Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF, La Liga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Primera Division · 2025-26

Real Madrid CF

3 – 1

Full Time

Villarreal CF

Sat 4 Oct 2025 · 19:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Real Madrid CF vs Villarreal CF — La Liga .

Real Madrid CF 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
Villarreal CF 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Guillermo Cuadra Fernandez (Spain)

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	RCD Mallorca	38	42
2	Girona FC	38	41
3	Real Oviedo	38	29
4	Deportivo Alavés	1	3
5	Sevilla FC	1	3
6	RC Deportivo La Coruña	0	0
7	Málaga CF	0	0
8	Real Racing Club de Santander	0	0
9	FC Barcelona	0	0
10	Real Madrid CF	0	0
11	Villarreal CF	0	0
12	Club Atlético de Madrid	0	0
13	Real Betis Balompié	0	0
14	RC Celta de Vigo	0	0
15	Valencia CF	0	0
16	Real Sociedad de Fútbol	0	0
17	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	0	0
18	Athletic Club	0	0
19	Elche CF	0	0
20	Levante UD	0	0
21	CA Osasuna	0	0
22	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid	1	0
23	Getafe CF	1	0

Head-to-Head

Real Madrid CF 16 games · Avg 3.3 goals Villarreal CF

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-04 Real Madrid CF 3–1 Villarreal CF 2025-03-15 Villarreal CF 1–2 Real Madrid CF 2024-10-05 Real Madrid CF 2–0 Villarreal CF 2024-05-19 Villarreal CF 4–4 Real Madrid CF 2023-12-17 Real Madrid CF 4–1 Villarreal CF

Recent Form

Real Madrid CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Villarreal CF	H	3–1	W
30 Sep	FK Kairat	A	5–0	W
27 Sep	Club Atlético de Madrid	A	2–5	L
23 Sep	Levante UD	A	4–1	W
20 Sep	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona	H	2–0	W
16 Sep	Olympique de Marseille	H	2–1	W

Villarreal CF

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
04 Oct	Real Madrid CF	A	1–3	L
01 Oct	Juventus FC	H	2–2	D
27 Sep	Athletic Club	H	1–0	W
23 Sep	Sevilla FC	A	2–1	W
20 Sep	CA Osasuna	H	2–1	W
16 Sep	Tottenham Hotspur FC	A	0–1	L

Season Stats

Real Madrid CF		Villarreal CF
#10	Position	#11
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Real Madrid CF are 10th (0 pts). Villarreal CF are 11th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The ball is rolling at . Real Madrid CF are looking to make home advantage count against Villarreal CF.
Full Time. Real Madrid CF beats Villarreal CF

Lineups

Real Madrid CF Lineups

Villarreal CF Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Karim Benzema	7
Alexander Sorloth	4
Gerard Moreno	4
Mariano Diaz	3
Luka Modric	2
Yeremi Pino	2
Arda Guler	2
Vinicius Junior	2

Head to Head

Real Madrid CF Form

2025-10-04 Real Madrid CF 3–1 Villarreal CF W 2025-09-30 FK Kairat 0–5 Real Madrid CF W 2025-09-27 Club Atlético de Madrid 5–2 Real Madrid CF L 2025-09-23 Levante UD 1–4 Real Madrid CF W 2025-09-20 Real Madrid CF 2–0 RCD Espanyol de Barcelona W 2025-09-16 Real Madrid CF 2–1 Olympique de Marseille W

Villarreal CF Form

2025-10-04 Real Madrid CF 3–1 Villarreal CF L 2025-10-01 Villarreal CF 2–2 Juventus FC D 2025-09-27 Villarreal CF 1–0 Athletic Club W 2025-09-23 Sevilla FC 1–2 Villarreal CF W 2025-09-20 Villarreal CF 2–1 CA Osasuna W 2025-09-16 Tottenham Hotspur FC 1–0 Villarreal CF L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.31 Real Madrid CF xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.57 Villarreal CF xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 71% + Under — clean sheet likely 67%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Real Madrid CF57% Draw28% Villarreal CF15%

Actual: Real Madrid CF win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes33% 0% No67%

Avg goals/match: 1.88

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	82%	18%
± 1.5	56%	44%
± 2.5	29%	71%
± 3.5	13%	87%
± 4.5	5%	95%

Double Chance

Real Madrid CF or Draw

85%

Draw or Villarreal CF

43%

Real Madrid CF or Villarreal CF

72%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Real Madrid CF34% Draw55% Villarreal CF11%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

18.9%

0 – 0

17.6%

2 – 0

12.5%

1 – 1

12.1%

0 – 1

7.4%

2 – 1

7.4%

3 – 0

5.4%

3 – 1

Actual

1 – 2

3.1%

0 – 2

2.3%

2 – 2

2.2%

4 – 0

1.8%

Asian Handicap — Real Madrid CF

Handicap	Real Madrid CF covers	Push	Villarreal CF covers
-2.5	10%	—	90%
-2	10%	16%	74%
-1.5	26%	—	74%
-1	26%	27%	47%
-0.5	53%	—	47%
+0.5	86%	—	14%
+1	86%	11%	4%
+1.5	96%	—	4%
+2	96%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Real Madrid CF keeps clean sheet

57% ✗

Villarreal CF keeps clean sheet

28% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.