EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
EC Bahia vs Fluminense FC — Serie A .
- EC Bahia 34 games · 53 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 34 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
Match Details
- Referee Matheus Delgado Candancan (Brazil)
8 games this season
🟨 0.8/game
⚽ 4.3 goals/game
🟥 1 total
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb | Fluminense FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Jan | SC Corinthians Paulista | A | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Dec | Fluminense FC | A | 0–2 | L |
| 03 Dec | SC Recife | H | 2–0 | W |
| 28 Nov | EC Juventude | A | 1–1 | D |
| 23 Nov | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 1–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb | EC Bahia | A | 1–1 | D |
| 28 Jan | Gremio FBPA | H | 2–1 | W |
| 07 Dec | EC Bahia | H | 2–0 | W |
| 03 Dec | Gremio FBPA | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Nov | São Paulo FC | H | 6–0 | W |
| 23 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
Season Stats
| EC Bahia | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #6 | Position | #4 |
| 53 | Points | 57 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 11 / 9 | W / D / L | 16 / 9 / 9 |
| 50 | Scored | 55 |
| 45 | Conceded | 42 |
| +5 | GD | +13 |
| 1.56 | PPG | 1.68 |
| 41% | Win % | 47% |
Key Stats
44%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
22%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
32%
Clean Sheets
EC Bahia this season
EC Bahia this season
24%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
EC Bahia are 6th (53 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (57 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
EC Bahia
0-15
5/3
16-30
4/6
31-45
10/7
46-60
3/2
61-75
5/7
76+
9/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/1
31-45
6/5
46-60
4/9
61-75
5/6
76+
18/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
EC Bahia
| Luciano Juba | 11 G | 2 A |
| Jean Lucas | 4 G | 4 A |
| Erick | 4 G | |
| Everaldo | 4 G | |
| Willian Jose | 3 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 6 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 7 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 6 G | 5 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 6 G | 4 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Welcome to that hosts another battle between EC Bahia and Fluminense FC.
- The points are shared — EC Bahia 1-1 Fluminense FC. Honours even.
Lineups
EC Bahia Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| German Cano | 3 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Nene | 2 |
| Edigar Junio | 2 |
| Pedro | 2 |
| Lucca | 2 |
| Gilberto | 2 |
| Gabriel Pirani | 1 |
Head to Head
EC Bahia Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.36
EC Bahia xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.34
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
EC Bahia or Fluminense FC 71% + Both teams to score 55%
Match Result
✗ WrongActual: Draw
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.7
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 75% |
|
25% |
| ± 2.5 | 50% |
|
50% |
| ± 3.5 | 29% |
|
71% |
| ± 4.5 | 14% |
|
86% |
Double Chance
EC Bahia or Draw
65%
Draw or Fluminense FC
63%
EC Bahia or Fluminense FC
71%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fluminense FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
Actual
0 – 0
8.7%
1 – 0
8.2%
0 – 1
8%
2 – 1
8%
1 – 2
7.9%
2 – 0
6.1%
0 – 2
5.9%
2 – 2
5.4%
3 – 1
3.6%
1 – 3
3.5%
3 – 0
2.7%
Asian Handicap — EC Bahia
| Handicap | EC Bahia covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -2 | 6% | 11% | 83% |
| -1.5 | 17% | — | 83% |
| -1 | 17% | 19% | 64% |
| -0.5 | 36% | — | 64% |
| +0.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +1 | 65% | 19% | 16% |
| +1.5 | 84% | — | 16% |
| +2 | 84% | 10% | 6% |
| +2.5 | 94% | — | 6% |
Clean Sheet
EC Bahia keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
27%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

