RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2023-24

RB Leipzig

4 – 1

Full Time

Borussia Dortmund

Sat 27 Apr 2024 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 20' Jadon Sancho

Lois Openda 23' 1–1

Benjamin Sesko 45+2' 2–1

Mohamed Simakan 46' 3–1

Christoph Baumgartner 80' 4–1

Mohamed Simakan 37' Y

Y 37' Jadon Sancho

Y 76' Nico Schlotterbeck

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

RB Leipzig 4 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
Borussia Dortmund 4 games · 12 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Deniz Aytekin
Assistant 1 Christian Dietz
Assistant 2 Eduard Beitinger

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

RB Leipzig 18 games · Avg 3.6 goals Borussia Dortmund

Last 5 meetings

2024-04-27 RB Leipzig 4–1 Borussia Dortmund 2023-12-09 Borussia Dortmund 2–3 RB Leipzig 2023-04-05 RB Leipzig 2–0 Borussia Dortmund 2023-03-03 Borussia Dortmund 2–1 RB Leipzig 2022-09-10 RB Leipzig 3–0 Borussia Dortmund

Recent Form

RB Leipzig

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Apr	Borussia Dortmund	H	4–1	W
20 Apr	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	2–1	W
13 Apr	VfL Wolfsburg	H	3–0	W
06 Apr	SC Freiburg	A	4–1	W
30 Mar	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	0–0	D
15 Mar	1. FC Köln	A	5–1	W

Borussia Dortmund

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Apr	RB Leipzig	A	1–4	L
21 Apr	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	1–1	D
16 Apr	Club Atlético de Madrid	H	4–2	W
13 Apr	Borussia Mönchengladbach	A	2–1	W
10 Apr	Club Atlético de Madrid	A	1–2	L
06 Apr	VfB Stuttgart	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

RB Leipzig		Borussia Dortmund
#9	Position	#1
6	Points	12
4	Played	4
2 / 0 / 2	W / D / L	4 / 0 / 0
9	Scored	9
5	Conceded	2
+4	GD	+7
1.50	PPG	3.00
50%	Win %	100%

Key Stats

72% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig

0-15

–/1

16-30

3/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

1/1

61-75

3/1

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Borussia Dortmund

0-15

2/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/1

46-60

–/1

61-75

3/–

76+

2/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig

Antonio Nusa	2 G	2 A
Ridle Baku	2 G
Rocco Reitz	1 G

Borussia Dortmund

Sehrou Guirassy	2 G	2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha	2 G
Fabio Silva	2 G
Ioannis Konstantelias	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Three points are at stake. RB Leipzig host Borussia Dortmund — let the battle begin!
5' With 1 assists to his name this season, Julian Brandt is clearly more than just a goal scorer for RB Leipzig.
10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Benjamin Sesko, as he is very good at scoring at Red Bull Arena with 15 goals in the last 14 games.
15' It’s high time Edin Terzić made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
20' Jadon Sancho puts Borussia Dortmund on the lead.
23' GOAL! Lois Openda scores on 23. Assisted by Xavi Simons
28' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
33' Both keepers have barely been tested. RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
37' The referee calls foul for Mohamed Simakan. He receives a card.
42' Youssoufa Moukoko has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
46' Magnificent from Mohamed Simakan! That is 11 goals in 366 appearances — and it could not have come at a better time.
46' Karim Adeyemi makes way for Marco Reus at the 46 minute mark. A tactical switch from Borussia Dortmund.
47' Benjamin Sesko doubles the advantage! 3-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
51' Niklas Sule is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mats Hummels at the 51 minute mark.
52' A change in the RB Leipzig ranks — Mohamed Simakan exits the field as Benjamin Henrichs enters on 52.
57' The 33-year-old Niclas Fullkrug has been sensational this season — 4 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
62' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 0 times this season with winning -% of all matches.
63' A change in the Borussia Dortmund ranks — Salih Ozcan exits the field as Jamie Bynoe-Gittens enters on 63.
68' RB Leipzig are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Borussia Dortmund backline.
70' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Benjamin Sesko has done his job and it is now time for Christoph Baumgartner to step up.
71' Borussia Dortmund ring the changes. Julian Ryerson has done his job and it is now time for Youssoufa Moukoko to step up.
76' A moment of madness from Nico Schlotterbeck on 76 minutes earns him a card. Borussia Dortmund will be frustrated.
80' Christoph Baumgartner is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
85' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His RB Leipzig side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
87' A change in the RB Leipzig ranks — Amadou Haidara exits the field as Nicolas Seiwald enters on 87.
88' Another substitution for RB Leipzig to replace Xaver Schlager by Kevin Kampl on 88 minute.
Full Time. RB Leipzig beats Borussia Dortmund

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

4-2-2-2

Starting XI

17
Lois Openda ↓ Lukas Klostermann 88'
1
Peter Gulacsi
4
Willi Orban
22
David Raum
7
Dani Olmo
8
Amadou Haidara ↓ Nicolas Seiwald 87'
24
Xaver Schlager ↓ Kevin Kampl 88'
2
Mohamed Simakan ↓ Benjamin Henrichs 52'
20
Xavi Simons
23
Castello Lukeba
30
Benjamin Sesko ↓ Christoph Baumgartner 70'

Bench

Coach Marco Rose

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

4-5-1

Starting XI

15
Mats Hummels ↓ Niklas Sule 51'
19
Julian Brandt
10
Jadon Sancho
17
Marius Wolf
14
Niclas Fullkrug
1
Gregor Kobel
6
Salih Ozcan ↓ Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 63'
26
Julian Ryerson ↓ Youssoufa Moukoko 71'
8
Felix Kalu Nmecha
4
Nico Schlotterbeck
27
Karim Adeyemi ↓ Marco Reus 46'

Bench

Coach Edin Terzić

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Erling Haaland	7
Jadon Sancho	7
Marco Reus	4
Timo Werner	3
Dani Olmo	3
Konrad Laimer	2
Axel Witsel	2
Willi Orban	2

Head to Head

RB Leipzig Form

2024-04-27 RB Leipzig 4–1 Borussia Dortmund W 2024-04-20 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1–2 RB Leipzig W 2024-04-13 RB Leipzig 3–0 VfL Wolfsburg W 2024-04-06 SC Freiburg 1–4 RB Leipzig W 2024-03-30 RB Leipzig 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2024-03-15 1. FC Köln 1–5 RB Leipzig W

Borussia Dortmund Form

2024-04-27 RB Leipzig 4–1 Borussia Dortmund L 2024-04-21 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2024-04-16 Borussia Dortmund 4–2 Club Atlético de Madrid W 2024-04-13 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 Borussia Dortmund W 2024-04-10 Club Atlético de Madrid 2–1 Borussia Dortmund L 2024-04-06 Borussia Dortmund 0–1 VfB Stuttgart L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.72 RB Leipzig xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.19 Borussia Dortmund xG

I would bet for: Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

RB Leipzig54% Draw24% Borussia Dortmund22%

Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 2.91

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	93%	7%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	55%	45%
± 3.5	33%	67%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw

78%

Draw or Borussia Dortmund

46%

RB Leipzig or Borussia Dortmund

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

RB Leipzig35% Draw45% Borussia Dortmund20%

Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted

4 – 1

Actual

1 – 1

12.1%

2 – 1

9.2%

1 – 0

8.6%

2 – 0

0 – 0

7.3%

1 – 2

6.4%

0 – 1

5.6%

2 – 2

5.5%

3 – 1

5.3%

3 – 0

4.5%

0 – 2

3.8%

3 – 2

3.2%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap	RB Leipzig covers	Push	Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5	12%	—	88%
-2	12%	15%	73%
-1.5	27%	—	73%
-1	27%	22%	52%
-0.5	48%	—	52%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	15%	11%
+1.5	89%	—	11%
+2	89%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet

19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.