Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
3 games this season 🟨 5.7/game ⚽ 11.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D
24 Feb PAE Olympiakos SFP H 0–0 D
21 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L
18 Feb PAE Olympiakos SFP A 2–0 W
14 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 4–0 W
07 Feb Borussia Mönchengladbach A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
20 Feb Hamburger SV H 1–1 D
13 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 0–4 L
07 Feb FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
31 Jan RB Leipzig A 2–1 W
24 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1. FSV Mainz 05
#5 Position #6
7 Points 7
4 Played 4
2 / 1 / 1 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
10 Scored 10
5 Conceded 6
+5 GD +4
1.75 PPG 1.75
50% Win % 50%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
50% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 5th (7 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
1/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
1/–
46-60
2/3
61-75
1/–
76+
3/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
Patrik Schick 4 G 1 A
Christian Kofane 2 G
Ibrahim Maza 1 G 1 A
Facundo Medina 1 G
Nicolas Ezequiel Fernandez 1 G
1. FSV Mainz 05
Phillip Tietz 4 G
Sheraldo Becker 2 G 3 A
Philipp Mwene 1 G 1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer 1 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against Bayer 04 Leverkusen and 1. FSV Mainz 05 has kicked off!
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.06 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen53% Draw23% 1. FSV Mainz 0524%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.34
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
77%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
47%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or 1. FSV Mainz 05
77%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Bayer 04 Leverkusen40% Draw41% 1. FSV Mainz 0519%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 1
9.3%
2 – 0
7.5%
1 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.3%
2 – 2
5.9%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 0
5%
0 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 1
3.9%
4 – 1
3.3%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 16% — 84%
-2 16% 17% 67%
-1.5 33% — 67%
-1 33% 21% 46%
-0.5 54% — 46%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 13% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
28% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.