1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

1. FSV Mainz 05

2 – 0

Full Time

VfB Stuttgart

Sat 25 Jan 2025 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena 33,100 HT 45' · FT 45'

Nelson Weiper 30' 1–0

Anthony Caci 86' 2–0

Kaishu Sano 16' Y

Nelson Weiper 36' Y

Robin Zentner 41' Y

Jae-sung Lee 45' Y

Y 57' Atakan Karazor

Y 68' Angelo Stiller

Y 88' Julian Chabot

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

1. FSV Mainz 05 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)
VfB Stuttgart 0 games · 0 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Tobias Stieler
Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
Assistant 2 Mark Borsch

5 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 3.4 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
2	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
3	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26
4	FC Schalke 04	0	0
5	SC Paderborn 07	0	0
6	SV 07 Elversberg	0	0
7	FC Bayern München	0	0
8	Borussia Dortmund	0	0
9	RB Leipzig	0	0
10	VfB Stuttgart	0	0
11	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	0	0
12	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	0	0
13	SC Freiburg	0	0
14	Eintracht Frankfurt	0	0
15	FC Augsburg	0	0
16	1. FSV Mainz 05	0	0
17	1. FC Union Berlin	0	0
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	0	0
19	Hamburger SV	0	0
20	1. FC Köln	0	0
21	SV Werder Bremen	0	0

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 24 games · Avg 3.1 goals VfB Stuttgart

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfB Stuttgart 2024-08-31 VfB Stuttgart 3–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-02-11 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-09-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 VfB Stuttgart 2023-05-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–4 VfB Stuttgart

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jan	VfB Stuttgart	H	2–0	W
19 Jan	1. FC Union Berlin	A	1–2	L
14 Jan	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	0–1	L
11 Jan	VfL Bochum 1848	H	2–0	W
21 Dec	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	3–1	W
14 Dec	FC Bayern München	H	2–1	W

VfB Stuttgart

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jan	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	0–2	L
21 Jan	SK Slovan Bratislava	A	3–1	W
18 Jan	SC Freiburg	H	4–0	W
15 Jan	RB Leipzig	H	2–1	W
12 Jan	FC Augsburg	A	1–0	W
21 Dec	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05		VfB Stuttgart
#16	Position	#10
0	Points	0
0	Played	0
0 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	0 / 0 / 0
0	Scored	0
0	Conceded	0
+0	GD	+0
–	PPG	–
–	Win %	–

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). VfB Stuttgart are 10th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

0' The stage is set the green flag drops! Another match against 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfB Stuttgart has kicked off!
5' The home supporters are growing impatient. 1. FSV Mainz 05 must find a spark to ignite this game.
10' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
15' Josha Vagnoman has been relatively quiet despite scoring 7 goals in his last 268 appearances.
16' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Kaishu Sano.
21' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
26' VfB Stuttgart have won 440 goals from 438 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
30' 1. FSV Mainz 05 is taking the lead after the goal scored by Nelson Weiper on 30.
35' VfB Stuttgart are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
36' That looks like a foul for a card for Nelson Weiper.
41' It’s a booking for 1. FSV Mainz 05 player. Robin Zentner gets a card.
45' The referee calls foul for Jae-sung Lee. He receives a card.
50' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfB Stuttgart are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
55' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
57' The referee has no hesitation. Atakan Karazor is booked for VfB Stuttgart — card on 57.
62' The crowd applauds Chris Fuhrich as he leaves the pitch. Jamie Leweling steps in for VfB Stuttgart.
65' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Andreas Hanche-Olsen comes on to replace Danny da Costa.
68' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Angelo Stiller.
72' Fabian Rieder is ready to make an impact after coming on for Atakan Karazor at the 72 minute mark.
74' The 1. FSV Mainz 05 manager makes a substitution. Nelson Weiper departs to be replaced by Armindo Sieb.
79' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
84' A quiet spell here at MEWA Arena. 1. FSV Mainz 05 seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
86' Assisted by Armindo Sieb with the perfectly-timed delivery and Anthony Caci makes no mistake. 2-0!
87' Another substitution for VfB Stuttgart to replace Anthony Rouault by Julian Chabot on 87 minute.
88' Julian Chabot is having his name booked by the referee on 88.
88' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Silvan Widmer comes on to replace Anthony Caci.
What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — 1. FSV Mainz 05 2-0 VfB Stuttgart.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

19
Anthony Caci ↓ Silvan Widmer 88'
31
Dominik Kohr ↓ Maxim Leitsch 74'
2
Philipp Mwene
27
Robin Zentner
16
Stefan Bell
18
Nadiem Amiri
21
Danny da Costa ↓ Andreas Hanche-Olsen 65'
8
Paul Nebel
44
Nelson Weiper ↓ Armindo Sieb 74'
6
Kaishu Sano
7
Jae-sung Lee

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

16
Atakan Karazor ↓ Fabian Rieder 72'
4
Josha Vagnoman
25
Jacob Bruun Larsen ↓ Ermedin Demirovic 72'
7
Maximilian Mittelstadt ↓ Ramon Hendriks 62'
33
Alexander Nubel
27
Chris Fuhrich ↓ Jamie Leweling 62'
11
Nick Woltemade
26
Deniz Undav
29
Anthony Rouault ↓ Julian Chabot 87'
6
Angelo Stiller
2
Ameen Al Dakhil

Bench

Coach Sebastian Hoeneß

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sehrou Guirassy	5
Jamie Leweling	2
Borna Sosa	2
Alexander Hack	2
Marcus Ingvartsen	2
Silas Wamangituka	2
Sasa Kalajdzic	2
Mateo Klimowicz	1

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-01-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfB Stuttgart W 2025-01-19 1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-01-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-01-11 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2024-12-21 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-12-14 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 FC Bayern München W

VfB Stuttgart Form

2025-01-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfB Stuttgart L 2025-01-21 SK Slovan Bratislava 1–3 VfB Stuttgart W 2025-01-18 VfB Stuttgart 4–0 SC Freiburg W 2025-01-15 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 RB Leipzig W 2025-01-12 FC Augsburg 0–1 VfB Stuttgart W 2024-12-21 VfB Stuttgart 0–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

0.83 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.76 VfB Stuttgart xG

I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 78% + 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct

1. FSV Mainz 0537% Draw35% VfB Stuttgart28%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes32% 0% No68%

Avg goals/match: 1.59

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	77%	23%
± 1.5	48%	52%
± 2.5	22%	78%
± 3.5	9%	91%
± 4.5	3%	97%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

72%

Draw or VfB Stuttgart

63%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfB Stuttgart

65%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

1. FSV Mainz 0521% Draw61% VfB Stuttgart18%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

0 – 0

23%

1 – 0

15.3%

0 – 1

13.9%

1 – 1

13.9%

2 – 0

Actual

0 – 2

5.5%

2 – 1

5.3%

1 – 2

4.9%

2 – 2

2.2%

3 – 0

1.8%

3 – 1

1.5%

0 – 3

1.4%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	VfB Stuttgart covers
-2.5	3%	—	97%
-2	3%	8%	89%
-1.5	11%	—	89%
-1	11%	21%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	72%	—	28%
+1	72%	19%	9%
+1.5	91%	—	9%
+2	91%	7%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

47% ✗

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet

44% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.