1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON

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Bundesliga · 2025-26

1. FSV Mainz 05

2 – 2

Full Time

VfB Stuttgart

Sat 7 Mar 2026 · 14:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

1. FSV Mainz 05 vs VfB Stuttgart — Bundesliga .

1. FSV Mainz 05 9 games · 10 pts (2026/27)
VfB Stuttgart 9 games · 12 pts (2026/27)

Match Details

Referee Matthias Jollenbeck

5 games this season 🟨 5.6/game ⚽ 26.4 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	FC Bayern München	9	21
2	Borussia Dortmund	9	21
3	SC Freiburg	9	19
4	RB Leipzig	9	18
5	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	9	16
6	SV Werder Bremen	9	15
7	SV 07 Elversberg	9	13
8	VfB Stuttgart	9	12
9	TSG 1899 Hoffenheim	9	12
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	9	12
11	Hamburger SV	9	12
12	1. FSV Mainz 05	9	10
13	SC Paderborn 07	9	10
14	FC Augsburg	9	9
15	1. FC Köln	9	9
16	1. FC Union Berlin	9	7
17	FC Schalke 04	9	6
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	9	4

Head-to-Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 24 games · Avg 3.1 goals VfB Stuttgart

Last 5 meetings

2026-03-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfB Stuttgart 2025-10-29 1. FSV Mainz 05 0–2 VfB Stuttgart 2025-10-26 VfB Stuttgart 2–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 2025-01-25 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 VfB Stuttgart 2024-08-31 VfB Stuttgart 3–3 1. FSV Mainz 05

Recent Form

1. FSV Mainz 05

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	VfB Stuttgart	H	2–2	D
28 Feb	Bayer 04 Leverkusen	A	1–1	D
20 Feb	Hamburger SV	H	1–1	D
13 Feb	Borussia Dortmund	A	0–4	L
07 Feb	FC Augsburg	H	2–0	W
31 Jan	RB Leipzig	A	2–1	W

VfB Stuttgart

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
07 Mar	1. FSV Mainz 05	A	2–2	D
01 Mar	VfL Wolfsburg	H	4–0	W
26 Feb	Celtic FC	H	0–1	L
22 Feb	1. FC Heidenheim 1846	A	3–3	D
19 Feb	Celtic FC	A	4–1	W
14 Feb	1. FC Köln	H	3–1	W

Season Stats

1. FSV Mainz 05		VfB Stuttgart
#12	Position	#8
10	Points	12
9	Played	9
3 / 1 / 5	W / D / L	4 / 0 / 5
18	Scored	15
19	Conceded	15
-1	GD	+0
1.11	PPG	1.33
33%	Win %	44%

Key Stats

67% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)

58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

33% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season

22% Clean Sheets
VfB Stuttgart this season

1. FSV Mainz 05 are 12th (10 pts). VfB Stuttgart are 8th (12 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

0-15

–/7

16-30

3/2

31-45

5/2

46-60

1/4

61-75

1/2

76+

8/2

■ Scored ■ Conceded

VfB Stuttgart

0-15

3/1

16-30

2/2

31-45

1/1

46-60

4/2

61-75

2/3

76+

3/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

1. FSV Mainz 05

Phillip Tietz	6 G
Anthony Caci	3 G	3 A
Sheraldo Becker	2 G	4 A
Philipp Mwene	1 G	1 A
Ransford Konigsdorffer	1 G

VfB Stuttgart

Ermedin Demirovic	5 G
Josha Vagnoman	2 G	1 A
Maximilian Mittelstadt	2 G	1 A
Bilal El Khannouss	2 G
Grischa Promel	1 G

Events

Match Events

0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for 1. FSV Mainz 05 to score. At the same time, VfB Stuttgart does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 2-2.

Lineups

1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups

VfB Stuttgart Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Sehrou Guirassy	5
Alexander Hack	2
Marcus Ingvartsen	2
Silas Wamangituka	2
Sasa Kalajdzic	2
Jamie Leweling	2
Borna Sosa	2
Hiroki Ito	1

Head to Head

1. FSV Mainz 05 Form

2026-03-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfB Stuttgart D 2026-02-28 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 1. FSV Mainz 05 D 2026-02-20 1. FSV Mainz 05 1–1 Hamburger SV D 2026-02-13 Borussia Dortmund 4–0 1. FSV Mainz 05 L 2026-02-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–0 FC Augsburg W 2026-01-31 RB Leipzig 1–2 1. FSV Mainz 05 W

VfB Stuttgart Form

2026-03-07 1. FSV Mainz 05 2–2 VfB Stuttgart D 2026-03-01 VfB Stuttgart 4–0 VfL Wolfsburg W 2026-02-26 VfB Stuttgart 0–1 Celtic FC L 2026-02-22 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 3–3 VfB Stuttgart D 2026-02-19 Celtic FC 1–4 VfB Stuttgart W 2026-02-14 VfB Stuttgart 3–1 1. FC Köln W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

2 / 4

2.02 1. FSV Mainz 05 xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.97 VfB Stuttgart xG

I would bet for: 1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfB Stuttgart 76% + Over 2.5 goals 75%

Match Result

✗ Wrong

1. FSV Mainz 0540% Draw24% VfB Stuttgart36%

Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes74% 0% No26%

Avg goals/match: 3.99

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	97%	3%
± 1.5	91%	9%
± 2.5	75%	25%
± 3.5	55%	45%
± 4.5	37%	63%

Double Chance

1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw

64%

Draw or VfB Stuttgart

60%

1. FSV Mainz 05 or VfB Stuttgart

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

1. FSV Mainz 0532% Draw38% VfB Stuttgart30%

Actual: 1. FSV Mainz 05 win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

8.2%

2 – 1

7.2%

1 – 2

7.1%

2 – 2

Actual

3 – 1

4.8%

3 – 2

4.7%

1 – 3

4.6%

2 – 3

4.6%

2 – 0

3.9%

0 – 2

3.7%

1 – 0

3.3%

0 – 1

3.2%

Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05

Handicap	1. FSV Mainz 05 covers	Push	VfB Stuttgart covers
-2.5	11%	—	89%
-2	11%	12%	78%
-1.5	22%	—	78%
-1	22%	17%	60%
-0.5	40%	—	60%
+0.5	62%	—	38%
+1	62%	17%	21%
+1.5	79%	—	21%
+2	79%	11%	10%
+2.5	90%	—	10%

Clean Sheet

1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet

15% ✓

VfB Stuttgart keeps clean sheet

14% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.