Saturday , 14 November 2026

Ceará SC vs SE Palmeiras, Serie A 2025 REGULAR SEASON

Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A · 2025
Ceará SC
1 – 3
Full Time
SE Palmeiras
Sun 7 Dec 2025 · 19:00 UTC Castelao HT 45' · FT 45'
Y 35' Larson
Fernandinho 45' Y
Fernando Sobral 59' Y
Willian Machado 79' Y
Y 86' Luis Pacheco
Pedro Henrique 89' Y

Overview

Match Preview

Ceará SC vs SE Palmeiras — Serie A at Castelao.

Match Details

  • Referee Bruno de Araujo (Brazil)
13 games this season 🟨 2.2/game ⚽ 7.8 goals/game 🟥 1 total

Standings

# Team P Pts
1 CR Flamengo 34 76
2 SE Palmeiras 34 73
3 Cruzeiro EC 34 60
4 Fluminense FC 34 57
5 CA Paranaense 34 54
6 EC Bahia 34 53
7 CA Mineiro 34 50
8 RB Bragantino 34 47
9 Santos FC 34 47
10 São Paulo FC 34 44
11 Botafogo FR 34 42
12 Coritiba FBC 34 42
13 CR Vasco da Gama 33 41
14 Mirassol FC 34 40
15 SC Internacional 34 38
16 EC Vitoria 34 38
17 SC Corinthians Paulista 34 37
18 Gremio FBPA 34 37
19 Clube do Remo 34 29
20 Chapecoense AF 33 21

Head-to-Head

3
2
8
Ceará SC 13 games · Avg 3.0 goals SE Palmeiras
Last 5 meetings
2025-12-07 Ceará SC 1–3 SE Palmeiras 2025-08-10 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Ceará SC 2022-07-30 Ceará SC 1–2 SE Palmeiras 2022-04-10 SE Palmeiras 2–3 Ceará SC 2021-12-10 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Ceará SC

Recent Form

Ceará SC
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec SE Palmeiras H 1–3 L
04 Dec CR Flamengo A 0–1 L
30 Nov Cruzeiro EC H 1–1 D
24 Nov Mirassol FC A 0–3 L
21 Nov SC Internacional H 1–2 L
09 Nov SC Corinthians Paulista A 1–0 W
SE Palmeiras
DateOpponentH/A ScoreResult
07 Dec Ceará SC A 3–1 W
04 Dec CA Mineiro A 3–0 W
26 Nov Gremio FBPA A 2–3 L
23 Nov Fluminense FC H 0–0 D
19 Nov EC Vitoria H 0–0 D
16 Nov Santos FC A 0–1 L

Key Stats

77% Both Teams to Score
H2H (13 games)
77% Over 2.5 Goals
H2H history
47% Clean Sheets
SE Palmeiras this season

Goal Timing (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
0-15
8/2
16-30
6/1
31-45
7/2
46-60
7/4
61-75
6/1
76+
6/5
■ Scored ■ Conceded

Top Scorers (This Season)

SE Palmeiras
Jose Manuel Lopez 10 G 7 A
Mauricio 10 G 1 A
Jhon Arias 6 G 3 A
Vitor Roque 5 G 1 A
Allan 4 G 3 A

Events

Match Events

  • 0' What a night it is going to be! Ceará SC welcome SE Palmeiras for this crunch clash at Castelao.
  • 5' Marcelo Lomba, a Brazil , has 0 bookings this season and will need to keep his discipline tonight.
  • 10' Erick Machado is putting in a real shift tonight. He has covered more ground than anyone else for Ceará SC so far.
  • 12' Pedro Raul is having a superb {COMPETITION} campaign — that is 1 goals this season for the .
  • 17' Brilliant from the ! Facundo Torres Perez makes it 0-2 with a superb finish on 17.
  • 22' Ceará SC are deployed in a today, looking to exploit space against SE Palmeiras's shape.
  • 27' Both teams are passing the ball around with high level of urgency. Ceará SC needs to do something about it to get closer to the goal.
  • 32' The clock is ticking and both teams know a goal could change everything at this point.
  • 35' The referee calls foul for Larson. He receives a card.
  • 40' has dominated the recent head-to-head record, winning 0 of the last 0 meetings.
  • 45' The referee shows Ceara SC player a card on 45.
  • 46' Another change for Ceara SC made on 46 minute. Dieguinho leaves to be changed by Fernando Sobral.
  • 51' The referee is likely to let players tackle, as he already missed some meaty challenges during opening seconds. He is still to establish what should not be done by the players and what is acceptable on the pitch. It’s going to be a tough game for Jefte suffering a number of foals already.
  • 56' Neither side is committing men forward. This has all the hallmarks of a tense, tactical contest.
  • 59' The referee has no hesitation. Fernando Sobral is booked for Ceara SC — card on 59.
  • 60' Goal! Ramon Sosa scores his 17 goal in 196 matches.
  • 62' Ceara SC ring the changes. Fernandinho has done his job and it is now time for Pedro Henrique to step up.
  • 65' Jose Manuel Lopez doubles the advantage! 0-4 and this game is slipping away from the opposition.
  • 68' The Ceara SC manager makes a substitution. Rafael Ramos departs to be replaced by Aylon.
  • 73' It is a substitution in SE Palmeiras team. Jose Manuel Lopez is replaced by Bruno Rodrigues on 73 minute.
  • 78' Fresh legs for SE Palmeiras! Erick Machado comes on to replace Mauricio.
  • 79' Willian Machado was booked on 79.
  • 84' The referee has had an easy afternoon — neither side has been overly physical in the tackle.
  • 86' The referee does not hesitate — a card for Luis Pacheco on 86 minutes.
  • 89' The referee reaches into his pocket. Out comes the card for Pedro Henrique.
  • 1-3 the final result. Ceará SC will be bitterly disappointed.

Lineups

Ceará SC Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Leo Condé

SE Palmeiras Lineups

Starting XI

Bench

Coach Abel Ferreira

H2H

H2H Top Scorers

PlayerGoals
Stiven Mendoza 3
Ze Rafael 3
Jose Manuel Lopez 2
Bruno Henrique 2
Dudu 2
Brock 1
Lucas Ribeiro 1
Thiago Santos 1

Head to Head

2025-12-07 Ceará SC 1–3 SE Palmeiras 2025-08-10 SE Palmeiras 2–1 Ceará SC 2022-07-30 Ceará SC 1–2 SE Palmeiras 2022-04-10 SE Palmeiras 2–3 Ceará SC 2021-12-10 SE Palmeiras 1–0 Ceará SC

Ceará SC Form

2025-12-07 Ceará SC 1–3 SE Palmeiras L 2025-12-04 CR Flamengo 1–0 Ceará SC L 2025-11-30 Ceará SC 1–1 Cruzeiro EC D 2025-11-24 Mirassol FC 3–0 Ceará SC L 2025-11-21 Ceará SC 1–2 SC Internacional L 2025-11-09 SC Corinthians Paulista 0–1 Ceará SC W

SE Palmeiras Form

2025-12-07 Ceará SC 1–3 SE Palmeiras W 2025-12-04 CA Mineiro 0–3 SE Palmeiras W 2025-11-26 Gremio FBPA 3–2 SE Palmeiras L 2025-11-23 SE Palmeiras 0–0 Fluminense FC D 2025-11-19 SE Palmeiras 0–0 EC Vitoria D 2025-11-16 Santos FC 1–0 SE Palmeiras L

Predictions

Prediction accuracy
4 / 4
1.24 Ceará SC xG
Expected Goals
Dixon-Coles · Bivariate Poisson · Neg. Binomial · Elo
1.63 SE Palmeiras xG
I would bet for: Ceará SC or SE Palmeiras 73% + Both teams to score 57%

Match Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC29% Draw27% SE Palmeiras44%
Actual: SE Palmeiras win

Both Teams to Score

✓ Correct
Yes57% 0% No43%
Avg goals/match: 2.87
Actual: Yes — both scored

Over / Under Goals

✓ O/U 2.5
Line Over Under
± 0.5 93%
7%
± 1.5 78%
22%
± 2.5 54%
46%
± 3.5 32%
68%
± 4.5 17%
83%

Double Chance

Ceará SC or Draw
56%
Draw or SE Palmeiras
71%
Ceará SC or SE Palmeiras
73%

Half-Time Result

✓ Correct
Ceará SC22% Draw45% SE Palmeiras33%
Actual: Draw at HT

Correct Score

✓ In top 12
1 – 1
12.3%
1 – 2
9%
0 – 1
8.4%
0 – 0
7.5%
0 – 2
7.4%
2 – 1
6.8%
1 – 0
6.1%
2 – 2
5.6%
1 – 3
Actual
2 – 0
4.3%
0 – 3
4%
2 – 3
3.1%

Asian Handicap — Ceará SC

Handicap Ceará SC covers Push SE Palmeiras covers
-2.5 4% — 96%
-2 4% 8% 88%
-1.5 12% — 88%
-1 12% 16% 72%
-0.5 28% — 72%
+0.5 55% — 45%
+1 55% 21% 24%
+1.5 76% — 24%
+2 76% 14% 10%
+2.5 90% — 10%

Clean Sheet

Ceará SC keeps clean sheet
20% ✓
SE Palmeiras keeps clean sheet
30% ✓

Predictions are statistical estimates based on season form, H2H history, and a Poisson model. Not financial advice.