Thursday , 2 July 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
1. FSV Mainz 05
1 – 1
Full Time
Hamburger SV
Fri 20 Feb 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Robin Braun
14 games this season 🟨 0.6/game ⚽ 4.6 goals/game

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

2
3
3
1. FSV Mainz 05 8 games · Avg 1.9 goals Hamburger SV
Last 5 meetings
2026-02-20 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV 2025-10-05 Hamburger SV 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2018-03-31 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 Hamburger SV 2017-11-04 Hamburger SV 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2017-05-07 Hamburger SV 2–0 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Feb Hamburger SV H 1–1 D
13 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 0–4 L
07 Feb FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
31 Jan RB Leipzig A 2–1 W
24 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 3–1 W
17 Jan 1. FC Koln A 1–2 L
Hamburger SV
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
14 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–2 W
07 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
31 Jan FC Bayern München H 2–2 D
23 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–0 D
17 Jan Borussia Monchengladbach H 0–0 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 Hamburger SV
#10 Position #13
40 Points 38
34 Played 34
10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 9 / 11 / 14
44 Scored 40
53 Conceded 54
-9 GD -14
1.18 PPG 1.12
29% Win % 26%

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season
18% Clean Sheets
Hamburger SV this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). Hamburger SV are 13th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Hamburger SV
0-15
1/–
16-30
–/4
31-45
2/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
3/–
76+
–/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is hosting Hamburger SV for another epic battle.
  • Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-1.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

H2H

Head to Head

2026-02-20 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV 2025-10-05 Hamburger SV 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 2018-03-31 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 Hamburger SV 2017-11-04 Hamburger SV 0–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2017-05-07 Hamburger SV 2–0 1. FSV Mainz 05

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2026-02-20 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV D 2026-02-13 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-02-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 FC Augsburg W 2026-01-31 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-01-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg W 2026-01-17 1. FC Koln 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L

Hamburger SV Form

2026-02-20 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV D 2026-02-14 Hamburger SV 3–2 1. FC Union Berlin W 2026-02-07 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–2 Hamburger SV W 2026-01-31 Hamburger SV 2–2 FC Bayern München D 2026-01-23 FC St. Pauli 1910 0–0 Hamburger SV D 2026-01-17 Hamburger SV 0–0 Borussia Monchengladbach D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.25 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.11 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or Hamburger SV 70% + Under 2.5 goals 58%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0540% Draw30% Hamburger SV30%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes49% 0% No51%
Avg goals/match: 2.36
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 88%
12%
± 1.5 68%
32%
± 2.5 42%
58%
± 3.5 22%
78%
± 4.5 10%
90%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
70%
Draw or Hamburger SV
60%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Hamburger SV
70%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0527% Draw50% Hamburger SV23%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
11.7%
1 – 0
10.7%
0 – 1
9.3%
2 – 1
7.9%
2 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
7%
0 – 2
5.6%
2 – 2
4.5%
3 – 1
3.3%
3 – 0
2.9%
1 – 3
2.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 6% — 94%
-2 6% 11% 83%
-1.5 17% — 83%
-1 17% 21% 62%
-0.5 38% — 62%
+0.5 69% — 31%
+1 69% 18% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 4%
+2.5 96% — 4%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
34% ✓
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
29% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.