Saturday , 18 July 2026

Fluminense FC vs Gremio FBPA, Serie A 2026 REGULAR SEASON

Wed 28 Jan 2026 · 22:30 UTC HT 45' · FT 45'

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs Gremio FBPASerie A .

Match Details

  • Referee Davi de Oliveira Lacerda (Brazil)
12 games this season 🟨 2.9/game 9.7 goals/game 🟥 2 total

Recent Form

DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan Gremio FBPA H 2–1 W
07 Dec EC Bahia H 2–0 W
03 Dec Gremio FBPA A 2–1 W
27 Nov Sao Paulo FC H 6–0 W
23 Nov SE Palmeiras A 0–0 D
20 Nov CR Flamengo H 2–1 W
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
28 Jan Fluminense FC A 1–2 L
07 Dec SC Recife A 4–0 W
03 Dec Fluminense FC H 1–2 L
26 Nov SE Palmeiras H 3–2 W
22 Nov Botafogo FR A 2–3 L
20 Nov CR Vasco da Gama H 2–0 W

Season Stats

Fluminense FC Gremio FBPA
#3 Position #16
32 Points 21
19 Played 19
9 / 5 / 5 W / D / L 5 / 6 / 8
29 Scored 21
24 Conceded 25
+5 GD -4
1.68 PPG 1.11
47% Win % 26%

Key Stats

53% Both Teams to Score
H2H (17 games)
53% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
21% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
37% Clean Sheets
Gremio FBPA this season

Fluminense FC are 3rd (32 pts). Gremio FBPA are 16th (21 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
/3
76+
7/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Gremio FBPA
0-15
/
16-30
/1
31-45
2/3
46-60
2/2
61-75
2/3
76+
1/
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 1 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A
Gremio FBPA
Carlos Vinicius 9 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' The referee blows the starting whistle. The fans are roaring. The teams are ready for the match. Fluminense FC is hosting Grêmio FBPA for another epic battle.
  • The final score is 2-1.

Lineups

Fluminense FC Lineups

Gremio FBPA Lineups

H2H

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
2.09 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.23 Gremio FBPA xG
I would bet for: Over 2.5 goals 63% + Both teams to score 62%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC59% Draw22% Gremio FBPA19%
Actual: Fluminense FC win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes62% 0% No38%
Avg goals/match: 3.32
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 95%
5%
± 1.5 84%
16%
± 2.5 63%
37%
± 3.5 42%
58%
± 4.5 24%
76%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
81%
Draw or Gremio FBPA
41%
Fluminense FC or Gremio FBPA
78%

Half-Time Result

✗ Wrong
Fluminense FC41% Draw41% Gremio FBPA18%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
10.1%
2 – 1
Actual
2 – 0
7.8%
1 – 0
7%
3 – 1
6.5%
2 – 2
5.7%
1 – 2
5.5%
3 – 0
5.3%
0 – 0
5.1%
3 – 2
4%
0 – 1
3.8%
4 – 1
3.4%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push Gremio FBPA covers
-2.5 17% 83%
-2 17% 17% 66%
-1.5 34% 66%
-1 34% 21% 44%
-0.5 56% 44%
+0.5 79% 21%
+1 79% 12% 9%
+1.5 91% 9%
+2 91% 6% 3%
+2.5 97% 3%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
30%
Gremio FBPA keeps clean sheet
13%

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.