Sunday , 16 August 2026

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Avispa Fukuoka, J. League 2026 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2026
5 4
4 – 3 pen
Full Time
Sun 10 May 2026 · 05:00 UTC IAI Stadium Nihondaira 15,616 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 70' Shosei Usui
Se-hun Oh 75' 1–1

Overview

Match Preview

Shimizu S-Pulse vs Avispa FukuokaJ. League at IAI Stadium Nihondaira.

Match Details

  • Referee Koei Koya
  • Assistant 1 Yosuke Takebe
  • Assistant 2 Toshiki Tomomasa (Japan)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Avispa Fukuoka H 5–4 W
06 May Cerezo Osaka FC H 6–4 W
02 May Kyoto Sanga FC A 2–1 W
29 Apr V-Varen Nagasaki H 1–2 L
25 Apr Nagoya Grampus H 0–2 L
11 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima A 5–6 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
10 May Shimizu S-Pulse A 4–5 L
06 May Kyoto Sanga FC H 0–1 L
03 May Cerezo Osaka FC A 2–2 D
29 Apr Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 2–2 D
25 Apr Fagiano Okayama FC A 0–2 L
22 Apr Gamba Osaka A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Shimizu S-Pulse Avispa Fukuoka
#7 Position #10
24 Points 21
18 Played 18
8 / 0 / 10 W / D / L 7 / 0 / 11
40 Scored 49
42 Conceded 59
-2 GD -10
1.33 PPG 1.17
44% Win % 39%

Key Stats

88% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
88% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Shimizu S-Pulse this season
100% Clean Sheets
Avispa Fukuoka this season

Shimizu S-Pulse are 7th (24 pts). Avispa Fukuoka are 10th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Avispa Fukuoka
0-15
/
16-30
/
31-45
2/
46-60
/
61-75
1/
76+
/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Shimizu S-Pulse and Avispa Fukuoka has kicked off!
  • 5' Japan international Masato Shigemi has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 1 assists in the Array this season.
  • 10' Ahmed Ahmedov is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Shimizu S-Pulse so far.
  • 15' Yuya Oki, a Japan , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 20' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with Shimizu S-Pulse winning 100% of all matches.
  • 25' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Jelani Sumiyoshi made 335 appearances and scored 1 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 30' Shimizu S-Pulse have won 286 goals from 367 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 35' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 40' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 45' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 50' With 1 assists to his name this season, Kengo Kitazume is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Shimizu S-Pulse.
  • 53' Avispa Fukuoka player sees a card in front of him.
  • 58' Shimizu S-Pulse started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 58.
  • 63' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Masato Shigemi.
  • 68' Avispa Fukuoka seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 70' The Japan Shosei Usui breaks the deadlock on 70 minutes. 0-1!
  • 75' The South Korea forward Se-hun Oh breaks the deadlock on 75 minutes. 1-1!
  • 80' The home supporters are growing impatient. Shimizu S-Pulse must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 85' Shimizu S-Pulse looks like a favorite considering 2 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Se-hun Oh scoring 1 goals.
  • 87' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Shintaro Nago.
  • 88' The referee shows Shimizu S-Pulse player a card on 88.
  • The referee blows the final whistle. Sensational lose for Avispa Fukuoka.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
3.6 Shimizu S-Pulse xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.81 Avispa Fukuoka xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 94% + Both teams to score 90%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Shimizu S-Pulse55% Draw18% Avispa Fukuoka27%
Actual: Shimizu S-Pulse win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes90% 0% No10%
Avg goals/match: 6.41
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 100%
0%
± 1.5 99%
1%
± 2.5 94%
6%
± 3.5 86%
14%
± 4.5 74%
26%

Double Chance

Shimizu S-Pulse or Draw
72%
Draw or Avispa Fukuoka
45%
Shimizu S-Pulse or Avispa Fukuoka
82%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Shimizu S-Pulse44% Draw29% Avispa Fukuoka27%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 5–4 not predicted
5 – 4
Actual
3 – 2
5.1%
3 – 3
4.7%
4 – 2
4.5%
2 – 2
4.4%
4 – 3
4.2%
2 – 3
4%
3 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.3%
2 – 1
3.3%
3 – 4
3.3%
5 – 2
3.2%
5 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Shimizu S-Pulse

Handicap Shimizu S-Pulse covers Push Avispa Fukuoka covers
-2.5 22% 78%
-2 22% 14% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 16% 47%
-0.5 53% 47%
+0.5 69% 31%
+1 69% 13% 18%
+1.5 82% 18%
+2 82% 9% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Shimizu S-Pulse keeps clean sheet
7%
Avispa Fukuoka keeps clean sheet
3%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.