SE Palmeiras vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
SE Palmeiras vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Allianz Parque.
- SE Palmeiras 23 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 23 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 23 | 34 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 22 | 11 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov | Fluminense FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Nov | EC Vitoria | H | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Nov | Santos FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Nov | Mirassol FC | A | 1–2 | L |
| 07 Nov | Santos FC | H | 2–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | EC Juventude | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Nov | CR Flamengo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Nov | Mirassol FC | H | 1–0 | W |
| 02 Nov | Ceará SC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 29 Oct | Ceará SC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| SE Palmeiras | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Position | #4 |
| 48 | Points | 38 |
| 23 | Played | 23 |
| 14 / 6 / 3 | W / D / L | 10 / 8 / 5 |
| 40 | Scored | 34 |
| 19 | Conceded | 28 |
| +21 | GD | +6 |
| 2.09 | PPG | 1.65 |
| 61% | Win % | 43% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
39%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
SE Palmeiras are 1st (48 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
5/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 6 G | 3 A |
| Ramon Sosa | 4 G | 2 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 2 A |
| Mauricio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 4 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Packed stands, loud atmosphere — SE Palmeiras and Fluminense FC get this one started.
- 5' SE Palmeiras are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fluminense FC's shape.
- 10' A tactical chess match is unfolding here. The question is which manager blinks first.
- 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 20' It is a cagey affair so far. SE Palmeiras in their trying to find a way past Fluminense FC's compact .
- 25' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 30' The referee calls foul for Juan Freytes. He receives a card.
- 35' Spectators do not have much to choose from both teams. The sides had several scoring chances but they still need a bit more than just a sight of a goal.
- 40' SE Palmeiras looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 1 matches with its main striker scoring 0 goals.
- 45' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SE Palmeiras needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 46' SE Palmeiras ring the changes. Anibal Moreno has done his job and it is now time for Raphael Veiga to step up.
- 48' Vitor Roque picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 53' Carlos Miguel is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SE Palmeiras tonight.
- 58' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 61' Facundo Torres Perez is replacing Ramon Sosa for the SE Palmeiras side.
- 66' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 71' Joaquin Piquerez has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 19 cards already picked up this season.
- 72' Another substitution for Fluminense FC to replace Nonato by Hercules on 72 minute.
- 73' Another change for Fluminense FC made on 73 minute. Thiago Santos leaves to be changed by Facundo Bernal.
- 76' SE Palmeiras ring the changes. Khellven has done his job and it is now time for Agustin Giay to step up.
- 81' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 81 minutes.
- 84' Fluminense FC make a change. Kevin Serna trudges off to be replaced by Yeferson Soteldo on 84 minutes.
- 85' The Fluminense FC bench stirs into life. Lima is withdrawn and Igor Rabello gets his opportunity.
- 88' The referee calls foul for Raphael Veiga. He receives a card.
- 90' SE Palmeiras receives a card for a hard tackle on 90.
- celebrates a vital win. Three points that could prove pivotal come season's end.
Lineups
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 15
-
5
Anibal Moreno ↓ Raphael Veiga 46'
-
12
Khellven ↓ Agustin Giay 76'
- 1
- 42
- 26
- 22
-
32
Emiliano Martinez ↓ Bruno Fuchs 76'
- 9
- 19
-
40
Allan ↓ Felipe Anderson 61'
Bench
-
23
Raphael Veiga ↑ 46'
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↑ 61'
- 14
-
3
Bruno Fuchs ↑ 76'
- 18
-
17
Facundo Torres Perez ↑ 61'
- 11
- 13
-
4
Agustin Giay ↑ 76'
- 43
- 48
- 6
Coach
Abel Ferreira
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 2
-
29
Thiago Santos ↓ Facundo Bernal 73'
- 16
- 4
-
22
Juan Freytes ↓ Gabriel Fuentes 46'
- 9
-
45
Lima ↓ Igor Rabello 85'
- 8
- 17
-
90
Kevin Serna ↓ Yeferson Soteldo 84'
Bench
-
21
Igor Rabello ↑ 85'
- 23
- 94
- 11
-
7
Yeferson Soteldo ↑ 84'
- 27
-
35
Hercules ↑ 72'
- 18
-
5
Facundo Bernal ↑ 73'
-
12
Gabriel Fuentes ↑ 46'
- 28
- 99
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luiz Adriano | 4 |
| German Cano | 3 |
| Yago Felipe | 2 |
| Mauricio | 2 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Manoel Messias | 2 |
| Jhon Arias | 2 |
| Gustavo Gomez | 2 |
Head to Head
SE Palmeiras Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22
SE Palmeiras xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
0.58
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Under 2.5 goals 73% + Under — clean sheet likely 68%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 1.8
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 81% |
|
19% |
| ± 1.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 2.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 3.5 | 12% |
|
88% |
| ± 4.5 | 4% |
|
96% |
Double Chance
SE Palmeiras or Draw
80%
Draw or Fluminense FC
52%
SE Palmeiras or Fluminense FC
68%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
0 – 0
Actual
1 – 0
19%
1 – 1
12.5%
2 – 0
11.8%
0 – 1
8.2%
2 – 1
7.1%
3 – 0
4.7%
1 – 2
3.2%
3 – 1
3%
0 – 2
2.5%
2 – 2
2.2%
4 – 0
1.5%
Asian Handicap — SE Palmeiras
| Handicap | SE Palmeiras covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -2 | 8% | 15% | 77% |
| -1.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| -1 | 23% | 27% | 50% |
| -0.5 | 50% | — | 50% |
| +0.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +1 | 84% | 12% | 4% |
| +1.5 | 96% | — | 4% |
| +2 | 96% | 3% | 1% |
| +2.5 | 99% | — | 1% |
Clean Sheet
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
56%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
30%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

