Gremio FBPA vs Fluminense FC, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Gremio FBPA vs Fluminense FC — Serie A at Arena do Gremio.
- Gremio FBPA 24 games · 28 pts (2026/26)
- Fluminense FC 25 games · 42 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 25 | 52 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 25 | 45 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 25 | 42 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 25 | 40 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 25 | 39 |
| 7 | Coritiba FBC | 25 | 37 |
| 8 | CA Mineiro | 24 | 36 |
| 9 | RB Bragantino | 24 | 35 |
| 10 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 25 | 32 |
| 11 | Sao Paulo FC | 24 | 30 |
| 12 | Botafogo FR | 24 | 30 |
| 13 | Santos FC | 24 | 29 |
| 14 | EC Vitoria | 25 | 29 |
| 15 | Gremio FBPA | 24 | 28 |
| 16 | SC Internacional | 25 | 25 |
| 17 | Mirassol FC | 24 | 25 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 24 | 25 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 25 | 23 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 24 | 14 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | Fluminense FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 26 Nov | SE Palmeiras | H | 3–2 | W |
| 22 Nov | Botafogo FR | A | 2–3 | L |
| 20 Nov | CR Vasco da Gama | H | 2–0 | W |
| 09 Nov | Fortaleza EC | A | 2–2 | D |
| 05 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–1 | L |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec | Gremio FBPA | A | 2–1 | W |
| 27 Nov | Sao Paulo FC | H | 6–0 | W |
| 23 Nov | SE Palmeiras | A | 0–0 | D |
| 20 Nov | CR Flamengo | H | 2–1 | W |
| 09 Nov | Cruzeiro EC | A | 0–0 | D |
| 06 Nov | Mirassol FC | H | 1–0 | W |
Season Stats
| Gremio FBPA | Fluminense FC | |
|---|---|---|
| #15 | Position | #4 |
| 28 | Points | 42 |
| 24 | Played | 25 |
| 7 / 7 / 10 | W / D / L | 11 / 9 / 5 |
| 27 | Scored | 39 |
| 32 | Conceded | 32 |
| -5 | GD | +7 |
| 1.17 | PPG | 1.68 |
| 29% | Win % | 44% |
Key Stats
56%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
H2H (18 games)
50%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
29%
Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season
Gremio FBPA this season
20%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts). Fluminense FC are 4th (42 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
0-15
–/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/3
76+
11/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Gremio FBPA
| Carlos Vinicius | 10 G | 1 A |
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 5 G | 4 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 5 G | 3 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' Grêmio FBPA have kicked off against Fluminense FC. Both sides are eager to make an early statement.
- 5' Grêmio FBPA are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against Fluminense FC's shape.
- 10' Kevin Serna has been disciplined this evening — perhaps mindful of those 0 cards already picked up this season.
- 15' Brazil international Rene has been a key figure this campaign — 0 goals and 0 assists in the Array this season.
- 19' Yeferson Soteldo adds to his 0 season tally! Fluminense FC lead 0-1 — and this changes everything.
- 24' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 29' Both keepers have barely been tested. Grêmio FBPA and Fluminense FC are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
- 34' Fluminense FC are happy to let the opposition have the ball in their own half. The trap is set.
- 39' Cristian Pavon is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for Fluminense FC tonight.
- 44' Fluminense FC fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 49' Fabio has been one of the livelier players on the pitch with 0 goals to his name this season.
- 52' What a strike from Yeferson Soteldo! The score is 0-2.
- 54' GOAL! Andre fires home to make it 0-3!
- 56' Gremio FBPA make a change. Alysson trudges off to be replaced by Franco Cristaldo on 56 minutes.
- 58' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Dodi on 58 minutes.
- 61' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Arthur on 61 minutes.
- 66' Gustavo Martins, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 68' The crowd applauds Willian as he leaves the pitch. Gustavo Cuellar steps in for Gremio FBPA.
- 69' Yeferson Soteldo makes way for Keno at the 69 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
- 70' Another substitution for Fluminense FC to replace Luciano Acosta by Ganso on 70 minute.
- 75' Fresh legs for Gremio FBPA! Edenilson comes on to replace Cristian Pavon.
- 76' Fluminense FC ring the changes. Nonato has done his job and it is now time for Hercules to step up.
- 78' Poor challenge from Gustavo Martins. The referee spots it immediately and shows the card.
- 83' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
- 86' Lima has been a danger all night but risks an early exit having now seen a card on 86.
- 90' Time for substitution for Fluminense FC. Samuel Xavier is replaced by Thiago Santos.
- The points are shared — Grêmio FBPA 1-2 Fluminense FC. Honours even.
Lineups
Gremio FBPA Lineups
Starting XI
- 23
- 17
- 14
- 88
- 29
- 7
- 1
- 3
- 53
- 77
- 47
Bench
- 4
- 6
- 21
- 8
- 10
- 25
- 2
- 15
- 12
- 44
- 16
- 40
Coach
Mano Menezes
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 6
-
2
Samuel Xavier ↓ Thiago Santos 90'
- 16
-
32
Luciano Acosta ↓ Ganso 70'
- 4
- 22
-
7
Yeferson Soteldo ↓ Keno 69'
- 9
- 8
-
90
Kevin Serna ↓ Lima 76'
Bench
- 21
-
29
Thiago Santos ↑ 90'
- 23
-
10
Ganso ↑ 70'
-
11
Keno ↑ 69'
- 27
- 99
-
45
Lima ↑ 76'
-
35
Hercules ↑ 76'
- 5
- 28
- 19
Coach
Luis Zubeldía
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Cesar Pinares | 2 |
| Luis Suarez | 2 |
| Yony Gonzalez | 2 |
| Yeferson Soteldo | 2 |
| Jhon Arias | 2 |
| Everton | 2 |
| Diego Souza | 2 |
| Andre | 1 |
Head to Head
Gremio FBPA Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.28
Gremio FBPA xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.6
Fluminense FC xG
I would bet for:
Gremio FBPA or Fluminense FC 73% + Both teams to score 58%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: Fluminense FC win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.88
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✓ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 93% |
|
7% |
| ± 1.5 | 78% |
|
22% |
| ± 2.5 | 54% |
|
46% |
| ± 3.5 | 33% |
|
67% |
| ± 4.5 | 17% |
|
83% |
Double Chance
Gremio FBPA or Draw
57%
Draw or Fluminense FC
70%
Gremio FBPA or Fluminense FC
73%
Half-Time Result
✗ WrongActual: Fluminense FC win at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.4%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 1
8.1%
0 – 0
7.4%
0 – 2
7.1%
2 – 1
7.1%
1 – 0
6.3%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 0
4.5%
0 – 3
3.7%
2 – 3
3.1%
Asian Handicap — Gremio FBPA
| Handicap | Gremio FBPA covers | Push | Fluminense FC covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 4% | — | 96% |
| -2 | 4% | 9% | 87% |
| -1.5 | 13% | — | 87% |
| -1 | 13% | 16% | 71% |
| -0.5 | 29% | — | 71% |
| +0.5 | 56% | — | 44% |
| +1 | 56% | 21% | 23% |
| +1.5 | 77% | — | 23% |
| +2 | 77% | 13% | 9% |
| +2.5 | 91% | — | 9% |
Clean Sheet
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
29%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

