Sunday , 16 August 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
5 games this season 🟨 0.0/game 3.4 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D
24 Feb PAE Olympiakos SFP H 0–0 D
21 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L
18 Feb PAE Olympiakos SFP A 2–0 W
14 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 4–0 W
07 Feb Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
20 Feb Hamburger SV H 1–1 D
13 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 0–4 L
07 Feb FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
31 Jan RB Leipzig A 2–1 W
24 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1. FSV Mainz 05
#12 Position #16
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 12th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.93 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.49 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 82% + Under — clean sheet likely 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen45% Draw35% 1. FSV Mainz 0520%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes25% 0% No75%
Avg goals/match: 1.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 73%
27%
± 1.5 42%
58%
± 2.5 18%
82%
± 3.5 6%
94%
± 4.5 2%
98%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
81%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
55%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or 1. FSV Mainz 05
65%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen26% Draw63% 1. FSV Mainz 0511%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
26.8%
1 – 0
20.9%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
10.3%
2 – 0
9.7%
2 – 1
5.3%
3 – 0
3%
1 – 2
2.7%
0 – 2
2.6%
3 – 1
1.7%
2 – 2
1.4%
4 – 0
0.7%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 12% 84%
-1.5 16% 84%
-1 16% 27% 57%
-0.5 43% 57%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 13% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
61%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
40%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.