Sunday , 16 August 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2023-24 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2023-24
Sat 9 Dec 2023 · 17:30 UTC Signal Iduna Park 81,365 HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 32' Ramy Bensebaini og
Niklas Sule 45+6' 1–1
1–3 90+1' Yussuf Poulsen
Niclas Fullkrug 90+3' 2–3

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs RB LeipzigBundesliga at Signal Iduna Park.

Match Details

  • Referee Sven Jablonski
  • Assistant 1 Sascha Thielert
  • Assistant 2 Lasse Koslowski
7 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 1.9 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Dec RB Leipzig H 2–3 L
06 Dec VfB Stuttgart A 0–2 L
03 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
28 Nov AC Milan A 3–1 W
25 Nov Borussia Mönchengladbach H 4–2 W
11 Nov VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
09 Dec Borussia Dortmund A 3–2 W
02 Dec 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W
28 Nov Manchester City FC A 2–3 L
25 Nov VfL Wolfsburg A 1–2 L
12 Nov SC Freiburg H 3–1 W
07 Nov FK Crvena Zvezda A 2–1 W

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund RB Leipzig
#8 Position #9
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

72% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts). RB Leipzig are 9th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.97 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund28% Draw30% RB Leipzig42%
Actual: RB Leipzig win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.25
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 87%
13%
± 1.5 66%
34%
± 2.5 39%
61%
± 3.5 20%
80%
± 4.5 9%
91%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
58%
Draw or RB Leipzig
72%
Borussia Dortmund or RB Leipzig
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund20% Draw51% RB Leipzig29%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✗ 2–3 not predicted
2 – 3
Actual
1 – 1
14%
0 – 0
12.8%
0 – 1
12.3%
1 – 0
9%
0 – 2
8.4%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
6.1%
2 – 0
4.7%
2 – 2
4%
1 – 3
3.5%
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
2%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push RB Leipzig covers
-2.5 3% 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% 90%
-1 10% 17% 74%
-0.5 26% 74%
+0.5 58% 42%
+1 58% 23% 20%
+1.5 80% 20%
+2 80% 13% 7%
+2.5 93% 7%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
28%
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
39%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.