Sunday , 16 August 2026

RB Leipzig vs Borussia Dortmund, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 27 Apr 2024 · 13:30 UTC Red Bull Arena HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 20' Jadon Sancho
Lois Openda 23' 1–1
Benjamin Sesko 45+2' 2–1
Mohamed Simakan 46' 3–1

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs Borussia DortmundBundesliga at Red Bull Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
  • Assistant 1 Christian Dietz
  • Assistant 2 Eduard Beitinger

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr Borussia Dortmund H 4–1 W
20 Apr 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–1 W
13 Apr VfL Wolfsburg H 3–0 W
06 Apr SC Freiburg A 4–1 W
30 Mar 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 0–0 D
15 Mar 1. FC Köln A 5–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
27 Apr RB Leipzig A 1–4 L
21 Apr Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–1 D
16 Apr Club Atlético de Madrid H 4–2 W
13 Apr Borussia Mönchengladbach A 2–1 W
10 Apr Club Atlético de Madrid A 1–2 L
06 Apr VfB Stuttgart H 0–1 L

Season Stats

RB Leipzig Borussia Dortmund
#9 Position #8
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

72% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts). Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.37 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.48 Borussia Dortmund xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 72% + Under — clean sheet likely 70%

Match Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig60% Draw27% Borussia Dortmund13%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes30% 0% No70%
Avg goals/match: 1.85
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
88%
Draw or Borussia Dortmund
40%
RB Leipzig or Borussia Dortmund
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig37% Draw54% Borussia Dortmund9%
Actual: RB Leipzig win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 4–1 not predicted
4 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
20.6%
0 – 0
18%
2 – 0
14.2%
1 – 1
10.9%
2 – 1
7%
3 – 0
6.4%
0 – 1
6.2%
3 – 1
3.4%
1 – 2
2.3%
4 – 0
2.2%
2 – 2
1.8%
0 – 2
1.6%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push Borussia Dortmund covers
-2.5 11% 89%
-2 11% 18% 71%
-1.5 29% 71%
-1 29% 29% 42%
-0.5 58% 42%
+0.5 89% 11%
+1 89% 9% 2%
+1.5 98% 2%
+2 98% 2% 0%
+2.5 100% 0%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
62%
Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
26%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.