Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

Borussia Dortmund

4 – 0

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Fri 13 Feb 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

Borussia Dortmund 34 games · 73 pts (2025/26)
1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Tobias Welz

19 games this season 🟨 1.2/game ⚽ 5.2 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

Borussia Dortmund 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-13 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-09-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 Borussia Dortmund 2025-03-30 Borussia Dortmund 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-11-09 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 Borussia Dortmund 2024-05-11 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–0 Borussia Dortmund

Recent Form

Borussia Dortmund

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Feb	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	4–0	W
07 Feb	VfL Wolfsburg	A	2–1	W
01 Feb	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	3–2	W
28 Jan	FC Internazionale Milano	H	0–2	L
24 Jan	1. FC Union Berlin	A	3–0	W
20 Jan	Tottenham Hotspur FC	A	0–2	L

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Feb	Borussia Dortmund	A	0–4	L
07 Feb	FC Augsburg	H	2–0	W
31 Jan	RB Leipzig	A	2–1	W
24 Jan	VfL Wolfsburg	H	3–1	W
17 Jan	1. FC Koln	A	1–2	L
13 Jan	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund		1. FSV Mainz 05
#2	Position	#10
73	Points	40
34	Played	34
22 / 7 / 5	W / D / L	10 / 10 / 14
70	Scored	44
34	Conceded	53
+36	GD	-9
2.15	PPG	1.18
65%	Win %	29%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

44% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Borussia Dortmund are 2nd (73 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund

0-15

2/1

16-30

–/–

31-45

3/2

46-60

1/–

61-75

1/–

76+

5/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

4/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/1

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' It’s Showtime! The match between Borussia Dortmund and 1. FSV Mainz 05 is underway.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 4-0.

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Marco Reus	4
Jonathan Burkardt	3
Erling Haaland	3
Robin Quaison	3
Jae-sung Lee	3
Jadon Sancho	3
Julian Brandt	2
Raphael Guerreiro	2

Head to Head

Borussia Dortmund Form

2026-02-13 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-02-07 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Borussia Dortmund W 2026-02-01 Borussia Dortmund 3–2 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W 2026-01-28 Borussia Dortmund 0–2 FC Internazionale Milano L 2026-01-24 1. FC Union Berlin 0–3 Borussia Dortmund W 2026-01-20 Tottenham Hotspur FC 2–0 Borussia Dortmund L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2026-02-13 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-02-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 FC Augsburg W 2026-01-31 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-01-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg W 2026-01-17 1. FC Koln 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.37 Borussia Dortmund xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.99 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Borussia Dortmund to win 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Borussia Dortmund63% Draw21% 1. FSV Mainz 0516%

Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes57% 0% No43%

Avg goals/match: 3.36

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	43%	57%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw

84%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

37%

Borussia Dortmund or 1. FSV Mainz 05

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Borussia Dortmund49% Draw38% 1. FSV Mainz 0513%

Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

9.7%

2 – 1

9.3%

1 – 1

8.9%

1 – 0

7.8%

3 – 0

7.5%

3 – 1

7.3%

0 – 0

4.9%

2 – 2

4.6%

4 – 0

Actual

4 – 1

4.4%

1 – 2

3.9%

3 – 2

3.7%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap	Borussia Dortmund covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	25%	—	75%
-2	25%	20%	55%
-1.5	45%	—	55%
-1	45%	22%	33%
-0.5	67%	—	33%
+0.5	86%	—	14%
+1	86%	9%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	4%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet

38% ✗

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

10% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.