Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC Augsburg, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Sat 7 Feb 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs FC AugsburgBundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Patrick Ittrich
16 games this season 🟨 0.8/game 5.2 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Feb FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
31 Jan RB Leipzig A 2–1 W
24 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 3–1 W
17 Jan 1. FC Koln A 1–2 L
13 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W
10 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–2 D
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 0–2 L
31 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 H 2–1 W
24 Jan FC Bayern München A 2–1 W
18 Jan SC Freiburg H 2–2 D
15 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin H 1–1 D
11 Jan Borussia Monchengladbach A 0–4 L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 FC Augsburg
#10 Position #9
40 Points 43
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 12 / 7 / 15
44 Scored 45
53 Conceded 61
-9 GD -16
1.18 PPG 1.26
29% Win % 35%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
72% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
15% Clean Sheets
FC Augsburg this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). FC Augsburg are 9th (43 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
FC Augsburg
0-15
3/2
16-30
3/
31-45
3/3
46-60
/2
61-75
2/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

FC Augsburg Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.93 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.93 FC Augsburg xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 to win 61%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0561% Draw23% FC Augsburg16%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes52% 0% No48%
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
83%
Draw or FC Augsburg
39%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or FC Augsburg
77%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0542% Draw43% FC Augsburg15%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.1%
2 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
10.4%
2 – 1
9.6%
0 – 0
7.5%
3 – 0
6.6%
3 – 1
6.2%
1 – 2
4.6%
0 – 1
4.5%
2 – 2
4.5%
4 – 0
3.2%
4 – 1
3.1%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push FC Augsburg covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 18% 64%
-1.5 36% 64%
-1 36% 23% 41%
-0.5 59% 41%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 11% 6%
+1.5 94% 6%
+2 94% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
40%
FC Augsburg keeps clean sheet
15%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.