1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga .
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2026/27)
- VfB Stuttgart 34 games · 62 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Matthias Jollenbeck
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar | VfB Stuttgart | H | 2–2 | D |
| 28 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Feb | Hamburger SV | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Feb | Borussia Dortmund | A | 0–4 | L |
| 07 Feb | FC Augsburg | H | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Jan | RB Leipzig | A | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 2–2 | D |
| 01 Mar | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 4–0 | W |
| 26 Feb | Celtic FC | H | 0–1 | L |
| 22 Feb | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 3–3 | D |
| 19 Feb | Celtic FC | A | 4–1 | W |
| 14 Feb | 1. FC Koln | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | VfB Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| #10 | Position | #4 |
| 40 | Points | 62 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 10 / 10 / 14 | W / D / L | 18 / 8 / 8 |
| 44 | Scored | 71 |
| 53 | Conceded | 49 |
| -9 | GD | +22 |
| 1.18 | PPG | 1.82 |
| 29% | Win % | 53% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfB Stuttgart.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sehrou Guirassy | 5 |
| Alexander Hack | 2 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 2 |
| Silas Wamangituka | 2 |
| Sasa Kalajdzic | 2 |
| Jamie Leweling | 2 |
| Borna Sosa | 2 |
| Deniz Undav | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.58
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.96
VfB Stuttgart xG
I would bet for:
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfB Stuttgart 75% + Both teams to score 68%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.54
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 96% |
|
4% |
| ± 1.5 | 87% |
|
13% |
| ± 2.5 | 68% |
|
32% |
| ± 3.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 4.5 | 28% |
|
72% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
59%
Draw or VfB Stuttgart
66%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfB Stuttgart
75%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.8%
1 – 2
8.5%
2 – 1
6.9%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.6%
1 – 3
5.5%
0 – 1
5.1%
2 – 3
4.4%
0 – 0
4.3%
1 – 0
4%
2 – 0
3.7%
0 – 3
3.6%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | VfB Stuttgart covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 9% | 85% |
| -1.5 | 15% | — | 85% |
| -1 | 15% | 16% | 70% |
| -0.5 | 30% | — | 70% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 19% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 14% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

