Wednesday , 30 September 2026

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2024-25
Sat 31 Aug 2024 · 13:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena 59,000 HT 45' · FT 45'
Enzo Millot 8' 1–0
Jamie Leweling 15' 2–0
2–1 43' Nadiem Amiri pen
2–2 62' Jonathan Burkardt
Fabian Rieder 88' 3–2
3–3 90+4' Maxim Leitsch

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

Match Details

  • Referee Timo Gerach
  • Assistant 1 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
  • Assistant 2 Marcel Unger

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 3–3 D
27 Aug SC Preußen Münster A 5–0 W
24 Aug SC Freiburg A 1–3 L
18 May Borussia Mönchengladbach H 4–0 W
10 May FC Augsburg A 1–0 W
04 May FC Bayern München H 3–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Aug VfB Stuttgart A 3–3 D
24 Aug 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–1 D
16 Aug SV Wehen Wiesbaden A 3–1 W
18 May VfL Wolfsburg A 3–1 W
11 May Borussia Dortmund H 3–0 W
05 May 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 1–1 D

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart 1. FSV Mainz 05
#15 Position #6
3 Points 7
4 Played 4
1 / 0 / 3 W / D / L 2 / 1 / 1
6 Scored 10
9 Conceded 6
-3 GD +4
0.75 PPG 1.75
25% Win % 50%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
0% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

VfB Stuttgart are 15th (3 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Events

Match Events

  • 0' It’s Showtime! The match between VfB Stuttgart and 1. FSV Mainz 05 is underway.
  • 5' Julian Chabot has been relatively quiet despite scoring 8 goals in his last 311 appearances.
  • 8' Enzo Millot does the damage! The net is bulging and VfB Stuttgart surge ahead!
  • 13' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
  • 15' Jamie Leweling adds to his 0 season tally! VfB Stuttgart lead 2-0 — and this changes everything.
  • 20' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 25' The 34-year-old Jae-sung Lee has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 30' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 35' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 35 minutes.
  • 36' Poor challenge from Atakan Karazor. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 41' Supporters expect more eagerness from Alexander Nubel, as he is very good at scoring at Mercedes-Benz Arena with 1 goals in the last 1 games.
  • 43' GOAL! Nadiem Amiri scores on 43.
  • 46' Another change for VfB Stuttgart made on 46 minute. Chris Fuhrich leaves to be changed by Fabian Rieder.
  • 51' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 53' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Julian Chabot on 53 minutes.
  • 57' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Enzo Millot.
  • 62' GOAL! Jonathan Burkardt scores on 62. Assisted by Andreas Hanche-Olsen
  • 64' It is a substitution in 1. FSV Mainz 05 team. Hyun-seok Hong is replaced by Armindo Sieb on 64 minute.
  • 69' VfB Stuttgart seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 73' Another change for VfB Stuttgart made on 73 minute. Deniz Undav leaves to be changed by Ermedin Demirovic.
  • 74' Time for substitution for VfB Stuttgart. Jamie Leweling is replaced by El Bilal Toure.
  • 79' Silvan Widmer was booked on 79.
  • 84' Josha Vagnoman picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 87' A change in the 1. FSV Mainz 05 ranks — Nadiem Amiri exits the field as Aymen Barkok enters on 87.
  • 88' Goal! Fabian Rieder scores his 8 goal in 236 matches.
  • 89' VfB Stuttgart ring the changes. Maximilian Mittelstadt has done his job and it is now time for Ramon Hendriks to step up.
  • will have plenty to reflect on. were simply the better side today.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.04 VfB Stuttgart xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
2.39 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 81% + VfB Stuttgart or 1. FSV Mainz 05 78%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart39% Draw22% 1. FSV Mainz 0539%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes78% 0% No22%
Avg goals/match: 4.43
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 98%
2%
± 1.5 93%
7%
± 2.5 81%
19%
± 3.5 63%
37%
± 4.5 45%
55%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw
61%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
61%
VfB Stuttgart or 1. FSV Mainz 05
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
VfB Stuttgart28% Draw36% 1. FSV Mainz 0536%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 2
6.8%
2 – 2
6.8%
1 – 1
6.6%
2 – 1
5.9%
2 – 3
5.4%
1 – 3
5.3%
3 – 2
4.6%
3 – 1
3.9%
3 – 3
Actual
0 – 2
3.5%
2 – 4
3.2%
1 – 4
3.2%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap VfB Stuttgart covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 8% — 92%
-2 8% 10% 82%
-1.5 18% — 82%
-1 18% 15% 66%
-0.5 34% — 66%
+0.5 54% — 46%
+1 54% 18% 28%
+1.5 72% — 28%
+2 72% 14% 15%
+2.5 85% — 15%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
10% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.