Thursday , 22 October 2026

CA Mineiro vs Santos FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

2 – 1
Full Time
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 19:00 UTC ARENA MRV HT 45' · FT 45'
0–1 88' Gabriel Barbosa
Vitor Hugo 90+1' 1–1
Thiago Borbas 90+7' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

CA Mineiro vs Santos FC — Serie A at ARENA MRV.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct Santos FC H 2–1 W
08 Oct CA Paranaense A 2–2 D
03 Oct RB Bragantino H 1–0 W
19 Sep Chapecoense AF H 1–1 D
12 Sep Fluminense FC H 3–1 W
05 Sep Sao Paulo FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct CA Mineiro A 1–2 L
08 Oct CR Flamengo H 2–2 D
02 Oct Sao Paulo FC A 2–1 W
19 Sep Clube do Remo A 2–1 W
13 Sep Cruzeiro EC H 2–1 W
06 Sep SC Internacional A 3–2 W

Season Stats

CA Mineiro Santos FC
#6 Position #8
50 Points 45
31 Played 31
14 / 8 / 9 W / D / L 12 / 9 / 10
42 Scored 48
35 Conceded 46
+7 GD +2
1.61 PPG 1.45
45% Win % 39%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
44% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
23% Clean Sheets
Santos FC this season

CA Mineiro are 6th (50 pts). Santos FC are 8th (45 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

CA Mineiro
0-15
2/4
16-30
8/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
9/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Santos FC
0-15
2/3
16-30
4/3
31-45
8/6
46-60
7/4
61-75
3/4
76+
10/9
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

CA Mineiro
Tomas Cuello 5 G 2 A
Victor Hugo Gomes 4 G 1 A
Santos FC
Gabriel Barbosa 15 G 3 A
Neymar 8 G 3 A
Alvaro Barreal 5 G 1 A
Benjamin Rollheiser 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Here we go! The referee blows the whistle and CA Mineiro launch into their encounter with Santos FC.
  • 5' CA Mineiro are deployed in a 4-2-3-1 today, looking to exploit space against Santos FC's 4-2-3-1 shape.
  • 9' Fresh legs for Santos FC! Luan Peres comes on to replace Willian Arao.
  • 14' CA Mineiro currently sit 7 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 19' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering CA Mineiro that had 485 games and scored 491 goals.
  • 24' Natanael has been relatively quiet despite scoring 2 goals in his last 143 appearances.
  • 29' Brazil international Willian Arao has been a key figure this campaign — 1 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 34' With 0 assists to his name this season, Alexsander Gomes is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Santos FC.
  • 39' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CA Mineiro and Santos FC are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
  • 44' CA Mineiro is showing some good football. However, CA Mineiro are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
  • 45' The referee has no hesitation. Alan Franco is booked for CA Mineiro — card on 45.
  • 46' It is a substitution in CA Mineiro team. Victor Hugo Gomes is replaced by Alan Minda on 46 minute.
  • 51' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 56' Santos FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
  • 61' The 24-year-old Gabriel Delfim has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 66' CA Mineiro player sees a card in front of him.
  • 69' Angelo Preciado is replacing Natanael for the CA Mineiro side.
  • 70' Igor Gomes catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 70.
  • 72' Joao Schmidt gets the nod from Santos FC. He replaces Gustavo Henrique and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 77' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
  • 82' The crowd applauds Alexsander Gomes as he leaves the pitch. Dudu steps in for CA Mineiro.
  • 85' Joao Schmidt has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 85.
  • 86' A tactical swap from Santos FC — Alvaro Barreal on, Everton off on 86 minutes.
  • 88' Gabriel Barbosa adds to his 10 season tally! Santos FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 89' Gabriel Barbosa has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 89.
  • 90' It’s a booking for Santos FC player. Willian Arao gets a card.
  • Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for CA Mineiro players.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.59 CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.24 Santos FC xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro45% Draw27% Santos FC28%
Actual: CA Mineiro win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 31%
69%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

CA Mineiro or Draw
72%
Draw or Santos FC
55%
CA Mineiro or Santos FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
CA Mineiro32% Draw46% Santos FC22%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.6%
2 – 1
Actual
1 – 0
8.5%
0 – 0
7.8%
2 – 0
7.3%
1 – 2
6.9%
0 – 1
6.4%
2 – 2
5.5%
3 – 1
4.7%
0 – 2
4.5%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
3%

Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro

Handicap CA Mineiro covers Push Santos FC covers
-2.5 9% — 91%
-2 9% 14% 77%
-1.5 23% — 77%
-1 23% 21% 56%
-0.5 44% — 56%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 16% 12%
+1.5 88% — 12%
+2 88% 8% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
30% ✓
Santos FC keeps clean sheet
21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.