EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC — Serie A .
- EC Bahia 28 games · 46 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 28 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Matheus Delgado Candancan (Brazil)
7 games this season
🟨 0.3/game
⚽ 3.7 goals/game
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb | Fluminense FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Jan | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Dec | Fluminense FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Dec | SC Recife | H | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Nov | EC Juventude | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Nov | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb | EC Bahia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Jan | Gremio FBPA | H | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Dec | EC Bahia | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Dec | Gremio FBPA | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 6–0 | W |
| 23 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #5 | Position | #4 |
| 46 | Points | 48 |
| 28 | Played | 28 |
| 12 / 10 / 6 | W / D / L | 13 / 9 / 6 |
| 43 | Scored | 44 |
| 35 | Conceded | 36 |
| +8 | GD | +8 |
| 1.64 | PPG | 1.71 |
| 43% | Win % | 46% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
36%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
21%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
EC Bahia are 5th (46 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (48 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/6
31-45
7/4
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/4
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/5
61-75
4/5
76+
14/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 9 G | 1 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 3 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 4 G | 5 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at . The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- The final whistle. It looks like we are having a draw.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 3 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Pedro | 2 |
| Lucca | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
1 / 4
1.43
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.28
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or Fluminense FC 71% + Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.71
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
67%
Draw or Fluminense FC
61%
EC Bahia or Fluminense FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fluminense FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
8.6%
2 – 1
8.4%
0 – 1
7.6%
1 – 2
7.5%
2 – 0
6.7%
2 – 2
5.4%
0 – 2
5.3%
3 – 1
4%
1 – 3
3.2%
3 – 0
3.1%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -2 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -1.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| -1 | 19% | 20% | 61% |
| -0.5 | 39% | — | 61% |
| +0.5 | 68% | — | 32% |
| +1 | 68% | 18% | 14% |
| +1.5 | 86% | — | 14% |
| +2 | 86% | 9% | 5% |
| +2.5 | 95% | — | 5% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
25%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

