Thursday , 1 October 2026

Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima, J. League 2025 REGULAR SEASON

J. League · 2025
Sat 23 Aug 2025 · 10:00 UTC Ajinomoto Stadium HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Tokyo Verdy vs Sanfrecce Hiroshima — J. League at Ajinomoto Stadium.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Sanfrecce Hiroshima H 0–3 L
16 Aug Kyoto Sanga FC A 0–1 L
09 Aug Yokohama F.Marinos H 1–0 W
20 Jul FC Machida Zelvia H 0–1 L
05 Jul Nagoya Grampus A 0–0 D
29 Jun Kawasaki Frontale H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Aug Tokyo Verdy A 3–0 W
20 Aug Vissel Kobe H 0–1 L
16 Aug Gamba Osaka H 1–0 W
10 Aug Shimizu S-Pulse H 0–0 D
20 Jul Albirex Niigata A 2–0 W
05 Jul Fagiano Okayama FC A 1–0 W

Season Stats

Tokyo Verdy Sanfrecce Hiroshima
#15 Position #4
28 Points 30
18 Played 18
10 / 0 / 8 W / D / L 10 / 0 / 8
29 Scored 41
32 Conceded 33
-3 GD +8
1.56 PPG 1.67
56% Win % 56%

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
75% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Tokyo Verdy this season
43% Clean Sheets
Sanfrecce Hiroshima this season

Tokyo Verdy are 15th (28 pts). Sanfrecce Hiroshima are 4th (30 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Tokyo Verdy
0-15
1/1
16-30
–/2
31-45
–/3
46-60
–/3
61-75
1/1
76+
1/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
0-15
1/1
16-30
3/2
31-45
3/–
46-60
2/2
61-75
5/–
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Tokyo Verdy
Naoki Hayashi 2 G
Shuhei Mizoguchi 1 G
Sanfrecce Hiroshima
Akito Suzuki 6 G 2 A
Shun Ayukawa 3 G 1 A
Sebastien Haller 3 G 1 A
Mutsuki Kato 2 G 3 A
Shuto Nakano 2 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Temperatures are rising at Ajinomoto Stadium as Tokyo Verdy face off against Sanfrecce Hiroshima in what promises to be a fascinating contest.
  • 5' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Tokyo Verdy and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 6' Shuto Nakano doubles the advantage! 0-1 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 11' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 12' Poor challenge from Itsuki Someno. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 17' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 22' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Tokyo Verdy that had 102 games and scored 85 goals.
  • 27' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 28' The referee shows Tokyo Verdy player a card on 28.
  • 33' It’s high time Michael Skibbe made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
  • 38' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Hiroshi Jofuku will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 43' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 46' The supporters are chanting for Ryo Germain. He replaces Valere Germain on 46 minute.
  • 51' Over 51 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 56' It looks surprising Sanfrecce Hiroshima does not make any changes. Naoto Arai has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
  • 60' A tactical swap from Sanfrecce Hiroshima — Hayao Kawabe on, Kosuke Kinoshita off on 60 minutes.
  • 62' A goal from the Japan international Sota Nakamura! He fires home on 62 to make it 0-2!
  • 66' Yuan Matsuhashi is replacing Yuya Fukuda for the Tokyo Verdy side.
  • 71' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 76' Brazil international Marcos Junior has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 77' The supporters are chanting for Ryosuke Shirai. He replaces Itsuki Someno on 77 minute.
  • 80' Rei Hirakawa catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 80.
  • 83' Naoto Arai makes no mistake. The score reads 0-3 and Sanfrecce Hiroshima are in front.
  • 86' A tactical swap from Tokyo Verdy — Shoji Toyama on, Ryota Inoue off on 86 minutes.
  • 87' Sanfrecce Hiroshima make a change. Sota Nakamura trudges off to be replaced by Marcos Junior on 87 minutes.
  • The final score is 0-3.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.95 Tokyo Verdy xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.96 Sanfrecce Hiroshima xG
I would bet for: Sanfrecce Hiroshima to win 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Tokyo Verdy20% Draw24% Sanfrecce Hiroshima56%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.91
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 55%
45%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Tokyo Verdy or Draw
45%
Draw or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
80%
Tokyo Verdy or Sanfrecce Hiroshima
76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Tokyo Verdy15% Draw43% Sanfrecce Hiroshima42%
Actual: Sanfrecce Hiroshima win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11%
0 – 2
10.3%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 2
9.6%
0 – 0
7.2%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
6.3%
2 – 1
4.6%
2 – 2
4.6%
1 – 0
4.4%
0 – 4
3.2%
1 – 4
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Tokyo Verdy

Handicap Tokyo Verdy covers Push Sanfrecce Hiroshima covers
-2.5 2% — 98%
-2 2% 4% 94%
-1.5 6% — 94%
-1 6% 11% 83%
-0.5 17% — 83%
+0.5 41% — 59%
+1 41% 23% 36%
+1.5 64% — 36%
+2 64% 18% 18%
+2.5 82% — 18%

Clean Sheet

Tokyo Verdy keeps clean sheet
15% ✓
Sanfrecce Hiroshima keeps clean sheet
39% ✗

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.