Sunday , 16 August 2026

FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2025-26
1 1
Full Time
Sun 9 Nov 2025 · 14:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

FC Lorient vs Toulouse FCLigue 1 .

Match Details

  • Referee Hakim Ben El Hadj Salem

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov Toulouse FC H 1–1 D
02 Nov Racing Club de Lens A 0–3 L
29 Oct Paris Saint-Germain FC H 1–1 D
26 Oct Angers SCO A 0–2 L
19 Oct Stade Brestois 29 H 3–3 D
03 Oct Paris FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Nov FC Lorient A 1–1 D
02 Nov Le Havre AC H 0–0 D
29 Oct Stade Rennais FC 1901 H 2–2 D
25 Oct AS Monaco FC A 0–1 L
19 Oct FC Metz H 4–0 W
05 Oct Olympique Lyonnais A 2–1 W

Season Stats

FC Lorient Toulouse FC
#12 Position #11
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (6 games)
33% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

FC Lorient are 12th (0 pts). Toulouse FC are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

FC Lorient Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.6 FC Lorient xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 86% + Under — clean sheet likely 76%

Match Result

✓ Correct
FC Lorient28% Draw40% Toulouse FC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes24% 0% No76%
Avg goals/match: 1.26
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 69%
31%
± 1.5 37%
63%
± 2.5 14%
86%
± 3.5 5%
95%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

FC Lorient or Draw
69%
Draw or Toulouse FC
72%
FC Lorient or Toulouse FC
60%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Lorient15% Draw67% Toulouse FC18%
Actual: FC Lorient win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
31.1%
0 – 1
17.1%
1 – 0
15.1%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
5.7%
2 – 0
4.5%
1 – 2
3.9%
2 – 1
3.5%
2 – 2
1.3%
0 – 3
1.2%
1 – 3
0.9%
3 – 0
0.9%

Asian Handicap — FC Lorient

Handicap FC Lorient covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 19% 75%
-0.5 25% 75%
+0.5 70% 30%
+1 70% 21% 8%
+1.5 92% 8%
+2 92% 7% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

FC Lorient keeps clean sheet
52%
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
55%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.