Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 games · 59 pts (2025/26)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Stieler
24 games this season
🟨 0.7/game
⚽ 4.0 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Bayern München | 34 | 89 |
| 2 | Borussia Dortmund | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 65 |
| 4 | VfB Stuttgart | 34 | 62 |
| 5 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 34 | 61 |
| 6 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 34 | 59 |
| 7 | SC Freiburg | 34 | 47 |
| 8 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 34 | 44 |
| 9 | FC Augsburg | 34 | 43 |
| 10 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 34 | 40 |
| 11 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 34 | 39 |
| 12 | Borussia Monchengladbach | 34 | 38 |
| 13 | Hamburger SV | 34 | 38 |
| 14 | 1. FC Koln | 34 | 32 |
| 15 | SV Werder Bremen | 34 | 32 |
| 16 | VfL Wolfsburg | 34 | 29 |
| 17 | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | 34 | 26 |
| 18 | FC St. Pauli 1910 | 34 | 26 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 1–1 | D |
| 24 Feb | PAE Olympiakos SFP | H | 0–0 | D |
| 21 Feb | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 0–1 | L |
| 18 Feb | PAE Olympiakos SFP | A | 2–0 | W |
| 14 Feb | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 4–0 | W |
| 07 Feb | Borussia Monchengladbach | A | 1–1 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 1–1 | D |
| 20 Feb | Hamburger SV | H | 1–1 | D |
| 13 Feb | Borussia Dortmund | A | 0–4 | L |
| 07 Feb | FC Augsburg | H | 2–0 | W |
| 31 Jan | RB Leipzig | A | 2–1 | W |
| 24 Jan | VfL Wolfsburg | H | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #10 |
| 59 | Points | 40 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 17 / 8 / 9 | W / D / L | 10 / 10 / 14 |
| 68 | Scored | 44 |
| 47 | Conceded | 53 |
| +21 | GD | -9 |
| 1.74 | PPG | 1.18 |
| 50% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
54%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season
12%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0-15
2/2
16-30
2/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
4/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Events
Match Events
- 0' The game is set. 1. FSV Mainz 05 kicks off things out of here…
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.
Lineups
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Patrik Schick | 5 |
| Lucas Alario | 4 |
| Alejandro Grimaldo | 2 |
| Aaron Martin | 2 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 2 |
| Jeremie Frimpong | 2 |
| Nadiem Amiri | 2 |
| Kai Havertz | 2 |
Head to Head
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2026-02-28
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
2026-02-24
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
0–0
PAE Olympiakos SFP
D
2026-02-21
1. FC Union Berlin
1–0
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
L
2026-02-18
PAE Olympiakos SFP
0–2
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
W
2026-02-14
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
4–0
FC St. Pauli 1910
W
2026-02-07
Borussia Monchengladbach
1–1
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
D
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
2.04
Bayer 04 Leverkusen xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.02
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 58% + Bayer 04 Leverkusen to win 57%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 3.06
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 94% |
|
6% |
| ± 1.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 2.5 | 58% |
|
42% |
| ± 3.5 | 36% |
|
64% |
| ± 4.5 | 20% |
|
80% |
Double Chance
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or Draw
80%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
43%
Bayer 04 Leverkusen or 1. FSV Mainz 05
77%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
9.6%
2 – 1
9.6%
1 – 0
8.9%
3 – 1
6.5%
3 – 0
6.4%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 2
4.8%
0 – 1
4.1%
3 – 2
3.4%
4 – 1
3.4%
Asian Handicap — Bayer 04 Leverkusen
| Handicap | Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -2 | 18% | 18% | 63% |
| -1.5 | 37% | — | 63% |
| -1 | 37% | 23% | 41% |
| -0.5 | 59% | — | 41% |
| +0.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
| +1 | 83% | 11% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 5% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

