Wednesday , 30 September 2026

Derby County FC vs Wrexham AFC, Championship 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Championship · 2025-26
Derby County FC
1 – 2
Full Time
Wrexham AFC
Sun 4 Jan 2026 · 15:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Derby County FC vs Wrexham AFC — Championship .

Match Details

  • Referee Matthew Corlett (England)
3 games this season 🟨 0.0/game ⚽ 3.0 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 Swansea City AFC 8 17
2 West Ham United FC 8 15
3 Middlesbrough FC 8 15
4 Wolverhampton Wanderers FC 7 14
5 West Bromwich Albion FC 8 14
6 Queens Park Rangers FC 8 13
7 Stoke City FC 8 13
8 Bristol City FC 8 13
9 Charlton Athletic FC 8 12
10 Birmingham City FC 8 11
11 Millwall FC 8 11
12 Lincoln City FC 8 11
13 Southampton FC 8 10
14 Wrexham AFC 8 10
15 Bolton Wanderers FC 8 10
16 Blackburn Rovers FC 8 9
17 Norwich City FC 8 9
18 Sheffield United FC 8 9
19 Portsmouth FC 7 8
20 Watford FC 8 8
21 Cardiff City FC 8 7
22 Derby County FC 8 5
23 Preston North End FC 8 4
24 Burnley FC 8 4

Head-to-Head

1
1
Derby County FC 2 games · Avg 2.5 goals Wrexham AFC
Last 5 meetings
2026-01-04 Derby County FC 1–2 Wrexham AFC 2025-09-27 Wrexham AFC 1–1 Derby County FC

Recent Form

Derby County FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Wrexham AFC H 1–2 L
01 Jan Middlesbrough FC H 1–0 W
29 Dec Leicester City FC A 1–2 L
26 Dec Birmingham City FC A 1–1 D
20 Dec Portsmouth FC H 1–1 D
15 Dec Sheffield Wednesday FC A 3–0 W
Wrexham AFC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
04 Jan Derby County FC A 2–1 W
01 Jan Blackburn Rovers FC A 2–0 W
29 Dec Preston North End FC H 2–1 W
26 Dec Sheffield United FC H 5–3 W
19 Dec Swansea City AFC A 1–2 L
13 Dec Watford FC H 2–2 D

Season Stats

Derby County FC Wrexham AFC
#22 Position #14
5 Points 10
8 Played 8
1 / 2 / 5 W / D / L 2 / 4 / 2
7 Scored 9
14 Conceded 12
-7 GD -3
0.63 PPG 1.25
13% Win % 25%

Key Stats

100% Both Teams to Score
H2H (2 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
13% Clean Sheets
Derby County FC this season
25% Clean Sheets
Wrexham AFC this season

Derby County FC are 22nd (5 pts). Wrexham AFC are 14th (10 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Derby County FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/2
31-45
1/4
46-60
1/–
61-75
1/2
76+
1/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Wrexham AFC
0-15
1/2
16-30
1/2
31-45
1/1
46-60
3/2
61-75
1/2
76+
–/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Derby County FC
Bobby Clark 2 G 2 A
Samuel Szmodics 2 G 1 A
Carlton Morris 1 G 1 A
Wrexham AFC
Kieffer Moore 3 G 1 A
Jacques Ekomie 2 G
Danny Imray 1 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

Lineups

Derby County FC Lineups

Wrexham AFC Lineups

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.02 Derby County FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.4 Wrexham AFC xG
I would bet for: Wrexham AFC or Draw 72% + Under 2.5 goals 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC28% Draw30% Wrexham AFC42%
Actual: Wrexham AFC win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.42
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 89%
11%
± 1.5 70%
30%
± 2.5 43%
57%
± 3.5 23%
77%
± 4.5 11%
89%

Double Chance

Derby County FC or Draw
58%
Draw or Wrexham AFC
72%
Derby County FC or Wrexham AFC
70%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Derby County FC20% Draw49% Wrexham AFC31%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13.6%
0 – 1
11.4%
0 – 0
11%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
7.9%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 0
4.5%
2 – 2
4.5%
1 – 3
4.1%
0 – 3
3.9%
2 – 3
2.2%

Asian Handicap — Derby County FC

Handicap Derby County FC covers Push Wrexham AFC covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 7% 90%
-1.5 10% — 90%
-1 10% 16% 74%
-0.5 26% — 74%
+0.5 56% — 44%
+1 56% 22% 22%
+1.5 78% — 22%
+2 78% 13% 8%
+2.5 92% — 8%

Clean Sheet

Derby County FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓
Wrexham AFC keeps clean sheet
37% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.