Fluminense FC vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON
Overview
Match Preview
Fluminense FC vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Maracana.
- Fluminense FC 34 games · 57 pts (2026/26)
- SE Palmeiras 34 games · 73 pts (2026/26)
Standings
| # | Team | P | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | CR Flamengo | 34 | 76 |
| 2 | SE Palmeiras | 34 | 73 |
| 3 | Cruzeiro EC | 34 | 60 |
| 4 | Fluminense FC | 34 | 57 |
| 5 | CA Paranaense | 34 | 54 |
| 6 | EC Bahia | 34 | 53 |
| 7 | CA Mineiro | 34 | 50 |
| 8 | RB Bragantino | 34 | 47 |
| 9 | Santos FC | 34 | 47 |
| 10 | São Paulo FC | 34 | 44 |
| 11 | Botafogo FR | 34 | 42 |
| 12 | Coritiba FBC | 34 | 42 |
| 13 | CR Vasco da Gama | 33 | 41 |
| 14 | Mirassol FC | 34 | 40 |
| 15 | SC Internacional | 34 | 38 |
| 16 | EC Vitoria | 34 | 38 |
| 17 | SC Corinthians Paulista | 34 | 37 |
| 18 | Gremio FBPA | 34 | 37 |
| 19 | Clube do Remo | 34 | 29 |
| 20 | Chapecoense AF | 33 | 21 |
Head-to-Head
Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul | SE Palmeiras | H | 1–2 | L |
| 20 Jul | CR Flamengo | A | 0–1 | L |
| 17 Jul | Cruzeiro EC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 08 Jul | Chelsea FC | H | 0–2 | L |
| 04 Jul | Al Hilal | H | 2–1 | W |
| 30 Jun | FC Internazionale Milano | A | 2–0 | W |
| Date | Opponent | H/A | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul | Fluminense FC | A | 2–1 | W |
| 20 Jul | CA Mineiro | H | 3–2 | W |
| 16 Jul | Mirassol FC | H | 1–1 | D |
| 05 Jul | Chelsea FC | H | 1–2 | L |
| 28 Jun | Botafogo FR | H | 1–0 | W |
| 24 Jun | Internacional CF Miami | A | 2–2 | D |
Season Stats
| Fluminense FC | SE Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| #4 | Position | #2 |
| 57 | Points | 73 |
| 34 | Played | 34 |
| 16 / 9 / 9 | W / D / L | 21 / 10 / 3 |
| 55 | Scored | 62 |
| 42 | Conceded | 23 |
| +13 | GD | +39 |
| 1.68 | PPG | 2.15 |
| 47% | Win % | 62% |
Key Stats
45%
Both Teams to Score
H2H (20 games)
H2H (20 games)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
H2H history
24%
Clean Sheets
Fluminense FC this season
Fluminense FC this season
47%
Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season
SE Palmeiras this season
Fluminense FC are 4th (57 pts). SE Palmeiras are 2nd (73 pts).
Goal Timing (This Season)
Fluminense FC
0-15
2/4
16-30
6/1
31-45
6/5
46-60
4/9
61-75
5/6
76+
18/7
■ Scored ■ Conceded
SE Palmeiras
0-15
8/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded
Top Scorers (This Season)
Fluminense FC
| John Kennedy | 9 G | 1 A |
| Hulk | 7 G | 6 A |
| Jefferson Savarino | 7 G | 2 A |
| Luciano Acosta | 6 G | 5 A |
| Agustin Canobbio | 6 G | 4 A |
SE Palmeiras
| Jose Manuel Lopez | 10 G | 7 A |
| Mauricio | 10 G | 1 A |
| Jhon Arias | 6 G | 3 A |
| Vitor Roque | 5 G | 1 A |
| Allan | 4 G | 3 A |
Events
Match Events
- 0' The ball is rolling at Maracana. Fluminense FC are looking to make home advantage count against SE Palmeiras.
- 5' Matchday of the Array and both teams know exactly what is at stake tonight.
- 10' Fluminense FC currently sit in the Array table. A result here could be decisive in the race for the top positions.
- 15' It looks like no one’s ball. SE Palmeiras is used to counterattacking playing. None of the sides are ready to take the lead.
- 20' Gabriel Fuentes, a Colombia , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
- 25' Fluminense FC have won 443 goals from 404 games. They will be desperate to add to that tally today.
- 30' It looks surprising SE Palmeiras does not make any changes. German Cano has some obvious troubles when approaching to the goal.
- 35' While there is no rush on the pitch, let’s have a look at some stats. Emiliano Martinez made 266 appearances and scored 2 goals. He is very likely to score a goal today.
- 36' A goal from the Argentina international German Cano! He fires home on 36 to make it 1-0!
- 36' Ramon Sosa has so much to prove this time. He replaces Felipe Anderson on 36 minute.
- 41' Although teams showed high tempo form the start, they seem to slow down a bit. Both sides really need to catch a fire. Otherwise, we have another goalless match.
- 46' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
- 48' Fluminense FC receives a card for a hard tackle on 48.
- 49' What composure from Mauricio! The Paraguay international strokes it home. 1-1.
- 54' Not even hints on scoring a goal over the last 54 minutes.
- 59' SE Palmeiras fans have not had much to celebrate tonight. Their side is struggling to get forward.
- 60' Thiago Silva has so much to prove this time. He replaces Ignacio on 60 minute.
- 61' Time for substitution for Fluminense FC. Kevin Serna is replaced by Keno.
- 62' Sensational shot from Vitor Roque. SE Palmeiras is back in the lead.
- 66' Fresh legs for Fluminense FC! Ganso comes on to replace Nonato.
- 71' SE Palmeiras looks like a favorite considering 1 games won in last 2 matches with its main striker Gustavo Gomez scoring 1 goals.
- 72' Lucas Evangelista was booked on 72.
- 73' SE Palmeiras receives a card for a hard tackle on 73.
- 73' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Vitor Roque is replaced by Jose Manuel Lopez on 73 minute.
- 74' Lucas Evangelista makes way for Emiliano Martinez at the 74 minute mark. A tactical switch from SE Palmeiras.
- 75' Fluminense FC manager makes another effort to make the tables turned. John Kennedy is hanging Yeferson Soteldo on the field on 75 minute.
- 76' A change in the Fluminense FC ranks — German Cano exits the field as Everaldo enters on 76.
- 80' A change in the SE Palmeiras ranks — Mauricio exits the field as Raphael Veiga enters on 80.
- 85' Vanderlan needs to be pretty careful with his discipline considering 0 Yellow cards this season.
- 90' That is a card for SE Palmeiras. Allan will be fuming at that decision.
- Game over. The scoreline of 1-2 tells the full story of an entertaining encounter.
Lineups
Fluminense FC Lineups
Starting XI
- 1
- 2
- 16
-
4
Ignacio ↓ Thiago Silva 60'
- 22
-
7
Yeferson Soteldo ↓ John Kennedy 75'
-
14
German Cano ↓ Everaldo 76'
- 35
- 8
-
90
Kevin Serna ↓ Keno 61'
- 12
Bench
- 26
- 98
- 29
- 23
-
3
Thiago Silva ↑ 60'
-
10
Ganso ↑ 66'
-
11
Keno ↑ 61'
-
9
Everaldo ↑ 76'
-
99
John Kennedy ↑ 75'
- 45
- 17
- 5
Coach
Renato Gaucho
SE Palmeiras Lineups
Starting XI
- 21
- 15
-
7
Felipe Anderson ↓ Ramon Sosa 36'
- 30
- 5
-
18
Mauricio ↓ Raphael Veiga 80'
- 6
-
17
Facundo Torres Perez ↓ Allan 74'
- 13
-
9
Vitor Roque ↓ Jose Manuel Lopez 73'
- 4
Bench
-
23
Raphael Veiga ↑ 80'
- 12
- 2
- 14
-
42
Jose Manuel Lopez ↑ 73'
-
32
Emiliano Martinez ↑ 74'
-
19
Ramon Sosa ↑ 36'
- 31
- 43
- 39
-
40
Allan ↑ 74'
- 56
Coach
Abel Ferreira
H2H
H2H Top Scorers
| Player | Goals |
|---|---|
| Luiz Adriano | 4 |
| German Cano | 3 |
| Manoel Messias | 2 |
| Jhon Arias | 2 |
| Gustavo Gomez | 2 |
| Breno Lopes | 2 |
| Raphael Veiga | 2 |
| Kevin Serna | 2 |
Head to Head
Fluminense FC Form
Predictions
Prediction accuracy
3 / 4
1
Fluminense FC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.58
SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for:
SE Palmeiras or Draw 73%
Match Result
✓ CorrectActual: SE Palmeiras win
Both Teams to Score
✓ Correct
Avg goals/match: 2.58
Actual: Yes — both scored
Over / Under Goals
✗ O/U 2.5| Line | Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ± 0.5 | 90% |
|
10% |
| ± 1.5 | 73% |
|
27% |
| ± 2.5 | 47% |
|
53% |
| ± 3.5 | 26% |
|
74% |
| ± 4.5 | 13% |
|
87% |
Double Chance
Fluminense FC or Draw
55%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
73%
Fluminense FC or SE Palmeiras
71%
Half-Time Result
✓ CorrectActual: Draw at HT
Correct Score
✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.9%
0 – 1
11%
0 – 0
9.6%
0 – 2
9.2%
1 – 2
Actual
1 – 0
6.6%
2 – 1
5.7%
1 – 3
4.8%
0 – 3
4.8%
2 – 2
4.6%
2 – 0
3.7%
2 – 3
2.5%
Asian Handicap — Fluminense FC
| Handicap | Fluminense FC covers | Push | SE Palmeiras covers |
|---|---|---|---|
| -2.5 | 2% | — | 98% |
| -2 | 2% | 6% | 92% |
| -1.5 | 8% | — | 92% |
| -1 | 8% | 14% | 77% |
| -0.5 | 23% | — | 77% |
| +0.5 | 51% | — | 49% |
| +1 | 51% | 23% | 26% |
| +1.5 | 74% | — | 26% |
| +2 | 74% | 15% | 11% |
| +2.5 | 89% | — | 11% |
Clean Sheet
Fluminense FC keeps clean sheet
21%
✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
37%
✓
Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.

