Friday , 16 October 2026

Gremio FBPA vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Gremio FBPA
1 – 2
Full Time
Fluminense FC
Wed 3 Dec 2025 · 00:30 UTC Arena do Gremio HT 45' · FT 45'
Dodi 58' Y
Arthur 61' Y
Gustavo Martins 78' Y
Y 86' Lima

Overview

Match Preview

Gremio FBPA vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 30 64
2 SE Palmeiras 30 63
3 CA Paranaense 30 53
4 Fluminense FC 30 51
5 EC Bahia 30 49
6 Cruzeiro EC 30 48
7 CA Mineiro 30 47
8 Santos FC 30 42
9 RB Bragantino 30 40
10 Sao Paulo FC 30 39
11 Coritiba FBC 30 39
12 Botafogo FR 30 36
13 EC Vitoria 30 36
14 CR Vasco da Gama 29 35
15 Mirassol FC 30 33
16 SC Internacional 30 32
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 30 32
18 Gremio FBPA 30 31
19 Clube do Remo 30 25
20 Chapecoense AF 29 18

Head-to-Head

9
3
6
Gremio FBPA 18 games · Avg 2.8 goals Fluminense FC
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-03 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC 2025-08-03 Fluminense FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2024-11-02 Fluminense FC 2–2 Gremio FBPA 2024-08-20 Fluminense FC 6–3 Gremio FBPA 2024-08-13 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Fluminense FC

Recent Form

Gremio FBPA
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec Fluminense FC H 1–2 L
26 Nov SE Palmeiras H 3–2 W
22 Nov Botafogo FR A 2–3 L
20 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 2–0 W
09 Nov Fortaleza EC A 2–2 D
05 Nov Cruzeiro EC H 0–1 L
Fluminense FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
03 Dec Gremio FBPA A 2–1 W
27 Nov Sao Paulo FC H 6–0 W
23 Nov SE Palmeiras A 0–0 D
20 Nov CR Flamengo H 2–1 W
09 Nov Cruzeiro EC A 0–0 D
06 Nov Mirassol FC H 1–0 W

Season Stats

Gremio FBPA Fluminense FC
#18 Position #4
31 Points 51
30 Played 30
7 / 10 / 13 W / D / L 14 / 9 / 7
32 Scored 48
40 Conceded 37
-8 GD +11
1.03 PPG 1.70
23% Win % 47%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
23% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (51 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/3
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/3
61-75
3/7
76+
4/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
5/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
4/5
61-75
5/6
76+
15/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A
Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 7 G 5 A
Jefferson Savarino 6 G 2 A
Luciano Acosta 5 G 5 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' Three points are at stake. Gremio FBPA host Fluminense FC — let the battle begin!
  • 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
  • 10' Over 10 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 15' Gremio FBPA seems to be on a short break. The game is mainly concentrated in the center. It’s high time they got back to action. Otherwise, it looks like a goalless game.
  • 19' Yeferson Soteldo is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 0 goals this season for the .
  • 24' The energy levels are beginning to show. Mano Menezes might look to freshen things up shortly.
  • 29' Fluminense FC looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Hulk scoring 1 goals.
  • 34' Wagner Leonardo is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fluminense FC tonight.
  • 39' The 29-year-old Ignacio has been sensational this season — 3 goals and 1 assists is a remarkable return.
  • 44' Andre needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 5 Yellow cards this season.
  • 49' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fluminense FC that had 398 games and scored 432 goals.
  • 52' What a strike from Yeferson Soteldo! The score is 0-2.
  • 54' Against the run of play, Andre has scored! This game has turned on its head.
  • 56' The crowd applauds Alysson as he leaves the pitch. Franco Cristaldo steps in for Gremio FBPA.
  • 58' Dodi is having his name booked by the referee on 58.
  • 61' Gremio FBPA receives a card for a hard tackle on 61.
  • 66' Hercules has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 2 cards already picked up this season.
  • 68' Gustavo Cuellar has so much to prove this time. He replaces Willian on 68 minute.
  • 69' Another change for Fluminense FC made on 69 minute. Yeferson Soteldo leaves to be changed by Keno.
  • 70' Luciano Acosta makes way for Ganso at the 70 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
  • 75' Edenilson is replacing Cristian Pavon for the Gremio FBPA side.
  • 76' Hercules is replacing Nonato for the Fluminense FC side.
  • 78' Gustavo Martins was booked on 78.
  • 83' The tempo has dropped considerably in the last few minutes. Mano Menezes will be considering his options from the bench.
  • 86' That is a card for Fluminense FC. Lima will be fuming at that decision.
  • 90' Thiago Santos has so much to prove this time. He replaces Samuel Xavier on 90 minute.
  • The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Fluminense FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Mano Menezes

Fluminense FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Luis Zubeldía

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luis Suarez 2
Yony Gonzalez 2
Yeferson Soteldo 2
Jhon Arias 2
Everton 2
Diego Souza 2
Cesar Pinares 2
Ferreira 1

Head to Head

2025-12-03 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC 2025-08-03 Fluminense FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2024-11-02 Fluminense FC 2–2 Gremio FBPA 2024-08-20 Fluminense FC 6–3 Gremio FBPA 2024-08-13 Gremio FBPA 2–1 Fluminense FC

Gremio FBPA Form

2025-12-03 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC L 2025-11-26 Gremio FBPA 3–2 SE Palmeiras W 2025-11-22 Botafogo FR 3–2 Gremio FBPA L 2025-11-20 Gremio FBPA 2–0 CR Vasco da Gama W 2025-11-09 Fortaleza EC 2–2 Gremio FBPA D 2025-11-05 Gremio FBPA 0–1 Cruzeiro EC L

Fluminense FC Form

2025-12-03 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC W 2025-11-27 Fluminense FC 6–0 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-11-23 SE Palmeiras 0–0 Fluminense FC D 2025-11-20 Fluminense FC 2–1 CR Flamengo W 2025-11-09 Cruzeiro EC 0–0 Fluminense FC D 2025-11-06 Fluminense FC 1–0 Mirassol FC W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.22 Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.61 Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for: Gremio FBPA or Fluminense FC 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Gremio FBPA29% Draw27% Fluminense FC44%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.83
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 92%
8%
± 1.5 77%
23%
± 2.5 53%
47%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 16%
84%

Double Chance

Gremio FBPA or Draw
56%
Draw or Fluminense FC
71%
Gremio FBPA or Fluminense FC
73%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Gremio FBPA22% Draw45% Fluminense FC33%
Actual: Fluminense FC win at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.5%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.6%
0 – 0
7.8%
0 – 2
7.5%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.5%
1 – 3
4.8%
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 3
3%

Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA

Handicap Gremio FBPA covers Push Fluminense FC covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 16% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 55% — 45%
+1 55% 21% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
21% ✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.