AFC Ajax vs NEC, Eredivisie 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
AFC Ajax vs NEC — Eredivisie .
Match Details
- Referee Jeroen Manschot
21 games this season 🟨 0.7/game ⚽ 3.7 goals/gameStandings
# Team P Pts 1 PSV 34 84 2 Feyenoord Rotterdam 34 65 3 NEC 34 59 4 FC Twente '65 34 58 5 AFC Ajax 34 56 6 FC Utrecht 34 53 7 AZ 34 52 8 SC Heerenveen 34 51 9 FC Groningen 34 48 10 Sparta Rotterdam 34 43 11 Fortuna Sittard 34 39 12 Go Ahead Eagles 34 38 13 SBV Excelsior 34 38 14 Telstar 1963 34 37 15 PEC Zwolle 34 37 16 FC Volendam 34 32 17 NAC Breda 34 29 18 Heracles Almelo 34 19 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 21 Feb NEC H 1–1 D 14 Feb Fortuna Sittard H 4–1 W 08 Feb AZ A 1–1 D 01 Feb SBV Excelsior A 2–2 D 28 Jan PAE Olympiakos SFP H 1–2 L 24 Jan FC Volendam H 2–0 W Date Opponent H/A Score Result 21 Feb AFC Ajax A 1–1 D 17 Feb Sparta Rotterdam A 1–1 D 11 Feb FC Utrecht H 1–3 L 07 Feb Heracles Almelo H 4–1 W 31 Jan AZ A 3–1 W 24 Jan PEC Zwolle H 2–1 W Season Stats
AFC Ajax NEC #5 Position #3 56 Points 59 34 Played 34 14 / 14 / 6 W / D / L 16 / 11 / 7 62 Scored 77 41 Conceded 53 +21 GD +24 1.65 PPG 1.74 41% Win % 47% Key Stats
60% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history29% Clean Sheets
AFC Ajax this season15% Clean Sheets
NEC this seasonAFC Ajax are 5th (56 pts). NEC are 3rd (59 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
AFC Ajax0-151/116-303/131-452/–46-601/–61-75–/–76+2/4■ Scored ■ ConcededNEC0-151/116-302/131-451/246-60–/261-751/–76+3/–■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
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Lineups
AFC Ajax Lineups
NEC Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Bart van Rooij 3 Sontje Hansen 2 Brian Brobbey 2 Davy Klaassen 2 Carlos Forbs 2 Dusan Tadic 2 Noussair Mazraoui 2 Wout Weghorst 2 Head to Head
AFC Ajax Form
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Predictions
Prediction accuracy1 / 41.8 AFC Ajax xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo1.58 NEC xGI would bet for: AFC Ajax or NEC 75% + Both teams to score 66%Match Result
✗ WrongActual: DrawBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 3.38Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 95% 5% ± 1.5 85% 15% ± 2.5 65% 35% ± 3.5 43% 57% ± 4.5 26% 74% Double Chance
AFC Ajax or Draw 68%Draw or NEC 57%AFC Ajax or NEC 75%Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: AFC Ajax win at HTCorrect Score
✓ In top 121 – 1 Actual2 – 1 8.4%1 – 2 7.4%2 – 2 6.6%2 – 0 5.5%1 – 0 5.5%3 – 1 5%0 – 0 4.9%0 – 1 4.7%0 – 2 4.3%3 – 2 4%1 – 3 3.9%Asian Handicap — AFC Ajax
Handicap AFC Ajax covers Push NEC covers -2.5 10% — 90% -2 10% 13% 77% -1.5 23% — 77% -1 23% 19% 58% -0.5 42% — 58% +0.5 67% — 33% +1 67% 17% 17% +1.5 83% — 17% +2 83% 10% 7% +2.5 93% — 7% Clean Sheet
AFC Ajax keeps clean sheet 21% ✓NEC keeps clean sheet 17% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.