Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Borussia Dortmund
1 – 1
Full Time
RB Leipzig
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
3 games this season 🟨 2.0/game ⚽ 6.7 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Borussia Dortmund 4 12
2 FC Bayern München 4 10
3 SC Freiburg 4 10
4 FC Augsburg 4 7
5 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 4 7
6 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 7
7 SV 07 Elversberg 4 7
8 SV Werder Bremen 4 7
9 RB Leipzig 4 6
10 Eintracht Frankfurt 4 5
11 FC Schalke 04 4 5
12 SC Paderborn 07 4 4
13 1. FC Köln 4 4
14 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 4 3
15 VfB Stuttgart 4 3
16 Hamburger SV 4 3
17 1. FC Union Berlin 4 1
18 Borussia Mönchengladbach 4 0

Head-to-Head

8
3
7
Borussia Dortmund 18 games · Avg 3.6 goals RB Leipzig
Last 5 meetings
2025-10-04 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 RB Leipzig 2025-03-15 RB Leipzig 2–0 Borussia Dortmund 2024-11-02 Borussia Dortmund 2–1 RB Leipzig 2024-04-27 RB Leipzig 4–1 Borussia Dortmund 2023-12-09 Borussia Dortmund 2–3 RB Leipzig

Recent Form

Borussia Dortmund
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct RB Leipzig H 1–1 D
01 Oct Athletic Club H 4–1 W
27 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–0 W
21 Sep VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
16 Sep Juventus FC A 4–4 D
13 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
27 Sep VfL Wolfsburg A 1–0 W
20 Sep 1. FC Köln H 3–1 W
13 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W
30 Aug 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–0 W
22 Aug FC Bayern München A 0–6 L

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund RB Leipzig
#1 Position #9
12 Points 6
4 Played 4
4 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 2 / 0 / 2
9 Scored 9
2 Conceded 5
+7 GD +4
3.00 PPG 1.50
100% Win % 50%

Key Stats

72% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/–
16-30
–/–
31-45
1/1
46-60
–/1
61-75
3/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
–/1
16-30
3/–
31-45
–/1
46-60
1/1
61-75
3/1
76+
2/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
Sehrou Guirassy 2 G 2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha 2 G
Fabio Silva 2 G
Ioannis Konstantelias 1 G
RB Leipzig
Antonio Nusa 2 G 2 A
Ridle Baku 2 G
Rocco Reitz 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Borussia Dortmund have kicked off against RB Leipzig. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Jadon Sancho 7
Erling Haaland 7
Marco Reus 4
Timo Werner 3
Dani Olmo 3
Lois Openda 2
Yussuf Poulsen 2
Benjamin Sesko 2

Head to Head

2025-10-04 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 RB Leipzig 2025-03-15 RB Leipzig 2–0 Borussia Dortmund 2024-11-02 Borussia Dortmund 2–1 RB Leipzig 2024-04-27 RB Leipzig 4–1 Borussia Dortmund 2023-12-09 Borussia Dortmund 2–3 RB Leipzig

Borussia Dortmund Form

2025-10-04 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 RB Leipzig D 2025-10-01 Borussia Dortmund 4–1 Athletic Club W 2025-09-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 Borussia Dortmund W 2025-09-21 Borussia Dortmund 1–0 VfL Wolfsburg W 2025-09-16 Juventus FC 4–4 Borussia Dortmund D 2025-09-13 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–2 Borussia Dortmund W

RB Leipzig Form

2025-10-04 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 RB Leipzig D 2025-09-27 VfL Wolfsburg 0–1 RB Leipzig W 2025-09-20 RB Leipzig 3–1 1. FC Köln W 2025-09-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 RB Leipzig W 2025-08-30 RB Leipzig 2–0 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W 2025-08-22 FC Bayern München 6–0 RB Leipzig L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.62 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.98 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund48% Draw28% RB Leipzig24%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.6
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 48%
52%
± 3.5 27%
73%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
76%
Draw or RB Leipzig
52%
Borussia Dortmund or RB Leipzig
72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund36% Draw47% RB Leipzig17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
11.1%
2 – 0
9.5%
0 – 0
9.4%
2 – 1
9.2%
0 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5.1%
3 – 1
5%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 2
3.5%
3 – 2
2.6%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 12% — 88%
-2 12% 16% 72%
-1.5 28% — 72%
-1 28% 23% 49%
-0.5 51% — 49%
+0.5 79% — 21%
+1 79% 14% 8%
+1.5 92% — 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.