1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

1. FSV Mainz 05

2 – 2

Full Time

VfB Stuttgart

Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga .

1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
VfB Stuttgart 34 games · 62 pts (2025/26)

Match Details

Referee Matthias Jollenbeck

20 games this season 🟨 1.0/game ⚽ 5.6 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	34	89
2	Borussia Dortmund	34	73
3	RB Leipzig	34	65
4	VfB Stuttgart	34	62
5	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	34	61
6	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	34	59
7	SC Freiburg	34	47
8	Eintracht Frankfurt	34	44
9	FC Augsburg	34	43
10	1. FSV Mainz 05	34	40
11	1. FC Union Berlin	34	39
12	Borussia Monchengladbach	34	38
13	Hamburger SV	34	38
14	1. FC Koln	34	32
15	SV Werder Bremen	34	32
16	VfL Wolfsburg	34	29
17	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	34	26
18	FC St. Pauli 1910	34	26

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 24 games · Avg 3.1 goals VfB Stuttgart

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfB Stuttgart 2025-10-29 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 VfB Stuttgart 2025-10-26 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-01-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfB Stuttgart 2024-08-31 VfB Stuttgart 3–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	VfB Stuttgart	H	2–2	D
28 Feb	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	1–1	D
20 Feb	Hamburger SV	H	1–1	D
13 Feb	Borussia Dortmund	A	0–4	L
07 Feb	FC Augsburg	H	2–0	W
31 Jan	RB Leipzig	A	2–1	W

VfB Stuttgart

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	2–2	D
01 Mar	VfL Wolfsburg	H	4–0	W
26 Feb	Celtic FC	H	0–1	L
22 Feb	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	3–3	D
19 Feb	Celtic FC	A	4–1	W
14 Feb	1. FC Koln	H	3–1	W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05		VfB Stuttgart
#10	Position	#4
40	Points	62
34	Played	34
10 / 10 / 14	W / D / L	18 / 8 / 8
44	Scored	71
53	Conceded	49
-9	GD	+22
1.18	PPG	1.82
29%	Win %	53%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

32% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). VfB Stuttgart are 4th (62 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

4/1

16-30

1/1

31-45

3/1

46-60

1/2

61-75

–/1

76+

2/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

VfB Stuttgart

0-15

2/2

16-30

3/2

31-45

3/3

46-60

2/2

61-75

2/1

76+

3/3

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Events

Match Events

0' In just a few seconds will turn into a battlefield for 1. FSV Mainz 05 and VfB Stuttgart.
The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sehrou Guirassy	5
Silas Wamangituka	2
Sasa Kalajdzic	2
Jamie Leweling	2
Borna Sosa	2
Alexander Hack	2
Marcus Ingvartsen	2
Enzo Millot	1

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2026-03-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfB Stuttgart D 2026-02-28 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2026-02-20 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV D 2026-02-13 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-02-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 FC Augsburg W 2026-01-31 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W

VfB Stuttgart Form

2026-03-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfB Stuttgart D 2026-03-01 VfB Stuttgart 4–0 VfL Wolfsburg W 2026-02-26 VfB Stuttgart 0–1 Celtic FC L 2026-02-22 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 3–3 VfB Stuttgart D 2026-02-19 Celtic FC 1–4 VfB Stuttgart W 2026-02-14 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 1. FC Koln W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

1.58 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.96 VfB Stuttgart xG

I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfB Stuttgart 75% + Both teams to score 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

1. FSV Mainz 0534% Draw25% VfB Stuttgart41%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes68% 0% No32%

Avg goals/match: 3.54

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	96%	4%
± 1.5	87%	13%
± 2.5	68%	32%
± 3.5	47%	53%
± 4.5	28%	72%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

59%

Draw or VfB Stuttgart

66%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfB Stuttgart

75%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

1. FSV Mainz 0525% Draw40% VfB Stuttgart35%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.8%

1 – 2

8.5%

2 – 1

6.9%

2 – 2

Actual

0 – 2

5.6%

1 – 3

5.5%

0 – 1

5.1%

2 – 3

4.4%

0 – 0

4.3%

1 – 0

2 – 0

3.7%

0 – 3

3.6%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	VfB Stuttgart covers
-2.5	6%	—	94%
-2	6%	9%	85%
-1.5	15%	—	85%
-1	15%	16%	70%
-0.5	30%	—	70%
+0.5	54%	—	46%
+1	54%	19%	26%
+1.5	74%	—	26%
+2	74%	14%	12%
+2.5	88%	—	12%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet

21% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.