Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo, MLS 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Minnesota United FC vs Houston Dynamo — MLS at Allianz Field.
- Minnesota United FC 33 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
- Houston Dynamo 33 games · 51 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nashville SC | 33 | 74 |
| 2 | Internacional CF Miami | 33 | 59 |
| 3 | New England Revolution | 33 | 58 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire FC | 33 | 55 |
| 5 | Charlotte FC | 33 | 53 |
| 6 | Philadelphia Union | 33 | 47 |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | 33 | 46 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew SC | 33 | 44 |
| 9 | Orlando City SC | 33 | 43 |
| 10 | New York City FC | 33 | 39 |
| 11 | Toronto FC | 33 | 39 |
| 12 | New York Red Bulls | 33 | 39 |
| 13 | Atlanta United FC | 33 | 33 |
| 14 | D.C. United SC | 33 | 33 |
| 15 | Montreal Impact FC | 33 | 26 |
| 16 | Vancouver Whitecaps FC | 33 | 61 |
| 17 | FC Dallas | 33 | 55 |
| 18 | San Jose Earthquakes | 33 | 52 |
| 19 | St. Louis City | 33 | 51 |
| 20 | Houston Dynamo | 33 | 51 |
| 21 | Los Angeles FC | 33 | 47 |
| 22 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 33 | 44 |
| 23 | Portland Timbers | 33 | 43 |
| 24 | Colorado Rapids SC | 33 | 43 |
| 25 | Seattle Sounders FC | 33 | 43 |
| 26 | Real Salt Lake | 33 | 42 |
| 27 | Minnesota United FC | 33 | 41 |
| 28 | San Diego FC | 33 | 38 |
| 29 | Austin FC | 33 | 34 |
| 30 | Sporting Kansas City | 33 | 23 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Houston Dynamo | H | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Sep | Seattle Sounders FC | A | 1–3 | L |
| 20 Sep | Los Angeles Galaxy | H | 2–3 | L |
| 13 Sep | St. Louis City | A | 2–4 | L |
| 10 Sep | FC Dallas | H | 1–2 | L |
| 06 Sep | Portland Timbers | A | 4–5 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct | Minnesota United FC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 27 Sep | Sporting Kansas City | H | 0–2 | L |
| 20 Sep | FC Cincinnati | H | 2–2 | D |
| 13 Sep | San Jose Earthquakes | A | 0–1 | L |
| 10 Sep | Real Salt Lake | H | 2–1 | W |
| 05 Sep | Charlotte FC | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| Minnesota United FC | Houston Dynamo | |
|---|---|---|
| #27 | Position | #20 |
| 41 | Points | 51 |
| 33 | Played | 33 |
| 10 / 11 / 12 | W / D / L | 14 / 9 / 10 |
| 53 | Scored | 43 |
| 57 | Conceded | 42 |
| -4 | GD | +1 |
| 1.24 | PPG | 1.55 |
| 30% | Win % | 42% |
Key Stats
50%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
60%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
21%
Clean Sheets
Minnesota United FC this season
Minnesota United FC this season
39%
Clean Sheets
Houston Dynamo this season
Houston Dynamo this season
Minnesota United FC are 27th (41 pts). Houston Dynamo are 20th (51 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
0-15
4/9
16-30
5/10
31-45
7/4
46-60
7/5
61-75
9/5
76+
10/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Houston Dynamo
0-15
1/3
16-30
6/7
31-45
9/4
46-60
6/4
61-75
6/4
76+
5/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Minnesota United FC
| Kelvin Yeboah | 18 G | 4 A |
| Anthony Markanich | 9 G | 2 A |
Houston Dynamo
| Guilherme | 16 G | 8 A |
| Mateusz Bogusz | 8 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: Houston Dynamo gets underway.
- 5' Players seem to put ease on their energy level Spectators hardly appreciate such approach. Teams need to speed up the tempo.
- 10' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Houston Dynamo that had 289 games and scored 400 goals.
- 15' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Franco Negri made 187 appearances and scored 4 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 18' What a moment for Lyle Foster! That strike on 18 puts his side firmly in control.
- 23' It is a cagey affair so far. Minnesota United FC in their 4-2-3-1 trying to find a way past Houston Dynamo's compact 5-3-2.
- 28' The 21-year-old Blake Gillingham has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 33' It looks surprising Minnesota United FC does not make any changes. Diadie Samassekou has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 38' Houston Dynamo has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 1 meetings.
- 43' The home supporters are growing impatient. Minnesota United FC must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 48' Against the run of play, Kelvin Yeboah has scored! This game has turned on its head.
- 53' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His Minnesota United FC side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 58' Jonathan Bond has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 63' The whistle greets Felipe as he departs to be replaced by Franco Negri.
- 64' Nectarios Triantis has so much to prove this time. He replaces Owen Gene on 64 minute.
- 66' A moment of madness from Mauricio Gonzalez on 66 minutes earns him a card. Minnesota United FC will be frustrated.
- 71' With 0 assists to his name this season, Nick Markanich is clearly more than just a goal scorer for Minnesota United FC.
- 75' Houston Dynamo ring the changes. Jonathan Bond has done his job and it is now time for Blake Gillingham to step up.
- 78' GOAL! Marcus Caldeira scores on 78. Assisted by Cherrion Valerius
- 82' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Wil Trapp on 82 minutes.
- 84' Diadie Samassekou makes way for Matthew Arana at the 84 minute mark. A tactical switch from Houston Dynamo.
- 88' Time for substitution for Minnesota United FC. Tomas Chancalay is replaced by Carlos Harvey.
- 89' The supporters are chanting for Duncan McGuire. He replaces Agustin Bouzat on 89 minute.
- 90' Minnesota United FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Maurice Malone is hanging Kelvin Yeboah on the field on 90 minute.
- What a match! Full time at {STADIUM} — Minnesota United FC 2-2 Houston Dynamo.
Lineups
Minnesota United FC Lineups
4-2-3-1Starting XI
- 20
- 15
-
8
Tomas Chancalay ↓ Carlos Harvey 88'
- 12
- 16
-
9
Kelvin Yeboah ↓ Maurice Malone 90'
-
30
Owen Gene ↓ Nectarios Triantis 64'
- 13
- 21
-
52
Cherrion Valerius ↓ Kyle Duncan 88'
- 23
Bench
-
11
Maurice Malone ↑ 90'
-
3
Kyle Duncan ↑ 88'
-
67
Carlos Harvey ↑ 88'
- 27
- 5
-
25
Nectarios Triantis ↑ 64'
- 94
-
18
Mauricio Gonzalez ↑ 64'
-
22
Marcus Caldeira ↑ 64'
Coach
Cameron Knowles
Houston Dynamo Lineups
5-3-2Starting XI
- 3
- 31
- 18
- 6
-
30
Agustin Bouzat ↓ Duncan McGuire 89'
- 20
- 5
-
9
Lyle Foster ↓ Nick Markanich 63'
- 19
-
11
Lawrence Ennali ↓ Duane Holmes 84'
-
36
Felipe ↓ Franco Negri 63'
Bench
-
14
Duane Holmes ↑ 84'
-
21
Franco Negri ↑ 63'
-
17
Nick Markanich ↑ 63'
-
23
Duncan McGuire ↑ 89'
- 24
-
26
Blake Gillingham ↑ 75'
-
22
Matthew Arana ↑ 84'
- 37
Coach
Ben Olsen
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bongokuhle Hlongwane | 5 |
| Robin Lod | 5 |
| Ethan Finlay | 4 |
| Philippe Senderos | 2 |
| Philippe Senderos | 2 |
| Adalberto Carrasquilla | 2 |
| Adrien Hunou | 2 |
| Alberth Elis | 2 |
Head to Head
Minnesota United FC Form
2026-10-11
Minnesota United FC
2–2
Houston Dynamo
D
2026-09-27
Seattle Sounders FC
3–1
Minnesota United FC
L
2026-09-20
Minnesota United FC
2–3
Los Angeles Galaxy
L
2026-09-13
St. Louis City
4–2
Minnesota United FC
L
2026-09-10
Minnesota United FC
1–2
FC Dallas
L
2026-09-06
Portland Timbers
5–4
Minnesota United FC
L
Houston Dynamo Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.48
Minnesota United FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.51
Houston Dynamo xG
I would bet for:
Minnesota United FC or Houston Dynamo 73% + Both teams to score 60%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.99
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 80% |
|
20% |
| ± 2.5 | 57% |
|
43% |
| ± 3.5 | 35% |
|
65% |
| ± 4.5 | 19% |
|
81% |
Double Chance
Minnesota United FC or Draw
64%
Draw or Houston Dynamo
63%
Minnesota United FC or Houston Dynamo
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Houston Dynamo win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.1%
1 – 2
8.1%
2 – 1
8%
0 – 0
6.8%
0 – 1
6.7%
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 0
5.5%
1 – 3
4.1%
3 – 1
4%
2 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Minnesota United FC
| Handicap | Minnesota United FC covers | Push | Houston Dynamo covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 11% | 82% |
| -1.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| -1 | 18% | 18% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 63% | — | 37% |
| +1 | 63% | 19% | 18% |
| +1.5 | 82% | — | 18% |
| +2 | 82% | 11% | 7% |
| +2.5 | 93% | — | 7% |
Clean Sheet
Minnesota United FC keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Houston Dynamo keeps clean sheet
23%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.