1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2024-25 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2024-25

1. FSV Mainz 05

2 – 0

Full Time

VfB Stuttgart

Sat 25 Jan 2025 · 14:30 UTC MEWA Arena 33,100 HT 45' · FT 45'

Nelson Weiper 30' 1–0

Anthony Caci 86' 2–0

Kaishu Sano 16' Y

Nelson Weiper 36' Y

Robin Zentner 41' Y

Jae-sung Lee 45' Y

Y 57' Atakan Karazor

Y 68' Angelo Stiller

Y 88' Julian Chabot

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga at MEWA Arena.

1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
VfB Stuttgart 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Tobias Stieler
Assistant 1 Christian Gittelmann
Assistant 2 Mark Borsch

24 games this season 🟨 0.7/game ⚽ 4.0 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 24 games · Avg 3.1 goals VfB Stuttgart

Last 5 meetings

2025-01-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfB Stuttgart 2024-08-31 VfB Stuttgart 3–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-02-11 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-09-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 VfB Stuttgart 2023-05-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–4 VfB Stuttgart

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jan	VfB Stuttgart	H	2–0	W
19 Jan	1. FC Union Berlin	A	1–2	L
14 Jan	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	0–1	L
11 Jan	VfL Bochum 1848	H	2–0	W
21 Dec	Eintracht Frankfurt	A	3–1	W
14 Dec	FC Bayern München	H	2–1	W

VfB Stuttgart

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Jan	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	0–2	L
21 Jan	SK Slovan Bratislava	A	3–1	W
18 Jan	SC Freiburg	H	4–0	W
15 Jan	RB Leipzig	H	2–1	W
12 Jan	FC Augsburg	A	1–0	W
21 Dec	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05		VfB Stuttgart
#10	Position	#4
40	Points	62
34	Played	34
10 / 10 / 14	W / D / L	18 / 8 / 8
44	Scored	71
53	Conceded	49
-9	GD	+22
1.18	PPG	1.82
29%	Win %	53%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

32% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

4/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/1

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

VfB Stuttgart

0-15

2/2

16-30

3/2

31-45

3/3

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/1

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' The wait is over. VfB Stuttgart get us underway at MEWA Arena.
5' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
10' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with VfB Stuttgart winning 50% of all matches.
15' It looks surprising 1. FSV Mainz 05 does not make any changes. Alexander Nubel has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
16' Kaishu Sano has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 16.
21' VfB Stuttgart seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
26' 1. FSV Mainz 05 have won 398 goals from 436 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
30' Brilliant from the ! Nelson Weiper makes it 1-0 with a superb finish on 30.
35' VfB Stuttgart has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 1 of the last 2 meetings.
36' The referee has no hesitation. Nelson Weiper is booked for 1. FSV Mainz 05 — card on 36.
41' Poor challenge from Robin Zentner. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
45' Jae-sung Lee is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
50' VfB Stuttgart started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 50.
55' VfB Stuttgart are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
57' Atakan Karazor has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 57.
62' The crowd applauds Chris Fuhrich as he leaves the pitch. Jamie Leweling steps in for VfB Stuttgart.
65' The whistle greets Danny da Costa as he departs to be replaced by Andreas Hanche-Olsen.
68' Angelo Stiller is having his name booked by the referee on 68.
72' A tactical swap from VfB Stuttgart — Fabian Rieder on, Atakan Karazor off on 72 minutes.
74' Armindo Sieb is ready to make an impact after coming on for Nelson Weiper at the 74 minute mark.
79' Both keepers have barely been tested. 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfB Stuttgart are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
84' Nick Woltemade is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for 1. FSV Mainz 05 so far.
86' The deadlock is broken! Anthony Caci gets on the scoresheet on 86 minutes.
87' Time for substitution for VfB Stuttgart. Anthony Rouault is replaced by Julian Chabot.
88' That is a card for VfB Stuttgart. Julian Chabot will be fuming at that decision.
88' Fresh legs for 1. FSV Mainz 05! Silvan Widmer comes on to replace Anthony Caci.
The referee brings this contest to a close. 1. FSV Mainz 05 take all three points.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

3-4-2-1

Starting XI

19
Anthony Caci ↓ Silvan Widmer 88'
31
Dominik Kohr ↓ Maxim Leitsch 74'
2
Philipp Mwene
27
Robin Zentner
16
Stefan Bell
18
Nadiem Amiri
21
Danny da Costa ↓ Andreas Hanche-Olsen 65'
8
Paul Nebel
44
Nelson Weiper ↓ Armindo Sieb 74'
6
Kaishu Sano
7
Jae-sung Lee

Bench

Coach Bo Henriksen

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

4-4-2

Starting XI

16
Atakan Karazor ↓ Fabian Rieder 72'
4
Josha Vagnoman
25
Jacob Bruun Larsen ↓ Ermedin Demirovic 72'
7
Maximilian Mittelstadt ↓ Ramon Hendriks 62'
33
Alexander Nubel
27
Chris Fuhrich ↓ Jamie Leweling 62'
11
Nick Woltemade
26
Deniz Undav
29
Anthony Rouault ↓ Julian Chabot 87'
6
Angelo Stiller
2
Ameen Al Dakhil

Bench

Coach Sebastian Hoeneß

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sehrou Guirassy	5
Silas Wamangituka	2
Sasa Kalajdzic	2
Jamie Leweling	2
Borna Sosa	2
Alexander Hack	2
Marcus Ingvartsen	2
Marc-Oliver Kempf	1

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-01-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfB Stuttgart W 2025-01-19 1. FC Union Berlin 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-01-14 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-01-11 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfL Bochum 1848 W 2024-12-21 Eintracht Frankfurt 1–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2024-12-14 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 FC Bayern München W

VfB Stuttgart Form

2025-01-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfB Stuttgart L 2025-01-21 SK Slovan Bratislava 1–3 VfB Stuttgart W 2025-01-18 VfB Stuttgart 4–0 SC Freiburg W 2025-01-15 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 RB Leipzig W 2025-01-12 FC Augsburg 0–1 VfB Stuttgart W 2024-12-21 VfB Stuttgart 0–1 FC St. Pauli 1910 L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

0 / 4

1.49 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.73 VfB Stuttgart xG

I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfB Stuttgart 75% + Both teams to score 64%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

1. FSV Mainz 0537% Draw25% VfB Stuttgart38%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes64% 0% No36%

Avg goals/match: 3.22

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	83%	17%
± 2.5	62%	38%
± 3.5	40%	60%
± 4.5	23%	77%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

62%

Draw or VfB Stuttgart

63%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfB Stuttgart

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

1. FSV Mainz 0526% Draw43% VfB Stuttgart31%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.2%

1 – 2

8.6%

2 – 1

7.4%

2 – 2

6.4%

0 – 1

6.2%

0 – 2

5.9%

0 – 0

5.6%

1 – 0

5.2%

1 – 3

4.9%

2 – 0

Actual

2 – 3

3.7%

3 – 1

3.7%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	VfB Stuttgart covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	10%	84%
-1.5	16%	—	84%
-1	16%	17%	68%
-0.5	32%	—	68%
+0.5	58%	—	42%
+1	58%	19%	23%
+1.5	77%	—	23%
+2	77%	13%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

19% ✗

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet

23% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.