Tuesday , 1 September 2026

Fluminense FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 28 Jan 2026 · 22:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs Gremio FBPASerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Davi de Oliveira Lacerda (Brazil)
12 games this season 🟨 2.9/game 9.7 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan Gremio FBPA H 2–1 W
07 Dec EC Bahia H 2–0 W
03 Dec Gremio FBPA A 2–1 W
27 Nov Sao Paulo FC H 6–0 W
23 Nov SE Palmeiras A 0–0 D
20 Nov CR Flamengo H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan Fluminense FC A 1–2 L
07 Dec SC Recife A 4–0 W
03 Dec Fluminense FC H 1–2 L
26 Nov SE Palmeiras H 3–2 W
22 Nov Botafogo FR A 2–3 L
20 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Fluminense FC Gremio FBPA
#4 Position #15
42 Points 28
25 Played 24
11 / 9 / 5 W / D / L 7 / 7 / 10
39 Scored 27
32 Conceded 32
+7 GD -5
1.68 PPG 1.17
44% Win % 29%

Key Stats

56% Both Teams to Score
H2H (18 games)
50% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
20% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
29% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Fluminense FC are 4th (42 pts). Gremio FBPA are 15th (28 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
5/5
46-60
3/4
61-75
3/3
76+
11/6
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
/1
16-30
2/2
31-45
2/4
46-60
4/2
61-75
2/6
76+
3/1
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Hulk 5 G 4 A
Agustin Canobbio 5 G 3 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 10 G 1 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Fluminense FC to score. At the same time, Gremio FBPA does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

Fluminense FC Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.13 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.25 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 64% + Both teams to score 63%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC59% Draw21% Gremio FBPA20%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes63% 0% No37%
Avg goals/match: 3.38
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 85%
15%
± 2.5 64%
36%
± 3.5 43%
57%
± 4.5 25%
75%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
41%
Fluminense FC or Gremio FBPA
79%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fluminense FC41% Draw40% Gremio FBPA19%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
9.9%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.7%
1 – 0
6.7%
3 – 1
6.6%
2 – 2
5.8%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 0
4.9%
3 – 2
4.1%
0 – 1
3.6%
4 – 1
3.5%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 18% 82%
-2 18% 17% 65%
-1.5 35% 65%
-1 35% 21% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 12% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
29%
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.