Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart, DFB-Pokal 2025-26 ROUND 2

DFB-Pokal · 2025-26
Wed 29 Oct 2025 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB StuttgartDFB-Pokal .

Match Details

  • Referee Deniz Aytekin
16 games this season 🟨 1.3/game 5.3 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct VfB Stuttgart H 0–2 L
26 Oct VfB Stuttgart A 1–2 L
18 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–4 L
05 Oct Hamburger SV A 0–4 L
27 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L
20 Sep FC Augsburg A 4–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
29 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 2–0 W
26 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 2–1 W
23 Oct Fenerbahce SK A 0–1 L
18 Oct VfL Wolfsburg A 3–0 W
05 Oct 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 1–0 W
02 Oct FC Basel 1893 A 0–2 L

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Events

Match Events

  • 0' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have kicked off against VfB Stuttgart. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • Both sets of fans can go home satisfied — a 0-2 draw is a fair result on the day.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.18 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.57 VfB Stuttgart xG
I would bet for: Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0528% Draw27% VfB Stuttgart45%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.75
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 76%
24%
± 2.5 51%
49%
± 3.5 30%
70%
± 4.5 15%
85%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
55%
Draw or VfB Stuttgart
72%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfB Stuttgart
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0521% Draw46% VfB Stuttgart33%
Actual: VfB Stuttgart win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.8%
0 – 1
9.1%
1 – 2
8.9%
0 – 0
8.3%
0 – 2
Actual
2 – 1
6.7%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
5.3%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
4.4%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 3
2.9%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push VfB Stuttgart covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 8% 89%
-1.5 11% 89%
-1 11% 16% 73%
-0.5 27% 73%
+0.5 55% 45%
+1 55% 21% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% 10%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
22%
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
31%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.