Wednesday , 28 October 2026

EC Bahia vs Mirassol FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026
EC Bahia
1 – 0
Full Time
Mirassol FC
Sun 11 Oct 2026 · 22:30 UTC Estadio Fonte Nova HT 45' · FT 45'
Luciano Juba pen 38' 1–0
Y 35' Chico
Y 36' Walter
Jean Lucas 63' Y
Y 78' Carlos Eduardo
Y 90' Neto Moura

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs Mirassol FC — Serie A at Estadio Fonte Nova.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 32 70
2 SE Palmeiras 32 69
3 CA Paranaense 32 54
4 Cruzeiro EC 32 54
5 Fluminense FC 32 51
6 CA Mineiro 32 50
7 EC Bahia 32 50
8 Santos FC 32 46
9 São Paulo FC 32 43
10 RB Bragantino 32 41
11 Botafogo FR 32 39
12 Coritiba FBC 32 39
13 CR Vasco da Gama 31 38
14 EC Vitoria 32 38
15 Mirassol FC 32 37
16 SC Internacional 32 35
17 Gremio FBPA 32 34
18 SC Corinthians Paulista 32 33
19 Clube do Remo 32 26
20 Chapecoense AF 31 21

Head-to-Head

2
1
1
EC Bahia 4 games · Avg 3.0 goals Mirassol FC
Last 5 meetings
2026-10-11 EC Bahia 1–0 Mirassol FC 2026-04-11 Mirassol FC 1–2 EC Bahia 2025-08-31 Mirassol FC 5–1 EC Bahia 2025-04-13 EC Bahia 1–1 Mirassol FC

Recent Form

EC Bahia
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
09 Oct SE Palmeiras A 0–1 L
20 Sep CA Paranaense A 1–2 L
14 Sep Clube do Remo H 2–1 W
05 Sep RB Bragantino A 3–2 W
30 Aug SC Internacional H 3–2 W
Mirassol FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
11 Oct EC Bahia A 0–1 L
07 Oct RB Bragantino A 1–1 D
19 Sep Botafogo FR H 2–0 W
13 Sep EC Vitoria H 2–2 D
06 Sep Coritiba FBC A 2–1 W
02 Sep CR Flamengo A 0–2 L

Season Stats

EC Bahia Mirassol FC
#7 Position #15
50 Points 37
32 Played 32
13 / 11 / 8 W / D / L 9 / 10 / 13
45 Scored 37
40 Conceded 45
+5 GD -8
1.56 PPG 1.16
41% Win % 28%

Key Stats

75% Both Teams to Score
H2H (4 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
34% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
16% Clean Sheets
Mirassol FC this season

EC Bahia are 7th (50 pts). Mirassol FC are 15th (37 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
3/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
9/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/6
76+
7/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Mirassol FC
0-15
–/5
16-30
7/2
31-45
6/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
4/8
76+
5/8
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 11 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
Mirassol FC
Carlos Eduardo 7 G
Igor Formiga 4 G 5 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The wait is over. Mirassol FC get us underway at Estadio Fonte Nova.
  • 5' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 10' Supporters expect more eagerness from Carlos Eduardo, as he is very good at scoring at Estadio Fonte Nova with 0 goals in the last 0 games.
  • 15' Marco Moreno has been relatively quiet despite scoring 0 goals in his last 532 appearances.
  • 20' Carlos Eduardo has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 25' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 30' The travelling Mirassol FC supporters hardly appreciate their team being pressed down to the backline.
  • 35' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Chico.
  • 36' Chico is having his name booked by the referee on 36.
  • 37' Walter is having his name booked by the referee on 37.
  • 38' Luciano Juba does the damage! The net is bulging and EC Bahia surge ahead!
  • 43' EC Bahia has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 2 of the last 2 meetings.
  • 46' Shaylon is replacing Alesson for the Mirassol FC side.
  • 51' EC Bahia currently sit 6 in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 56' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Gustavo Mosquito suffering a number of foals already.
  • 59' The EC Bahia bench stirs into life. Marcos Victor is withdrawn and Roman Gomez gets his opportunity.
  • 63' EC Bahia receives a card for a hard tackle on 63.
  • 67' A tactical swap from Mirassol FC — Andre Luis on, Bruno Oliveira off on 67 minutes.
  • 72' A tactical swap from EC Bahia — Ademir Santos on, Cristian Olivera off on 72 minutes.
  • 73' EC Bahia manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. Everton Ribeiro is hanging Rodrigo Nestor on the field on 73 minute.
  • 78' Carlos Eduardo is having his name booked by the referee on 78.
  • 83' The midfield battle is intense right now. Both EC Bahia and Mirassol FC are fighting for every inch of the pitch.
  • 87' Fresh legs for EC Bahia! Willian Jose comes on to replace Alejo Veliz.
  • 90' The referee shows Mirassol FC player a card on 90.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from EC Bahia to claim maximum points.

Lineups

EC Bahia Lineups

4-3-3

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rogério Ceni

Mirassol FC Lineups

5-4-1

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Rafael Guanaes

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luciano Juba 2
Mateo Sanabria 1
Erick 1
Gabriel 1
Rodrigo Nestor 1
Alesson 1
Joao Victor 1
Lucas Ramon 1

Head to Head

2026-10-11 EC Bahia 1–0 Mirassol FC 2026-04-11 Mirassol FC 1–2 EC Bahia 2025-08-31 Mirassol FC 5–1 EC Bahia 2025-04-13 EC Bahia 1–1 Mirassol FC

EC Bahia Form

2026-10-11 EC Bahia 1–0 Mirassol FC W 2026-10-09 SE Palmeiras 1–0 EC Bahia L 2026-09-20 CA Paranaense 2–1 EC Bahia L 2026-09-14 EC Bahia 2–1 Clube do Remo W 2026-09-05 RB Bragantino 2–3 EC Bahia W 2026-08-30 EC Bahia 3–2 SC Internacional W

Mirassol FC Form

2026-10-11 EC Bahia 1–0 Mirassol FC L 2026-10-07 RB Bragantino 1–1 Mirassol FC D 2026-09-19 Mirassol FC 2–0 Botafogo FR W 2026-09-13 Mirassol FC 2–2 EC Vitoria D 2026-09-06 Coritiba FBC 1–2 Mirassol FC W 2026-09-02 CR Flamengo 2–0 Mirassol FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.57 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.1 Mirassol FC xG
I would bet for: Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.

Match Result

✓ Correct
EC Bahia50% Draw26% Mirassol FC24%
Actual: EC Bahia win

Both Teams to Score

✗ Wrong
Yes53% 0% No47%
Avg goals/match: 2.67
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 49%
51%
± 3.5 28%
72%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
76%
Draw or Mirassol FC
50%
EC Bahia or Mirassol FC
74%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia33% Draw47% Mirassol FC20%
Actual: EC Bahia win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
1 – 0
Actual
2 – 1
9%
0 – 0
8.9%
2 – 0
8.3%
0 – 1
6.6%
1 – 2
6.3%
2 – 2
5%
3 – 1
4.8%
3 – 0
4.3%
0 – 2
4.1%
3 – 2
2.7%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push Mirassol FC covers
-2.5 10% — 90%
-2 10% 14% 75%
-1.5 25% — 75%
-1 25% 22% 53%
-0.5 47% — 53%
+0.5 75% — 25%
+1 75% 15% 10%
+1.5 90% — 10%
+2 90% 7% 3%
+2.5 97% — 3%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
34% ✗
Mirassol FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.