CA Mineiro vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
CA Mineiro vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Mineirao.
- CA Mineiro 27 games · 40 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 28 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 28 | 60 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 28 | 57 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 28 | 49 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 28 | 48 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 28 | 46 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 28 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 27 | 40 |
| 8 | Santos FC | 27 | 38 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 28 | 38 |
| 10 | RB Bragantino | 27 | 36 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 27 | 36 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 28 | 35 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 28 | 33 |
| 14 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 28 | 32 |
| 15 | Mirassol FC | 28 | 32 |
| 16 | CR Vasco da Gama | 27 | 31 |
| 17 | Gremio FBPA | 28 | 29 |
| 18 | SC Internacional | 28 | 28 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 28 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 27 | 18 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec | SE Palmeiras | H | 0–3 | L |
| 30 Nov | Fortaleza EC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 26 Nov | CR Flamengo | H | 1–1 | D |
| 16 Nov | RB Bragantino | A | 0–2 | L |
| 12 Nov | Fortaleza EC | H | 3–3 | D |
| 08 Nov | SC Recife | A | 4–2 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Dec | CA Mineiro | A | 3–0 | W |
| 26 Nov | Gremio FBPA | A | 2–3 | L |
| 23 Nov | Fluminense FC | H | 0–0 | D |
| 19 Nov | EC Vitoria | H | 0–0 | D |
| 16 Nov | Santos FC | A | 0–1 | L |
| 09 Nov | Mirassol FC | A | 1–2 | L |
Season Stats
| CA Mineiro | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #7 | Position | #2 |
| 40 | Points | 57 |
| 27 | Played | 28 |
| 11 / 7 / 9 | W / D / L | 16 / 9 / 3 |
| 36 | Scored | 47 |
| 32 | Conceded | 21 |
| +4 | GD | +26 |
| 1.48 | PPG | 2.04 |
| 41% | Win % | 57% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (22 games)
H2H (22 games)
41%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
CA Mineiro this season
CA Mineiro this season
43%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
CA Mineiro are 7th (40 pts). SE Palmeiras are 2nd (57 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
CA Mineiro
0-15
2/3
16-30
6/–
31-45
5/4
46-60
1/2
61-75
8/5
76+
5/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
5/1
46-60
5/4
61-75
6/1
76+
4/4
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
CA Mineiro
| Tomas Cuello | 5 G | 2 A |
| Victor Hugo Gomes | 4 G | 1 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 8 G | 4 A |
| Mauricio | 7 G | 1 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
| Gustavo Gomez | 4 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' We are underway at Mineirao. The crowd does wile while the referee lows the starting whistle.
- 5' will be watching from the dugout nervously. His CA Mineiro side need to improve if they are to claim all three points.
- 9' with the perfectly-timed delivery and Jose Manuel Lopez makes no mistake. 0-1!
- 14' SE Palmeiras is showing some good football. However, SE Palmeiras are ready to play back every minute. It might result in some problems for the home side. The game will hardly remain goalless.
- 19' SE Palmeiras come into this ranked in Array. They desperately need points to push themselves up the standings.
- 20' Allan adds to his 1 season tally! SE Palmeiras lead 0-2 — and this changes everything.
- 25' Andreas Pereira, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 30' The Array continues to deliver drama. Both CA Mineiro and SE Palmeiras are desperate not to drop points on matchday .
- 31' Controversy at the stadium! Ruan argues furiously but the card stands.
- 33' It is a substitution in CA Mineiro team. Junior Alonso is replaced by Bernard on 33 minute.
- 34' A meaty challenge results in booking for Raphael Veiga on 34.
- 39' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
- 44' CA Mineiro are keeping things exceptionally tight at the back. It will take something special to break them down.
- 45' SE Palmeiras receives a card for a hard tackle on 45.
- 46' Time for substitution for SE Palmeiras. Allan is replaced by Bruno Fuchs.
- 51' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering SE Palmeiras that had 393 games and scored 590 goals.
- 56' Raphael Veiga has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 61' A quiet spell here at Mineirao. CA Mineiro seem content sitting deep and soaking up pressure.
- 64' Hulk has so much to prove this time. He replaces Renzo Saravia on 64 minute.
- 65' Carlos Miguel picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- 70' CA Mineiro are enjoying more possession but struggling to find a way through a disciplined SE Palmeiras backline.
- 74' Luis Gustavo is ready to make an impact after coming on for Emiliano Martinez at the 74 minute mark.
- 79' CA Mineiro started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 79.
- 81' Luighi Hanri doubles the advantage! 0-3 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
- 81' The supporters are chanting for Luighi Hanri. He replaces Vitor Roque on 81 minute.
- 86' While players are taking a pause, let’s have a look at their stats. The teams met 2 times this season with CA Mineiro winning 50% of all matches.
- 88' The CA Mineiro bench stirs into life. Gustavo Scarpa is withdrawn and Gabriel Menino gets his opportunity.
- Another three points for SE Palmeiras.
Lineups
CA Mineiro Lineups
Starting XI
- 22
- 33
- 17
- 92
-
10
Gustavo Scarpa ↓ Gabriel Menino 88'
-
6
Junior Alonso ↓ Bernard 33'
- 13
- 14
-
26
Renzo Saravia ↓ Hulk 64'
- 16
- 21
Bench
- 38
-
11
Bernard ↑ 33'
- 8
- 18
-
25
Gabriel Menino ↑ 88'
- 2
- 77
-
7
Hulk ↑ 64'
- 1
- 5
- 42
- 23
Coach
Jorge Sampaoli
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
-
23
Raphael Veiga ↓ Ramon Sosa 46'
- 15
- 8
- 12
- 1
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez ↓ Jefte 46'
- 26
- 22
- 32
-
9
Vitor Roque ↓ Luighi Hanri 81'
-
40
Allan ↓ Bruno Fuchs 46'
Bench
- 14
-
3
Bruno Fuchs ↑ 46'
- 18
- 11
- 13
-
19
Ramon Sosa ↑ 46'
-
31
Luighi Hanri ↑ 81'
- 37
-
43
Luis Gustavo ↑ 74'
- 48
-
6
Jefte ↑ 46'
- 45
Coach
Abel Ferreira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Bruno Henrique | 5 |
| Hulk | 5 |
| Raphael Veiga | 4 |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 |
| Bruno Henrique | 2 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Wesley | 2 |
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 2 |
Head to Head
CA Mineiro Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
2 / 4
1.02
CA Mineiro xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.86
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
Markets are evenly balanced — no clear value pick.
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✗ Wrong
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: No — clean sheet
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
CA Mineiro or Draw
50%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
76%
CA Mineiro or SE Palmeiras
74%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: SE Palmeiras win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
11.5%
0 – 1
9.6%
1 – 2
9.5%
0 – 2
9.5%
0 – 0
7.3%
1 – 3
5.9%
0 – 3
Actual
2 – 1
5.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 0
4.9%
2 – 3
3.1%
2 – 0
2.9%
Asian Handicap — CA Mineiro
| Handicap | CA Mineiro covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 5% | 93% |
| -1.5 | 7% | — | 93% |
| -1 | 7% | 12% | 81% |
| -0.5 | 19% | — | 81% |
| +0.5 | 45% | — | 55% |
| +1 | 45% | 23% | 33% |
| +1.5 | 67% | — | 33% |
| +2 | 67% | 17% | 15% |
| +2.5 | 85% | — | 15% |
Clean Sheet
CA Mineiro keeps clean sheet
16%
✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
36%
✗
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

