Wednesday , 30 September 2026

EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

1 – 1
Full Time
Thu 5 Feb 2026 · 22:00 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC — Serie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Matheus Delgado Candancan (Brazil)
7 games this season 🟨 0.3/game ⚽ 3.7 goals/game

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Feb Fluminense FC H 1–1 D
28 Jan SC Corinthians Paulista A 2–1 W
07 Dec Fluminense FC A 0–2 L
03 Dec SC Recife H 2–0 W
28 Nov EC Juventude A 1–1 D
23 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 1–0 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
05 Feb EC Bahia A 1–1 D
28 Jan Gremio FBPA H 2–1 W
07 Dec EC Bahia H 2–0 W
03 Dec Gremio FBPA A 2–1 W
27 Nov Sao Paulo FC H 6–0 W
23 Nov SE Palmeiras A 0–0 D

Season Stats

EC Bahia Fluminense FC
#5 Position #4
46 Points 48
28 Played 28
12 / 10 / 6 W / D / L 13 / 9 / 6
43 Scored 44
35 Conceded 36
+8 GD +8
1.64 PPG 1.71
43% Win % 46%

Key Stats

44% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
22% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
36% Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
21% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

EC Bahia
Luciano Juba 9 G 1 A
Jean Lucas 4 G 3 A
Erick 4 G
Everaldo 4 G
Willian Jose 3 G 1 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 4 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Luciano Acosta 4 G 5 A
Rodrigo Castillo 4 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
  • The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.

Lineups

EC Bahia Lineups

Fluminense FC Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.43 EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: EC Bahia or Fluminense FC 71% + Both teams to score 55%

Match Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia39% Draw29% Fluminense FC32%
Actual: Draw

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes55% 0% No45%
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 91%
9%
± 1.5 75%
25%
± 2.5 50%
50%
± 3.5 29%
71%
± 4.5 14%
86%

Double Chance

EC Bahia or Draw
67%
Draw or Fluminense FC
61%
EC Bahia or Fluminense FC
71%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
EC Bahia29% Draw47% Fluminense FC24%
Actual: Fluminense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
8.6%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
3.1%

Asian Handicap — EC Bahia

Handicap EC Bahia covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 7% — 93%
-2 7% 12% 81%
-1.5 19% — 81%
-1 19% 20% 61%
-0.5 39% — 61%
+0.5 68% — 32%
+1 68% 18% 14%
+1.5 86% — 14%
+2 86% 9% 5%
+2.5 95% — 5%

Clean Sheet

EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
29% ✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
25% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.