Thursday , 2 July 2026

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 28 Feb 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Tobias Stieler
24 games this season 🟨 0.7/game 4.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–1 D
24 Feb PAE Olympiakos SFP H 0–0 D
21 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin A 0–1 L
18 Feb PAE Olympiakos SFP A 2–0 W
14 Feb FC St. Pauli 1910 H 4–0 W
07 Feb Borussia Monchengladbach A 1–1 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Feb Bayer 04 Leverkusen A 1–1 D
20 Feb Hamburger SV H 1–1 D
13 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 0–4 L
07 Feb FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
31 Jan RB Leipzig A 2–1 W
24 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 3–1 W

Season Stats

Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1. FSV Mainz 05
#6 Position #10
59 Points 40
34 Played 34
17 / 8 / 9 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14
68 Scored 44
47 Conceded 53
+21 GD -9
1.74 PPG 1.18
50% Win % 29%

Key Stats

54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The game is set. 1. FSV Mainz 05 kicks off things out of here…
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.04 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 58% + Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 57%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen57% Draw23% 1. FSV Mainz 0520%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes56% 0% No44%
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 36%
64%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
80%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
43%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or 1. FSV Mainz 05
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Bayer 04 Leverkusen43% Draw42% 1. FSV Mainz 0515%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
8.9%
3 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
6.4%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen

Handicap Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 18% 63%
-1.5 37% 63%
-1 37% 23% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 5% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
37%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
14%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.