Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.
- Tokyo Verdy 18 games · 28 pts (2026/27)
- Sanfrecce Hiroshima 18 games · 30 pts (2026/27)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 18 | 35 |
| 2 | Cerezo Osaka FC | 18 | 31 |
| 3 | Nagoya Grampus | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | Gamba Osaka | 18 | 28 |
| 6 | Fagiano Okayama FC | 18 | 26 |
| 7 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 18 | 24 |
| 8 | Kyoto Sanga FC | 18 | 23 |
| 9 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 18 | 21 |
| 10 | Avispa Fukuoka | 18 | 21 |
| 11 | Kashima Antlers | 18 | 45 |
| 12 | FC Tokyo | 18 | 37 |
| 13 | FC Machida Zelvia | 18 | 37 |
| 14 | Kawasaki Frontale | 18 | 28 |
| 15 | Tokyo Verdy | 18 | 28 |
| 16 | Urawa Red Diamonds | 18 | 25 |
| 17 | Kashiwa Reysol | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Yokohama F.Marinos | 18 | 20 |
| 19 | FC Mito Holly Hock | 18 | 18 |
| 20 | JEF United Ichihara Chiba | 18 | 12 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | H | 0–3 | L |
| 16 Aug | Kyoto Sanga FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Aug | Yokohama F.Marinos | H | 1–0 | W |
| 20 Jul | FC Machida Zelvia | H | 0–1 | L |
| 05 Jul | Nagoya Grampus | A | 0–0 | D |
| 29 Jun | Kawasaki Frontale | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug | Tokyo Verdy | A | 3–0 | W |
| 20 Aug | Vissel Kobe | H | 0–1 | L |
| 16 Aug | Gamba Osaka | H | 1–0 | W |
| 10 Aug | Shimizu S-Pulse | H | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Jul | Albirex Niigata | A | 2–0 | W |
| 05 Jul | Fagiano Okayama FC | A | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Tokyo Verdy | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #4 |
| 28 | Points | 30 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 10 / 0 / 8 | W / D / L | 10 / 0 / 8 |
| 29 | Scored | 41 |
| 32 | Conceded | 33 |
| -3 | GD | +8 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.67 |
| 56% | Win % | 56% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
H2H (4 games)
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Tokyo Verdy this season
Tokyo Verdy this season
43%
Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season
Tokyo Verdy are 15th (28 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Tokyo Verdy
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/3
61-75
1/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Tokyo Verdy
| Naoki Hayashi | 2 G |
| Shuhei Mizoguchi | 1 G |
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
| Akito Suzuki | 6 G | 2 A |
| Shun Ayukawa | 3 G | 1 A |
| Sebastien Haller | 3 G | 1 A |
| Mutsuki Kato | 2 G | 3 A |
| Shuto Nakano | 2 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Temperatures are rising at Ajinomoto Stadium as Tokyo Verdy face off against Sanfrecce Hiroshima in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
- 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Tokyo Verdy and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 6' Shuto Nakano doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 11' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 12' Poor challenge from Itsuki Someno. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 17' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 22' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Tokyo Verdy that had 102 games and scored 85 goals.
- 27' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 28' The referee shows Tokyo Verdy player a card on 28.
- 33' It’s high time Michael Skibbe made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 38' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Hiroshi Jofuku will be considering his options from the bench.
- 43' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 46' The supporters are chanting for Ryo Germain. He replaces Valere Germain on 46 minute.
- 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 56' It looks surprising Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not make any changes. Naoto Arai has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 60' A tactical swap from Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Hayao Kawabe on, Kosuke Kinoshita off on 60 minutes.
- 62' A goal from the Japan international Sota Nakamura! He fires home on 62 to make it 0-2!
- 66' Yuan Matsuhashi is replacing Yuya Fukuda for the Tokyo Verdy side.
- 71' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 76' Brazil international Marcos Junior has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 77' The supporters are chanting for Ryosuke Shirai. He replaces Itsuki Someno on 77 minute.
- 80' Rei Hirakawa catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 80.
- 83' Naoto Arai makes no mistake. The score reads 0-3 and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are in front.
- 86' A tactical swap from Tokyo Verdy — Shoji Toyama on, Ryota Inoue off on 86 minutes.
- 87' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Sota Nakamura trudges off to be replaced by Marcos Junior on 87 minutes.
- The final score is 0-3.
Lineups
Tokyo Verdy Lineups
Starting XI
- 16
- 14
- 6
- 8
- 9
- 1
- 2
- 3
- 20
- 40
- 5
Bench
- 38
- 37
- 19
- 21
- 17
- 27
- 25
- 71
Coach
Hiroshi Jofuku
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Lineups
Starting XI
-
98
Valere Germain ↓ Ryo Germain 46'
- 1
-
17
Kosuke Kinoshita ↓ Hayao Kawabe 60'
- 33
- 4
- 14
-
13
Naoto Arai ↓ Sota Koshimichi 87'
- 15
- 35
-
39
Sota Nakamura ↓ Marcos Junior 87'
-
37
Ju-sung Kim ↓ Shunki Higashi 77'
Bench
-
10
Marcos Junior ↑ 87'
-
9
Ryo Germain ↑ 46'
- 3
-
6
Hayao Kawabe ↑ 60'
-
24
Shunki Higashi ↑ 77'
- 41
-
32
Sota Koshimichi ↑ 87'
- 51
- 38
Coach
Michael Skibbe
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Pieros Sotiriou | 2 |
| Yudai Kimura | 2 |
| Shuto Nakano | 1 |
| Sota Nakamura | 1 |
| Douglas Vieira | 1 |
| Mutsuki Kato | 1 |
| Sho Sasaki | 1 |
| Valere Germain | 1 |
Head to Head
Tokyo Verdy Form
Sanfrecce Hiroshima Form
2025-08-23
Tokyo Verdy
0–3
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-08-20
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–1
Vissel Kobe
L
2025-08-16
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
1–0
Gamba Osaka
W
2025-08-10
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0–0
Shimizu S-Pulse
D
2025-07-20
Albirex Niigata
0–2
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
2025-07-05
Fagiano Okayama FC
0–1
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.95
Tokyo Verdy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.96
Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for:
Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win 55%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 55% |
|
45% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Tokyo Verdy or Draw
45%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
80%
Tokyo Verdy or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
0 – 2
10.3%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 2
9.6%
0 – 0
7.2%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
6.3%
2 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 0
4.4%
0 – 4
3.2%
1 – 4
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Tokyo Verdy
| Handicap | Tokyo Verdy covers | Push | Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 4% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -0.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| +0.5 | 41% | — | 59% |
| +1 | 41% | 23% | 36% |
| +1.5 | 64% | — | 36% |
| +2 | 64% | 18% | 18% |
| +2.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
Clean Sheet
Tokyo Verdy keeps clean sheet
15%
✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

