VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.
- VfB Stuttgart 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Timo Gerach
- Assistant 1 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
- Assistant 2 Marcel Unger
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | H | 3–3 | D |
| 27 Aug | SC Preußen Münster | A | 5–0 | W |
| 24 Aug | SC Freiburg | A | 1–3 | L |
| 18 May | Borussia Mönchengladbach | H | 4–0 | W |
| 10 May | FC Augsburg | A | 1–0 | W |
| 04 May | FC Bayern München | H | 3–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug | VfB Stuttgart | A | 3–3 | D |
| 24 Aug | 1. FC Union Berlin | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Aug | SV Wehen Wiesbaden | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 May | VfL Wolfsburg | A | 3–1 | W |
| 11 May | Borussia Dortmund | H | 3–0 | W |
| 05 May | 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 | A | 1–1 | D |
Season Stats
| VfB Stuttgart | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #6 |
| 3 | Points | 7 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 1 / 0 / 3 | W / D / L | 2 / 1 / 1 |
| 6 | Scored | 10 |
| 9 | Conceded | 6 |
| -3 | GD | +4 |
| 0.75 | PPG | 1.75 |
| 25% | Win % | 50% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
0%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
50%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
VfB Stuttgart are 15th (3 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
VfB Stuttgart
| Josha Vagnoman | 2 G | 1 A |
| Ermedin Demirovic | 1 G | |
| Grischa Promel | 1 G | |
| Bilal El Khannouss | 1 G |
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 4 G | |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 3 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' It’s Showtime! The match between VfB Stuttgart and 1. FSV Mainz 05 is underway.
- 5' Julian Chabot has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 311 appearances.
- 8' Enzo Millot does the damage! The net is bulging and VfB Stuttgart surge ahead!
- 13' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 15' Jamie Leweling adds to his 0 season tally! VfB Stuttgart lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
- 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
- 25' The 34-year-old Jae-sung Lee has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
- 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
- 36' Poor challenge from Atakan Karazor. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 41' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alexander Nubel, as he is very good at scoring at Mercedes-Benz Arena with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
- 43' GOAL! Nadiem Amiri scores on 43.
- 46' Another change for VfB Stuttgart made on 46 minute. Chris Fuhrich leaves to be changed by Fabian Rieder.
- 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 53' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Julian Chabot on 53 minutes.
- 57' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Enzo Millot.
- 62' GOAL! Jonathan Burkardt scores on 62. Assisted by Andreas Hanche-Olsen
- 64' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Hyun-seok Hong is replaced by Armindo Sieb on 64 minute.
- 69' VfB Stuttgart seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 73' Another change for VfB Stuttgart made on 73 minute. Deniz Undav leaves to be changed by Ermedin Demirovic.
- 74' Time for substitution for VfB Stuttgart. Jamie Leweling is replaced by El Bilal Toure.
- 79' Silvan Widmer was booked on 79.
- 84' Josha Vagnoman picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 87' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Nadiem Amiri exits the field as Aymen Barkok enters on 87.
- 88' Goal! Fabian Rieder scores his 8 goal in 236 matches.
- 89' VfB Stuttgart ring the changes. Maximilian Mittelstadt has done his job and it is now time for Ramon Hendriks to step up.
- will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.
Lineups
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 16
- 24
- 7
- 33
-
15
Pascal Stenzel ↓ Josha Vagnoman 46'
-
27
Chris Fuhrich ↓ Fabian Rieder 46'
-
18
Jamie Leweling ↓ El Bilal Toure 74'
-
26
Deniz Undav ↓ Ermedin Demirovic 73'
- 8
- 6
- 45
Bench
-
9
Ermedin Demirovic ↑ 73'
-
4
Josha Vagnoman ↑ 46'
- 1
- 11
-
10
El Bilal Toure ↑ 74'
-
32
Fabian Rieder ↑ 46'
-
3
Ramon Hendriks ↑ 89'
- 17
- 13
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Silvan Widmer 73'
- 31
- 2
- 27
-
16
Stefan Bell ↓ Maxim Leitsch 46'
- 29
-
18
Nadiem Amiri ↓ Aymen Barkok 87'
- 25
-
14
Hyun-seok Hong ↓ Armindo Sieb 64'
- 6
- 7
Bench
- 9
- 21
-
5
Maxim Leitsch ↑ 46'
-
4
Aymen Barkok ↑ 87'
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 73'
- 8
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 64'
- 1
-
22
Nikolas Veratschnig ↑ 87'
Coach
Bo Henriksen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sehrou Guirassy | 5 |
| Silas Wamangituka | 2 |
| Sasa Kalajdzic | 2 |
| Jamie Leweling | 2 |
| Borna Sosa | 2 |
| Alexander Hack | 2 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 2 |
| Enzo Millot | 1 |
Head to Head
VfB Stuttgart Form
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2024-08-31
VfB Stuttgart
3–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
2024-08-24
1. FSV Mainz 05
1–1
1. FC Union Berlin
D
2024-08-16
SV Wehen Wiesbaden
1–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2024-05-18
VfL Wolfsburg
1–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2024-05-11
1. FSV Mainz 05
3–0
Borussia Dortmund
W
2024-05-05
1. FC Heidenheim 1846
1–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
D
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.04
VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.39
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 81% + VfB Stuttgart or 1. FSV Mainz 05 78%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 4.43
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 2.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 3.5 | 63% |
|
37% |
| ± 4.5 | 45% |
|
55% |
Double Chance
VfB Stuttgart or Draw
61%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
61%
VfB Stuttgart or 1. FSV Mainz 05
78%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 1
6.6%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 3
5.4%
1 – 3
5.3%
3 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 3
Actual
0 – 2
3.5%
2 – 4
3.2%
1 – 4
3.2%
Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart
| Handicap | VfB Stuttgart covers | Push | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 10% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 15% | 66% |
| -0.5 | 34% | — | 66% |
| +0.5 | 54% | — | 46% |
| +1 | 54% | 18% | 28% |
| +1.5 | 72% | — | 28% |
| +2 | 72% | 14% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
10%
✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
14%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

