RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2023-24

RB Leipzig

4 – 1

Full Time

Borussia Dortmund

Sat 27 Apr 2024 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

0–1 20' Jadon Sancho

Lois Openda 23' 1–1

Benjamin Sesko 45+2' 2–1

Mohamed Simakan 46' 3–1

Christoph Baumgartner 80' 4–1

Mohamed Simakan 37' Y

Y 37' Jadon Sancho

Y 76' Nico Schlotterbeck

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund — Bundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

RB Leipzig 9 games · 18 pts (2026/27)
Borussia Dortmund 9 games · 21 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Deniz Aytekin
Assistant 1 Christian Dietz
Assistant 2 Eduard Beitinger

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	9	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	18
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	9	16
6	SV Werder Bremen	9	15
7	SV 07 Elversberg	9	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	12
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	9	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	12
12	1. FSV Mainz 05	9	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	9
15	1. FC Köln	9	9
16	1. FC Union Berlin	9	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	4

Head-to-Head

RB Leipzig 18 games · Avg 3.6 goals Borussia Dortmund

Last 5 meetings

2024-04-27 RB Leipzig 4–1 Borussia Dortmund 2023-12-09 Borussia Dortmund 2–3 RB Leipzig 2023-04-05 RB Leipzig 2–0 Borussia Dortmund 2023-03-03 Borussia Dortmund 2–1 RB Leipzig 2022-09-10 RB Leipzig 3–0 Borussia Dortmund

Recent Form

RB Leipzig

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Apr	Borussia Dortmund	H	4–1	W
20 Apr	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	2–1	W
13 Apr	VfL Wolfsburg	H	3–0	W
06 Apr	SC Freiburg	A	4–1	W
30 Mar	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	0–0	D
15 Mar	1. FC Köln	A	5–1	W

Borussia Dortmund

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
27 Apr	RB Leipzig	A	1–4	L
21 Apr	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	1–1	D
16 Apr	Club Atlético de Madrid	H	4–2	W
13 Apr	Borussia Mönchengladbach	A	2–1	W
10 Apr	Club Atlético de Madrid	A	1–2	L
06 Apr	VfB Stuttgart	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

RB Leipzig		Borussia Dortmund
#4	Position	#2
18	Points	21
9	Played	9
6 / 0 / 3	W / D / L	6 / 3 / 0
27	Scored	16
13	Conceded	7
+14	GD	+9
2.00	PPG	2.33
67%	Win %	67%

Key Stats

72% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

56% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

56% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

RB Leipzig are 4th (18 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig

0-15

2/3

16-30

3/1

31-45

6/2

46-60

4/3

61-75

5/2

76+

7/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Borussia Dortmund

0-15

2/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/2

46-60

2/1

61-75

4/1

76+

6/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig

Christopher Nkunku	5 G	2 A
Romulo Cruz	5 G
Antonio Nusa	4 G	7 A
Tidiam Gomis	3 G	2 A
Ridle Baku	2 G

Borussia Dortmund

Felix Kalu Nmecha	4 G
Sehrou Guirassy	3 G	2 A
Fabio Silva	3 G	2 A
Maximilian Beier	2 G	2 A
Ioannis Konstantelias	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. Borussia Dortmund kicks off things out of here…
5' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. RB Leipzig needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
10' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
15' RB Leipzig are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Borussia Dortmund backline.
20' Jadon Sancho makes no mistake. The score reads 0-1 and Borussia Dortmund are in front.
23' Goal! Lois Openda scores his 105 goal in 366 matches.
28' Castello Lukeba is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for RB Leipzig tonight.
33' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His RB Leipzig side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
37' That is a card for RB Leipzig. Mohamed Simakan will be fuming at that decision.
42' It looks like no one’s ball. Borussia Dortmund is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
46' Mohamed Simakan is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
46' Another substitution for Borussia Dortmund to replace Karim Adeyemi by Marco Reus on 46 minute.
47' A stunning finish from Benjamin Sesko — that came from absolutely nowhere!
51' Borussia Dortmund ring the changes. Mats Hummels has done his job and it is now time for Niklas Sule to step up.
52' The whistle greets Mohamed Simakan as he departs to be replaced by Benjamin Henrichs.
57' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
62' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
63' A tactical swap from Borussia Dortmund — Jamie Bynoe-Gittens on, Salih Ozcan off on 63 minutes.
68' Hungary international Willi Orban has been a key figure this campaign — 2 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
70' RB Leipzig ring the changes. Benjamin Sesko has done his job and it is now time for Christoph Baumgartner to step up.
71' The crowd applauds Julian Ryerson as he leaves the pitch. Youssoufa Moukoko steps in for Borussia Dortmund.
76' A moment of madness from Nico Schlotterbeck on 76 minutes earns him a card. Borussia Dortmund will be frustrated.
80' GOAL! Christoph Baumgartner fires home to make it 4-1!
85' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
87' The crowd applauds Amadou Haidara as he leaves the pitch. Nicolas Seiwald steps in for RB Leipzig.
88' Kevin Kampl has so much to prove this time. He replaces Xaver Schlager on 88 minute.
The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Borussia Dortmund.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

4-2-2-2

Starting XI

17
Lois Openda ↓ Lukas Klostermann 88'
1
Peter Gulacsi
4
Willi Orban
22
David Raum
7
Dani Olmo
8
Amadou Haidara ↓ Nicolas Seiwald 87'
24
Xaver Schlager ↓ Kevin Kampl 88'
2
Mohamed Simakan ↓ Benjamin Henrichs 52'
20
Xavi Simons
23
Castello Lukeba
30
Benjamin Sesko ↓ Christoph Baumgartner 70'

Bench

Coach Marco Rose

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

4-5-1

Starting XI

15
Mats Hummels ↓ Niklas Sule 51'
19
Julian Brandt
10
Jadon Sancho
17
Marius Wolf
14
Niclas Fullkrug
1
Gregor Kobel
6
Salih Ozcan ↓ Jamie Bynoe-Gittens 63'
26
Julian Ryerson ↓ Youssoufa Moukoko 71'
8
Felix Kalu Nmecha
4
Nico Schlotterbeck
27
Karim Adeyemi ↓ Marco Reus 46'

Bench

Coach Edin Terzić

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jadon Sancho	7
Erling Haaland	7
Marco Reus	4
Dani Olmo	3
Timo Werner	3
Christoph Baumgartner	2
Christopher Nkunku	2
Lois Openda	2

Head to Head

RB Leipzig Form

2024-04-27 RB Leipzig 4–1 Borussia Dortmund W 2024-04-20 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1–2 RB Leipzig W 2024-04-13 RB Leipzig 3–0 VfL Wolfsburg W 2024-04-06 SC Freiburg 1–4 RB Leipzig W 2024-03-30 RB Leipzig 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2024-03-15 1. FC Köln 1–5 RB Leipzig W

Borussia Dortmund Form

2024-04-27 RB Leipzig 4–1 Borussia Dortmund L 2024-04-21 Borussia Dortmund 1–1 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D 2024-04-16 Borussia Dortmund 4–2 Club Atlético de Madrid W 2024-04-13 Borussia Mönchengladbach 1–2 Borussia Dortmund W 2024-04-10 Club Atlético de Madrid 2–1 Borussia Dortmund L 2024-04-06 Borussia Dortmund 0–1 VfB Stuttgart L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

2.15 RB Leipzig xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.18 Borussia Dortmund xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct

RB Leipzig60% Draw21% Borussia Dortmund19%

Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes61% 0% No39%

Avg goals/match: 3.33

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw

82%

Draw or Borussia Dortmund

40%

RB Leipzig or Borussia Dortmund

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

RB Leipzig42% Draw40% Borussia Dortmund18%

Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.9%

2 – 1

9.4%

2 – 0

8.2%

1 – 0

7.1%

3 – 1

6.7%

3 – 0

5.7%

2 – 2

5.5%

1 – 2

5.2%

0 – 0

3 – 2

4 – 1

Actual

0 – 1

3.6%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap	RB Leipzig covers	Push	Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5	19%	—	81%
-2	19%	18%	64%
-1.5	36%	—	64%
-1	36%	22%	42%
-0.5	58%	—	42%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	12%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.