Sunday , 16 August 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs RB LeipzigBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 2.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct RB Leipzig H 1–1 D
01 Oct Athletic Club H 4–1 W
27 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–0 W
21 Sep VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
16 Sep Juventus FC A 4–4 D
13 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
27 Sep VfL Wolfsburg A 1–0 W
20 Sep 1. FC Köln H 3–1 W
13 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W
30 Aug 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–0 W
22 Aug FC Bayern München A 0–6 L

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund RB Leipzig
#8 Position #9
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

72% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
0.77 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.69 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 81% + Borussia Dortmund or Draw 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund35% Draw37% RB Leipzig28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes29% 0% No71%
Avg goals/match: 1.46
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 74%
26%
± 1.5 44%
56%
± 2.5 19%
81%
± 3.5 7%
93%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
72%
Draw or RB Leipzig
65%
Borussia Dortmund or RB Leipzig
63%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund20% Draw63% RB Leipzig17%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
25.8%
1 – 0
16.2%
0 – 1
14.4%
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
6.4%
0 – 2
5.1%
2 – 1
4.8%
1 – 2
4.3%
2 – 2
1.9%
3 – 0
1.6%
3 – 1
1.3%
0 – 3
1.2%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 8% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 22% 68%
-0.5 32% 68%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 19% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
50%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
47%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.