1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen, Bundesliga 2025-26 REGULAR SEASON
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Overview
Match Preview
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayer 04 Leverkusen — Bundesliga .
- 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 games · 40 pts (2025/26)
- Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 games · 59 pts (2025/26)
Match Details
- Referee Florian Exner
19 games this season 🟨 1.1/game ⚽ 7.3 goals/game 🟥 3 totalStandings
# Team P Pts 1 FC Bayern Munchen 34 89 2 Borussia Dortmund 34 73 3 RB Leipzig 34 65 4 VfB Stuttgart 34 62 5 TSG 1899 Hoffenheim 34 61 6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 59 7 SC Freiburg 34 47 8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 44 9 FC Augsburg 34 43 10 1. FSV Mainz 05 34 40 11 1. FC Union Berlin 34 39 12 Borussia Monchengladbach 34 38 13 Hamburger SV 34 38 14 1. FC Koln 34 32 15 SV Werder Bremen 34 32 16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 29 17 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 34 26 18 FC St. Pauli 1910 34 26 Head-to-Head
Recent Form
Date Opponent H/A Score Result 18 Oct Bayer 04 Leverkusen H 3–4 L 05 Oct Hamburger SV A 0–4 L 27 Sep Borussia Dortmund H 0–2 L 20 Sep FC Augsburg A 4–1 W 13 Sep RB Leipzig H 0–1 L 31 Aug VfL Wolfsburg A 1–1 D Date Opponent H/A Score Result 18 Oct 1. FSV Mainz 05 A 4–3 W 04 Oct 1. FC Union Berlin H 2–0 W 01 Oct PSV H 1–1 D 27 Sep FC St. Pauli 1910 A 2–1 W 21 Sep Borussia Monchengladbach H 1–1 D 18 Sep FC Kobenhavn A 2–2 D Season Stats
1. FSV Mainz 05 Bayer 04 Leverkusen #10 Position #6 40 Points 59 34 Played 34 10 / 10 / 14 W / D / L 17 / 8 / 9 44 Scored 68 53 Conceded 47 -9 GD +21 1.18 PPG 1.74 29% Win % 50% Key Stats
54% Both Teams to Score
H2H (24 games)58% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history12% Clean Sheets
1. FSV Mainz 05 this season24% Clean Sheets
Bayer 04 Leverkusen this season1. FSV Mainz 05 are 10th (40 pts). Bayer 04 Leverkusen are 6th (59 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
1. FSV Mainz 050-154/116-301/131-453/146-601/261-75–/176+2/5■ Scored ■ ConcededBayer 04 Leverkusen0-152/216-302/131-454/346-602/161-752/176+4/3■ Scored ■ Conceded -
Events
Match Events
- 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. 1. FSV Mainz 05 is hosting Bayer 04 Leverkusen for another epic battle.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for Bayer 04 Leverkusen players.
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Lineups
1. FSV Mainz 05 Lineups
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Lineups
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H2H
H2H Top Scorers
Player Goals Patrik Schick 5 Lucas Alario 4 Jeremie Frimpong 2 Nadiem Amiri 2 Kai Havertz 2 Julian Brandt 2 Alejandro Grimaldo 2 Aaron Martin 2 Head to Head
1. FSV Mainz 05 Form
Bayer 04 Leverkusen Form
2025-10-18 1. FSV Mainz 05 3–4 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2025-10-04 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 2–0 1. FC Union Berlin W 2025-10-01 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 PSV D 2025-09-27 FC St. Pauli 1910 1–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen W 2025-09-21 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 1–1 Borussia Monchengladbach D 2025-09-18 FC Kobenhavn 2–2 Bayer 04 Leverkusen D -
Predictions
Prediction accuracy4 / 41.43 1. FSV Mainz 05 xGExpected GoalsDixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo2.3 Bayer 04 Leverkusen xGI would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 71% + Both teams to score 68%Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen winBoth Teams to Score
✓ CorrectAvg goals/match: 3.73Actual: Yes — both scoredOver / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5Line Over Under ± 0.5 96% 4% ± 1.5 88% 12% ± 2.5 71% 29% ± 3.5 50% 50% ± 4.5 32% 68% Double Chance
1. FSV Mainz 05 or Draw 47%Draw or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 76%1. FSV Mainz 05 or Bayer 04 Leverkusen 77%Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Bayer 04 Leverkusen win at HTCorrect Score
✗ 3–4 not predicted3 – 4Actual1 – 2 8.8%1 – 1 8.7%1 – 3 6.6%0 – 2 6.4%2 – 2 6.2%2 – 1 5.5%0 – 1 5.1%2 – 3 4.8%0 – 3 4.8%1 – 4 3.9%0 – 0 3.6%3 – 2 3%Asian Handicap — 1. FSV Mainz 05
Handicap 1. FSV Mainz 05 covers Push Bayer 04 Leverkusen covers -2.5 4% — 96% -2 4% 7% 90% -1.5 10% — 90% -1 10% 13% 77% -0.5 23% — 77% +0.5 44% — 56% +1 44% 20% 35% +1.5 65% — 35% +2 65% 17% 19% +2.5 81% — 19% Clean Sheet
1. FSV Mainz 05 keeps clean sheet 11% ✓Bayer 04 Leverkusen keeps clean sheet 25% ✓Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.