Fluminense FC vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 23 games · 38 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 23 games · 48 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | SE Palmeiras | 23 | 48 |
| 2 | CR Flamengo | 21 | 42 |
| 3 | CA Paranaense | 23 | 41 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 23 | 38 |
| 5 | EC Bahia | 22 | 33 |
| 6 | Cruzeiro EC | 22 | 33 |
| 7 | RB Bragantino | 22 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 22 | 32 |
| 9 | Coritiba FBC | 23 | 31 |
| 10 | Botafogo FR | 21 | 30 |
| 11 | CA Mineiro | 21 | 29 |
| 12 | Sao Paulo FC | 22 | 27 |
| 13 | EC Vitoria | 22 | 26 |
| 14 | Gremio FBPA | 21 | 25 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 22 | 23 |
| 16 | Mirassol FC | 21 | 23 |
| 17 | Santos FC | 21 | 22 |
| 18 | CR Vasco da Gama | 21 | 22 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 22 | 22 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 21 | 10 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Jul | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Jul | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Jul | Chelsea FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Jul | Al Hilal | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Jun | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul | Fluminense FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Jul | CA Mineiro | H | 3–2 | W |
| 16 Jul | Mirassol FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Jul | Chelsea FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Jun | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Jun | Internacional CF Miami | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #1 |
| 38 | Points | 48 |
| 23 | Played | 23 |
| 10 / 8 / 5 | W / D / L | 14 / 6 / 3 |
| 34 | Scored | 40 |
| 28 | Conceded | 19 |
| +6 | GD | +21 |
| 1.65 | PPG | 2.09 |
| 43% | Win % | 61% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
22%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
39%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
Fluminense FC are 4th (38 pts). SE Palmeiras are 1st (48 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
–/3
16-30
3/1
31-45
4/3
46-60
3/3
61-75
1/3
76+
9/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
3/2
16-30
4/1
31-45
4/1
46-60
1/3
61-75
5/1
76+
3/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 4 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 3 G | 4 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 3 G | 2 A |
| Rodrigo Castillo | 3 G | 1 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 6 G | 3 A |
| Ramon Sosa | 4 G | 2 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 2 A |
| Mauricio | 4 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 4 G | 1 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The match kicks off with home fans waiting with anticipation for Fluminense FC to score. At the same time, SE Palmeiras does not seem to pull back! Let’s get it on!
- 5' named a earlier, and opted for a in response. A fascinating tactical duel is developing.
- 10' Fluminense FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' Over 15 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
- 20' It’s high time Abel Ferreira made some changes to put the his team’s game back to action.
- 25' Fluminense FC have won 417 goals from 389 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 30' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ramon Sosa suffering a number of foals already.
- 35' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
- 36' German Cano puts Fluminense FC on the lead.
- 36' Ramon Sosa is replacing Felipe Anderson for the SE Palmeiras side.
- 41' Vanderlan is a natural and has been asked to do a very specific job for SE Palmeiras tonight.
- 46' SE Palmeiras fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 48' The referee calls foul for Gabriel Fuentes. He receives a card.
- 49' A stunning finish from Mauricio — that came from absolutely nowhere!
- 54' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 59' Fluminense FC is defending very well tonight not leaving a chance for their rivals to get through for a goal.
- 60' Thiago Silva has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ignacio on 60 minute.
- 61' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! Keno comes on to replace Kevin Serna.
- 62' Vitor Roque adds to his 0 season tally! SE Palmeiras lead 1-2 — and this changes everything.
- 66' Fluminense FC make a change. Nonato trudges off to be replaced by Ganso on 66 minutes.
- 71' It is a cagey affair so far. Fluminense FC in their trying to find a way past SE Palmeiras's compact .
- 72' A moment of madness from Lucas Evangelista on 72 minutes earns him a card. SE Palmeiras will be frustrated.
- 73' The referee has no hesitation. Facundo Torres Perez is booked for SE Palmeiras — card on 73.
- 73' Jose Manuel Lopez is ready to make an impact after coming on for Vitor Roque at the 73 minute mark.
- 74' Another change for SE Palmeiras made on 74 minute. Lucas Evangelista leaves to be changed by Emiliano Martinez.
- 75' Yeferson Soteldo makes way for John Kennedy at the 75 minute mark. A tactical switch from Fluminense FC.
- 76' Everaldo is replacing German Cano for the Fluminense FC side.
- 80' Fresh legs for SE Palmeiras! Raphael Veiga comes on to replace Mauricio.
- 85' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 90' Allan picks up a card and will need to be extremely careful for the remainder of this match.
- Hope, you loved the show. Another epic battle is over with the score 1-2.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 2
- 16
-
4
Ignacio ↓ Thiago Silva 60'
- 22
-
7
Yeferson Soteldo ↓ John Kennedy 75'
-
14
German Cano ↓ Everaldo 76'
- 35
- 8
-
90
Kevin Serna ↓ Keno 61'
- 12
Bench
- 26
- 98
- 29
- 23
-
3
Thiago Silva ↑ 60'
-
10
Ganso ↑ 66'
-
11
Keno ↑ 61'
-
9
Everaldo ↑ 76'
-
99
John Kennedy ↑ 75'
- 45
- 17
- 5
Coach
Renato Gaucho
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 15
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↓ Ramon Sosa 36'
- 30
- 5
-
18
Mauricio ↓ Raphael Veiga 80'
- 6
-
17
Facundo Torres Perez ↓ Allan 74'
- 13
-
9
Vitor Roque ↓ Jose Manuel Lopez 73'
- 4
Bench
-
23
Raphael Veiga ↑ 80'
- 12
- 2
- 14
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez ↑ 73'
-
32
Emiliano Martinez ↑ 74'
-
19
Ramon Sosa ↑ 36'
- 31
- 43
- 39
-
40
Allan ↑ 74'
- 56
Coach
Abel Ferreira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luiz Adriano | 4 |
| German Cano | 3 |
| Dudu | 2 |
| Manoel Messias | 2 |
| Jhon Arias | 2 |
| Gustavo Gomez | 2 |
| Breno Lopes | 2 |
| Raphael Veiga | 2 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.07
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.56
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras or Draw 72%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.63
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 91% |
|
9% |
| ± 1.5 | 74% |
|
26% |
| ± 2.5 | 48% |
|
52% |
| ± 3.5 | 27% |
|
73% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
57%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
72%
Fluminense FC or SE Palmeiras
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
10.3%
0 – 0
9.2%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
8.5%
1 – 0
6.7%
2 – 1
6.2%
2 – 2
4.9%
1 – 3
4.7%
0 – 3
4.4%
2 – 0
4%
2 – 3
2.6%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 3% | — | 97% |
| -2 | 3% | 7% | 90% |
| -1.5 | 10% | — | 90% |
| -1 | 10% | 15% | 75% |
| -0.5 | 25% | — | 75% |
| +0.5 | 53% | — | 47% |
| +1 | 53% | 22% | 25% |
| +1.5 | 75% | — | 25% |
| +2 | 75% | 15% | 10% |
| +2.5 | 90% | — | 10% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
22%
✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
35%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.