Sunday , 16 August 2026

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

RFPL · 2025-26
Thu 23 Apr 2026 · 16:45 UTC Akhmat Arena HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Baltika KaliningradRFPL at Akhmat Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Evgeniy Kukulyak (Russia)

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Apr FK Baltika Kaliningrad H 1–1 D
19 Apr FK Spartak Moskva A 1–3 L
11 Apr PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara A 2–2 D
04 Apr FK Krasnodar H 0–1 L
21 Mar FK Rostov H 1–0 W
15 Mar FK Akron Tolyatti A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Apr RFK Akhmat Grozny A 1–1 D
19 Apr FK Krasnodar A 2–2 D
11 Apr FK Nizhny Novgorod H 2–2 D
05 Apr FK Dinamo Makhachkala A 2–2 D
21 Mar PFK Sochi H 4–0 W
14 Mar PFC CSKA Moskva H 1–0 W

Season Stats

RFK Akhmat Grozny FK Baltika Kaliningrad
#9 Position #6
37 Points 46
30 Played 30
9 / 10 / 11 W / D / L 11 / 13 / 6
35 Scored 38
39 Conceded 21
-4 GD +17
1.23 PPG 1.53
30% Win % 37%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
25% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts). FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at Akhmat Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • 5' FK Baltika Kaliningrad started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
  • 10' Russia international Vadim Ulyanov has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
  • 20' It is a cagey affair so far. RFK Akhmat Grozny in their trying to find a way past FK Baltika Kaliningrad's compact .
  • 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both RFK Akhmat Grozny and FK Baltika Kaliningrad are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 32' Poor challenge from Ilya Petrov. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 37' FK Baltika Kaliningrad is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 40' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nathan Gassama.
  • 45' RFK Akhmat Grozny is showing some good football. However, RFK Akhmat Grozny are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 46' Ivan Belikov has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ilya Petrov on 46 minute.
  • 51' A goal from the Brazil international Derik Lacerda! He fires home on 51 to make it 0-1!
  • 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering RFK Akhmat Grozny that had 394 games and scored 270 goals.
  • 57' The supporters are chanting for Sergey Pryakhin. He replaces Daniil Khlusevich on 57 minute.
  • 60' Kevin Andrade doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 63' It’s gonna be a card for Ousmane N'Dong.
  • 65' That is a card for FK Baltika Kaliningrad. Ivan Belikov will be fuming at that decision.
  • 70' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 71' Mikhail Ryadno is ready to make an impact after coming on for Andrey Mendel at the 71 minute mark.
  • 76' Supporters expect more eagerness from Maksim Petrov, as he is very good at scoring at Akhmat Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 81' The crowd applauds Derik Lacerda as he leaves the pitch. Tenton Yenne steps in for FK Baltika Kaliningrad.
  • 85' It is a substitution in RFK Akhmat Grozny team. Georgi Melkadze is replaced by Mohamed Konate on 85 minute.
  • 87' It is a substitution in FK Baltika Kaliningrad team. Nikolai Titkov is replaced by Aymane Mourid on 87 minute.
  • 90' A moment of madness from Miroslav Bogosavac on 90 minutes earns him a card. RFK Akhmat Grozny will be frustrated.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.84 RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55 FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RFK Akhmat Grozny24% Draw29% FK Baltika Kaliningrad47%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes46% 0% No54%
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 69%
31%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw
53%
Draw or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
76%
RFK Akhmat Grozny or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RFK Akhmat Grozny15% Draw49% FK Baltika Kaliningrad36%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13.2%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.3%
0 – 2
10.7%
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 0
6.6%
0 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
4.8%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 2
3.8%
2 – 0
3.1%
0 – 4
2.1%

Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny

Handicap RFK Akhmat Grozny covers Push FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers
-2.5 2% 98%
-2 2% 5% 94%
-1.5 6% 94%
-1 6% 13% 81%
-0.5 19% 81%
+0.5 48% 52%
+1 48% 25% 28%
+1.5 72% 28%
+2 72% 16% 12%
+2.5 88% 12%

Clean Sheet

RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
22%
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
44%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.