Sao Paulo FC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Sao Paulo FC vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Morumbi.
- Sao Paulo FC 31 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
- EC Vitoria 31 games · 37 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 31 | 67 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 31 | 66 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 31 | 53 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 31 | 51 |
| 5 | Cruzeiro EC | 31 | 51 |
| 6 | CA Mineiro | 31 | 50 |
| 7 | EC Bahia | 31 | 49 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 31 | 45 |
| 9 | Sao Paulo FC | 31 | 42 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 31 | 41 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 31 | 39 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 31 | 39 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 31 | 37 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 31 | 36 |
| 15 | CR Vasco da Gama | 30 | 35 |
| 16 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 31 | 33 |
| 17 | SC Internacional | 31 | 32 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 31 | 31 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 31 | 26 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 30 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | EC Vitoria | H | 2–1 | W |
| 08 Oct | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 02 Oct | Santos FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | SC Internacional | H | 1–0 | W |
| 12 Sep | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–2 | L |
| 05 Sep | CA Mineiro | H | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Sao Paulo FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Oct | Chapecoense AF | H | 4–0 | W |
| 20 Sep | Cruzeiro EC | H | 1–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | Mirassol FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 07 Sep | Gremio FBPA | H | 1–0 | W |
| 29 Aug | CA Mineiro | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| Sao Paulo FC | EC Vitoria | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #13 |
| 42 | Points | 37 |
| 31 | Played | 31 |
| 12 / 6 / 13 | W / D / L | 10 / 7 / 14 |
| 36 | Scored | 34 |
| 35 | Conceded | 45 |
| +1 | GD | -11 |
| 1.35 | PPG | 1.19 |
| 39% | Win % | 32% |
Key Stats
36%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
H2H (11 games)
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
26%
Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
Sao Paulo FC this season
39%
Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season
EC Vitoria this season
Sao Paulo FC are 9th (42 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (37 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
4/4
31-45
5/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
5/2
31-45
4/9
46-60
2/2
61-75
7/7
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Sao Paulo FC
| Jonathan Calleri | 10 G | 1 A |
| Luciano | 9 G | 1 A |
| Artur Guimaraes | 4 G | 1 A |
| Ferreira | 4 G |
EC Vitoria
| Carlos Rene | 9 G | 1 A |
| Matheuzinho | 6 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 5 G | 6 A |
| Renato Kayzer | 4 G | 1 A |
| Gabriel Baralhas | 2 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Morumbi. Sao Paulo FC are looking to make home advantage count against EC Vitoria.
- 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Anderson made 184 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
- 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 16' Poor challenge from Matheuzinho. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 17' EC Vitoria player sees a card in front of him.
- 20' GOAL! Jonathan Calleri scores on 20.
- 24' Sao Paulo FC player sees a card in front of him.
- 29' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sao Paulo FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 34' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sao Paulo FC and EC Vitoria are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
- 39' Leandro Martinez is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
- 44' Djhordney was booked on 44.
- 49' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 54' Over 54 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 59' Djhordney makes way for Lucas Moura at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
- 60' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Lucas Ramon is replaced by Marcos Antonio on 60 minute.
- 65' Sao Paulo FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 65.
- 69' The EC Vitoria manager makes a substitution. Lucas Silva departs to be replaced by Tomas Pochettino.
- 70' Jonathan Calleri makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Sao Paulo FC are in front.
- 75' Pedro Lima is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gustavo Santana at the 75 minute mark.
- 76' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. Artur Guimaraes has done his job and it is now time for Pedrinho to step up.
- 77' Jose Sabino has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 77.
- 78' That is a card for Sao Paulo FC. Iago Borduchi will be fuming at that decision.
- 79' The EC Vitoria bench stirs into life. Matheuzinho is withdrawn and Anderson gets his opportunity.
- 84' The supporters are chanting for Rafael Toloi. He replaces Damian Bobadilla on 84 minute.
- 86' Poor challenge from Renato Kayzer. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Marcos Antonio on 90 minutes.
- Full Time. Sao Paulo FC beats EC Vitoria
Lineups
Sao Paulo FC Lineups
3-4-2-1Starting XI
- 5
- 37
- 9
- 12
- 35
- 19
- 23
- 28
- 16
- 48
- 43
Bench
- 7
- 18
- 2
- 8
- 27
- 17
- 29
- 31
- 32
- 46
- 49
- 45
Coach
Dorival Júnior
EC Vitoria Lineups
4-1-4-1Starting XI
- 25
- 33
- 36
- 83
- 1
-
6
Leandro Martinez ↓ Alex Bruno 90'
- 98
-
10
Matheuzinho ↓ Anderson 79'
- 95
-
20
Lucas Silva ↓ Tomas Pochettino 69'
-
91
Carlos Rene ↓ Renato Kayzer 79'
Bench
- 7
- 15
-
8
Tomas Pochettino ↑ 69'
- 2
- 23
-
79
Renato Kayzer ↑ 79'
- 71
- 77
-
88
Ze Vitor ↑ 79'
- 26
-
28
Anderson ↑ 79'
-
9
Alex Bruno ↑ 90'
Coach
Jair Ventura
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Jonathan Calleri | 2 |
| Luciano | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Leandro Martinez | 1 |
| Everton | 1 |
| Bruno Alves | 1 |
| Jose Sabino | 1 |
Head to Head
Sao Paulo FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53
Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99
EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Sao Paulo FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 72% |
|
28% |
| ± 2.5 | 46% |
|
54% |
| ± 3.5 | 25% |
|
75% |
| ± 4.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
Double Chance
Sao Paulo FC or Draw
77%
Draw or EC Vitoria
50%
Sao Paulo FC or EC Vitoria
73%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.4%
Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC
| Handicap | Sao Paulo FC covers | Push | EC Vitoria covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -2 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -1.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| -1 | 25% | 23% | 52% |
| -0.5 | 48% | — | 52% |
| +0.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +1 | 77% | 15% | 9% |
| +1.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
| +2 | 91% | 6% | 2% |
| +2.5 | 98% | — | 2% |
Clean Sheet
Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
38%
✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

