1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)
- VfB Stuttgart 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
Match Details
- Referee Tobias Stieler
- Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
- Assistant 2 Mark Borsch
3 games this season
🟨 5.7/game
⚽ 11.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Borussia Dortmund | 4 | 12 |
| 2 | FC Bayern München | 4 | 10 |
| 3 | SC Freiburg | 4 | 10 |
| 4 | FC Augsburg | 4 | 7 |
| 5 | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | 4 | 7 |
| 6 | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | 4 | 7 |
| 7 | SV 07 Elversberg | 4 | 7 |
| 8 | SV Werder Bremen | 4 | 7 |
| 9 | RB Leipzig | 4 | 6 |
| 10 | Eintracht Frankfurt | 4 | 5 |
| 11 | FC Schalke 04 | 4 | 5 |
| 12 | SC Paderborn 07 | 4 | 4 |
| 13 | 1. FC Köln | 4 | 4 |
| 14 | TSG 1899 Hoffenheim | 4 | 3 |
| 15 | VfB Stuttgart | 4 | 3 |
| 16 | Hamburger SV | 4 | 3 |
| 17 | 1. FC Union Berlin | 4 | 1 |
| 18 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 4 | 0 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | VfB Stuttgart | H | 2–0 | W |
| 19 Jan | 1. FC Union Berlin | A | 1–2 | L |
| 14 Jan | Bayer 04 Leverkusen | A | 0–1 | L |
| 11 Jan | VfL Bochum 1848 | H | 2–0 | W |
| 21 Dec | Eintracht Frankfurt | A | 3–1 | W |
| 14 Dec | FC Bayern München | H | 2–1 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan | 1. FSV Mainz 05 | A | 0–2 | L |
| 21 Jan | SK Slovan Bratislava | A | 3–1 | W |
| 18 Jan | SC Freiburg | H | 4–0 | W |
| 15 Jan | RB Leipzig | H | 2–1 | W |
| 12 Jan | FC Augsburg | A | 1–0 | W |
| 21 Dec | FC St. Pauli 1910 | H | 0–1 | L |
Season Stats
| 1. FSV Mainz 05 | VfB Stuttgart | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #15 |
| 7 | Points | 3 |
| 4 | Played | 4 |
| 2 / 1 / 1 | W / D / L | 1 / 0 / 3 |
| 10 | Scored | 6 |
| 6 | Conceded | 9 |
| +4 | GD | -3 |
| 1.75 | PPG | 0.75 |
| 50% | Win % | 25% |
Key Stats
67%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)
H2H (24 games)
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
50%
Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
0%
Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season
VfB Stuttgart this season
1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts). VfB Stuttgart are 15th (3 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
–/2
16-30
2/–
31-45
2/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/–
76+
5/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
VfB Stuttgart
0-15
–/1
16-30
–/1
31-45
1/–
46-60
3/1
61-75
1/2
76+
1/2
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 05
| Phillip Tietz | 4 G | |
| Sheraldo Becker | 2 G | 3 A |
| Philipp Mwene | 1 G | 1 A |
| Ransford Konigsdorffer | 1 G |
VfB Stuttgart
| Josha Vagnoman | 2 G | 1 A |
| Ermedin Demirovic | 1 G | |
| Grischa Promel | 1 G | |
| Bilal El Khannouss | 1 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' And we are off! 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart — let the football do the talking.
- 5' It looks like no one’s ball. VfB Stuttgart is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 10' 1. FSV Mainz 05 seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
- 15' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfB Stuttgart are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 16' Controversy at the stadium! Kaishu Sano argues furiously but the card stands.
- 21' Nick Woltemade, a Germany , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 26' Ermedin Demirovic has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 30' Nelson Weiper doubles the advantage! 1-0 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 35' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 36' Nelson Weiper has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 36.
- 41' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Robin Zentner.
- 45' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Jae-sung Lee on 45 minutes.
- 50' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. 1. FSV Mainz 05 needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 55' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 57' It’s a booking for VfB Stuttgart player. Atakan Karazor gets a card.
- 62' Another change for VfB Stuttgart made on 62 minute. Chris Fuhrich leaves to be changed by Jamie Leweling.
- 65' Danny da Costa makes way for Andreas Hanche-Olsen at the 65 minute mark. A tactical switch from 1. FSV Mainz 05.
- 68' Angelo Stiller has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 68.
- 72' Atakan Karazor makes way for Fabian Rieder at the 72 minute mark. A tactical switch from VfB Stuttgart.
- 74' 1. FSV Mainz 05 make a change. Nelson Weiper trudges off to be replaced by Armindo Sieb on 74 minutes.
- 79' looks like a favorite considering 0 games won in last 0 matches with its main striker scoring goals.
- 84' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FSV Mainz 05 must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 86' What a strike from Anthony Caci! The score is 2-0.
- 87' Julian Chabot has so much to prove this time. He replaces Anthony Rouault on 87 minute.
- 88' A meaty challenge results in booking for Julian Chabot on 88.
- 88' 1. FSV Mainz 05 ring the changes. Anthony Caci has done his job and it is now time for Silvan Widmer to step up.
- Full Time. 1. FSV Mainz 05 beats VfB Stuttgart
Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
-
19
Anthony Caci ↓ Silvan Widmer 88'
-
31
Dominik Kohr ↓ Maxim Leitsch 74'
- 2
- 27
- 16
- 18
- 21
- 8
-
44
Nelson Weiper ↓ Armindo Sieb 74'
- 6
- 7
Bench
-
5
Maxim Leitsch ↑ 74'
- 15
-
30
Silvan Widmer ↑ 88'
-
25
Andreas Hanche-Olsen ↑ 65'
-
11
Armindo Sieb ↑ 74'
- 1
- 14
- 22
- 42
Coach
Bo Henriksen
VfB Stuttgart Lineups
4-4-2Starting XI
-
16
Atakan Karazor ↓ Fabian Rieder 72'
- 4
- 25
- 7
- 33
-
27
Chris Fuhrich ↓ Jamie Leweling 62'
- 11
- 26
-
29
Anthony Rouault ↓ Julian Chabot 87'
- 6
- 2
Bench
-
24
Julian Chabot ↑ 87'
-
9
Ermedin Demirovic ↑ 72'
- 15
- 1
- 20
-
18
Jamie Leweling ↑ 62'
- 5
-
32
Fabian Rieder ↑ 72'
-
3
Ramon Hendriks ↑ 62'
Coach
Sebastian Hoeneß
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Sehrou Guirassy | 5 |
| Silas Wamangituka | 2 |
| Sasa Kalajdzic | 2 |
| Jamie Leweling | 2 |
| Borna Sosa | 2 |
| Alexander Hack | 2 |
| Marcus Ingvartsen | 2 |
| Maxim Leitsch | 1 |
Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
2025-01-25
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–0
VfB Stuttgart
W
2025-01-19
1. FC Union Berlin
2–1
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2025-01-14
Bayer 04 Leverkusen
1–0
1. FSV Mainz 05
L
2025-01-11
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–0
VfL Bochum 1848
W
2024-12-21
Eintracht Frankfurt
1–3
1. FSV Mainz 05
W
2024-12-14
1. FSV Mainz 05
2–1
FC Bayern München
W
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
2.53
1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.33
VfB Stuttgart xG
I would bet for:
Over 2.5 goals 73% + Both teams to score 67%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 3.86
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 97% |
|
3% |
| ± 1.5 | 89% |
|
11% |
| ± 2.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 3.5 | 53% |
|
47% |
| ± 4.5 | 34% |
|
66% |
Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
79%
Draw or VfB Stuttgart
42%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfB Stuttgart
79%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
2 – 1
8.7%
1 – 1
7.9%
3 – 1
7.3%
2 – 0
Actual
2 – 2
5.7%
3 – 0
5.6%
1 – 0
5%
3 – 2
4.8%
1 – 2
4.6%
4 – 1
4.6%
4 – 0
3.5%
0 – 0
3.2%
Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
| Handicap | 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers | Push | VfB Stuttgart covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 24% | — | 76% |
| -2 | 24% | 18% | 58% |
| -1.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| -1 | 42% | 20% | 38% |
| -0.5 | 62% | — | 38% |
| +0.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +1 | 82% | 10% | 8% |
| +1.5 | 92% | — | 8% |
| +2 | 92% | 5% | 3% |
| +2.5 | 97% | — | 3% |
Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
27%
✗
VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet
9%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

