel Allison
- Assistant 1 Richard Woodward
- Assistant 2 Callum Gough (England)
4 games this season
🟨 3.3/game
⚽ 10.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Swansea City AFC | 11 | 23 |
| 2 | West Ham United FC | 11 | 22 |
| 3 | Middlesbrough FC | 11 | 22 |
| 4 | Birmingham City FC | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | West Bromwich Albion FC | 11 | 20 |
| 6 | Stoke City FC | 11 | 19 |
| 7 | Wolverhampton Wanderers FC | 11 | 18 |
| 8 | Southampton FC | 11 | 17 |
| 9 | Queens Park Rangers FC | 11 | 17 |
| 10 | Blackburn Rovers FC | 11 | 15 |
| 11 | Sheffield United FC | 11 | 15 |
| 12 | Millwall FC | 11 | 15 |
| 13 | Portsmouth FC | 11 | 15 |
| 14 | Wrexham AFC | 11 | 14 |
| 15 | Bolton Wanderers FC | 11 | 14 |
| 16 | Bristol City FC | 11 | 14 |
| 17 | Charlton Athletic FC | 11 | 14 |
| 18 | Lincoln City FC | 11 | 12 |
| 19 | Cardiff City FC | 11 | 11 |
| 20 | Watford FC | 11 | 11 |
| 21 | Norwich City FC | 11 | 9 |
| 22 | Burnley FC | 11 | 8 |
| 23 | Derby County FC | 11 | 6 |
| 24 | Preston North End FC | 11 | 4 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | Bristol City FC | H | 4–1 | W |
| 08 Sep | Swansea City AFC | H | 3–1 | W |
| 05 Sep | Lincoln City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 01 Sep | Birmingham City FC | A | 1–1 | D |
| 29 Aug | Millwall FC | H | 5–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | Stoke City FC | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep | Southampton FC | A | 1–4 | L |
| 05 Sep | Burnley FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 01 Sep | Preston North End FC | A | 3–1 | W |
| 29 Aug | Portsmouth FC | H | 2–1 | W |
| 22 Aug | Birmingham City FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Aug | Millwall FC | H | 0–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Southampton FC | Bristol City FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #8 | Position | #16 |
| 17 | Points | 14 |
| 11 | Played | 11 |
| 6 / 3 / 2 | W / D / L | 4 / 2 / 5 |
| 21 | Scored | 12 |
| 10 | Conceded | 15 |
| +11 | GD | -3 |
| 1.55 | PPG | 1.27 |
| 55% | Win % | 36% |
Key Stats
80%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
H2H (5 games)
80%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
27%
Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
Southampton FC this season
9%
Clean Sheets
Bristol City FC this season
Bristol City FC this season
Southampton FC are 8th (17 pts). Bristol City FC are 16th (14 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Southampton FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
5/1
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/1
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bristol City FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Southampton FC
| Cyle Larin | 7 G | |
| Finn Azaz | 3 G | 5 A |
| Leo Scienza | 2 G | 2 A |
Bristol City FC
| Scott Twine | 3 G | |
| Dominic Ballard | 3 G | |
| Lorent Tolaj | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Southampton FC have kicked off against Bristol City FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Southampton FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 10' Southampton FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
- 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
- 20' James Bree is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Bristol City FC so far.
- 25' Southampton FC currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rob Dickie, as he is very good at scoring at Saint Mary's with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 35' With 2 assists to his name this season, Flynn Downes is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Southampton FC.
- 38' Against the run of play, Cyle Larin has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 43' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Southampton FC and Bristol City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 46' Southampton FC ring the changes. Flynn Downes has done his job and it is now time for Cameron Bragg to step up.
- 51' It’s high time Michael Skubala made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 54' Poor challenge from Lisav Eissat. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 58' Bristol City FC make a change. Dominic Ballard trudges off to be replaced by Sam Greenwood on 58 minutes.
- 61' The Canada Cyle Larin breaks the deadlock on 61 minutes. 2-0!
- 66' The deadlock is broken! Lorent Tolaj gets on the scoresheet on 66 minutes.
- 69' The supporters are chanting for Tom Fellows. He replaces Leo Scienza on 69 minute.
- 74' Southampton FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 77' Tomi Horvat gets the nod from Bristol City FC. He replaces George Tanner and will look to change the dynamic.
- 78' Cyle Larin makes way for Divin Mubama at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Southampton FC.
- 82' What a strike from Kuryu Matsuki! The score is 3-1.
- 83' Bristol City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Elijah Adebayo is hanging Lorent Tolaj on the field on 83 minute.
- 85' A stunning finish from Finn Azaz — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 88' Another change for Southampton FC made on 88 minute. Ryan Manning leaves to be changed by Welington.
- 89' Sam Greenwood catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 89.
- The final score is 4-1.
Lineups
Southampton FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 30
-
4
Flynn Downes ↓ Cameron Bragg 46'
- 15
- 14
-
3
Ryan Manning ↓ Welington 88'
- 13
-
9
Cyle Larin ↓ Divin Mubama 78'
- 1
-
10
Finn Azaz ↓ Lewis Dobbin 88'
- 27
-
7
Leo Scienza ↓ Tom Fellows 69'
Bench
- 5
- 25
-
34
Welington ↑ 88'
-
11
Lewis Dobbin ↑ 88'
-
18
Tom Fellows ↑ 69'
- 23
-
28
Divin Mubama ↑ 78'
- 6
-
26
Cameron Bragg ↑ 46'
Coach
Tonda Eckert
Bristol City FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 8
- 16
- 10
- 12
-
19
George Tanner ↓ Tomi Horvat 77'
- 1
-
9
Lorent Tolaj ↓ Elijah Adebayo 83'
-
23
Dominic Ballard ↓ Sam Greenwood 58'
-
7
Yu Hirakawa ↓ Jed Wallace 58'
-
21
Rio Cardines ↓ Cameron Pring 77'
- 2
Bench
-
3
Cameron Pring ↑ 77'
-
17
Jed Wallace ↑ 58'
- 40
-
45
Elijah Adebayo ↑ 83'
- 4
-
14
Tomi Horvat ↑ 77'
- 38
-
20
Sam Greenwood ↑ 58'
- 27
Coach
Michael Skubala
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Cyle Larin | 3 |
| Sam Bell | 2 |
| Kyle Walker-Peters | 1 |
| Rob Dickie | 1 |
| Harry Cornick | 1 |
| Adam Armstrong | 1 |
| Ross Stewart | 1 |
| Lorent Tolaj | 1 |
Head to Head
Southampton FC Form
Bristol City FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.34
Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16
Bristol City FC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 62%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Southampton FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.5
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 86% |
|
14% |
| ± 2.5 | 67% |
|
33% |
| ± 3.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 4.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
Double Chance
Southampton FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Bristol City FC
40%
Southampton FC or Bristol City FC
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Southampton FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
7.2%
1 – 0
6.7%
3 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 2
4.6%
0 – 0
4.4%
4 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
3.7%
Asian Handicap — Southampton FC
| Handicap | Southampton FC covers | Push | Bristol City FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 22% | — | 78% |
| -2 | 22% | 19% | 59% |
| -1.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| -1 | 41% | 21% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 10% | 7% |
| +1.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
| +2 | 93% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
32%
✓
Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
11%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

