VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

VfB Stuttgart

2 – 1

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sun 26 Oct 2025 · 16:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

VfB Stuttgart vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

VfB Stuttgart 4 games · 3 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Felix Zwayer

10 games this season 🟨 4.3/game ⚽ 13.5 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

VfB Stuttgart 24 games · Avg 3.1 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-26 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-01-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfB Stuttgart 2024-08-31 VfB Stuttgart 3–3 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-02-11 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2023-09-16 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–3 VfB Stuttgart

Recent Form

VfB Stuttgart

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Oct	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	2–1	W
23 Oct	Fenerbahçe SK	A	0–1	L
18 Oct	VfL Wolfsburg	A	3–0	W
05 Oct	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	1–0	W
02 Oct	FC Basel 1893	A	0–2	L
28 Sep	1. FC Köln	A	2–1	W

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Oct	VfB Stuttgart	A	1–2	L
18 Oct	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	3–4	L
05 Oct	Hamburger SV	A	0–4	L
27 Sep	Borussia Dortmund	H	0–2	L
20 Sep	FC Augsburg	A	4–1	W
13 Sep	RB Leipzig	H	0–1	L

Season Stats

VfB Stuttgart		1. FSV Mainz 05
#15	Position	#6
3	Points	7
4	Played	4
1 / 0 / 3	W / D / L	2 / 1 / 1
6	Scored	10
9	Conceded	6
-3	GD	+4
0.75	PPG	1.75
25%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

0% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

VfB Stuttgart are 15th (3 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart

0-15

–/1

16-30

–/1

31-45

1/–

46-60

3/1

61-75

1/2

76+

1/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/–

76+

5/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

VfB Stuttgart

Josha Vagnoman	2 G	1 A
Ermedin Demirovic	1 G
Grischa Promel	1 G
Bilal El Khannouss	1 G

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	4 G
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	3 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for VfB Stuttgart and 1. FSV Mainz 05.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-1.

Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sehrou Guirassy	5
Borna Sosa	2
Alexander Hack	2
Marcus Ingvartsen	2
Silas Wamangituka	2
Sasa Kalajdzic	2
Jamie Leweling	2
Anthony Ujah	1

Head to Head

VfB Stuttgart Form

2025-10-26 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-10-23 Fenerbahçe SK 1–0 VfB Stuttgart L 2025-10-18 VfL Wolfsburg 0–3 VfB Stuttgart W 2025-10-05 VfB Stuttgart 1–0 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W 2025-10-02 FC Basel 1893 2–0 VfB Stuttgart L 2025-09-28 1. FC Köln 1–2 VfB Stuttgart W

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2025-10-26 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-10-18 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L 2025-10-05 Hamburger SV 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2025-09-27 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 Borussia Dortmund L 2025-09-20 FC Augsburg 1–4 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2025-09-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 RB Leipzig L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

4 / 4

1.76 VfB Stuttgart xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

2.06 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: VfB Stuttgart or 1. FSV Mainz 05 78% + Over 2.5 goals 72%

Match Result

✓ Correct

VfB Stuttgart42% Draw22% 1. FSV Mainz 0536%

Actual: VfB Stuttgart win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes72% 0% No28%

Avg goals/match: 3.82

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	89%	11%
± 2.5	72%	28%
± 3.5	52%	48%
± 4.5	34%	66%

Double Chance

VfB Stuttgart or Draw

64%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

58%

VfB Stuttgart or 1. FSV Mainz 05

78%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

VfB Stuttgart27% Draw39% 1. FSV Mainz 0534%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.8%

1 – 2

7.9%

2 – 2

6.9%

2 – 1

Actual

1 – 3

5.4%

2 – 3

4.7%

0 – 2

4.7%

3 – 2

4.1%

0 – 1

3 – 1

2 – 0

3.5%

0 – 0

3.4%

Asian Handicap — VfB Stuttgart

Handicap	VfB Stuttgart covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	7%	—	93%
-2	7%	10%	83%
-1.5	17%	—	83%
-1	17%	16%	67%
-0.5	33%	—	67%
+0.5	56%	—	44%
+1	56%	19%	26%
+1.5	74%	—	26%
+2	74%	13%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

18% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.