Sunday , 16 August 2026

Southampton FC vs Bristol City FC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Tue 21 Apr 2026 · 18:45 UTC St. Mary's Stadium 28,446 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 5' Ryan Manning og
Cyle Larin 29' 1–1
1–2 63' Sam Bell
Ross Stewart 74' 2–2

Overview

Match Preview

Southampton FC vs Bristol City FCChampionship at St. Mary's Stadium.

Match Details

  • Referee Elliot Bell (England)
  • Assistant 1 Andrew Fox
  • Assistant 2 Daniel Leach
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 5.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Bristol City FC H 2–2 D
18 Apr Swansea City AFC A 2–1 W
14 Apr Blackburn Rovers FC H 3–0 W
11 Apr Derby County FC H 2–1 W
07 Apr Wrexham AFC A 5–1 W
04 Apr Arsenal FC H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
21 Apr Southampton FC A 2–2 D
18 Apr Norwich City FC H 2–4 L
11 Apr Queens Park Rangers FC A 0–0 D
06 Apr Sheffield United FC H 1–0 W
03 Apr Charlton Athletic FC A 2–1 W
21 Mar West Bromwich Albion FC H 0–1 L

Season Stats

Southampton FC Bristol City FC
#17 Position #29
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Bristol City FC this season

Southampton FC are 17th (0 pts). Bristol City FC are 29th (0 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Southampton FC to score. At the same time, Bristol City FC does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • 5' GOAL! Ryan Manning scores on 5.
  • 10' Southampton FC currently sit 4 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. Southampton FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Bristol City FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
  • 25' Bristol City FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 25.
  • 28' Southampton FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 28.
  • 29' The deadlock is broken! Cyle Larin gets on the scoresheet on 29 minutes.
  • 34' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 39' Shea Charles needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
  • 44' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 44 minutes.
  • 49' Southampton FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Bristol City FC backline.
  • 54' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Southampton FC that had 348 games and scored 417 goals.
  • 57' Time for substitution for Southampton FC. Kuryu Matsuki is replaced by Tom Fellows.
  • 62' Poor challenge from Flynn Downes. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 63' A stunning finish from Sam Bell — that came from absolutely nowhere!
  • 68' Finn Azaz has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 71' The supporters are chanting for Caspar Jander. He replaces Finn Azaz on 71 minute.
  • 72' Bristol City FC make a change. Sam Bell trudges off to be replaced by Mark Sykes on 72 minutes.
  • 74' The deadlock is broken! Ross Stewart gets on the scoresheet on 74 minutes.
  • 76' That is a card for Bristol City FC. Cameron Pring will be fuming at that decision.
  • 80' That is a card for Southampton FC. Cyle Larin will be fuming at that decision.
  • 81' Rob Dickie has so much to prove this time. He replaces Tomi Horvat on 81 minute.
  • 86' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 87' Fresh legs for Southampton FC! Cameron Bragg comes on to replace Flynn Downes.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Sam Morsy.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.79 Southampton FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.79 Bristol City FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 78% + Southampton FC or Draw 71%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Southampton FC36% Draw35% Bristol City FC29%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes32% 0% No68%
Avg goals/match: 1.58
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 77%
23%
± 1.5 47%
53%
± 2.5 22%
78%
± 3.5 8%
92%
± 4.5 3%
97%

Double Chance

Southampton FC or Draw
71%
Draw or Bristol City FC
64%
Southampton FC or Bristol City FC
65%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Southampton FC19% Draw61% Bristol City FC20%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
23.2%
0 – 1
14.7%
1 – 0
14.7%
1 – 1
13.9%
0 – 2
6%
2 – 0
6%
1 – 2
5.1%
2 – 1
5.1%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 3
1.6%
3 – 0
1.5%
1 – 3
1.4%

Asian Handicap — Southampton FC

Handicap Southampton FC covers Push Bristol City FC covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 20% 70%
-0.5 30% 70%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 20% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 8% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Southampton FC keeps clean sheet
46%
Bristol City FC keeps clean sheet
46%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.