Sunday , 16 August 2026

Watford FC vs Burnley FC, Championship 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2024-25
1 2
Full Time
Fri 18 Apr 2025 · 14:00 UTC Vicarage Road 20,523 HT 45' · FT 45'
Mamadou Doumbia 8' 1–0
1–1 43' Zian Flemming
1–2 58' Josh Brownhill

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Burnley FC H 1–2 L
12 Apr West Bromwich Albion FC A 1–2 L
08 Apr Hull City AFC H 1–0 W
05 Apr Bristol City FC A 1–2 L
29 Mar Plymouth Argyle FC H 0–0 D
15 Mar Oxford United FC A 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
18 Apr Watford FC A 2–1 W
11 Apr Norwich City FC H 2–1 W
08 Apr Derby County FC A 0–0 D
05 Apr Coventry City FC A 2–1 W
29 Mar Bristol City FC H 1–0 W
15 Mar Swansea City AFC A 2–0 W

Season Stats

Watford FC Burnley FC
#19 Position #20
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

50% Both Teams to Score
H2H (10 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Watford FC are 19th (0 pts). Burnley FC are 20th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Watford FC have kicked off against Burnley FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 8' Against the run of play, Mamadou Doumbia has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 13' Zian Flemming needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
  • 18' Burnley FC come into this ranked 2 in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
  • 23' Maxime Esteve is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Burnley FC tonight.
  • 28' Supporters expect more eagerness from Marcus Edwards, as he is very good at scoring at Vicarage Road with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 33' Watford FC are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined Burnley FC backline.
  • 38' The 30-year-old Josh Brownhill has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 43' The Netherlands Zian Flemming breaks the deadlock on 43 minutes. 1-1!
  • 48' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 53' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Watford FC that had 358 games and scored 391 goals.
  • 58' The deadlock is broken! Josh Brownhill gets on the scoresheet on 58 minutes.
  • 59' A moment of madness from Moussa Sissoko on 59 minutes earns him a card. Watford FC will be frustrated.
  • 60' Moussa Sissoko was booked on 60.
  • 61' Controversy at the stadium! Zian Flemming argues furiously but the card stands.
  • 66' Josh Cullen is having his name booked by the referee on 66.
  • 69' Imran Louza was booked on 69.
  • 72' Josh Laurent is ready to make an impact after coming on for Marcus Edwards at the 72 minute mark.
  • 75' Watford FC make a change. Mamadou Doumbia trudges off to be replaced by Vakoun Issouf Bayo on 75 minutes.
  • 80' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 84' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Vakoun Issouf Bayo.
  • 85' A change in the Watford FC ranks — Imran Louza exits the field as Tom Dele-Bashiru enters on 85.
  • 87' The whistle greets Zian Flemming as he departs to be replaced by Ashley Barnes.
  • 90' It’s gonna be a card for Jeremy Sarmiento.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Burnley FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
0.41 Watford FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.66 Burnley FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 90% + Under — clean sheet likely 81%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
Watford FC21% Draw42% Burnley FC37%
Actual: Burnley FC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes19% 0% No81%
Avg goals/match: 1.07
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 63%
37%
± 1.5 30%
70%
± 2.5 10%
90%
± 3.5 3%
97%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

Watford FC or Draw
62%
Draw or Burnley FC
79%
Watford FC or Burnley FC
58%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Watford FC10% Draw71% Burnley FC19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
37.1%
0 – 1
20.7%
1 – 0
12.3%
1 – 1
10.5%
0 – 2
6.7%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
2.5%
2 – 1
2%
0 – 3
1.4%
2 – 2
0.9%
1 – 3
0.8%
3 – 0
0.3%

Asian Handicap — Watford FC

Handicap Watford FC covers Push Burnley FC covers
-2.5 0% 100%
-2 0% 3% 97%
-1.5 3% 97%
-1 3% 14% 82%
-0.5 18% 82%
+0.5 66% 34%
+1 66% 24% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 8% 2%
+2.5 98% 2%

Clean Sheet

Watford FC keeps clean sheet
52%
Burnley FC keeps clean sheet
66%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.