Saturday , 10 October 2026

Watford FC vs Stoke City FC, Championship 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2026-27
Sat 12 Sep 2026 · 14:00 UTC Vicarage Road HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 45+4' Jack McGlynn
0–2 57' Eric Bocat
Amin Nabizada 90+1' 1–2

Overview

Match Preview

Watford FC vs Stoke City FC — Championship at Vicarage Road.

Match Details

  • Referee Lewis Smith
  • Assistant 1 David Harrison (England)
  • Assistant 2 Lee Venamore
5 games this season 🟨 1.8/game ⚽ 5.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep Stoke City FC H 1–2 L
08 Sep Preston North End FC H 2–1 W
05 Sep West Bromwich Albion FC A 0–1 L
01 Sep Swansea City AFC A 0–2 L
29 Aug West Ham United FC H 1–1 D
22 Aug Wrexham AFC A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
12 Sep Watford FC A 2–1 W
08 Sep Cardiff City FC A 1–1 D
05 Sep Charlton Athletic FC H 4–0 W
01 Sep Norwich City FC H 1–0 W
29 Aug Wolverhampton Wanderers FC A 1–4 L
22 Aug Southampton FC A 1–3 L

Season Stats

Watford FC Stoke City FC
#20 Position #7
8 Points 13
8 Played 8
2 / 2 / 4 W / D / L 4 / 1 / 3
7 Scored 13
10 Conceded 12
-3 GD +1
1.00 PPG 1.63
25% Win % 50%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
Watford FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Stoke City FC this season

Watford FC are 20th (8 pts). Stoke City FC are 7th (13 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Watford FC
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/2
61-75
1/–
76+
2/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Stoke City FC
0-15
4/1
16-30
4/3
31-45
2/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/2
76+
2/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Watford FC
Amin Nabizada 3 G
Iker Bravo 1 G
Luca Kjerrumgaard 1 G
Stoke City FC
Ethan Galbraith 4 G 1 A
Eric Bocat 2 G 2 A
Sam Gallagher 2 G 1 A
Justin Devenny 2 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and Watford FC launch into their encounter with Stoke City FC.
  • 5' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Watford FC that had 365 games and scored 399 goals.
  • 15' It is a cagey affair so far. Watford FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Stoke City FC's compact 4-2-3-1.
  • 19' Iker Bravo is having his name booked by the referee on 19.
  • 24' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 29' Watford FC are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Stoke City FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 33' Poor challenge from El Hadji Soumare. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 38' The energy levels are beginning to show. Alessio Dionisi might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 42' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Jordan Zemura exits the field as Haktab Traore enters on 42.
  • 47' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both Watford FC and Stoke City FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 49' Against the run of play, Jack McGlynn has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 54' Justin Devenny is a natural midfielder and has been asked to do a very specific job for Watford FC tonight.
  • 57' What a moment for Eric Bocat! That strike on 57 puts his side firmly in control.
  • 58' The supporters are chanting for Amin Nabizada. He replaces Othmane Maamma on 58 minute.
  • 63' With 0 assists to his name this season, Lamine Cisse is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Stoke City FC.
  • 65' Stoke City FC make a change. Lamine Cisse trudges off to be replaced by George Hirst on 65 minutes.
  • 69' Watford FC make a change. Iker Bravo trudges off to be replaced by Luca Kjerrumgaard on 69 minutes.
  • 74' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Stoke City FC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 79' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 80' Stoke City FC make a change. Eric Bocat trudges off to be replaced by Luca Bombino on 80 minutes.
  • 82' George Hirst was booked on 82.
  • 87' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Alessio Dionisi will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 90' The referee shows Watford FC player a card on 90.
  • 90' It is a substitution in Stoke City FC team. Jack McGlynn is replaced by Ben Pearson on 90 minute.
  • Stoke City FC celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.28 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.31 Stoke City FC xG
I would bet for: Watford FC or Stoke City FC 71%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC34% Draw29% Stoke City FC37%
Actual: Stoke City FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.59
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 73%
27%
± 2.5 47%
53%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 13%
87%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Stoke City FC
66%
Watford FC or Stoke City FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC26% Draw48% Stoke City FC26%
Actual: Stoke City FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.5%
0 – 0
9.5%
0 – 1
8.8%
1 – 0
8.5%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
7.7%
0 – 2
6.3%
2 – 0
6%
2 – 2
5.1%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 1
3.3%
0 – 3
2.7%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Stoke City FC covers
-2.5 5% — 95%
-2 5% 10% 84%
-1.5 16% — 84%
-1 16% 19% 65%
-0.5 35% — 65%
+0.5 64% — 36%
+1 64% 19% 17%
+1.5 83% — 17%
+2 83% 11% 6%
+2.5 94% — 6%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
Stoke City FC keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.