Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 27 Apr 2024 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 20' Jadon Sancho
Lois Openda 23' 1–1
Benjamin Sesko 45+2' 2–1
Mohamed Simakan 46' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
  • Assistant 1 Christian Dietz
  • Assistant 2 Eduard Beitinger
16 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 5.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 4–1 W
20 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–1 W
13 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 3–0 W
06 Apr SC Freiburg A 4–1 W
30 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–0 D
15 Mar 1. FC Koln A 5–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–4 L
21 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–1 D
16 Apr Club Atletico de Madrid H 4–2 W
13 Apr Borussia Monchengladbach A 2–1 W
10 Apr Club Atletico de Madrid A 1–2 L
06 Apr VfB Stuttgart H 0–1 L

Season Stats

RB Leipzig Borussia Dortmund
#3 Position #2
65 Points 73
34 Played 34
20 / 5 / 9 W / D / L 22 / 7 / 5
66 Scored 70
47 Conceded 34
+19 GD +36
1.91 PPG 2.15
59% Win % 65%

Key Stats

72% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
1/
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Borussia Dortmund
0-15
2/1
16-30
/
31-45
3/2
46-60
1/
61-75
1/
76+
5/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' That's the starting whistle at Red Bull Arena. Ninety minutes of football awaits between RB Leipzig and Borussia Dortmund.
  • 5' The home supporters are growing impatient. RB Leipzig must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 10' It is a cagey affair so far. RB Leipzig in their 4-2-2-2 trying to find a way past Borussia Dortmund's compact 4-5-1.
  • 15' RB Leipzig currently sit 4 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 20' Brilliant from the ! Jadon Sancho makes it 0-1 with a superb finish on 20.
  • 23' Goal! Lois Openda scores his 104 goal in 351 matches.
  • 28' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 33' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 37' The referee has no hesitation. Mohamed Simakan is booked for RB Leipzig — card on 37.
  • 42' The 26-year-old Mohamed Simakan has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 46' RB Leipzig is taking the lead after the goal scored by Mohamed Simakan on 46.
  • 46' Marco Reus gets the nod from Borussia Dortmund. He replaces Karim Adeyemi and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 47' A goal from the Slovenia international Benjamin Sesko! He fires home on 45 to make it 3-1!
  • 51' Borussia Dortmund manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Niklas Sule is hanging Mats Hummels on the field on 51 minute.
  • 52' A change in the RB Leipzig ranks — Mohamed Simakan exits the field as Benjamin Henrichs enters on 52.
  • 57' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Mats Hummels suffering a number of foals already.
  • 62' It’s high time Marco Rose made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 63' It is a substitution in Borussia Dortmund team. Salih Ozcan is replaced by Jamie Bynoe-Gittens on 63 minute.
  • 68' The energy levels are beginning to show. Edin Terzic might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 70' It is a substitution in RB Leipzig team. Benjamin Sesko is replaced by Christoph Baumgartner on 70 minute.
  • 71' Borussia Dortmund manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Youssoufa Moukoko is hanging Julian Ryerson on the field on 71 minute.
  • 76' Nico Schlotterbeck picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 80' Christoph Baumgartner makes no mistake. The score reads 4-1 and RB Leipzig are in front.
  • 85' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 87' The whistle greets Amadou Haidara as he departs to be replaced by Nicolas Seiwald.
  • 88' Kevin Kampl has so much to prove this time. He replaces Xaver Schlager on 88 minute.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 4-1.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.07 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.32 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 65% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig57% Draw22% Borussia Dortmund21%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes64% 0% No36%
Avg goals/match: 3.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 65%
35%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 26%
74%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
79%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
43%
RB Leipzig or Borussia Dortmund
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig39% Draw41% Borussia Dortmund20%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
9.2%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 0
6.4%
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
1 – 2
5.9%
3 – 0
4.8%
0 – 0
4.8%
3 – 2
4.2%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
Actual

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 16% 84%
-2 16% 16% 68%
-1.5 32% 68%
-1 32% 21% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 77% 23%
+1 77% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% 10%
+2 90% 7% 4%
+2.5 96% 4%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
27%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.