Sunday , 16 August 2026

Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Fri 13 Feb 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 4–0 W
07 Feb VfL Wolfsburg A 2–1 W
01 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 3–2 W
28 Jan FC Internazionale Milano H 0–2 L
24 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin A 3–0 W
20 Jan Tottenham Hotspur FC A 0–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
13 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 0–4 L
07 Feb FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
31 Jan RB Leipzig A 2–1 W
24 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 3–1 W
17 Jan 1. FC Köln A 1–2 L
13 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund 1. FSV Mainz 05
#8 Position #16
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)
69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

Borussia Dortmund are 8th (0 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.23 Borussia Dortmund xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.61 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 72% + Under — clean sheet likely 66%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Borussia Dortmund51% Draw30% 1. FSV Mainz 0519%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes34% 0% No66%
Avg goals/match: 1.84
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 82%
18%
± 1.5 55%
45%
± 2.5 28%
72%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 5%
95%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw
82%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
49%
Borussia Dortmund or 1. FSV Mainz 05
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Borussia Dortmund32% Draw56% 1. FSV Mainz 0512%
Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
18.4%
1 – 0
18.4%
1 – 1
12.7%
2 – 0
11.5%
0 – 1
8.3%
2 – 1
7.2%
3 – 0
4.6%
1 – 2
3.5%
3 – 1
3.1%
0 – 2
2.7%
2 – 2
2.3%
4 – 0
Actual

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap Borussia Dortmund covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 15% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 27% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 83% 17%
+1 83% 12% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 4% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet
55%
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.