Thursday , 2 July 2026

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

Bundesliga · 2025-26
RB Leipzig
1 – 2
Full Time
1. FSV Mainz 05
Sat 31 Jan 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

RB Leipzig vs 1. FSV Mainz 05 — Bundesliga .

Match Details

  • Referee Daniel Schlager
20 games this season 🟨 1.3/game ⚽ 8.3 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62
5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 43
10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40
11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39
12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38
13 Hamburger SV 34 38
14 1. FC Koln 34 32
15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29
17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26
18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26

Head-to-Head

8
4
8
RB Leipzig 20 games · Avg 3.3 goals 1. FSV Mainz 05
Last 5 meetings
2026-01-31 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-09-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 RB Leipzig 2025-03-01 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-10-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 RB Leipzig 2024-03-30 RB Leipzig 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

RB Leipzig
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan 1. FSV Mainz 05 H 1–2 L
27 Jan FC St. Pauli 1910 A 1–1 D
24 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 A 3–0 W
17 Jan FC Bayern München H 1–5 L
14 Jan SC Freiburg H 2–0 W
20 Dec Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 1–3 L
1. FSV Mainz 05
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
31 Jan RB Leipzig A 2–1 W
24 Jan VfL Wolfsburg H 3–1 W
17 Jan 1. FC Koln A 1–2 L
13 Jan 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 H 2–1 W
10 Jan 1. FC Union Berlin A 2–2 D
21 Dec FC St. Pauli 1910 H 0–0 D

Season Stats

RB Leipzig 1. FSV Mainz 05
#3 Position #10
65 Points 40
34 Played 34
20 / 5 / 9 W / D / L 10 / 10 / 14
66 Scored 44
47 Conceded 53
+19 GD -9
1.91 PPG 1.18
59% Win % 29%

Key Stats

55% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
60% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
32% Clean Sheets
RB Leipzig this season
12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

RB Leipzig are 3rd (65 pts). 1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

RB Leipzig
0-15
1/–
16-30
3/3
31-45
2/2
46-60
2/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
1. FSV Mainz 05
0-15
4/1
16-30
1/1
31-45
3/1
46-60
1/2
61-75
–/1
76+
2/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

Lineups

RB Leipzig Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Timo Werner 9
Yussuf Poulsen 5
Moussa Niakhate 4
Christopher Nkunku 3
Marcus Ingvartsen 3
Marcel Halstenberg 2
Marcel Sabitzer 2
Karim Onisiwo 2

Head to Head

2026-01-31 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-09-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–1 RB Leipzig 2025-03-01 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 2024-10-19 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 RB Leipzig 2024-03-30 RB Leipzig 0–0 1. FSV Mainz 05

RB Leipzig Form

2026-01-31 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-01-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–1 RB Leipzig D 2026-01-24 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 0–3 RB Leipzig W 2026-01-17 RB Leipzig 1–5 FC Bayern München L 2026-01-14 RB Leipzig 2–0 SC Freiburg W 2025-12-20 RB Leipzig 1–3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen L

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2026-01-31 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W 2026-01-24 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–1 VfL Wolfsburg W 2026-01-17 1. FC Koln 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-01-13 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–1 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 W 2026-01-10 1. FC Union Berlin 2–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2025-12-21 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–0 FC St. Pauli 1910 D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.72 RB Leipzig xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.36 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG
I would bet for: RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05 73% + Both teams to score 61%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
RB Leipzig42% Draw27% 1. FSV Mainz 0531%
Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes61% 0% No39%
Avg goals/match: 3.08
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 94%
6%
± 1.5 81%
19%
± 2.5 58%
42%
± 3.5 37%
63%
± 4.5 20%
80%

Double Chance

RB Leipzig or Draw
69%
Draw or 1. FSV Mainz 05
58%
RB Leipzig or 1. FSV Mainz 05
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
RB Leipzig33% Draw44% 1. FSV Mainz 0523%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.7%
2 – 1
8.9%
1 – 0
7.2%
1 – 2
Actual
2 – 0
6.8%
0 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
6%
0 – 1
5.4%
3 – 1
5.1%
0 – 2
4.2%
3 – 0
3.8%
3 – 2
3.5%

Asian Handicap — RB Leipzig

Handicap RB Leipzig covers Push 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers
-2.5 11% — 89%
-2 11% 14% 76%
-1.5 24% — 76%
-1 24% 20% 55%
-0.5 45% — 55%
+0.5 71% — 29%
+1 71% 16% 13%
+1.5 87% — 13%
+2 87% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

RB Leipzig keeps clean sheet
26% ✓
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet
19% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.