SE Palmeiras vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026

SE Palmeiras

2 – 1

Full Time

Fluminense FC

Thu 26 Feb 2026 · 00:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs Fluminense FC — Serie A .

SE Palmeiras 26 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
Fluminense FC 27 games · 45 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Felipe Fernandes de Lima

8 games this season 🟨 4.4/game ⚽ 7.6 goals/game 🟥 4 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	CR Flamengo	26	54
2	SE Palmeiras	26	53
3	CA Paranaense	27	46
4	Fluminense FC	27	45
5	EC Bahia	26	43
6	Cruzeiro EC	26	42
7	CA Mineiro	26	39
8	Coritiba FBC	27	38
9	RB Bragantino	25	35
10	Sao Paulo FC	25	33
11	SC Corinthians Paulista	26	32
12	Santos FC	25	32
13	EC Vitoria	26	32
14	Botafogo FR	25	31
15	Gremio FBPA	26	28
16	Mirassol FC	26	28
17	CR Vasco da Gama	26	28
18	SC Internacional	27	26
19	Clube do Remo	26	23
20	Chapecoense AF	26	18

Head-to-Head

SE Palmeiras 20 games · Avg 2.1 goals Fluminense FC

Last 5 meetings

2026-02-26 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense FC 2025-11-23 SE Palmeiras 0–0 Fluminense FC 2025-07-23 Fluminense FC 1–2 SE Palmeiras 2024-12-08 SE Palmeiras 0–1 Fluminense FC 2024-07-25 Fluminense FC 1–0 SE Palmeiras

Recent Form

SE Palmeiras

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Feb	Fluminense FC	H	2–1	W
13 Feb	SC Internacional	A	3–1	W
05 Feb	EC Vitoria	H	5–1	W
28 Jan	CA Mineiro	A	2–2	D
07 Dec	Ceará SC	A	3–1	W
04 Dec	CA Mineiro	A	3–0	W

Fluminense FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
26 Feb	SE Palmeiras	A	1–2	L
12 Feb	Botafogo FR	H	1–0	W
05 Feb	EC Bahia	A	1–1	D
28 Jan	Gremio FBPA	H	2–1	W
07 Dec	EC Bahia	H	2–0	W
03 Dec	Gremio FBPA	A	2–1	W

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras		Fluminense FC
#2	Position	#4
53	Points	45
26	Played	27
15 / 8 / 3	W / D / L	12 / 9 / 6
45	Scored	41
21	Conceded	35
+24	GD	+6
2.04	PPG	1.67
58%	Win %	44%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)

40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

38% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

SE Palmeiras are 2nd (53 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (45 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras

0-15

3/2

16-30

4/1

31-45

4/1

46-60

4/4

61-75

6/1

76+

4/4

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Fluminense FC

0-15

–/3

16-30

3/1

31-45

5/5

46-60

3/4

61-75

4/5

76+

12/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras

Jose Manuel Lopez	8 G	4 A
Mauricio	7 G	1 A
Allan	4 G	3 A
Jhon Arias	4 G	2 A
Ramon Sosa	4 G	2 A

Fluminense FC

John Kennedy	9 G	1 A
Hulk	5 G	4 A
Agustin Canobbio	5 G	3 A
Luciano Acosta	4 G	4 A
Jefferson Savarino	3 G	2 A

Events

Match Events

0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

SE Palmeiras Lineups

Fluminense FC Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Luiz Adriano	4
German Cano	3
Jhon Arias	2
Gustavo Gomez	2
Breno Lopes	2
Raphael Veiga	2
Kevin Serna	2
Yago Felipe	2

Head to Head

SE Palmeiras Form

2026-02-26 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense FC W 2026-02-13 SC Internacional 1–3 SE Palmeiras W 2026-02-05 SE Palmeiras 5–1 EC Vitoria W 2026-01-28 CA Mineiro 2–2 SE Palmeiras D 2025-12-07 Ceará SC 1–3 SE Palmeiras W 2025-12-04 CA Mineiro 0–3 SE Palmeiras W

Fluminense FC Form

2026-02-26 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Fluminense FC L 2026-02-12 Fluminense FC 1–0 Botafogo FR W 2026-02-05 EC Bahia 1–1 Fluminense FC D 2026-01-28 Fluminense FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA W 2025-12-07 Fluminense FC 2–0 EC Bahia W 2025-12-03 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

1.89 SE Palmeiras xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

0.96 Fluminense FC xG

I would bet for: SE Palmeiras to win 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct

SE Palmeiras57% Draw24% Fluminense FC19%

Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes53% 0% No47%

Avg goals/match: 2.85

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	92%	8%
± 1.5	78%	22%
± 2.5	53%	47%
± 3.5	32%	68%
± 4.5	17%	83%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw

81%

Draw or Fluminense FC

43%

SE Palmeiras or Fluminense FC

76%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

SE Palmeiras41% Draw44% Fluminense FC15%

Actual: SE Palmeiras win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

11.3%

1 – 0

10.2%

2 – 0

10.2%

2 – 1

Actual

0 – 0

7.6%

3 – 0

6.3%

3 – 1

1 – 2

4.8%

0 – 1

4.7%

2 – 2

4.6%

4 – 0

3 – 2

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap	SE Palmeiras covers	Push	Fluminense FC covers
-2.5	17%	—	83%
-2	17%	18%	66%
-1.5	34%	—	66%
-1	34%	23%	42%
-0.5	58%	—	42%
+0.5	82%	—	18%
+1	82%	11%	6%
+1.5	94%	—	6%
+2	94%	5%	2%
+2.5	98%	—	2%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet

39% ✓

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet

16% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.