1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs RB Leipzig — Bundesliga .
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- RB Leipzig 34 games · 65 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Sven Jablonski
25 games this season
🟨 0.6/game
⚽ 4.2 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | RB Leipzig | H | 0–1 | L |
| 31 Aug | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Aug | 1. FC Koln | H | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Aug | SG Dynamo Dresden | A | 1–0 | W |
| 17 May | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | H | 2–2 | D |
| 10 May | VfL Bochum 1848 | A | 4–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 1–0 | W |
| 30 Aug | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 22 Aug | FC Bayern München | A | 0–6 | L |
| 16 Aug | SV Sandhausen 1916 | A | 4–2 | W |
| 17 May | VfB Stuttgart | H | 2–3 | L |
| 10 May | SV Werder Bremen | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | RB Leipzig | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #3 |
| 40 | Points | 65 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 10 / 14 | W / D / L | 20 / 5 / 9 |
| 44 | Scored | 66 |
| 53 | Conceded | 47 |
| -9 | GD | +19 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.91 |
| 29% | Win % | 59% |
Key Stats
55%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
32%
Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
RB Leipzig this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is hosting RB Leipzig for another epic battle.
- The final score is 0-1.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
RB Leipzig Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Timo Werner | 9 |
| Yussuf Poulsen | 5 |
| Moussa Niakhate | 4 |
| Christopher Nkunku | 3 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 3 |
| Marcel Halstenberg | 2 |
| Marcel Sabitzer | 2 |
| Karim Onisiwo | 2 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.19
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.46
RB Leipzig xG
I would bet for:
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig 71%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: RB Leipzig win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.65
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 49% |
|
51% |
| ± 3.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
61%
Draw or RB Leipzig
68%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or RB Leipzig
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: RB Leipzig win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.2%
0 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
9.1%
1 – 2
8.6%
1 – 0
7.4%
0 – 2
7.3%
2 – 1
7.1%
2 – 2
5.2%
2 – 0
4.9%
1 – 3
4.2%
0 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
2.8%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | RB Leipzig covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 17% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 58% | — | 42% |
| +1 | 58% | 21% | 21% |
| +1.5 | 79% | — | 21% |
| +2 | 79% | 13% | 8% |
| +2.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
24%
✓
RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
31%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

