Thursday , 2 July 2026

Fluminense FC vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Fluminense FC
1 – 2
Full Time
SE Palmeiras
Wed 23 Jul 2025 · 22:00 UTC Maracana HT 45' · FT 45'
Gabriel Fuentes 48' Y
Y 72' Lucas Evangelista
Y 73' Facundo Torres Perez
R 90' Allan

Overview

Match Preview

Fluminense FC vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Maracana.

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 SE Palmeiras 18 41
2 CR Flamengo 17 34
3 Fluminense FC 18 31
4 CA Paranaense 18 30
5 RB Bragantino 18 29
6 EC Bahia 17 26
7 Coritiba FBC 18 26
8 Sao Paulo FC 18 25
9 CA Mineiro 18 24
10 SC Corinthians Paulista 18 24
11 Cruzeiro EC 18 24
12 Botafogo FR 17 22
13 EC Vitoria 17 22
14 SC Internacional 18 21
15 Santos FC 18 21
16 Grêmio FBPA 18 21
17 CR Vasco da Gama 18 20
18 Clube do Remo 18 18
19 Mirassol FC 17 16
20 Chapecoense AF 17 9

Head-to-Head

6
4
9
Fluminense FC 19 games · Avg 1.9 goals SE Palmeiras
Last 5 meetings
2025-07-23 Fluminense FC 1–2 SE Palmeiras 2024-12-08 SE Palmeiras 0–1 Fluminense FC 2024-07-25 Fluminense FC 1–0 SE Palmeiras 2023-12-03 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Fluminense FC 2023-08-06 Fluminense FC 2–1 SE Palmeiras

Recent Form

Fluminense FC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jul SE Palmeiras H 1–2 L
20 Jul CR Flamengo A 0–1 L
17 Jul Cruzeiro EC H 0–2 L
08 Jul Chelsea FC H 0–2 L
04 Jul Al Hilal H 2–1 W
30 Jun FC Internazionale Milano A 2–0 W
SE Palmeiras
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
23 Jul Fluminense FC A 2–1 W
20 Jul CA Mineiro H 3–2 W
16 Jul Mirassol FC H 1–1 D
05 Jul Chelsea FC H 1–2 L
28 Jun Botafogo FR H 1–0 W
24 Jun Internacional CF Miami A 2–2 D

Season Stats

Fluminense FC SE Palmeiras
#3 Position #1
31 Points 41
18 Played 18
9 / 4 / 5 W / D / L 12 / 5 / 1
28 Scored 30
23 Conceded 13
+5 GD +17
1.72 PPG 2.28
50% Win % 67%

Key Stats

42% Both Teams to Score
H2H (19 games)
37% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
22% Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
39% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

Fluminense FC are 3rd (31 pts). SE Palmeiras are 1st (41 pts).

Goal Timing (This Season)

Fluminense FC
0-15
–/2
16-30
3/–
31-45
3/2
46-60
2/3
61-75
–/3
76+
6/3
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
1/2
16-30
3/1
31-45
3/–
46-60
1/2
61-75
2/–
76+
1/–
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

Fluminense FC
John Kennedy 9 G 1 A
Agustin Canobbio 4 G 1 A
Luciano Acosta 3 G 4 A
Jefferson Savarino 3 G 2 A
Rodrigo Castillo 3 G 1 A
SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 6 G 3 A
Allan 4 G 2 A
Gustavo Gomez 3 G
Jhon Arias 3 G
Vitor Roque 3 G

Events

Match Events

  • 0' And we are off! Fluminense FC vs SE Palmeiras — let the football do the talking.
  • 5' Both keepers have barely been tested. Fluminense FC and SE Palmeiras are cancelling each other out in the centre of the park.
  • 10' SE Palmeiras started playing very sharply right from the kick off. However, it slowed down the tempo rapidly by 10.
  • 15' The teams are not in a rush to score plenty of goals. It might look strange considering Fluminense FC that had 386 games and scored 415 goals.
  • 20' With 1 assists to his name this season, Kevin Serna is clearly more than just a goal scorer for SE Palmeiras.
  • 25' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 30' Spectators are craving for more action. Both teams play very cautiously. They need to put some more energy.
  • 35' We miss some good tackles and strikes. Is there anyone on the field to put the game back to action?
  • 36' Goal! German Cano scores his 78 goal in 287 matches.
  • 36' Another change for SE Palmeiras made on 36 minute. Felipe Anderson leaves to be changed by Ramon Sosa.
  • 41' Over 41 minutes have gone by without a meaningful attack. The supporters want more.
  • 46' Fluminense FC have won 415 goals from 386 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
  • 48' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Gabriel Fuentes on 48 minutes.
  • 49' Mauricio adds to his 1 season tally! SE Palmeiras lead 1-1 — and this changes everything.
  • 54' A moment of individual brilliance could settle this. Both teams are waiting for that decisive action.
  • 59' Fluminense FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
  • 60' A change in the Fluminense FC ranks — Ignacio exits the field as Thiago Silva enters on 60.
  • 61' It is a substitution in Fluminense FC team. Kevin Serna is replaced by Keno on 61 minute.
  • 62' Vitor Roque puts SE Palmeiras on the lead.
  • 66' Ganso gets the nod from Fluminense FC. He replaces Nonato and will look to change the dynamic.
  • 71' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Ignacio suffering a number of foals already.
  • 72' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Lucas Evangelista on 72 minutes.
  • 73' A moment of madness from Facundo Torres Perez on 73 minutes earns him a card. SE Palmeiras will be frustrated.
  • 73' SE Palmeiras ring the changes. Vitor Roque has done his job and it is now time for Jose Manuel Lopez to step up.
  • 74' The crowd applauds Lucas Evangelista as he leaves the pitch. Emiliano Martinez steps in for SE Palmeiras.
  • 75' Another change for Fluminense FC made on 75 minute. Yeferson Soteldo leaves to be changed by John Kennedy.
  • 76' Fluminense FC ring the changes. German Cano has done his job and it is now time for Everaldo to step up.
  • 80' Raphael Veiga is ready to make an impact after coming on for Mauricio at the 80 minute mark.
  • 85' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 90' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Allan on 90 minutes.
  • Fluminense FC will have plenty to reflect on. SE Palmeiras were simply the better side today.

Lineups

Fluminense FC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Renato Gaucho

SE Palmeiras Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Abel Ferreira

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Luiz Adriano 4
Yago Felipe 2
Dudu 2
German Cano 2
Manoel Messias 2
Jhon Arias 2
Breno Lopes 2
Raphael Veiga 2

Head to Head

2025-07-23 Fluminense FC 1–2 SE Palmeiras 2024-12-08 SE Palmeiras 0–1 Fluminense FC 2024-07-25 Fluminense FC 1–0 SE Palmeiras 2023-12-03 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Fluminense FC 2023-08-06 Fluminense FC 2–1 SE Palmeiras

Fluminense FC Form

2025-07-23 Fluminense FC 1–2 SE Palmeiras L 2025-07-20 CR Flamengo 1–0 Fluminense FC L 2025-07-17 Fluminense FC 0–2 Cruzeiro EC L 2025-07-08 Fluminense FC 0–2 Chelsea FC L 2025-07-04 Fluminense FC 2–1 Al Hilal W 2025-06-30 FC Internazionale Milano 0–2 Fluminense FC W

SE Palmeiras Form

2025-07-23 Fluminense FC 1–2 SE Palmeiras W 2025-07-20 SE Palmeiras 3–2 CA Mineiro W 2025-07-16 SE Palmeiras 1–1 Mirassol FC D 2025-07-05 SE Palmeiras 1–2 Chelsea FC L 2025-06-28 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Botafogo FR W 2025-06-24 Internacional CF Miami 2–2 SE Palmeiras D

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1.01 Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.54 SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for: SE Palmeiras or Draw 73%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC27% Draw29% SE Palmeiras44%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes51% 0% No49%
Avg goals/match: 2.55
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✗ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 90%
10%
± 1.5 72%
28%
± 2.5 46%
54%
± 3.5 26%
74%
± 4.5 12%
88%

Double Chance

Fluminense FC or Draw
56%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
73%
Fluminense FC or SE Palmeiras
71%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Fluminense FC18% Draw48% SE Palmeiras34%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
13%
0 – 1
11%
0 – 0
9.8%
1 – 2
Actual
0 – 2
9%
1 – 0
6.8%
2 – 1
5.9%
1 – 3
4.7%
2 – 2
4.6%
0 – 3
4.5%
2 – 0
3.9%
2 – 3
2.5%

Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC

Handicap Fluminense FC covers Push SE Palmeiras covers
-2.5 3% — 97%
-2 3% 6% 91%
-1.5 9% — 91%
-1 9% 15% 76%
-0.5 24% — 76%
+0.5 52% — 48%
+1 52% 23% 25%
+1.5 75% — 25%
+2 75% 15% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
22% ✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
37% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.