Fluminense FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

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Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2026

Fluminense FC

2 – 1

Full Time

Gremio FBPA

Wed 28 Jan 2026 · 22:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs Gremio FBPA — Serie A .

Fluminense FC 30 games · 51 pts (2026/26)
Gremio FBPA 30 games · 31 pts (2026/26)

Match Details

Referee Davi de Oliveira Lacerda (Brazil)

12 games this season 🟨 2.9/game ⚽ 9.7 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Standings

#	Team	P	Pts
1	CR Flamengo	30	64
2	SE Palmeiras	30	63
3	CA Paranaense	30	53
4	Fluminense FC	30	51
5	EC Bahia	30	49
6	Cruzeiro EC	30	48
7	CA Mineiro	30	47
8	Santos FC	30	42
9	RB Bragantino	30	40
10	Sao Paulo FC	30	39
11	Coritiba FBC	30	39
12	Botafogo FR	30	36
13	Mirassol FC	31	36
14	EC Vitoria	30	36
15	CR Vasco da Gama	29	35
16	SC Internacional	31	32
17	SC Corinthians Paulista	30	32
18	Gremio FBPA	30	31
19	Clube do Remo	30	25
20	Chapecoense AF	29	18

Head-to-Head

Fluminense FC 18 games · Avg 2.8 goals Gremio FBPA

Last 5 meetings

2026-01-28 Fluminense FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA 2025-12-03 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC 2025-08-03 Fluminense FC 1–0 Gremio FBPA 2024-11-02 Fluminense FC 2–2 Gremio FBPA 2024-08-20 Fluminense FC 6–3 Gremio FBPA

Recent Form

Fluminense FC

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Jan	Gremio FBPA	H	2–1	W
07 Dec	EC Bahia	H	2–0	W
03 Dec	Gremio FBPA	A	2–1	W
27 Nov	Sao Paulo FC	H	6–0	W
23 Nov	SE Palmeiras	A	0–0	D
20 Nov	CR Flamengo	H	2–1	W

Gremio FBPA

Date	Opponent	H/A	Score	Result
28 Jan	Fluminense FC	A	1–2	L
07 Dec	SC Recife	A	4–0	W
03 Dec	Fluminense FC	H	1–2	L
26 Nov	SE Palmeiras	H	3–2	W
22 Nov	Botafogo FR	A	2–3	L
20 Nov	CR Vasco da Gama	H	2–0	W

Season Stats

Fluminense FC		Gremio FBPA
#4	Position	#18
51	Points	31
30	Played	30
14 / 9 / 7	W / D / L	7 / 10 / 13
48	Scored	32
37	Conceded	40
+11	GD	-8
1.70	PPG	1.03
47%	Win %	23%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)

50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history

23% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season

27% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Fluminense FC are 4th (51 pts). Gremio FBPA are 18th (31 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC

0-15

–/3

16-30

5/1

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/5

61-75

5/6

76+

15/7

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Gremio FBPA

0-15

–/1

16-30

2/3

31-45

5/5

46-60

4/3

61-75

3/7

76+

4/5

■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC

John Kennedy	9 G	1 A
Hulk	7 G	5 A
Jefferson Savarino	6 G	2 A
Luciano Acosta	5 G	5 A
Agustin Canobbio	5 G	3 A

Gremio FBPA

Carlos Vinicius

10 G

1 A

Events

Match Events

0' Both captains have shaken hands and the referee is ready. We are underway at !
The final whistle goes. A composed, disciplined performance from Fluminense FC to claim maximum points.

Lineups

Fluminense FC Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

Player	Goals
Jhon Arias	2
Everton	2
Diego Souza	2
Cesar Pinares	2
Luis Suarez	2
Yony Gonzalez	2
Yeferson Soteldo	2
Caio Henrique	1

Head to Head

Fluminense FC Form

2026-01-28 Fluminense FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA W 2025-12-07 Fluminense FC 2–0 EC Bahia W 2025-12-03 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC W 2025-11-27 Fluminense FC 6–0 Sao Paulo FC W 2025-11-23 SE Palmeiras 0–0 Fluminense FC D 2025-11-20 Fluminense FC 2–1 CR Flamengo W

Gremio FBPA Form

2026-01-28 Fluminense FC 2–1 Gremio FBPA L 2025-12-07 SC Recife 0–4 Gremio FBPA W 2025-12-03 Gremio FBPA 1–2 Fluminense FC L 2025-11-26 Gremio FBPA 3–2 SE Palmeiras W 2025-11-22 Botafogo FR 3–2 Gremio FBPA L 2025-11-20 Gremio FBPA 2–0 CR Vasco da Gama W

Predictions

Prediction accuracy

3 / 4

2.14 Fluminense FC xG

Expected Goals

Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo

1.2 Gremio FBPA xG

I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct

Fluminense FC60% Draw21% Gremio FBPA19%

Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct

Yes62% 0% No38%

Avg goals/match: 3.34

Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5

Line	Over	Under
± 0.5	95%	5%
± 1.5	84%	16%
± 2.5	64%	36%
± 3.5	42%	58%
± 4.5	25%	75%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw

82%

Draw or Gremio FBPA

40%

Fluminense FC or Gremio FBPA

79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong

Fluminense FC42% Draw40% Gremio FBPA18%

Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12

1 – 1

9.9%

2 – 1

Actual

2 – 0

8.1%

1 – 0

7.1%

3 – 1

6.7%

3 – 0

5.6%

2 – 2

5.6%

1 – 2

5.3%

0 – 0

3 – 2

0 – 1

3.6%

4 – 1

3.6%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap	Fluminense FC covers	Push	Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5	18%	—	82%
-2	18%	17%	64%
-1.5	36%	—	64%
-1	36%	22%	43%
-0.5	57%	—	43%
+0.5	80%	—	20%
+1	80%	12%	8%
+1.5	92%	—	8%
+2	92%	6%	3%
+2.5	97%	—	3%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet

31% ✓

Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet

13% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.