Thursday , 22 October 2026

Southampton FC vs Bristol City FC, Championship 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2026-27
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC Saint Mary's HT 45' · FT 45'
Cyle Larin 38' 1–0
Cyle Larin 61' 2–0
2–1 66' Lorent Tolaj
Kuryu Matsuki 82' 3–1
Finn Azaz 85' 4–1

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Bristol City FC — Championship at Saint Mary's.

Match Details

  • Referee Samuel Allison
  • Assistant 1 Richard Woodward
  • Assistant 2 Callum Gough (England)
4 games this season 🟨 3.3/game ⚽ 10.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep Bristol City FC H 4–1 W
08 Sep Swansea City AFC H 3–1 W
05 Sep Lincoln City FC A 1–1 D
01 Sep Birmingham City FC A 1–1 D
29 Aug Millwall FC H 5–1 W
22 Aug Stoke City FC H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep Southampton FC A 1–4 L
05 Sep Burnley FC A 2–1 W
01 Sep Preston North End FC A 3–1 W
29 Aug Portsmouth FC H 2–1 W
22 Aug Birmingham City FC A 2–2 D
15 Aug Millwall FC H 0–2 L

Season Stats

Southampton FC Bristol City FC
#8 Position #16
17 Points 14
11 Played 11
6 / 3 / 2 W / D / L 4 / 2 / 5
21 Scored 12
10 Conceded 15
+11 GD -3
1.55 PPG 1.27
55% Win % 36%

Key Stats

80% Both Teams to Score
H2H (5 games)
80% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Southampton FC this season
9% Clean Sheets
Bristol City FC this season

Southampton FC are 8th (17 pts). Bristol City FC are 16th (14 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Southampton FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
5/1
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/1
76+
6/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Bristol City FC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/–
31-45
3/3
46-60
1/4
61-75
1/1
76+
5/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Southampton FC
Cyle Larin 7 G
Finn Azaz 3 G 5 A
Leo Scienza 2 G 2 A
Bristol City FC
Scott Twine 3 G
Dominic Ballard 3 G
Lorent Tolaj 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Southampton FC have kicked off against Bristol City FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Southampton FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
  • 10' Southampton FC has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 1 meetings.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' James Bree is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Bristol City FC so far.
  • 25' Southampton FC currently sit 3 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 30' Supporters expect more eagerness from Rob Dickie, as he is very good at scoring at Saint Mary's with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 35' With 2 assists to his name this season, Flynn Downes is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Southampton FC.
  • 38' Against the run of play, Cyle Larin has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 43' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Southampton FC and Bristol City FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 46' Southampton FC ring the changes. Flynn Downes has done his job and it is now time for Cameron Bragg to step up.
  • 51' It’s high time Michael Skubala made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 54' Poor challenge from Lisav Eissat. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 58' Bristol City FC make a change. Dominic Ballard trudges off to be replaced by Sam Greenwood on 58 minutes.
  • 61' The Canada Cyle Larin breaks the deadlock on 61 minutes. 2-0!
  • 66' The deadlock is broken! Lorent Tolaj gets on the scoresheet on 66 minutes.
  • 69' The supporters are chanting for Tom Fellows. He replaces Leo Scienza on 69 minute.
  • 74' Southampton FC are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
  • 77' Tomi Horvat gets the nod from Bristol City FC. He replaces George Tanner and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 78' Cyle Larin makes way for Divin Mubama at the 78 minute mark. A tactical switch from Southampton FC.
  • 82' What a strike from Kuryu Matsuki! The score is 3-1.
  • 83' Bristol City FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Elijah Adebayo is hanging Lorent Tolaj on the field on 83 minute.
  • 85' A stunning finish from Finn Azaz — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 88' Another change for Southampton FC made on 88 minute. Ryan Manning leaves to be changed by Welington.
  • 89' Sam Greenwood catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 89.
  • The final score is 4-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
2.34 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.16 Bristol City FC xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 67% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC60% Draw21% Bristol City FC19%
Actual: Southampton FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.5
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 96%
4%
± 1.5 86%
14%
± 2.5 67%
33%
± 3.5 46%
54%
± 4.5 27%
73%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Bristol City FC
40%
Southampton FC or Bristol City FC
79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC46% Draw38% Bristol City FC16%
Actual: Southampton FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
2 – 1
9.3%
1 – 1
9%
2 – 0
8.3%
3 – 1
7.2%
1 – 0
6.7%
3 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 2
4.6%
0 – 0
4.4%
4 – 1
Actual
3 – 2
4.2%
4 – 0
3.7%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Bristol City FC covers
-2.5 22% — 78%
-2 22% 19% 59%
-1.5 41% — 59%
-1 41% 21% 38%
-0.5 62% — 38%
+0.5 83% — 17%
+1 83% 10% 7%
+1.5 93% — 7%
+2 93% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
32% ✓
Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.