AFC Ajax vs NEC, Eredivisie 2026-27 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs NEC — Eredivisie at Johan Cruijff Arena.
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 7 | 17 |
| 3 | PSV | 7 | 16 |
| 4 | FC Twente '65 | 7 | 16 |
| 5 | AFC Ajax | 7 | 14 |
| 6 | Fortuna Sittard | 7 | 13 |
| 7 | SBV Excelsior | 7 | 11 |
| 8 | FC Groningen | 7 | 11 |
| 9 | Go Ahead Eagles | 7 | 10 |
| 10 | SC Heerenveen | 7 | 9 |
| 11 | NEC | 7 | 8 |
| 12 | Sparta Rotterdam | 7 | 5 |
| 13 | Telstar 1963 | 7 | 5 |
| 14 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 7 | 5 |
| 15 | FC Utrecht | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | PEC Zwolle | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | ADO Den Haag | 7 | 2 |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 7 | 2 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | SBV Excelsior | H | 2–2 | D |
| 15 Sep | Willem II Tilburg | H | 5–1 | W |
| 12 Sep | Fortuna Sittard | A | 5–1 | W |
| 05 Sep | PSV | H | 1–3 | L |
| 30 Aug | Telstar 1963 | A | 4–0 | W |
| 16 Aug | SC Heerenveen | H | 2–2 | D |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | Go Ahead Eagles | H | 1–1 | D |
| 17 Sep | Juventus FC | A | 0–5 | L |
| 12 Sep | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | A | 0–3 | L |
| 08 Sep | SBV Excelsior | H | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Sep | Feyenoord Rotterdam | H | 1–3 | L |
| 29 Aug | PEC Zwolle | A | 3–1 | W |
Season Stats
| AFC Ajax | NEC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #11 |
| 14 | Points | 8 |
| 7 | Played | 7 |
| 4 / 2 / 1 | W / D / L | 2 / 2 / 3 |
| 21 | Scored | 12 |
| 9 | Conceded | 13 |
| +12 | GD | -1 |
| 2.00 | PPG | 1.14 |
| 57% | Win % | 29% |
Key Stats
60%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
H2H (10 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season
AFC Ajax this season
0%
Clean Sheets
NEC this season
NEC this season
AFC Ajax are 5th (14 pts). NEC are 11th (8 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax
0-15
–/1
16-30
1/–
31-45
6/3
46-60
2/1
61-75
5/1
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
NEC
0-15
3/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/2
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
3/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
AFC Ajax
| Julian Brandt | 4 G | |
| Toluwalas Arokodare | 3 G | 1 A |
| Davy Klaassen | 3 G | |
| Kasper Dolberg | 2 G | 2 A |
| Jorthy Mokio | 1 G |
NEC
| Tjaronn Chery | 3 G | 2 A |
| Kaj Sierhuis | 2 G | |
| Adam Tahauia | 2 G | |
| Bryan Linssen | 1 G |
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bart van Rooij | 3 |
| Noussair Mazraoui | 2 |
| Wout Weghorst | 2 |
| Sontje Hansen | 2 |
| Brian Brobbey | 2 |
| Davy Klaassen | 2 |
| Carlos Forbs | 2 |
| Dusan Tadic | 2 |
Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
Predictions
2.93
AFC Ajax xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33
NEC xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 78% + Both teams to score 69%
Match Result
Both Teams to Score
Avg goals/match: 4.26
Over / Under Goals
| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 98% |
|
2% |
| ± 1.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 2.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 3.5 | 60% |
|
40% |
| ± 4.5 | 41% |
|
59% |
Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw
83%
Draw or NEC
36%
AFC Ajax or NEC
81%
Half-Time Result
Correct Score
2 – 1
8%
3 – 1
7.6%
1 – 1
6.3%
2 – 0
6.3%
3 – 0
5.9%
4 – 1
5.6%
2 – 2
5.2%
3 – 2
5%
4 – 0
4.3%
1 – 0
4%
4 – 2
3.7%
1 – 2
3.7%
Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
| Handicap | AFC Ajax covers | Push | NEC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 31% | — | 69% |
| -2 | 31% | 19% | 51% |
| -1.5 | 49% | — | 51% |
| -1 | 49% | 19% | 31% |
| -0.5 | 69% | — | 31% |
| +0.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
| +1 | 85% | 9% | 6% |
| +1.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
| +2 | 94% | 4% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet
27%
NEC keeps clean sheet
6%
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

