Sunday , 16 August 2026

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
Fri 20 Feb 2026 · 19:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Feb Hamburger SV H 1–1 D
13 Feb Borussia Dortmund A 0–4 L
07 Feb FC Augsburg H 2–0 W
31 Jan RB Leipzig A 2–1 W
24 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 3–1 W
17 Jan 1. FC Köln A 1–2 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
20 Feb 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 1–1 D
14 Feb 1. FC Union Berlin H 3–2 W
07 Feb 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 2–0 W
31 Jan FC Bayern München H 2–2 D
23 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 0–0 D
17 Jan Borussia Mönchengladbach H 0–0 D

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05 Hamburger SV
#16 Position #19
0 Points 0
0 Played 0
0 / 0 / 0 W / D / L 0 / 0 / 0
0 Scored 0
0 Conceded 0
+0 GD +0
PPG
Win %

Key Stats

25% Both Teams to Score
H2H (8 games)
13% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 16th (0 pts). Hamburger SV are 19th (0 pts).

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! 1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Hamburger SV — let the football do the talking.
  • Game over. The scoreline of 1-1 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

Hamburger SV Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.52 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.56 Hamburger SV xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 90% + Under — clean sheet likely 80%

Match Result

✓ Correct
1. FSV Mainz 0530% Draw42% Hamburger SV28%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes20% 0% No80%
Avg goals/match: 1.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 63%
37%
± 1.5 30%
70%
± 2.5 10%
90%
± 3.5 3%
97%
± 4.5 1%
99%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw
72%
Draw or Hamburger SV
70%
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Hamburger SV
58%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
1. FSV Mainz 0514% Draw71% Hamburger SV15%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
36.8%
0 – 1
17.2%
1 – 0
15.7%
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 2
4.8%
2 – 0
4%
1 – 2
3%
2 – 1
2.8%
2 – 2
1%
0 – 3
0.9%
3 – 0
0.7%
1 – 3
0.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Hamburger SV covers
-2.5 1% 99%
-2 1% 5% 95%
-1.5 5% 95%
-1 5% 19% 76%
-0.5 24% 76%
+0.5 73% 27%
+1 73% 20% 7%
+1.5 93% 7%
+2 93% 5% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
57%
Hamburger SV keeps clean sheet
60%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.