CA Mineiro vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Mineirao.
- CA Mineiro 18 games · 24 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 18 games · 41 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 17 | 34 |
| 3 | Fluminense FC | 18 | 31 |
| 4 | CA Paranaense | 18 | 30 |
| 5 | RB Bragantino | 18 | 29 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 17 | 26 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 18 | 26 |
| 8 | Sao Paulo FC | 18 | 25 |
| 9 | CA Mineiro | 18 | 24 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 18 | 24 |
| 11 | Cruzeiro EC | 18 | 24 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 17 | 22 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 17 | 22 |
| 14 | SC Internacional | 18 | 21 |
| 15 | Santos FC | 18 | 21 |
| 16 | Grêmio FBPA | 18 | 21 |
| 17 | CR Vasco da Gama | 18 | 20 |
| 18 | Clube do Remo | 18 | 18 |
| 19 | Mirassol FC | 17 | 16 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 17 | 9 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Nov | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Nov | CR Flamengo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Nov | RB Bragantino | A | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Nov | Fortaleza EC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 08 Nov | SC Recife | A | 4–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec | CA Mineiro | A | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | Grêmio FBPA | A | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Nov | Fluminense FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Nov | EC Vitoria | H | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Nov | Santos FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Nov | Mirassol FC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #9 | Position | #1 |
| 24 | Points | 41 |
| 18 | Played | 18 |
| 7 / 3 / 8 | W / D / L | 12 / 5 / 1 |
| 22 | Scored | 30 |
| 23 | Conceded | 13 |
| -1 | GD | +17 |
| 1.33 | PPG | 2.28 |
| 39% | Win % | 67% |
Key Stats
43%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (21 games)
H2H (21 games)
38%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
39%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
CA Mineiro are 9th (24 pts). SE Palmeiras are 1st (41 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/2
16-30
4/–
31-45
2/3
46-60
–/1
61-75
2/1
76+
3/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 3 G | 1 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 6 G | 3 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 2 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 3 G | |
| Jhon Arias | 3 G | |
| Vitor Roque | 3 G |
Events
Match Events
- 0' KICK OFF: SE Palmeiras gets underway.
- 5' SE Palmeiras fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 9' A goal from the Argentina international Jose Manuel Lopez! He fires home on 9 to make it 0-1!
- 14' Murilo Cerqueira needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Red cards this season.
- 19' Rony is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for SE Palmeiras so far.
- 20' Clinical. Composed. Brilliant. Allan makes it 0-2.
- 25' CA Mineiro are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against SE Palmeiras's shape.
- 30' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 31' That looks like a foul for a card for Ruan.
- 33' Bernard has so much to prove this time. He replaces Junior Alonso on 33 minute.
- 34' That is a card for SE Palmeiras. Raphael Veiga will be fuming at that decision.
- 39' It’s high time Jorge Sampaoli made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 44' The home supporters are growing impatient. CA Mineiro must find a spark to ignite this game.
- 45' Joaquin Piquerez is having his name booked by the referee on 45.
- 46' The SE Palmeiras manager makes a substitution. Allan departs to be replaced by Bruno Fuchs.
- 51' With 0 assists to his name this season, Luighi Hanri is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SE Palmeiras.
- 56' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
- 61' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CA Mineiro and SE Palmeiras are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 64' CA Mineiro ring the changes. Renzo Saravia has done his job and it is now time for Hulk to step up.
- 65' Carlos Miguel catches the referee's attention in entirely the wrong way. card on 65.
- 70' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 74' Another change for SE Palmeiras made on 74 minute. Emiliano Martinez leaves to be changed by Luis Gustavo.
- 79' The 20-year-old Luis Gustavo has been sensational this season — 0 goals and 0 assists is a remarkable return.
- 81' GOAL! Luighi Hanri fires home to make it 0-3!
- 81' Fresh legs for SE Palmeiras! Luighi Hanri comes on to replace Vitor Roque.
- 86' Gustavo Gomez, a Paraguay , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 88' Gabriel Menino gets the nod from CA Mineiro. He replaces Gustavo Scarpa and will look to change the dynamic.
- Time to leave. No sensation happened. Another win for SE Palmeiras players.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 33
- 17
- 92
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↓ Gabriel Menino 88'
-
6
Junior Alonso ↓ Bernard 33'
- 13
- 14
-
26
Renzo Saravia ↓ Hulk 64'
- 16
- 21
Bench
- 38
-
11
Bernard ↑ 33'
- 8
- 18
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↑ 88'
- 2
- 77
-
7
Hulk ↑ 64'
- 1
- 5
- 42
- 23
Coach
Jorge Sampaoli
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
-
23
Raphael Veiga ↓ Ramon Sosa 46'
- 15
- 8
- 12
- 1
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez ↓ Jefte 46'
- 26
- 22
- 32
-
9
Vitor Roque ↓ Luighi Hanri 81'
-
40
Allan ↓ Bruno Fuchs 46'
Bench
- 14
-
3
Bruno Fuchs ↑ 46'
- 18
- 11
- 13
-
19
Ramon Sosa ↑ 46'
-
31
Luighi Hanri ↑ 81'
- 37
-
43
Luis Gustavo ↑ 74'
- 48
-
6
Jefte ↑ 46'
- 45
Coach
Abel Ferreira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Henrique | 5 |
| Hulk | 5 |
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Wesley | 2 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 2 |
| Bruno Henrique | 2 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
0.98
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.91
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.89
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
48%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
78%
CA Mineiro or SE Palmeiras
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.2%
0 – 2
10%
0 – 1
10%
1 – 2
9.6%
0 – 0
7.3%
0 – 3
Actual
1 – 3
6.1%
2 – 1
4.9%
2 – 2
4.7%
1 – 0
4.6%
2 – 3
3.1%
0 – 4
3%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 94% |
| -1.5 | 6% | — | 94% |
| -1 | 6% | 11% | 82% |
| -0.5 | 18% | — | 82% |
| +0.5 | 42% | — | 58% |
| +1 | 42% | 23% | 35% |
| +1.5 | 65% | — | 35% |
| +2 | 65% | 18% | 17% |
| +2.5 | 83% | — | 17% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
38%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

