AS Monaco FC vs Toulouse FC, Ligue 1 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Ligue 1 · 2025-26

AS Monaco FC

1 – 0

Full Time

Toulouse FC

Sat 25 Oct 2025 · 17:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

AS Monaco FC vs Toulouse FC — Ligue 1 .

AS Monaco FC 5 games · 13 pts (2026/27)
Toulouse FC 5 games · 5 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Guillaume Paradis

3 games this season 🟨 2.3/game ⚽ 9.3 goals/game

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	AS Monaco FC	5	13
2	Olympique Lyonnais	5	11
3	Paris FC	5	11
4	Lille OSC	5	10
5	Stade Rennais FC 1901	5	10
6	Paris Saint-Germain FC	5	8
7	Angers SCO	5	7
8	RC Strasbourg Alsace	5	7
9	Le Mans FC	5	6
10	AJ Auxerre	5	6
11	Stade Brestois 29	5	5
12	FC Lorient	5	5
13	Toulouse FC	5	5
14	OGC Nice	5	5
15	Racing Club de Lens	5	4
16	ES Troyes AC	5	4
17	Olympique de Marseille	5	3
18	Le Havre AC	5	2

Head-to-Head

AS Monaco FC 11 games · Avg 2.5 goals Toulouse FC

Last 5 meetings

2025-10-25 AS Monaco FC 1–0 Toulouse FC 2025-03-07 Toulouse FC 1–1 AS Monaco FC 2024-12-07 AS Monaco FC 2–0 Toulouse FC 2024-02-18 AS Monaco FC 1–2 Toulouse FC 2023-12-20 Toulouse FC 1–2 AS Monaco FC

Recent Form

AS Monaco FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Oct	Toulouse FC	H	1–0	W
22 Oct	Tottenham Hotspur FC	H	0–0	D
18 Oct	Angers SCO	A	1–1	D
05 Oct	OGC Nice	H	2–2	D
01 Oct	Manchester City FC	H	2–2	D
27 Sep	FC Lorient	A	1–3	L

Toulouse FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
25 Oct	AS Monaco FC	A	0–1	L
19 Oct	FC Metz	H	4–0	W
05 Oct	Olympique Lyonnais	A	2–1	W
27 Sep	FC Nantes	H	2–2	D
21 Sep	AJ Auxerre	A	0–1	L
14 Sep	Lille OSC	A	1–2	L

Season Stats

AS Monaco FC		Toulouse FC
#1	Position	#13
13	Points	5
5	Played	5
4 / 1 / 0	W / D / L	1 / 2 / 2
8	Scored	7
3	Conceded	9
+5	GD	-2
2.60	PPG	1.00
80%	Win %	20%

Key Stats

73% Both Teams to Score
H2H (11 games)

55% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

40% Clean Sheets
AS Monaco FC this season

0% Clean Sheets
Toulouse FC this season

AS Monaco FC are 1st (13 pts). Toulouse FC are 13th (5 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

AS Monaco FC

0-15

2/–

16-30

–/–

31-45

1/1

46-60

2/1

61-75

2/–

76+

–/–

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Toulouse FC

0-15

1/–

16-30

–/1

31-45

–/2

46-60

3/–

61-75

2/3

76+

1/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

AS Monaco FC

Paris Brunner	4 G
Eric Dier	1 G	1 A
Flavio Nazinho	1 G	1 A
Stanis Idumbo-Muzambo	1 G

Toulouse FC

Casper Tengstedt	3 G
Thomas Jorgensen	2 G	1 A
Jacen Russell-Rowe	1 G
Christ Tape	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' AS Monaco FC have kicked off against Toulouse FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
That’s it! Another goalless match for AS Monaco FC and Toulouse FC (для сухой ничьи).

Lineups

AS Monaco FC Lineups

Toulouse FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Wissam Ben Yedder	4
Breel Embolo	2
Frank Magri	2
Aleksandr Golovin	2
Christopher Jullien	1
Wilfried Singo	1
Gelson Martins	1
Takumi Minamino	1

Head to Head

AS Monaco FC Form

2025-10-25 AS Monaco FC 1–0 Toulouse FC W 2025-10-22 AS Monaco FC 0–0 Tottenham Hotspur FC D 2025-10-18 Angers SCO 1–1 AS Monaco FC D 2025-10-05 AS Monaco FC 2–2 OGC Nice D 2025-10-01 AS Monaco FC 2–2 Manchester City FC D 2025-09-27 FC Lorient 3–1 AS Monaco FC L

Toulouse FC Form

2025-10-25 AS Monaco FC 1–0 Toulouse FC L 2025-10-19 Toulouse FC 4–0 FC Metz W 2025-10-05 Olympique Lyonnais 1–2 Toulouse FC W 2025-09-27 Toulouse FC 2–2 FC Nantes D 2025-09-21 AJ Auxerre 1–0 Toulouse FC L 2025-09-14 Lille OSC 2–1 Toulouse FC L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.81 AS Monaco FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.68 Toulouse FC xG

I would bet for: AS Monaco FC to win 61% + Under — clean sheet likely 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct

AS Monaco FC61% Draw24% Toulouse FC15%

Actual: AS Monaco FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes42% 0% No58%

Avg goals/match: 2.49

Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	90%	10%
± 1.5	71%	29%
± 2.5	45%	55%
± 3.5	24%	76%
± 4.5	11%	89%

Double Chance

AS Monaco FC or Draw

85%

Draw or Toulouse FC

39%

AS Monaco FC or Toulouse FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

AS Monaco FC43% Draw46% Toulouse FC11%

Actual: AS Monaco FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 0

Actual

2 – 0

13.2%

1 – 1

10.9%

0 – 0

10.2%

2 – 1

8.9%

3 – 0

7.8%

3 – 1

5.5%

0 – 1

4.7%

4 – 0

3.6%

1 – 2

3.3%

2 – 2

3.1%

4 – 1

2.6%

Asian Handicap — AS Monaco FC

Handicap	AS Monaco FC covers	Push	Toulouse FC covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	20%	62%
-1.5	38%	—	62%
-1	38%	25%	37%
-0.5	63%	—	37%
+0.5	88%	—	12%
+1	88%	9%	3%
+1.5	97%	—	3%
+2	97%	3%	1%
+2.5	99%	—	1%

Clean Sheet

AS Monaco FC keeps clean sheet

51% ✓

Toulouse FC keeps clean sheet

17% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.