RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad, RFPL 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
RFK Akhmat Grozny vs FK Baltika Kaliningrad — RFPL at Akhmat Arena.
- RFK Akhmat Grozny 30 games · 37 pts (2026/27)
- FK Baltika Kaliningrad 30 games · 46 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Evgeniy Kukulyak (Russia)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Zenit Sankt-Petersburg | 30 | 68 |
| 2 | FK Krasnodar | 30 | 66 |
| 3 | FK Lokomotiv Moskva | 30 | 53 |
| 4 | FK Spartak Moskva | 30 | 52 |
| 5 | PFC CSKA Moskva | 30 | 51 |
| 6 | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | 30 | 46 |
| 7 | FK Dinamo Moskva | 30 | 45 |
| 8 | FK Rubin Kazan | 30 | 43 |
| 9 | RFK Akhmat Grozny | 30 | 37 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 30 | 33 |
| 11 | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | 30 | 32 |
| 12 | FK Orenburg | 30 | 29 |
| 13 | FK Akron Tolyatti | 30 | 27 |
| 14 | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | 30 | 26 |
| 15 | FK Nizhny Novgorod | 30 | 23 |
| 16 | PFK Sochi | 30 | 22 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | H | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Apr | FK Spartak Moskva | A | 1–3 | L |
| 11 Apr | PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara | A | 2–2 | D |
| 04 Apr | FK Krasnodar | H | 0–1 | L |
| 21 Mar | FK Rostov | H | 1–0 | W |
| 15 Mar | FK Akron Tolyatti | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr | RFK Akhmat Grozny | A | 1–1 | D |
| 19 Apr | FK Krasnodar | A | 2–2 | D |
| 11 Apr | FK Nizhny Novgorod | H | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Apr | FK Dinamo Makhachkala | A | 2–2 | D |
| 21 Mar | PFK Sochi | H | 4–0 | W |
| 14 Mar | PFC CSKA Moskva | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| RFK Akhmat Grozny | FK Baltika Kaliningrad | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #6 |
| 37 | Points | 46 |
| 30 | Played | 30 |
| 9 / 10 / 11 | W / D / L | 11 / 13 / 6 |
| 35 | Scored | 38 |
| 39 | Conceded | 21 |
| -4 | GD | +17 |
| 1.23 | PPG | 1.53 |
| 30% | Win % | 37% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
25%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
RFK Akhmat Grozny are 9th (37 pts). FK Baltika Kaliningrad are 6th (46 pts).
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Akhmat Arena. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' FK Baltika Kaliningrad started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 5.
- 10' Russia international Vadim Ulyanov has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 15' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 15 minutes.
- 20' It is a cagey affair so far. RFK Akhmat Grozny in their trying to find a way past FK Baltika Kaliningrad's compact .
- 25' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both RFK Akhmat Grozny and FK Baltika Kaliningrad are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 32' Poor challenge from Ilya Petrov. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 37' FK Baltika Kaliningrad is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 40' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Nathan Gassama.
- 45' RFK Akhmat Grozny is showing some good football. However, RFK Akhmat Grozny are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 46' Ivan Belikov has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ilya Petrov on 46 minute.
- 51' A goal from the Brazil international Derik Lacerda! He fires home on 51 to make it 0-1!
- 56' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering RFK Akhmat Grozny that had 394 games and scored 270 goals.
- 57' The supporters are chanting for Sergey Pryakhin. He replaces Daniil Khlusevich on 57 minute.
- 60' Kevin Andrade doubles the advantage! 0-2 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 63' It’s gonna be a card for Ousmane N'Dong.
- 65' That is a card for FK Baltika Kaliningrad. Ivan Belikov will be fuming at that decision.
- 70' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 71' Mikhail Ryadno is ready to make an impact after coming on for Andrey Mendel at the 71 minute mark.
- 76' Supporters expect more eagerness from Maksim Petrov, as he is very good at scoring at Akhmat Arena with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
- 81' The crowd applauds Derik Lacerda as he leaves the pitch. Tenton Yenne steps in for FK Baltika Kaliningrad.
- 85' It is a substitution in RFK Akhmat Grozny team. Georgi Melkadze is replaced by Mohamed Konate on 85 minute.
- 87' It is a substitution in FK Baltika Kaliningrad team. Nikolai Titkov is replaced by Aymane Mourid on 87 minute.
- 90' A moment of madness from Miroslav Bogosavac on 90 minutes earns him a card. RFK Akhmat Grozny will be frustrated.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
RFK Akhmat Grozny Lineups
Starting XI
- 82
- 8
- 7
- 77
- 17
- 4
-
11
Ismael ↓ Rifat Zhemaletdinov 85'
- 20
- 1
- 5
- 90
Bench
-
10
Rifat Zhemaletdinov ↑ 85'
- 88
- 40
-
13
Mohamed Konate ↑ 85'
- 9
- 72
- 2
-
19
Sergey Pryakhin ↑ 57'
- 22
- 27
- 37
- 23
Coach
Stanislav Cherchesov
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
-
22
Nikolai Titkov ↓ Aymane Mourid 87'
-
18
Derik Lacerda ↓ Tenton Yenne 81'
- 81
-
73
Maksim Petrov ↓ Irakliy Manelov 81'
-
8
Andrey Mendel ↓ Mikhail Ryadno 71'
- 25
- 2
- 4
- 16
-
10
Ilya Petrov ↓ Ivan Belikov 46'
Bench
- 14
- 91
-
5
Aymane Mourid ↑ 87'
-
69
Irakliy Manelov ↑ 81'
- 11
-
68
Mikhail Ryadno ↑ 71'
- 21
-
15
Tenton Yenne ↑ 81'
-
26
Ivan Belikov ↑ 46'
- 44
- 36
- 42
Coach
Andrey Talalaev
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Alex Fernandes | 3 |
| Derik Lacerda | 1 |
| Kevin Andrade | 1 |
| Evgeny Kharin | 1 |
| Svetoslav Kovachev | 1 |
| Angelo Henriquez | 1 |
| Yuriy Kovalev | 1 |
| Vitaliy Lisakovich | 1 |
Head to Head
RFK Akhmat Grozny Form
2026-04-23
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–1
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
D
2026-04-19
FK Spartak Moskva
3–1
RFK Akhmat Grozny
L
2026-04-11
PFK Krylya Sovetov Samara
2–2
RFK Akhmat Grozny
D
2026-04-04
RFK Akhmat Grozny
0–1
FK Krasnodar
L
2026-03-21
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–0
FK Rostov
W
2026-03-15
FK Akron Tolyatti
1–1
RFK Akhmat Grozny
D
FK Baltika Kaliningrad Form
2026-04-23
RFK Akhmat Grozny
1–1
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
D
2026-04-19
FK Krasnodar
2–2
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
D
2026-04-11
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
2–2
FK Nizhny Novgorod
D
2026-04-05
FK Dinamo Makhachkala
2–2
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
D
2026-03-21
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
4–0
PFK Sochi
W
2026-03-14
FK Baltika Kaliningrad
1–0
PFC CSKA Moskva
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.84
RFK Akhmat Grozny xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.55
FK Baltika Kaliningrad xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.39
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 1.5 | 69% |
|
31% |
| ± 2.5 | 42% |
|
58% |
| ± 3.5 | 22% |
|
78% |
| ± 4.5 | 10% |
|
90% |
Double Chance
RFK Akhmat Grozny or Draw
53%
Draw or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
76%
RFK Akhmat Grozny or FK Baltika Kaliningrad
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 1
13.2%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.3%
0 – 2
10.7%
1 – 2
8.9%
1 – 0
6.6%
0 – 3
5.4%
2 – 1
4.8%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 2
3.8%
2 – 0
3.1%
0 – 4
2.1%
Asian Handicap — RFK Akhmat Grozny
| Handicap | RFK Akhmat Grozny covers | Push | FK Baltika Kaliningrad covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 13% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +1 | 48% | 25% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 16% | 12% |
| +2.5 | 88% | — | 12% |
Clean Sheet
RFK Akhmat Grozny keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
FK Baltika Kaliningrad keeps clean sheet
44%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

