Sunday , 16 August 2026

SE Palmeiras vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Sun 23 Nov 2025 · 00:30 UTC Allianz Parque HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

SE Palmeiras vs Fluminense FCSerie A at Allianz Parque.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov Fluminense FC H 0–0 D
19 Nov EC Vitoria H 0–0 D
16 Nov Santos FC A 0–1 L
09 Nov Mirassol FC A 1–2 L
07 Nov Santos FC H 2–0 W
02 Nov EC Juventude A 2–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Nov SE Palmeiras A 0–0 D
20 Nov CR Flamengo H 2–1 W
09 Nov Cruzeiro EC A 0–0 D
06 Nov Mirassol FC H 1–0 W
02 Nov Ceará SC A 0–2 L
29 Oct Ceará SC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

SE Palmeiras Fluminense FC
#1 Position #4
48 Points 38
23 Played 23
14 / 6 / 3 W / D / L 10 / 8 / 5
40 Scored 34
19 Conceded 28
+21 GD +6
2.09 PPG 1.65
61% Win % 43%

Key Stats

45% Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
40% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

SE Palmeiras are 1st (48 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
5/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 6 G 3 A
Ramon Sosa 4 G 2 A
Allan 4 G 2 A
Mauricio 4 G 1 A
Jhon Arias 4 G 1 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — SE Palmeiras and Fluminense FC get this one started.
  • 5' SE Palmeiras are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fluminense FC's shape.
  • 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
  • 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 20' It is a cagey affair so far. SE Palmeiras in their trying to find a way past Fluminense FC's compact .
  • 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
  • 30' The referee calls foul for Juan Freytes. He receives a card.
  • 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
  • 40' SE Palmeiras looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
  • 45' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SE Palmeiras needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 46' SE Palmeiras ring the changes. Anibal Moreno has done his job and it is now time for Raphael Veiga to step up.
  • 48' Vitor Roque picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
  • 53' Carlos Miguel is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SE Palmeiras tonight.
  • 58' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 61' Facundo Torres Perez is replacing Ramon Sosa for the SE Palmeiras side.
  • 66' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 71' Joaquin Piquerez has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 19 cards already picked up this season.
  • 72' Another substitution for Fluminense FC to replace Nonato by Hercules on 72 minute.
  • 73' Another change for Fluminense FC made on 73 minute. Thiago Santos leaves to be changed by Facundo Bernal.
  • 76' SE Palmeiras ring the changes. Khellven has done his job and it is now time for Agustin Giay to step up.
  • 81' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 81 minutes.
  • 84' Fluminense FC make a change. Kevin Serna trudges off to be replaced by Yeferson Soteldo on 84 minutes.
  • 85' The Fluminense FC bench stirs into life. Lima is withdrawn and Igor Rabello gets his opportunity.
  • 88' The referee calls foul for Raphael Veiga. He receives a card.
  • 90' SE Palmeiras receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
  • celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.58 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Under 2.5 goals 73% + Under — clean sheet likely 68%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
SE Palmeiras48% Draw32% Fluminense FC20%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes32% 0% No68%
Avg goals/match: 1.8
Actual: No — clean sheet

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 81%
19%
± 1.5 54%
46%
± 2.5 27%
73%
± 3.5 12%
88%
± 4.5 4%
96%

Double Chance

SE Palmeiras or Draw
80%
Draw or Fluminense FC
52%
SE Palmeiras or Fluminense FC
68%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
SE Palmeiras32% Draw56% Fluminense FC12%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
19%
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 0
11.8%
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
4.7%
1 – 2
3.2%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 2
2.5%
2 – 2
2.2%
4 – 0
1.5%

Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras

Handicap SE Palmeiras covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 8% 92%
-2 8% 15% 77%
-1.5 23% 77%
-1 23% 27% 50%
-0.5 50% 50%
+0.5 84% 16%
+1 84% 12% 4%
+1.5 96% 4%
+2 96% 3% 1%
+2.5 99% 1%

Clean Sheet

SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
56%
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
30%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.