Thursday , 22 October 2026

Sao Paulo FC vs EC Vitoria, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 00:00 UTC Morumbi HT 45' · FT 45'
Jonathan Calleri 20' 1–0
1–1 39' Leandro Martinez
Jonathan Calleri 70' 2–1

Overview

Match Preview

Sao Paulo FC vs EC Vitoria — Serie A at Morumbi.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct EC Vitoria H 2–1 W
08 Oct Cruzeiro EC A 0–2 L
02 Oct Santos FC H 1–2 L
20 Sep SC Internacional H 1–0 W
12 Sep SE Palmeiras A 0–2 L
05 Sep CA Mineiro H 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct Sao Paulo FC A 1–2 L
07 Oct Chapecoense AF H 4–0 W
20 Sep Cruzeiro EC H 1–3 L
13 Sep Mirassol FC A 2–2 D
07 Sep Gremio FBPA H 1–0 W
29 Aug CA Mineiro A 1–2 L

Season Stats

Sao Paulo FC EC Vitoria
#9 Position #13
42 Points 37
31 Played 31
12 / 6 / 13 W / D / L 10 / 7 / 14
36 Scored 34
35 Conceded 45
+1 GD -11
1.35 PPG 1.19
39% Win % 32%

Key Stats

36% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)
55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
26% Clean Sheets
Sao Paulo FC this season
39% Clean Sheets
EC Vitoria this season

Sao Paulo FC are 9th (42 pts). EC Vitoria are 13th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
0-15
5/–
16-30
4/4
31-45
5/6
46-60
–/11
61-75
7/2
76+
4/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
EC Vitoria
0-15
3/1
16-30
5/2
31-45
4/9
46-60
2/2
61-75
7/7
76+
4/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Sao Paulo FC
Jonathan Calleri 10 G 1 A
Luciano 9 G 1 A
Artur Guimaraes 4 G 1 A
Ferreira 4 G
EC Vitoria
Carlos Rene 9 G 1 A
Matheuzinho 6 G 4 A
Erick 5 G 6 A
Renato Kayzer 4 G 1 A
Gabriel Baralhas 2 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The ball is rolling at Morumbi. Sao Paulo FC are looking to make home advantage count against EC Vitoria.
  • 5' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Anderson made 184 appearances and scored 0 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
  • 10' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 10 minutes.
  • 15' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 16' Poor challenge from Matheuzinho. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 17' EC Vitoria player sees a card in front of him.
  • 20' GOAL! Jonathan Calleri scores on 20.
  • 24' Sao Paulo FC player sees a card in front of him.
  • 29' The home supporters are growing impatient. Sao Paulo FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
  • 34' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both Sao Paulo FC and EC Vitoria are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 39' Leandro Martinez is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 44' Djhordney was booked on 44.
  • 49' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 54' Over 54 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 59' Djhordney makes way for Lucas Moura at the 59 minute mark. A tactical switch from Sao Paulo FC.
  • 60' It is a substitution in Sao Paulo FC team. Lucas Ramon is replaced by Marcos Antonio on 60 minute.
  • 65' Sao Paulo FC started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 65.
  • 69' The EC Vitoria manager makes a substitution. Lucas Silva departs to be replaced by Tomas Pochettino.
  • 70' Jonathan Calleri makes no mistake. The score reads 2-1 and Sao Paulo FC are in front.
  • 75' Pedro Lima is ready to make an impact after coming on for Gustavo Santana at the 75 minute mark.
  • 76' Sao Paulo FC ring the changes. Artur Guimaraes has done his job and it is now time for Pedrinho to step up.
  • 77' Jose Sabino has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 77.
  • 78' That is a card for Sao Paulo FC. Iago Borduchi will be fuming at that decision.
  • 79' The EC Vitoria bench stirs into life. Matheuzinho is withdrawn and Anderson gets his opportunity.
  • 84' The supporters are chanting for Rafael Toloi. He replaces Damian Bobadilla on 84 minute.
  • 86' Poor challenge from Renato Kayzer. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Marcos Antonio on 90 minutes.
  • Full Time. Sao Paulo FC beats EC Vitoria

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.53 Sao Paulo FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.99 EC Vitoria xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC50% Draw27% EC Vitoria23%
Actual: Sao Paulo FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes50% 0% No50%
Avg goals/match: 2.52
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 25%
75%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Sao Paulo FC or Draw
77%
Draw or EC Vitoria
50%
Sao Paulo FC or EC Vitoria
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Sao Paulo FC34% Draw48% EC Vitoria18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.1%
1 – 0
11.3%
0 – 0
10.1%
2 – 0
9.1%
2 – 1
Actual
0 – 1
6.9%
1 – 2
5.8%
3 – 1
4.6%
3 – 0
4.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
0 – 2
3.8%
3 – 2
2.4%

Asian Handicap — Sao Paulo FC

Handicap Sao Paulo FC covers Push EC Vitoria covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 15% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 23% 52%
-0.5 48% — 52%
+0.5 77% — 23%
+1 77% 15% 9%
+1.5 91% — 9%
+2 91% 6% 2%
+2.5 98% — 2%

Clean Sheet

Sao Paulo FC keeps clean sheet
38% ✓
EC Vitoria keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.