RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

RB Leipzig

1 – 2

Full Time

1. FSV Mainz 05

Sat 31 Jan 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

RB Leipzig 4 games · 6 pts (2026/27)
1. FSV Mainz 05 4 games · 7 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Daniel Schlager

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	12
2	FC Bayern München	4	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	7
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	4	7
6	1. FSV Mainz 05	4	7
7	SV 07 Elversberg	4	7
8	SV Werder Bremen	4	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	4
14	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	4	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	3
17	1. FC Union Berlin	4	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0

Head-to-Head

RB Leipzig 20 games · Avg 3.3 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-31 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-09-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 RB Leipzig 2025-03-01 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-10-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 RB Leipzig 2024-03-30 RB Leipzig 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

RB Leipzig

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Jan	1. FSV Mainz 05	H	1–2	L
27 Jan	FC St. Pauli 1910	A	1–1	D
24 Jan	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	3–0	W
17 Jan	FC Bayern München	H	1–5	L
14 Jan	SC Freiburg	H	2–0	W
20 Dec	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	H	1–3	L

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
31 Jan	RB Leipzig	A	2–1	W
24 Jan	VfL Wolfsburg	H	3–1	W
17 Jan	1. FC Köln	A	1–2	L
13 Jan	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	H	2–1	W
10 Jan	1. FC Union Berlin	A	2–2	D
21 Dec	FC St. Pauli 1910	H	0–0	D

Season Stats

RB Leipzig		1. FSV Mainz 05
#9	Position	#6
6	Points	7
4	Played	4
2 / 0 / 2	W / D / L	2 / 1 / 1
9	Scored	10
5	Conceded	6
+4	GD	+4
1.50	PPG	1.75
50%	Win %	50%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

50% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season

50% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

RB Leipzig are 9th (6 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 6th (7 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig

0-15

–/1

16-30

3/–

31-45

–/1

46-60

1/1

61-75

3/1

76+

2/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/2

16-30

2/–

31-45

2/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/–

76+

5/1

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

RB Leipzig

Antonio Nusa	2 G	2 A
Ridle Baku	2 G
Rocco Reitz	1 G

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	4 G
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	3 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. RB Leipzig is hosting 1. FSV Mainz 05 for another epic battle.
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-2.

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Timo Werner	9
Yussuf Poulsen	5
Moussa Niakhate	4
Christopher Nkunku	3
Marcus Ingvartsen	3
Jean-Philippe Mateta	2
Andre Silva	2
Lukas Klostermann	2

Head to Head

RB Leipzig Form

2026-01-31 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-01-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 RB Leipzig D 2026-01-24 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–3 RB Leipzig W 2026-01-17 RB Leipzig 1–5 FC Bayern München L 2026-01-14 RB Leipzig 2–0 SC Freiburg W 2025-12-20 RB Leipzig 1–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2026-01-31 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-01-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg W 2026-01-17 1. FC Köln 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W 2026-01-10 1. FC Union Berlin 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-12-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.66 RB Leipzig xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.61 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

I would bet for: RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05 73% + Both teams to score 65%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

RB Leipzig37% Draw27% 1. FSV Mainz 0536%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes65% 0% No35%

Avg goals/match: 3.27

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	63%	37%
± 3.5	41%	59%
± 4.5	24%	76%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw

64%

Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05

63%

RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05

73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct

RB Leipzig30% Draw42% 1. FSV Mainz 0528%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11%

2 – 1

8.1%

1 – 2

Actual

2 – 2

6.5%

1 – 0

5.6%

0 – 1

5.4%

0 – 0

5.3%

2 – 0

5.2%

0 – 2

4.9%

3 – 1

4.5%

1 – 3

4.2%

3 – 2

3.7%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap	RB Leipzig covers	Push	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5	8%	—	92%
-2	8%	12%	80%
-1.5	20%	—	80%
-1	20%	18%	62%
-0.5	38%	—	62%
+0.5	64%	—	36%
+1	64%	18%	18%
+1.5	82%	—	18%
+2	82%	11%	8%
+2.5	92%	—	8%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

20% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.