Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

Borussia Dortmund

4 – 0

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Fri 13 Feb 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

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Borussia Dortmund vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

Borussia Dortmund 4 games · 12 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Tobias Welz

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern Munchen	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Koln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Monchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

Borussia Dortmund 16 games · Avg 3.1 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-13 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-09-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 Borussia Dortmund 2025-03-30 Borussia Dortmund 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-11-09 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 Borussia Dortmund 2024-05-11 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–0 Borussia Dortmund

Recent Form

Borussia Dortmund

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Feb	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	4–0	W
07 Feb	VfL Wolfsburg	A	2–1	W
01 Feb	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	3–2	W
28 Jan	FC Internazionale Milano	H	0–2	L
24 Jan	1. FC Union Berlin	A	3–0	W
20 Jan	Tottenham Hotspur FC	A	0–2	L

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
13 Feb	Borussia Dortmund	A	0–4	L
07 Feb	FC Augsburg	H	2–0	W
31 Jan	RB Leipzig	A	2–1	W
24 Jan	VfL Wolfsburg	H	3–1	W
17 Jan	1. FC Koln	A	1–2	L
13 Jan	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	2–1	W

Season Stats

Borussia Dortmund		1. FSV Mainz 05
#1	Position	#6
12	Points	7
4	Played	4
4 / 0 / 0	W / D / L	2 / 1 / 1
9	Scored	10
2	Conceded	6
+7	GD	+4
3.00	PPG	1.75
100%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

63% Both Teams to Score
H2H (16 games)

69% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

75% Clean Sheets
Borussia Dortmund this season

50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

Borussia Dortmund are 1st (12 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund

0-15

2/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/1

46-60

–/1

61-75

3/–

76+

2/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/–

76+

5/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Borussia Dortmund

Sehrou Guirassy	2 G	2 A
Felix Kalu Nmecha	2 G
Fabio Silva	2 G
Ioannis Konstantelias	1 G

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	4 G
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	3 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — Borussia Dortmund and 1. FSV Mainz 05 get this one started.
The final score is 4-0.

Lineups

Borussia Dortmund Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Marco Reus	4
Jonathan Burkardt	3
Erling Haaland	3
Robin Quaison	3
Jae-sung Lee	3
Jadon Sancho	3
Julian Brandt	2
Raphael Guerreiro	2

Head to Head

Borussia Dortmund Form

2026-02-13 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-02-07 VfL Wolfsburg 1–2 Borussia Dortmund W 2026-02-01 Borussia Dortmund 3–2 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W 2026-01-28 Borussia Dortmund 0–2 FC Internazionale Milano L 2026-01-24 1. FC Union Berlin 0–3 Borussia Dortmund W 2026-01-20 Tottenham Hotspur FC 2–0 Borussia Dortmund L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2026-02-13 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-02-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 FC Augsburg W 2026-01-31 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-01-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg W 2026-01-17 1. FC Koln 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.25 Borussia Dortmund xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.92 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: Borussia Dortmund to win 63% + Over 2.5 goals 60%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Borussia Dortmund63% Draw21% 1. FSV Mainz 0516%

Actual: Borussia Dortmund win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong

Yes54% 0% No46%

Avg goals/match: 3.17

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	94%	6%
± 1.5	82%	18%
± 2.5	60%	40%
± 3.5	39%	61%
± 4.5	22%	78%

Double Chance

Borussia Dortmund or Draw

84%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

37%

Borussia Dortmund or 1. FSV Mainz 05

79%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

Borussia Dortmund48% Draw40% 1. FSV Mainz 0512%

Actual: Borussia Dortmund win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

2 – 0

10.5%

1 – 1

9.5%

2 – 1

9.4%

1 – 0

3 – 0

7.7%

3 – 1

7.1%

0 – 0

5.7%

2 – 2

4.3%

4 – 0

Actual

4 – 1

1 – 2

3.9%

3 – 2

3.3%

Asian Handicap — Borussia Dortmund

Handicap	Borussia Dortmund covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	24%	—	76%
-2	24%	20%	57%
-1.5	43%	—	57%
-1	43%	22%	34%
-0.5	66%	—	34%
+0.5	87%	—	13%
+1	87%	9%	5%
+1.5	95%	—	5%
+2	95%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

Borussia Dortmund keeps clean sheet

40% ✗

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

11% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.