Tuesday , 13 October 2026

FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Ligue 1 · 2026-27
2 – 2
Full Time
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 18:45 UTC Stade du Moustoir HT 45' · FT 45'
Ibrahima Balde 37' 1–0
Noah Mbamba 39' 2–0
2–1 48' Casper Tengstedt
2–2 68' Thomas Jorgensen

Overview

Match Preview

FC Lorient vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 at Stade du Moustoir.

Match Details

  • Referee Aurelien Petit
  • Assistant 1 Vianney Rozand (France)
  • Assistant 2 Bastien Courbet
4 games this season 🟨 2.5/game ⚽ 7.3 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep Toulouse FC H 2–2 D
05 Sep Racing Club de Lens A 1–0 W
29 Aug ES Troyes AC H 1–2 L
22 Aug OGC Nice A 0–0 D
17 May Le Havre AC H 0–2 L
10 May FC Metz A 4–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep FC Lorient A 2–2 D
03 Sep Lille OSC H 0–1 L
29 Aug Stade Brestois 29 A 2–2 D
22 Aug Olympique Lyonnais H 0–2 L
17 May FC Nantes A 0–0 D
10 May Olympique Lyonnais H 2–1 W

Season Stats

FC Lorient Toulouse FC
#8 Position #15
8 Points 6
6 Played 6
2 / 2 / 2 W / D / L 1 / 3 / 2
6 Scored 9
6 Conceded 11
+0 GD -2
1.33 PPG 1.00
33% Win % 17%

Key Stats

71% Both Teams to Score
H2H (7 games)
43% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
FC Lorient this season
0% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

FC Lorient are 8th (8 pts). Toulouse FC are 15th (6 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

FC Lorient
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
2/1
46-60
2/2
61-75
1/1
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Toulouse FC
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
5/–
61-75
2/3
76+
1/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

FC Lorient
Jean-Victor Makengo 1 G 1 A
Toulouse FC
Casper Tengstedt 4 G 1 A
Thomas Jorgensen 2 G 1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe 1 G
Christ Tape 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Stade du Moustoir as FC Lorient face off against Toulouse FC in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 10' FC Lorient have won 388 goals from 438 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 15' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 17' The referee calls foul for Panos Katseris. He receives a card.
  • 22' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both FC Lorient and Toulouse FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 27' Toulouse FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 32' It’s high time Alexandre Dujeux made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 36' What a strike from Ibrahima Balde! The score is 1-0.
  • 37' Ibrahima Balde is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 6 goals this season for the forward.
  • 39' Magnificent from Noah Mbamba! That is 1 goals in 357 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
  • 44' FC Lorient seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 46' A tactical swap from Toulouse FC — Niko Sigur on, Rafik Messali off on 46 minutes.
  • 48' Casper Tengstedt has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 48 minutes.
  • 53' Both keepers have barely been tested. FC Lorient and Toulouse FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 58' FC Lorient ring the changes. Panos Katseris has done his job and it is now time for Theo Le Bris to step up.
  • 63' Mark McKenzie is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for FC Lorient tonight.
  • 67' The Toulouse FC bench stirs into life. Ilyas Azizi is withdrawn and Sion Oppong gets his opportunity.
  • 68' Thomas Jorgensen adds to his 1 season tally! Toulouse FC lead 3-2 — and this changes everything.
  • 69' FC Lorient ring the changes. Ibrahima Balde has done his job and it is now time for Mamadou Kone to step up.
  • 74' It is a cagey affair so far. FC Lorient in their 3-4-2-1 trying to find a way past Toulouse FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 79' Jean-Victor Makengo has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 446 appearances.
  • 84' Niklas Schmidt makes way for Alexis Vossah at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Toulouse FC.
  • 89' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • It finishes all square. FC Lorient and Toulouse FC share the spoils 2-2.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.36 FC Lorient xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34 Toulouse FC xG
I would bet for: FC Lorient or Toulouse FC 72% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
FC Lorient38% Draw28% Toulouse FC34%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

FC Lorient or Draw
66%
Draw or Toulouse FC
62%
FC Lorient or Toulouse FC
72%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
FC Lorient27% Draw47% Toulouse FC26%
Actual: FC Lorient win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
8.1%
2 – 1
8%
0 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 0
6.1%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
Actual
3 – 1
3.7%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
2.7%

Asian Handicap — FC Lorient

Handicap FC Lorient covers Push Toulouse FC covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 19% 64%
-0.5 36% — 64%
+0.5 65% — 35%
+1 65% 19% 16%
+1.5 84% — 16%
+2 84% 10% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

FC Lorient keeps clean sheet
27% ✓
Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet
26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.