CA Mineiro vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Mineirao.
- CA Mineiro 35 games · 51 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 34 games · 73 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 35 | 51 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | Sao Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 35 | 41 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Nov | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Nov | CR Flamengo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Nov | RB Bragantino | A | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Nov | Fortaleza EC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 08 Nov | SC Recife | A | 4–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec | CA Mineiro | A | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | Gremio FBPA | A | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Nov | Fluminense FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Nov | EC Vitoria | H | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Nov | Santos FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Nov | Mirassol FC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #2 |
| 51 | Points | 73 |
| 35 | Played | 34 |
| 14 / 9 / 12 | W / D / L | 21 / 10 / 3 |
| 44 | Scored | 62 |
| 40 | Conceded | 23 |
| +4 | GD | +39 |
| 1.46 | PPG | 2.15 |
| 40% | Win % | 62% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
47%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
CA Mineiro are 7th (51 pts). SE Palmeiras are 2nd (73 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
3/5
16-30
8/1
31-45
5/6
46-60
2/2
61-75
8/5
76+
9/10
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
8/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Bernard | 5 G | 4 A |
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 2 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 10 G | 7 A |
| Mauricio | 10 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 6 G | 3 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | 1 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' That's the starting whistle at Mineirao. Ninety minutes of football awaits between CA Mineiro and SE Palmeiras.
- 5' SE Palmeiras come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 9' Jose Manuel Lopez puts SE Palmeiras on the lead.
- 14' Allan has been relatively quiet despite scoring 3 goals in his last 402 appearances.
- 19' It is a cagey affair so far. CA Mineiro in their trying to find a way past SE Palmeiras's compact .
- 20' A stunning finish from Allan — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 25' A quiet spell here at Mineirao. SE Palmeiras seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 30' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. SE Palmeiras needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
- 31' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Ruan on 31 minutes.
- 33' Bernard gets the nod from CA Mineiro. He replaces Junior Alonso and will look to change the dynamic.
- 34' It’s a booking for SE Palmeiras player. Raphael Veiga gets a card.
- 39' We are waiting for someone to take the initiative. Who will be the first to commit to attack?
- 44' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
- 45' Joaquin Piquerez has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 45.
- 46' A tactical swap from SE Palmeiras — Bruno Fuchs on, Allan off on 46 minutes.
- 51' Igor Gomes, a Brazil , has 2 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 56' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 61' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CA Mineiro side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 64' Hulk is ready to make an impact after coming on for Renzo Saravia at the 64 minute mark.
- 65' SE Palmeiras player sees a card in front of him.
- 70' SE Palmeiras are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 74' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Emiliano Martinez is replaced by Luis Gustavo on 74 minute.
- 79' Renzo Saravia is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for CA Mineiro so far.
- 81' Brilliant from the forward! Luighi Hanri makes it 0-3 with a superb finish on 81.
- 81' Another change for SE Palmeiras made on 81 minute. Vitor Roque leaves to be changed by Luighi Hanri.
- 86' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CA Mineiro and SE Palmeiras are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 88' Gabriel Menino is replacing Gustavo Scarpa for the CA Mineiro side.
- The referee brings this contest to a close. SE Palmeiras take all three points.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 33
- 17
- 92
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↓ Gabriel Menino 88'
-
6
Junior Alonso ↓ Bernard 33'
- 13
- 14
-
26
Renzo Saravia ↓ Hulk 64'
- 16
- 21
Bench
- 38
-
11
Bernard ↑ 33'
- 8
- 18
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↑ 88'
- 2
- 77
-
7
Hulk ↑ 64'
- 1
- 5
- 42
- 23
Coach
Jorge Sampaoli
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
-
23
Raphael Veiga ↓ Ramon Sosa 46'
- 15
- 8
- 12
- 1
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez ↓ Jefte 46'
- 26
- 22
- 32
-
9
Vitor Roque ↓ Luighi Hanri 81'
-
40
Allan ↓ Bruno Fuchs 46'
Bench
- 14
-
3
Bruno Fuchs ↑ 46'
- 18
- 11
- 13
-
19
Ramon Sosa ↑ 46'
-
31
Luighi Hanri ↑ 81'
- 37
-
43
Luis Gustavo ↑ 74'
- 48
-
6
Jefte ↑ 46'
- 45
Coach
Abel Ferreira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Hulk | 5 |
| Bruno Henrique | 5 |
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 2 |
| Bruno Henrique | 2 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Wesley | 2 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.96
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.9
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.86
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 92% |
|
8% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 32% |
|
68% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
48%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
78%
CA Mineiro or SE Palmeiras
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.3%
0 – 1
10.2%
0 – 2
10.1%
1 – 2
9.6%
0 – 0
7.5%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
6.1%
2 – 1
4.8%
1 – 0
4.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 3
3%
0 – 4
3%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 11% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| +0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +1 | 42% | 23% | 35% |
| +1.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +2 | 65% | 18% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
39%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

