VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

VfB Stuttgart

3 – 3

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sat 31 Aug 2024 · 13:30 UTC Mercedes-Benz Arena 59,000 HT 45' · FT 45'

Enzo Millot 8' 1–0

Jamie Leweling 15' 2–0

2–1 43' Nadiem Amiri pen

2–2 62' Jonathan Burkardt

Fabian Rieder 88' 3–2

3–3 90+4' Maxim Leitsch

Atakan Karazor 36' Y

Julian Chabot 53' Y

Enzo Millot 57' Y

Y 79' Silvan Widmer

Josha Vagnoman 84' Y

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga at Mercedes-Benz Arena.

VfB Stuttgart 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Timo Gerach
Assistant 1 Dr. Martin Thomsen (Germany)
Assistant 2 Marcel Unger

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
2	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
3	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26
4	FC Schalke 04	0	0
5	SC Paderborn 07	0	0
6	SV 07 Elversberg	0	0
7	FC Bayern München	0	0
8	Borussia Dortmund	0	0
9	RB Leipzig	0	0
10	VfB Stuttgart	0	0
11	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0	0
12	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0	0
13	SC Freiburg	0	0
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0
15	FC Augsburg	0	0
16	1. FSV Mainz 05	0	0
17	1. FC Union Berlin	0	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0
19	Hamburger SV	0	0
20	1. FC Köln	0	0
21	SV Werder Bremen	0	0

Head-to-Head

VfB Stuttgart 24 games · Avg 3.1 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2024-08-31 VfB Stuttgart 3–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-02-11 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-09-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 VfB Stuttgart 2023-05-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–4 VfB Stuttgart 2023-01-21 VfB Stuttgart 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Aug	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	3–3	D
27 Aug	SC Preußen Münster	A	5–0	W
24 Aug	SC Freiburg	A	1–3	L
18 May	Borussia Mönchengladbach	H	4–0	W
10 May	FC Augsburg	A	1–0	W
04 May	FC Bayern München	H	3–1	W

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Aug	VfB Stuttgart	A	3–3	D
24 Aug	1. FC Union Berlin	H	1–1	D
16 Aug	SV Wehen Wiesbaden	A	3–1	W
18 May	VfL Wolfsburg	A	3–1	W
11 May	Borussia Dortmund	H	3–0	W
05 May	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	1–1	D

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart		1. FSV Mainz 05
#10	Position	#16
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

VfB Stuttgart are 10th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The game is set. VfB Stuttgart kicks off things out of here…
5' It looks like no one’s ball. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
8' Enzo Millot has been a constant threat and now delivers with a goal on 8 minutes.
13' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both VfB Stuttgart and 1. FSV Mainz 05 are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
15' The Germany Jamie Leweling breaks the deadlock on 15 minutes. 2-0!
20' VfB Stuttgart is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
25' VfB Stuttgart seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
30' VfB Stuttgart are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined 1. FSV Mainz 05 backline.
35' Supporters expect more eagerness from Angelo Stiller, as he is very good at scoring at Mercedes-Benz Arena with 4 goals in the last 4 games.
36' A meaty challenge results in booking for Atakan Karazor on 36.
41' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
43' Against the run of play, Nadiem Amiri has scored! This game has turned on its head.
46' It is a substitution in VfB Stuttgart team. Chris Fuhrich is replaced by Fabian Rieder on 46 minute.
51' 1. FSV Mainz 05 fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
53' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Julian Chabot.
57' That is a card for VfB Stuttgart. Enzo Millot will be fuming at that decision.
62' GOAL! Jonathan Burkardt fires home to make it 2-2!
64' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Hyun-seok Hong has done his job and it is now time for Armindo Sieb to step up.
69' It’s high time Bo Henriksen made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
73' The VfB Stuttgart manager makes a substitution. Deniz Undav departs to be replaced by Ermedin Demirovic.
74' A tactical swap from VfB Stuttgart — El Bilal Toure on, Jamie Leweling off on 74 minutes.
79' Silvan Widmer catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 79.
84' That looks like a foul for a card for Josha Vagnoman.
87' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Nadiem Amiri departs to be replaced by Aymen Barkok.
88' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Fabian Rieder makes it 3-2.
89' A tactical swap from VfB Stuttgart — Ramon Hendriks on, Maximilian Mittelstadt off on 89 minutes.
celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

4-2-3-1

Starting XI

16
Atakan Karazor
24
Julian Chabot
7
Maximilian Mittelstadt ↓ Ramon Hendriks 89'
33
Alexander Nubel
15
Pascal Stenzel ↓ Josha Vagnoman 46'
27
Chris Fuhrich ↓ Fabian Rieder 46'
18
Jamie Leweling ↓ El Bilal Toure 74'
26
Deniz Undav ↓ Ermedin Demirovic 73'
8
Enzo Millot
6
Angelo Stiller
45
Anrie Chase

Bench

Coach Sebastian Hoeneß

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

19
Anthony Caci ↓ Silvan Widmer 73'
31
Dominik Kohr
2
Philipp Mwene
27
Robin Zentner
16
Stefan Bell ↓ Maxim Leitsch 46'
29
Jonathan Burkardt
18
Nadiem Amiri ↓ Aymen Barkok 87'
25
Andreas Hanche-Olsen
14
Hyun-seok Hong ↓ Armindo Sieb 64'
6
Kaishu Sano
7
Jae-sung Lee ↓ Nikolas Veratschnig 87'

Bench

9
Karim Onisiwo
21
Danny da Costa
5
Maxim Leitsch ↑ 46'
4
Aymen Barkok ↑ 87'
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 73'
8
Paul Nebel
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 64'
1
Lasse Riess
22
Nikolas Veratschnig ↑ 87'

Coach Bo Henriksen

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sehrou Guirassy	5
Alexander Hack	2
Marcus Ingvartsen	2
Silas Wamangituka	2
Sasa Kalajdzic	2
Jamie Leweling	2
Borna Sosa	2
Deniz Undav	1

Head to Head

VfB Stuttgart Form

2024-08-31 VfB Stuttgart 3–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2024-08-27 SC Preußen Münster 0–5 VfB Stuttgart W 2024-08-24 SC Freiburg 3–1 VfB Stuttgart L 2024-05-18 VfB Stuttgart 4–0 Borussia Mönchengladbach W 2024-05-10 FC Augsburg 0–1 VfB Stuttgart W 2024-05-04 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 FC Bayern München W

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2024-08-31 VfB Stuttgart 3–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2024-08-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 1. FC Union Berlin D 2024-08-16 SV Wehen Wiesbaden 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-05-18 VfL Wolfsburg 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-05-11 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–0 Borussia Dortmund W 2024-05-05 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

0 / 4

1.36 VfB Stuttgart xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.97 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 59%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

VfB Stuttgart46% Draw29% 1. FSV Mainz 0525%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes47% 0% No53%

Avg goals/match: 2.33

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	88%	12%
± 1.5	68%	32%
± 2.5	41%	59%
± 3.5	21%	79%
± 4.5	9%	91%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw

75%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

54%

VfB Stuttgart or 1. FSV Mainz 05

71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

VfB Stuttgart31% Draw50% 1. FSV Mainz 0519%

Actual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT

Correct Score

✗ 3–3 not predicted

3 – 3

Actual

1 – 1

13.7%

1 – 0

12.1%

0 – 0

11.9%

2 – 0

8.7%

2 – 1

8.4%

0 – 1

8.3%

1 – 2

0 – 2

4.4%

2 – 2

4.2%

3 – 0

3.9%

3 – 1

3.9%

3 – 2

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap	VfB Stuttgart covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	13%	79%
-1.5	21%	—	79%
-1	21%	23%	56%
-0.5	44%	—	56%
+0.5	75%	—	25%
+1	75%	16%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet

38% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

26% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.