Tuesday , 1 September 2026

Gremio FBPA vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 3 Dec 2025 · 00:30 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'
Dodi 58' Y
Arthur 61' Y
Y 86' Lima

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs Fluminense FCSerie A at Arena do Gremio.

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec Fluminense FC H 1–2 L
26 Nov SE Palmeiras H 3–2 W
22 Nov Botafogo FR A 2–3 L
20 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 2–0 W
09 Nov Fortaleza EC A 2–2 D
05 Nov Cruzeiro EC H 0–1 L
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec Gremio FBPA A 2–1 W
27 Nov Sao Paulo FC H 6–0 W
23 Nov SE Palmeiras A 0–0 D
20 Nov CR Flamengo H 2–1 W
09 Nov Cruzeiro EC A 0–0 D
06 Nov Mirassol FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA Fluminense FC
#15 Position #4
28 Points 42
24 Played 25
7 / 7 / 10 W / D / L 11 / 9 / 5
27 Scored 39
32 Conceded 32
-5 GD +7
1.17 PPG 1.68
29% Win % 44%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
20% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (42 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/3
76+
11/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 5 G 4 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Grêmio FBPA have kicked off against Fluminense FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
  • 5' Grêmio FBPA are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fluminense FC's shape.
  • 10' Kevin Serna has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
  • 15' Brazil international Rene has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
  • 19' Yeferson Soteldo adds to his 0 season tally! Fluminense FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 24' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 29' Both keepers have barely been tested. Grêmio FBPA and Fluminense FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 34' Fluminense FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
  • 39' Cristian Pavon is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fluminense FC tonight.
  • 44' Fluminense FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
  • 49' Fabio has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
  • 52' What a strike from Yeferson Soteldo! The score is 0-2.
  • 54' GOAL! Andre fires home to make it 0-3!
  • 56' Gremio FBPA make a change. Alysson trudges off to be replaced by Franco Cristaldo on 56 minutes.
  • 58' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Dodi on 58 minutes.
  • 61' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Arthur on 61 minutes.
  • 66' Gustavo Martins, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 68' The crowd applauds Willian as he leaves the pitch. Gustavo Cuellar steps in for Gremio FBPA.
  • 69' Yeferson Soteldo makes way for Keno at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
  • 70' Another substitution for Fluminense FC to replace Luciano Acosta by Ganso on 70 minute.
  • 75' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Edenilson comes on to replace Cristian Pavon.
  • 76' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Nonato has done his job and it is now time for Hercules to step up.
  • 78' Poor challenge from Gustavo Martins. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
  • 83' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 86' Lima has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 86.
  • 90' Time for substitution for Fluminense FC. Samuel Xavier is replaced by Thiago Santos.
  • The points are shared — Grêmio FBPA 1-2 Fluminense FC. Honours even.

Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.28 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Gremio FBPA or Fluminense FC 73% + Both teams to score 58%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA30% Draw27% Fluminense FC43%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes58% 0% No42%
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 33%
67%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
57%
Draw or Fluminense FC
70%
Gremio FBPA or Fluminense FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gremio FBPA23% Draw45% Fluminense FC32%
Actual: Fluminense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.1%
0 – 0
7.4%
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
7.1%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
3.7%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 4% 96%
-2 4% 9% 87%
-1.5 13% 87%
-1 13% 16% 71%
-0.5 29% 71%
+0.5 56% 44%
+1 56% 21% 23%
+1.5 77% 23%
+2 77% 13% 9%
+2.5 91% 9%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
21%
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
29%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.