Thursday , 2 July 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 13:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs RB LeipzigBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Sascha Stegemann
19 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 5.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct RB Leipzig H 1–1 D
01 Oct Athletic Club H 4–1 W
27 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–0 W
21 Sep VfL Wolfsburg H 1–0 W
16 Sep Juventus FC A 4–4 D
13 Sep 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Oct Borussia Dortmund A 1–1 D
27 Sep VfL Wolfsburg A 1–0 W
20 Sep 1. FC Koln H 3–1 W
13 Sep 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–0 W
30 Aug 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–0 W
22 Aug FC Bayern München A 0–6 L

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund RB Leipzig
#2 Position #3
73 Points 65
34 Played 34
22 / 7 / 5 W / D / L 20 / 5 / 9
70 Scored 66
34 Conceded 47
+36 GD +19
2.15 PPG 1.91
65% Win % 59%

Key Stats

72% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Borussia Dortmund and RB Leipzig has kicked off!
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.79 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.27 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 60% + Over 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund46% Draw26% RB Leipzig28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes60% 0% No40%
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
72%
Draw or RB Leipzig
54%
Borussia Dortmund or RB Leipzig
74%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund35% Draw43% RB Leipzig22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.2%
1 – 0
7.7%
2 – 0
7.4%
1 – 2
6.5%
0 – 0
6.4%
2 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
5.5%
0 – 1
5.2%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 12% 88%
-2 12% 15% 73%
-1.5 27% 73%
-1 27% 21% 52%
-0.5 48% 52%
+0.5 74% 26%
+1 74% 15% 11%
+1.5 89% 11%
+2 89% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
29%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
18%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.